How To Up Your Success Rate On FX Swing LongsAUDUSD has fallen to key lows on long term sentiment drag.
Antipodeans not preferred as USD inflows come into play.
Here's a few key lessons on catching swing entries.
AUDUSD trade ideas
Weekly CLS with 1 inside week, 50% HTF KL, Model 1Weekly CLS with 1 inside week, 50% HTF KL, Model 1
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
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AUD/USD will go upThe price has breakout the short term down trend line and stand up on the group of MAs. Guppy EMAs are processing gold cross now. MACD divergency displayed in 4 hours timeframe. It is moving up to the long term down trend channel top line area, there would be possibility to break up the down trend channel and move to North.
There would be some sideway shocking in following time, so, we could entry long in multiple positions. If the direction going wrong (continue south), it still has chance to safely close the long trades.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS The Australian Dollar rises as the Financial Times reported that the PBoC is signaling potential rate cuts this year. The AUD recovered from two-year lows as stronger commodity prices provided support, particularly Oil and Gold. The US Dollar Index corrects downwards from a new multi-year high of 109.56 reached on Thursday.
AUD/USD trades near 0.6210 on Thursday, maintaining a bearish outlook as it remains within a descending channel on the daily chart. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back above the 30 level, suggesting the potential for a near-term upward correction despite the prevailing downtrend.
The AUD/USD pair may find immediate resistance at the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6220, with the next obstacle at the 14-day EMA at 0.6244. A key resistance level is the descending channel’s upper boundary, around the psychological mark of 0.6300.
audusd 1haudusd 1h supply outside the range . clean drop base trade with nice impulse away and fair value below
AUD/USD POSSIBLE LONG MOVE!
Certainly! Here's the analysis in English:
AUD/USD Long Trading Setup Analysis
Trade Entry:
The price of AUD/USD shows signs of stabilizing, as it has failed to break through lower levels. Recent price action suggests a potential rebound, making the long position an attractive option. The market has not yet broken any significant support levels, indicating that an upward movement is more likely than continued downward pressure.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the support level around the current price seems to be holding steady. The market has failed to break the bottom, suggesting a potential bounce from this level. This presents a good opportunity to enter a long position.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
This setup offers a good risk-reward ratio (R:R). For a successful trade, it's recommended to maintain a ratio of at least 1:2, meaning for every unit of risk, we aim for a minimum of two units of profit. This provides reasonable security with significant profit potential.
Stop Loss and Risk Management:
Remember to place a stop loss at a reasonable distance from the current price level to limit potential losses in case of unexpected market moves. The stop loss should be set at a level that indicates the market has reversed its direction, should a key support level be broken. Effective risk management is crucial for successful trades.
Conclusion:
Based on the current technical indicators and the stability of the support level, it seems that a long position is a favorable choice at this point. The risk-reward ratio is solid, and with proper risk management and following the strategy, there is potential for profit.
Good luck to all traders!
AUDUSD BULLISH SHARKHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch).
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
AUD_USD SWING LONG|
✅AUD_USD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.6171
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.6224
LONG🚀
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Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6200
1st Support: 0.6181
1st Resistance: 0.6232
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AUDUSD BUY ANALYSISThis is an analysis of AUDUSD. I am expecting the pair to go bullish once it breaks the trendline i drew. The trendline is called the risk trendline, hence any break of the trendline, you should consider going long. Put your SL below the low of the pair. Goodluck
AUDUSD Scenario 1.1.2025The trade is still going according to plan, I'm just not sure if we have the SFP confirmed or not, after the SFP is set below the low, we can consider a long position, I'm still out of the market for now.
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.625 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUDUSD – Any Chance of a Rebound From 2 Year Lows?AUDUSD’s near 11% fall from late September highs at 0.6942 to the December 31st low at 0.6179 has been an extraordinary, almost one way move, where a series of broader based AUD negative factors and USD positive factors combined to create a perfect downside storm.
Those negative AUD factors include a slowdown in the economy of key trading partner China, the threat of a global trade war as Trump takes office on January 20th, and a central bank (RBA) who shifted towards a more dovish tone at their last meeting in December, although they have yet to cut interest rates, unlike other major central banks.
All this at a time the US dollar sees fresh demand after the Federal Reserve (Fed) reined in their expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025, due to resilient economic data and the uncertainty of what Trump’s pro-growth policies and spending may do to US inflation in the short term.
