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AUD/USD:Bullish Reversal from Oversold Zone with 290-Pips TargetAUD/USD has tested the key oversold area near 0.6200, showing strong buyer rejection. This zone aligns with historical support, making it a high-probability area for a bullish reversal. The take-profit target is set at 0.6490, a major control price reflecting previous equilibrium and significant trading activity. With confirmation of bullish momentum, this setup offers aiming for a 290-pip move back toward fair value If today's daily candle as bullish, it would be full confirmation
Long
by Eleazarahmath
5
AUDUSD: Examining Key Historical Support LeveThe decline of the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar was addressed in the previous analysis. However, the situation for this pair remains critical, and further declines are not unexpected. As shown on the chart, the next key support is at 0.6169. Yet, it seems likely that the pair may fall further, potentially rebounding from around 0.6, a historical demand zone. If the 0.6169 support is broken, a deeper drop can be anticipated. But when can we be confident that the decline has ended? A positive reaction to the 0.6169 support, combined with a break of the downward trendline, could encourage buying this pair.
Short
by UtoForex
1
Mastering AUDUSD: Key Trading Zones Revealed for Optimal EntriesGreetings, traders! Welcome to this AUDUSDmarket analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities. In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries. If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas. Trade safely Trader Leo
Short
by BTM-LEO
15
Festive Learning: Using the MACD to Determine a TrendIn previous posts within this series, we have covered, Bollinger Bands and moving averages, where we’ve shown how each technique can help determine the trending condition of an asset. If you haven’t already, please look back at our timeline to view these posts. Now we want to look at another trending indicator, which can help to provide a quick and easy read of the current trend. This is called the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator, or MACD for short. The MACD uses 12 and 26 day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which are the default settings within the Pepperstone charting system. Exponential averages differ from simple moving averages as they place greater emphasis on the latest closing data for a particular instrument. This goes someway to try and overcome the issue of averages being lagging in nature. By giving the latest closing levels greater importance within the exponential calculation, these averages can turn more quickly than a simple average, to reflect price direction changes earlier. What is the MACD and How Does it Use Moving Averages? The MACD uses 12 and 26 day EMAs and measures the gap between the two. This is important as the 12 day EMA will follow the price action of an instrument more closely than the 26 day EMA. Meaning, as prices rise above the averages in an uptrend, the gap between the shorter and longer term EMA increases in a positive way. While in a downtrend as price falls below the 2 declining averages, the gap increases in a negative way. Let’s look further at the daily chart of AUDUSD and add the MACD indicator to see how this works in practice. The blue line of the indicator shows the gap between the 2 exponential moving averages, while the red line is a 9 day moving average of the indicator line. What Does the MACD Show, and How Can We Use This to Help Within Our Day to Day Trading? It’s a trending indicator, so we use it to confirm the trending condition of an instrument, but we also use it to help us decide if whether our sentiment towards that instrument should be positive or negative. There are 4 possible signals we can highlight by using the MACD. These are, • an aggressive uptrend, • an aggressive downtrend, • a correction within an uptrend • a correction within a downtrend. An Aggressive Uptrend Signal. This is where the rising MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is above zero and above its own average. This reflects the 12 day EMA being above the 26 day EMA, and the gap between the two averages is increasing, as the price of an instrument moves higher. This set-up reflects when sentiment should be positive towards an instrument, as the potential is that the current uptrend could continue. Aggressive Downtrend Signal The aggressive downtrend signal is when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is falling below both zero and its own average. This reflects where the declining 12 day EMA is falling below the declining 26 day EMA, as both averages track the declining price of an instrument. This can highlight when sentiment should be negative towards an instrument because the current downtrend may extend further. But what about consolidation signals? Consolidation Within an Uptrend A consolidation within an uptrend can develop when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) while still above zero has crossed below its own moving average (re line on the MACD chart). This is not a negative signal because the MACD line is still above zero suggesting an uptrend is currently in place, but it highlights a reaction to the recent price strength is appearing and that a possible consolidation within the uptrend may materialise. It can suggest a period where we may wish to close any long positions in the instrument at this point and revert to the sidelines, as a downside correction could be due. We would then look for the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) to either break below zero to suggest a downtrend is now evident, or the more aggressive uptrend to resume if the MACD line breaks back above its own average. Consolidation Within a Downtrend A consolidation within a downtrend is seen when the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero but has crossed above its own moving average (red line on MACD chart). Here, we may want to close any potential short positions, as a potential upside recovery may be developing. This is not a positive signal because the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero highlighting a downtrend is still in play, but suggests a reaction to recent price weakness is materialising and that a recovery is possible within the on-going downtrend. We would then look for the MACD line to either break above zero to suggest an uptrend for the instrument could be starting, or for prices to resume their downside moves and for the MACD line to break under its own average (red line on MACD chart) to highlight the more aggressive downtrend is still dominating. We can use these signals to either initiate outright trades, or to help us gauge the trending set-up within any instrument at any given time. The MACD indicator could then be combined with other techniques to help time trade entry within the direction of the confirmed trend, which we hope to cover in future posts. So, in recent weeks we have looked at various techniques and indicators to help us gauge the trending condition of an asset at any given time. Each can be used either on their own or in combination with the other and price patterns, but we’re sure you will find them very useful to incorporate within your own analysis and trading. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
1
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount Market Analysis: AUD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount AUD/USD declined below the 0.6400 and 0.6375 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6430 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6400 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair even settled below 0.6375 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6340. A low was formed at 0.6317 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6340 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.6375 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6385. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6430 resistance. A close above the 0.6430 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6500. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6320 zone. The next support sits at 0.6350. If there is a downside break below 0.6350, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6320. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6300 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD: Price at Extreme Zone – Awaiting ReactionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** AUDUSD Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex