AUD/USD 4H – Bearish Supply Zone Rejection & Mid-Term Short BiasAUD/USD 4H – Bearish Supply Zone Rejection & Mid-Term Short Bias
The Aussie has climbed into a major supply zone near the 0.67380 – 0.67540 area, which overlaps with a historical resistance range from late 2024. Price is currently testing the upper edge of this zone, showing signs of exhaustion.
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone Reaction: The confluence of past resistance (clearly marked as 'R') and current bearish candle formations suggests a potential reversal setup.
Liquidity Grab & Rejection: The current push may be a liquidity sweep above recent highs, potentially trapping breakout buyers before a reversal.
Downside Targets:
First support area around 0.65311 – 0.65000, previously respected demand zone.
If momentum continues, extended targets lie at 0.62729, 0.60874, and 0.59206 – all aligned with previous price reactions and liquidity pockets.
📊 Trading Plan:
Bias: Short (mid-term swing)
Entry Zone: 0.67350 – 0.67540 (sell limit / wait for confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above 0.67650 (above last swing high)
Targets:
TP1: 0.65300
TP2: 0.62730
TP3: 0.60870
🧠 Risk Note:
Price has entered a high-probability reversal zone, but confirmation via bearish engulfing or lower-timeframe structure break is ideal before entering aggressively.
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUD/USD: The Rebound TradeThe Australian dollar (also known as the Aussie Battler) looks set to continue its recent bounce. Inflation is now under control and monetary easing will continue to support aggregate demand across the economy. While rate cuts are dovish, the underlying economy is still strong and, as we will explain below, the fiscal situation is shaping up better than expected. Stability is in.
The real action, though, is in the US. Unemployment is creeping up. Jobless claims are ticking higher. Existing home sales are falling. The US consumer is feeling the pinch. That puts pressure on the Fed. Rate cuts are back in the conversation. Markets are already pricing in the first move later this year. The US dollar is losing its grip.
AUD/USD recently tested its 200 day moving average and held firm. That’s more than just a technical level. It’s a psychological line in the sand. The Aussie held its ground.
There’s more. Australia’s fiscal position is likely to come in stronger than expected. Mining exports are holding up. Volumes are rising. That supports the budget bottom line and underpins the Aussie’s credibility as a resource backed currency. This is in stark contrast to most of the developed world, where peers are running large deficits.
This isn’t just about central banks. The global economy is shifting gears. China is stabilising. Industrial demand is returning. Commodity prices are finding a floor. That’s key for the Aussie. It’s still a commodity linked currency. As iron ore and copper pick up, the AUD should follow.
There’s a window here. Over the next twelve months, the AUD has room to move higher, testing the 0.7000 range. Not because Australia is booming, but also because the US is slowing. The Fed is running out of steam. That flips the dynamic. We’re moving from USD strength to USD softness.
The setup is clear. A soft landing in the US. A stable China. Commodities firming. And an RBA on hold. That’s a cocktail for AUD strength.
The bounce has just begun.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
AUDUSD Trendline Strategy AUDUSD has been on an uptrend all day on Thursday, this trend was broken during the Asian session on Friday. To confirm that the trend was broken it hit the 1H Supply Zone and retested the trend line. Right before the London session it seemed to have formed some support at the 0.65455 level then it retraced back to the 1H Supply Zone and created a large bearish engulfing candle on the 15M which also showed a double top candlestick pattern. I then entered the trade on the break of candle on the 3:15am EST engulfing candle. I placed my stop loss right above the supply zone and entered the trade with a profit target of .65270. I chose this level due to it being a strong demand level and I thought it seemed like a lot of resting liquidity was there. Although on the chart I have the profit target as .65100 I did not hold the trade that long due to me not wanted to get chopped during after the NY AM session. I'm still practicing trusting my full analysis and holding trades for the entire duration I originally project. On this chart I also drew up other demand zones in which I was expecting a large reaction at. All 3 zones played out but it did not disturb the trade because the overall trend (1H) was on a downtrend. Its important to always remember to have time frame correlation when taking trades and always remember to follow the higher timeframe trend. Personally I feel like AUDUSD will continue this downtrend and possibly gap down to .65 during either Sunday night open or sometime during the London session.
