AUD/USD $AUDUSD update M1 D1 H4 - NO shorts in 2025Monthly SFP + Weakness of the main currency
Forget about short positions for the next year
This might be the best entry point for long of the year
H4
Without closing the imbalance, they shouldn't go up, so I expect such a scenario
Based on all the data, I expect a local strengthening of the dollar in May and only growth after that
Best regards, EXCAVO
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD trade ideas
EUR/USD Neutral, AUD/USD Neutral and EUR/AUD (Trade Recap)EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.63600 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at trend at 0.63600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it:
Key Observations:
1. Current Trend:
The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel.
2. Resistance Level:
The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level.
3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone:
Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it.
4. Projected Move:
First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur.
Then a drop to the demand zone.
If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500.
5. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Idea Summary:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are:
First: the 2TF demand zone
Final: the key support/FVG zone
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences
- Weekly 50 EMA rejection
- 5’ order block created
- Intraday bearish breaks of structure
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
SUMMARY
- Weekly 50 exponential moving average
- Daily high rejection
Requirements
- 15' Break of structure short! Non negotiable.
- 15' order block creation to short from once price action pulls back.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUD/USD - Bullish SetupDaily View - We can actknowedlge that price is currently consolidation within a Large supply zone from where we saw last weeks news.. I would like to see us return into the Demand further down as we will be getting close to being over sold. From there we can notice smaller amounts of Sell side Liquidity to test before powering into Buy side Highs.
Currently we are also testing a Resistance zone which is still currently strong so that tells me price will need to really push through with volume to invalidate this level.
Smaller Time frames suggest a break and retest from this supply zone. If we get a Bearish break and retest I would consider this a fadeout for the favour of resting Liquidity sitting lower to collect as mentioned before.
Please follow for any questions
AUD/USD IS BEARISH STRUCTUREHowdy Traders,
AUD/USD has experienced a bearish rally for the past nine days, during which it found strong support at 0.65735 . This support level has proven reliable in the past, as it successfully held the market. Furthermore, a subsequent bullish rally was observed.
In terms of the target, the market has confirmed a bearish outlook by breaking the 100-day EMA. This indicates that the market is likely to continue selling.
If the market sustained its support level so good movement is seen on the upside.
The target is- 0.66220 , 0.66047
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATIONGBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25 1' ENTRY MODEL EDUCATION
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15’ order block created
✅15’ wick rejections via order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅1’ break of structure
✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill
✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill
✅Sell limit order via 1' order block created upon 1' break of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6328
1st Support: 0.6206
1st Resistance: 0.6537
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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AUDUSD - Resistance Test Points to Imminent Price CorrectionThe AUD/USD pair has shown impressive upside momentum in recent days, recovering sharply from its early April lows near 0.5900 to now testing the key resistance zone highlighted in blue around 0.6400. After such a substantial rally of approximately 500 pips, technical indicators suggest the pair is becoming overextended in the short term. We anticipate a corrective pullback as price encounters this significant resistance level, which previously acted as support in mid-March. This correction would be a healthy development within the broader market structure, potentially setting up better entry opportunities for those still bullish on the Australian dollar in the medium term.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.638.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.622 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Wyckoff RedistributionThe pair seems as if it may be looking to continue the downtrend. I have identified a possible redistribution pattern. The recent "upthrust" could be the last up move that is typically used to trap buyers. Could be too soon to tell but keep an eye on price falling back under resistance and preliminary supply on strong sell volume for confirmation.
SHORT ON AUD/USDAUD/USD has given us a double top at a major resistance area/zone.
It has currently formed a lower high after giving us a change of character (choc) to the downside.
I expect price to drop to the next demand level for 200-300 pips.
Dxy News for the rest of the week should help fuel the move if positive for the dollar.
AUDUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.642.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.640.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDUSD Trade Setup – Bearish Continuation in Play?Been monitoring AUDUSD closely since yesterday’s drop following the US news.
Price action has shown a solid bearish impulse, and I'm now anticipating a continuation to the downside. I'm particularly eyeing the 0.63877 USD zone for a bearish retest.
🔍 Plan:
Waiting for a confirmation candle around the 0.63877 area.
Watching the 9AM (UK time) candle close for signs of rejection.
Potential short setup after 10AM, aligning with the fresh H4 candle opening.
Patience is key — looking to trade only with confirmation.
📌 These are my personal views — not financial advice.