Lingrid | AUDNZD consolidation EXPANSION marketFX:AUDNZD has been in a consolidation phase since October, but the recent breakout and close above this range. This price made higher lows and higher highs, aligns with a bullish trend, suggesting a continuation of upward momentum. The support level at 1.11000 has been respected on two occasions, which emphasizes its importance in the current price structure. I expect a potential breakout-pullback-continuation scenario. If the price respects this support during the retest, we could see a bullish move follow. My goal is resistance zone around 1.12300
raders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDNZD trade ideas
AUD/NZD: Potential Short Opportunity: False Resistance BreakoutThe AUD/NZD pair is currently exhibiting signs of a false breakout at the resistance level of 1.1145, subsequently forming a rejection Pinbar, which indicates that sellers may be regaining control in the short term.
What is a False Breakout?
A false breakout occurs when the price briefly exceeds a key support or resistance level, only to swiftly reverse and return to the opposite side. In this instance, the price momentarily broke above the 1.1145 resistance, yet the insufficient buying pressure led to an immediate rejection. This behaviour suggests that sellers were poised above this level, ready to enter the market. False breakouts can often result from market manipulation, where institutions and major players seek to trigger stop-loss orders from traders positioned near support and resistance levels. By instigating an initial breakout, they create liquidity for large contrarian positions.
Reversal Signal
A false breakout, particularly when accompanied by candlestick formations like the Pinbar, often indicates a potential trend reversal. In this case, the failed breakout signifies that buyers who attempted to sustain the move upwards were unsuccessful.
Current Scenario : Has the False Breakout Been Confirmed?
The 1.1145 level represents the highest price since 2022, establishing it as a significant resistance zone. The initial breakout above this level was swiftly followed by a strong rejection, illustrated by the long wick at the top of the Pinbar candlestick. This pattern underscores the weakness among buyers and suggests renewed strength among sellers.
Possible Short Opportunity
If the price breaks below 1.1090, we may expect a more substantial downward movement over the following days.
First Target: 1.0880
This target corresponds to a notable support zone, aligning with previous lows and the projection of the rising trend line established since February.
Final Target: 1.0780
This represents a significant area, marking an important horizontal support level observed over recent months.
Stop Loss:
A suitable stop loss could be placed above the Pinbar high at around 1.1180 to protect against an unexpected reversal.
Alternative Scenario: Resistance Broken
The recent sequence of green candles with elongated bodies and minimal upper shadows suggests a potential alternative scenario, wherein there may be sufficient buying pressure to breach the resistance level in the coming days.
A buying opportunity could materialise if the price breaks above 1.1200.
Next Targets:
In the event of a breakout, the first target could be around 1.1300, with a final target at 1.1450, where the AUD/NZD would encounter significant resistance on the weekly chart.
The AUD/NZD pair is at a critical technical juncture at 1.1100, indicating a potential false breakout of resistance. It is essential to monitor price action closely in the upcoming sessions. A sustained downward movement, particularly a break below 1.1090, would reinforce the selling pressure, while a breakout above 1.1200 could signal a continuation of the upward trend towards 1.1450.
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#007 AUDNZD DCA BuyAs seen on the chart, I have placed 2 buy limits which I tried to spread them out as evenly as I could. I left the 3rd position wider, than the 2nd position because I think to myself, if price were to come down this far, and if it touches and rebound, I would have a higher chance of exiting for some profit on that position.
I picked the AUDNZD because price on the 4H, 1H and 15 Minutes are aligned with the 60SMA's direction, and based on the price alone, it is very strong.
If I could, I would rather enter on XAUUSD now, instead of AUDNZD, but due to margin issues, that's not possible, and AUDNZD is one of the pairs that is not clashing with my other open positions (correlation).
That's all for now, and I will update later when anything happens.
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#008 DCA AUDNZD 1HI was wavering yesterday because of the loss I took on USDCHF, and so, I didn't think to publish this AUDNZD trade I took. But on retrospect, it all worked out. I think that some basic protective mechanism should still be in place such as shifting price to breakeven (maybe) (and, there there. overthinking again.)
I am just 2 cents away from TP and I think after I publish this post, I would be taking profit manually because why would I allow price to hover and collapse back down when I do not have a fixed RR?
I also think that I should trade on the higher time frames, maybe. (There there, again here it comes.)
I think I think I think. I think too much. Add too much thoughts which with efects becomes emotions. While on the other hand, I have another strategy running which I don't give much thoughts about, doing not bad. Not like it is making big money, or high % per month, but it is providing. 1%+ 2%+ as long as I continue to not think about it.
As I was trying to sleep last night, I thought that distractions is good, so that I can un-focus on doing the right things, while I have other wrong things to distract me, preventing me from overly observing or giving attention to the right thing.
Too much observations lead to too much thoughts which leads to too much action, which will increase the amount of wrongful actions taken, which leads to stress, and changing of minor rules, or aspects about the trading method, which leads to deviation and eventual profit turning into losses and closing the month on a bad note, hoping that the next month would be different, and wishing that I wouldn't have done some things I have done.
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AUDNZD - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is rejection from trendline + bullish OB.
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AUDNZD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
AUDNZD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDNZD
Entry Point - 1.1059
Stop Loss - 1.1074
Take Profit - 1.1028
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUDNZD 4hr LongAUDNZD
✅ 4hr Long ✅
💰ENTRY: 1.10458
👎STOP LOSS: 1.10305
TP TARGETS
⏰TP1
⏰TP2
⏰TP3
✅ 1. Weekly Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50, 200 EMAs.
✅ 2. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50, 200 EMAs.
✅ 3. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid correction into the 10 EMA.
✅ 4. Price has made a Swing Low Engulfing candle above the 50ema.
This is a great example of my systematic system.
Potential bullish rise?AUD/NZD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.10419
1st Support: 1.10050
1st Resistance: 1.10856
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AUDNZD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDNZD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.1048 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1020
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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AUD/NZD "AUSSIE KIWI" Bank bullish Robbery Plan.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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