RBA Cuts Rates. AUD DeclinesRBA Cuts Rates. AUD Declines
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to cut the interest rate from 4.10% to 3.85%, continuing its easing policy after a previous cut from 4.35% in February.
According to Reuters, the RBA today cited:
→ progress made in bringing inflation under control;
→ economic risks linked to the ongoing global trade war.
Although the RBA’s decision was widely expected, the Australian dollar weakened noticeably against other currencies — including the New Zealand dollar. The AUD/NZD rate fell to its lowest level in nearly two weeks.
Technical Analysis of the AUD/NZD Chart
From a technical perspective, a bearish breakout occurred:
→ below the lower boundary of the upward trend channel that began in April;
→ and below the 1.087 level, which had served as support in mid-May.
It is possible that:
→ the decline may slow around the 1.083 support zone, where strong demand was evident in the long lower wicks of the 9 May candles (marked with an arrow);
→ the 1.0870–1.0880 area will act as resistance going forward, potentially leading to a retest of the bearish breakout zone on the AUD/NZD chart.
As the market continues to price in the RBA’s decision, attention will turn to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting on 28 May, where a similar rate cut could be on the table.
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AUDNZD trade ideas
AUDNZD: Growth & Bullish Continuation
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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AUD_NZD STRONG RESISTANCE AEHAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead around 1.0940
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 1.0880
SHORT🔥
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AUD-NZD Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD is growing strongly
And the pair looks locally
Overbought so after it
Hits the horizontal resistance
Area around 1.0934 we will
Be expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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AUDNZD possible short, patience required The daily candle has not yet closed but we could have an inside bar setup later today.
Price is below the 200dma and the price action today seems indicative of a bearish breakout that could happen tomorrow.
I am not advising jumping the gun, instead wait and see how it all plays out.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
AUDNZD Bulls Eyeing a Recovery from Key Support Zone
📉 After a sharp fall, AUDNZD has tapped into a well-defined support zone around 1.07800, forming a possible retracement setup.
📊 Technical Insight:
- Price reacted strongly from the support zone, hinting at buyer interest.
- RSI on the 1H chart is rebounding from the oversold area , suggesting potential bullish momentum.
- Expected retracement target: 1.08245 , a previous resistance level.
📰 Fundamental Boost:
- AUD remains resilient despite global risk sentiment due to improving commodity prices, especially in iron ore — a key Australian export.
On the NZD side, recent RBNZ dovish commentary has slightly weighed on the Kiwi, adding a supportive tone for AUDNZD upside.
📌 Invalidation:
If price breaks and closes below the 1.07800 support zone, this setup becomes invalid.
AUDNZD: Bulls Will Push
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDNZD - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation LowerM15 - Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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AUDNZD Bullish Trade Breakdown — 9.99R Return Using Harmonics +
Hello traders!
If you enjoyed my previous post on the XAUUSD buy setup, then you're going to love this breakdown on AUDNZD—especially if you're interested in combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for precise trade entries. If you haven’t seen the Gold analysis yet, be sure to check it out below this post.
Let’s dive into this AUDNZD trade:
🔹 Weekly Analysis
On the weekly timeframe, price was reacting strongly to a key support level, which was confirmed by a long rejection wick:
🔹 Harmonic Pattern Setup
I anticipated a retracement toward the 0.786/0.886 Fibonacci levels of the previous bullish impulsive move, with the expectation of forming a Bullish Harmonic Pattern. And that’s exactly how it played out:
🔹 Pattern: Bullish Gartley
The setup was a classic Bullish Gartley, with the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) aligning perfectly with the 0.786 level. Price tested this area and confirmed the setup:
🔹 Entry Strategy: SMC x Harmonics
Entry Model: S2D (Supply-to-Demand) Flip Entry
Confirmation: After a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the M15 timeframe
H1 Sniper Entry: Not tagged, but our setup remained valid
Stop Loss: A tight 15 pips, limiting potential loss if the market didn’t respect the analysis
🔹 Trade Outcome
The entry was triggered successfully, and the trade hit:
✅ TP1
✅ TP2
✅ TP3 (at the 0.786 retracement level)
📊 Result: +9.99R
That’s nearly 10R return on a single trade—an excellent example of how combining Harmonic Patterns with SMC execution models can yield high-probability setups and strong returns.
💬 What About You?
Did you catch this move on AUDNZD, or perhaps take a different approach?
Let me know in the comments below—I’d love to hear how you approached it.
And don’t forget to stay tuned for more in-depth trade breakdowns like this, where I blend Harmonics + SMC to find precision entries.
Thanks for reading, and happy trading! 🚀
AUDNZD (4H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakout+Falling Wedge ReversalOn the 4-hour chart of AUDNZD, the market has completed a compression phase inside a symmetrical triangle, nested within a larger falling wedge structure. Both patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal after an extended downward trend.
The breakout occurred to the upside, with price moving above the triangle and breaking through short-term resistance around 1.0713. Volume increased on the breakout, confirming genuine buyer interest. If the price holds above this level and breaks 1.0766, it opens the path to the next major target at 1.0844, aligned with the previous key swing level.
Technical picture:
– Symmetrical triangle breakout confirmed
– Price also broke out of the falling wedge
– Volume expansion on the move
– Bullish realignment of EMAs is starting
– Holding above 1.0713 + breaking 1.0766 will activate the next phase
Fundamental backdrop:
The Australian dollar is benefiting from resilience in the commodity and export sectors, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from weakening inflation and growing expectations of monetary easing by the RBNZ. This economic divergence creates short-term advantage for AUD over NZD.
This double-pattern setup confirms the transition from consolidation to bullish impulse. Holding above 1.0713 and a confirmed break above 1.0766 would unlock a move toward 1.0844. These patterns offer clean early entries into trend reversals.
AUD/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.081 level area with our short trade on AUD/NZD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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