AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation from broken supportThe current setup is a clean example of a trend continuation play. Price recently broke decisively below a structure zone, this break and retest now flips the narrative, what once was a buy zone is now an opportunity for short entries.
Following the aggressive move down, price now began pulling back into that broken zone. The move appears corrective rather than impulsive, characterized by a slower, more rounded structure typical of pullback leg. This is classic behavior in continuation setups: fast drop, slow retrace, and then potential for the next leg lower.
The projected move targets a retest of the swing low at 0.63800. That level is significant, it's a level where prior demand reacted strongly and now it serves as the next probable magnet for price.
What makes this continuation trade high probability is the sharpness of the prior bearish impulse as it signals intent. The market seems to be in a controlled bearish sequence, where sellers dominate momentum and retracements offer fresh entries for trend followers.
The structure and zone alignment all point in the same direction continuation lower, not reversal.
Let me know in the comments what you think
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AUDUSD trade ideas
Sell the Rip? AUDUSD Retest Zone AlertHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling red channel and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is rejecting a structure marked in blue.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
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AUD/USD - Breakout (25.07.2025)The AUD/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6551
2nd Support – 0.6513
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AUD/USD Bearish Breakout – Retest & Sell Continuation SetupAUD/USD (Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar)
Likely a 4H (4-hour) timeframe based on candlestick density and scale.
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2. Structure & Patterns:
Rising wedge/ascending channel: Already broken to the downside.
Breakout zone: Around 0.6480–0.6500, clearly marked and now acting as resistance.
Retest confirmed: Price returned to the broken zone, touched resistance, and dropped.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud → strong bearish signal.
Downward projection: You’ve drawn a possible bearish path with lower highs and lower lows.
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3. Key Support & Target Levels:
✅ Current Price (as per chart):
Around 0.6468
🎯 Target Points (as per your drawing):
1. First Target Point → 0.6400
This aligns with previous minor support.
2. Second Target Point → 0.6370
Likely based on a Fibonacci or historical support level.
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✅ Clear Trade Setup Summary:
Component Value
Direction Sell (Short)
Entry 0.6475–0.6485
Stop-Loss 0.6520
TP1 0.6400
TP2 0.6370
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📌 Conclusion:
You are currently in a bearish setup after a breakdown from a rising structure. The market structure favors lower prices with clearly marked TP1 at 0.6400 and TP2 at 0.6370. Your entry zone (0.6475–0.6485) is technically sound, especially if there's a minor retracement.
Let me know if you want:
A Fibonacci analysis
RSI/MACD confirmation
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker.
The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg.
Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months.
US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week.
SUPPORT 0.65593
SUPPORT 0.65424
SUPPORT 0.65593
RESISTSNCE 0.65050
RESISTANCE 0.64973
AUDUSD longs!!!Hello everyone
My bias towards AUDUSD is looking bullish and these are my reasons on why.
1. Price started to consolidate between 14/05/25 to 23/06/25 which caused price to take out EQL'S and create a CHOCH to the upside.
2. Price has than created many more consolidation patterns followed by EQL's raids as well.
3. I am hoping price will return back to my 4hr demand zone to go long again.
Looking for either market entry or buy limit not sure yet will find out as time goes by.
AUDUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.645.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.637 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUD/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a likely setup for further downside. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
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Technical Summary
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 0.64688
EMA 200: 0.65140 (price is below = bearish bias)
RSI (14): 48.23 (neutral to slightly bearish)
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Key Observations
1. Break of Trendline:
The previous ascending trendline (black) was broken to the downside.
This indicates a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
2. Resistance Rejection Zone:
Price recently retested a strong supply/resistance zone (yellow box near 0.65140) and was rejected.
This aligns with the 200 EMA → strong confluence for a sell setup.
3. Market Structure:
Price is forming lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control.
The chart shows a projection of a bearish continuation pattern (zig-zag decline).
4. Target Zone:
Final target marked near 0.63700–0.63699, a previous support level.
This gives the setup a decent risk-reward ratio if the rejection holds.
5. RSI:
RSI is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum, but not oversold—still room to move down.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bearish
Sell Zone: Near the resistance area (0.65000–0.65150)
Target: 0.63700 zone
Stop Loss: Likely above 0.65200 (above resistance and EMA 200)
Confirmation: Price action forming lower highs and staying below EMA 200
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Could we see a further drop for the Aussie?The price has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support, which acts as a swing low support.
Pivot: 0.6469
1st Support: 0.6372
1st Resistance: 0.6540
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AUD/USD – Potential Bounce Buy SetupOANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe: 30m
Type: Counter-trend / Bounce from Support
Risk Level: Medium to High
Possible Reward: 4+
🔹 Setup:
Price is testing the lower boundary of the recent support zone (0.6432 – 0.6420), aligning with the previous channel structure visible on the 8h chart. The descending move has shown initial signs of exhaustion, suggesting a potential bounce.