Now, as we look ahead to a week packed with important data points, AUDUSD traders get to digest whether the RBA could be persuaded to consider a cut to rates at their next meeting if Wednesday’s monthly CPI print comes in below expectations. They also get to evaluate the strength of the US economy with the release of Tuesday’s ISM Services PMI, alongside the four US labour market releases across the week, which culminates with the release of Non-farm Payrolls on Friday January 10th.
So, with all this to ahead of us, is there a chance of a rebound for AUDUSD from its recent 2 year lows?
What Do the Charts Show?
AUDUSD’s fall from its September highs at 0.6942 reflects an extended phase of weakness that has seen breaks of support at 0.6348/62, which were the April and August 2024 lows, then 0.6270, the October 2023 extreme. This drop has now seen AUDUSD traded at its lowest level since October 2022.
This October 2022 low stands at 0.6170 and represents a multi-year downside extreme and as such could be a key area of support. Of course, because it has held and reversed sharp declines previously, doesn’t mean it will do so again, but the closing defence of this level needs to be monitored.
Break or Hold?
Currently, this is a question that is impossible to answer until we see the support tested and gauge the following price action around this level. Here we wait for either a confirmed closing break, or signs of a hold above the support and a more extended recovery. However, it does represent an important focus for the New Year.
What Next If the Support is Broken?
This 0.6170 multi-year low represents an important support, so if it does give way on a closing basis, while very dependant of future price trends, it may result in a more prolonged phase of price weakness.
As the AUDUSD monthly chart above shows, if the 0.6170 support does give way, focus could then turn to the next important low as a potential support level. This could be marked by the 2020 Covid inspired spike low, which stands at 0.5509.
What Next If the Support Holds?
So, what could be the resistance levels to watch on the upside if the 0.6170 low holds any further selling?
The declining daily Bollinger mid-average currently stands at 0.6296, which can often hold, even reverse attempts at price strength within a downtrend, like that currently evident in AUDUSD. Closing defence of this 0.6296 resistance level should be watched, as a confirmed upside break may reflect the emergence of a more sustained period of strength, and a push to higher levels.
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Buy audusdStrong buy expected
Daily , weekly , monthly over sold pair
Big bullish correction expected from this level with min.. target of 600 pips
AUDUSD FORECASTTraders! This is another opportunity that comes ahead. When I look higher timeframe especially 4H, It gives me strong reason as to why I can look this pair with a close eye. I think we have to to be patient to see how and where price will allow us to get into it.
AUDUSD : Nxt Move For This PairHello Traders, this is how I'm watching the FX:AUDUSD for some potential longing opportunities.
Structurally, the market has struggled to break the most recently created support at the 0.6207 region and we've seen bullish structure print, so 'd be going in for a short-term buy trade.
What do you think guys ?
AUDUSD : Nxt Move For This PairHello Traders, this is how I'm watching the FX:AUDUSD for some potential longing opportunities.
Structurally, the market has struggled to break the most recently created support at the 0.6207 region and we've seen bullish structure print, so 'd be going in for a short-term buy trade.
What do you think guys ?
AUDUSD COMPLETE BUY IDEAAUDUSD,TAKE YOUR buy profit and break even,Audusd is heavly bearish and trend respecting higher time frame is likely anytime.
AUUSD Weekly Forecast
"AUUSD Weekly Forecast
Get ready for a potential swing trade!
Waiting for:
Sell-side liquidity to be taken
Stop hunt to play out
Then, we'll be looking for a LONG-TERM BULLISH reversal!
Stay tuned for updates and get ready to ride the trend!
#AUDUSD #WeeklyForecast #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis"
AUDUSD Long is the way. We have reached the very solid support level of this pair. It's time to ride the bull fam!
AUD-USD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
A strong downtrend but
The pair will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.6166 so despite
Our bearish bias we will
Be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
AUDUSD LONG SWING. SL & TP ON CHARTBeen waiting a while to take this trade, if it plays I am going to abuse it and continually add entries incrementally.
I believe we should be going into long swing reversal here I dont imagine the 0.6200 level will be breached significantly & I'm looking for a move back towards the 0.6600 areas.
Stop loss and TP are indicated on chart, but again I plan to run this trade into January considering more entries.
I believe this is a trade that could run until Easter time if plays out as expected.
Some China data coming out that could help the battered AUD.
But mostly I enter this upon price action I love this level if you go have a look at 14th Oct 2022 youll see why I am taking this trade. Look on Daily TF.
AUDUSD - LongAUDUSD Analysis - LONG 👆
In this Chart AUDUSD D1 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for AUDUSD market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BULLISH trend in AUDUSD, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
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