📈 Entry:
Current price zone 0.6432 – 0.6445
🎯 Targets (TP):
TP1: 0.64624
TP2: 0.64797
TP4: 0.65158
⛔ Stop Loss (SL):
0.64250 (below recent swing low and liquidity pool)
8H chart Overview:
Previous Position from top of Channel:
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MJTrading #ChartDesigner
Psychology Always Matters:
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - August 3rd,2025🟦 AUDUSD 4H Analysis Bearish Idea
📅 August 3, 2025
🔹 Top-Down Trend Bias:
• Monthly – Bearish
• Weekly – Bearish
• Daily – Bearish
• 4H – Bearish
AUDUSD remains in a clear downtrend across all major timeframes. Current price action shows a corrective move off recent lows but all signs point to this being a temporary pullback, not a reversal.
🔍 Key Zone: 0.6485 – 0.6528
This zone aligns with the 61.8% fib retracement, and previous structure making it a high probability rejection area.
✅ Scenario A: Bearish Continuation (Blue Path)
1.If price taps into 0.6485–0.6525 and rejects
2.Look for bearish confirmation (engulfing, lower high, break of structure)
Target 1: 0.6426 (previous low)
Target 2: 0.6398
Extended Target: 0.6350
This is the trend following setup, most probable given full HTF alignment.
⚠️ Scenario B: Bullish Breakout (Orange Path)
If price breaks and closes above 0.65000
1.Could signal short term shift with upside potential toward 0.6550
2.However, this is a counter-trend idea and lower probability unless higher timeframes begin shifting
🧠 Final Notes
• Bias remains bearish until proven otherwise
• Watch for confirmation at the fib/trendline confluence zone
• Patience > prediction
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising toward the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6580
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6467
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
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AUDUSD Will Keep Falling!
HI,Traders !
#AUDUSD keeps falling down
And the pair made a strong
Bearish breakout of the key
Horizontal key level of 0.64796
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a further
Bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
AUDUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6455 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6512
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/USD Rejected at Resistance-Fed on TapYesterday’s Fed-induced sell-off broke through the monthly opening-range lows / 52-week moving average with the bears now poised to mark a sixth-consecutive daily decline.
It's worth noting that weekly momentum peaked at 60 on the April advance with RSI now poised to close back below 50. The observation suggests the broader downtrend remains intact and a pivot / break below slope support could mark trend resumption.
Initial weekly support is eyed with the February high at 6408 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / February high-week close (HWC) at 6354/57. A break / daily close below this region would be required to suggest that a more significant high is in place, potentially signaling a larger reversal underway. In such a scenario, the next downside objectives would be the yearly low-week close and 2023 low-close at 6291/96, followed by the 61.8% retracement and 2022 low-close at 6186–6201. Both of these zones are key areas of interest for potential downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Look for initial resistance back at the 52-week moving average (currently ~6460) with key resistance now seen back at the 61.8% retracement / yearly high-close at 6550/77. Note that the upper parallel converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and further highlights the technical significance of this zone. Ultimately a breach / weekly close above the 2021 trendline (red) would be needed to validate a breakout of the multi-year downtrend in Aussie.
Bottom line: A reversal off downtrend resistance is now approaching initial support- risk for trend resumption heading into August. From a trading standpoint, the immediate focus is on the weekly close with respect to 6400- rallies should be limited to the 52-week moving average IF Aussie is heading lower on this stretch with a close below needed to keep the immediate short-bias viable heading into the monthly cross.
Keep in mind we get the release of key US employment data tomorrow with Non-Farm Payrolls on tap. Stay nimble into the release and watch the weekly close / August opening-range for guidance for guidance.
-MB
Australian dollar down, eyes US GDP, Australian CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations.
The data calendar is bare on Monday, with no events out of the US or Australia. Things get very busy on Wednesday, with Australian inflation, US GDP and the Federal Reserve rate decision.
Even with no US releases, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations.
President Trump had threatened to impose 30% tariffs on European goods if a deal was not reached by Aug. 1. With the deal, a nasty trade war between the world's two largest economies has been avoided and the US will tariff most EU products at 15%.
The deal with the EU comes on the heels of a similar agreement with Japan, bringing a sigh of relief from the financial markets that have been worried about the economic fallout from Trump's tariff policy. The agreements remove a great deal of uncertainty and investors are hopeful that the US and Chinese negotiators will wrap up their talks with an agreement in hand.
The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates for a fifth straight meeting. It will be interesting to see if President Trump, who has been sharply critical of Fed policy, reacts to the decision. The money markets are expecting at least one cut before the end of the year, with the money markets pricing in a 61% likelihood a cut in September, according to FedWatch's CME.
AUDUSD Correction in progress
▶️ AUDUSD has broken the green ascending channel that had been in progress since late April.
▶️ This break suggests wave 1/A likely concluded at 0.66250, supported by bearish RSI divergence on the high.
▶️ Retests of the bottom of the broken channel could offer short trade opportunities.
▶️ The initial high-probability target is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 0.63531, which aligns with the start of the ascending channel.
▶️ A secondary target is the 50% retracement level at 0.62691.