AUDUSD TRADING INSIGHT (RECAP)In this video, I invite you to join me as I delve into my thought process behind this trade and the strategies I used to manage it. I’m confident you’ll uncover valuable insights that can enhance your trading journey. If you’ve taken the same trade, I’d love to hear your experiences and thoughts in the comments section below! Your perspective could spark an engaging discussion!
AUDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6555
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6583
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6497
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/USD Coils Below Critical ResistanceThe June range is preserved heading into the close of the month with a massive outside-weekly reversal taking Aussie back into key resistance on Friday. Note that momentum is approaching the 60-level for the first time this year and a break higher alongside a breach above 6550 could fuel a substantial rally here- watch the weekly close.
Initial support rests with the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357 and is backed closely by 6290/6315- a region defined by the yearly low-week close (LWC) and the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range. Note that the median-line converges on this level over the next few weeks and we’ll reserve this threshold as our bullish invalidation level- a break / weekly close below would threaten downtrend resumption toward the next major technical consideration at 6162/79.
A topside breach / close above this key pivot zone is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance with key resistance seen at the 2019 lows near 6670. Ultimately a break above the upper parallel (blue) would be needed to suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2024 HWC / yearly open near 6795-6810 and 6900.
Bottom line: An outside-weekly reversal has covered the entire monthly range with the Australian Dollar now testing critical resistance for an eighth-consecutive week. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to the 52-week moving average IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 6550 needed to fuel the next move.
-MB
Retest of New Highs and Pullback Zone✨ By MJTrading:
Chart Overview:
AUDUSD reached a 2025 new high around 0.65600 before pulling back sharply. Price broke out of a consolidation wedge and is now retesting the prior breakout and dynamic support area.
🔹 Key Points:
Structure: Clear impulse move to new highs, followed by corrective pullback.
Support Zone: Blue box ~0.6480–0.6500 could act as a demand area if price extends lower.
EMAs: Price testing the 60 EMA (~0.6523) after losing short-term momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.65250
SL: 0.65510
TP1: 0.65000
(Please Manage your Risk)( Ideal: 1% Per Trade)
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish reaction from current EMA support or the blue demand zone.
Deeper retracement if price fails to hold above 0.6500.
💡 Note:
This chart highlights how prior consolidation and breakout zones can offer potential retest entries in trending markets.
Thanks for your time an attention...
Follow for more setups.
#MJTrading
#AUDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #TradingView #FX
AUD/USD Parallel Channel Setup – Breakout or Pullback in PlayThe AUD/USD pair is trading within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel, with consistent rejections from both the upper resistance zone near 0.6550–0.6560 and repeated bounces from the rising support area near 0.6390–0.6400. This structured price movement indicates strong channel discipline, which traders can use for high-probability breakouts or reversal plays.
The current price action is approaching the upper boundary of the resistance, and a decisive breakout here could lead to a bullish rally toward the projected target.
📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 0.6560), it will confirm a bullish breakout from the channel. Based on the height of the channel, the projected breakout target is 0.67365, which is derived by measuring the vertical distance between support and resistance and projecting it upward from the breakout point. This could signal a major trend continuation in favor of the bulls.
📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario
If the price once again gets rejected at the resistance zone, a corrective move is expected toward the support area around 0.6400. The structure suggests that unless a breakout occurs, price may continue to oscillate within the rising channel. The next bearish leg could form a lower high and test the trendline support again.
🧭 Trading Strategy Outlook
Buy Breakout Strategy:
Entry: Above 0.6560
SL: Below breakout candle
TP: 0.67365 (projected target)
Sell Rejection Strategy:
Entry: Near 0.6550 resistance
SL: Above 0.6570
TP: 0.6400 support zone
This is a neutral-to-bullish setup, with a potential for continuation if the resistance breaks with strength. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6490
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 0.6624
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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#AUDUSD 4H 📉#AUDUSD 4H Sell Setup – Bearish Shift in Play
AUDUSD has tapped into buy-side liquidity at 0.65713, triggering a sharp rejection and signaling a potential Market Structure Reversal (MSR). Price is now approaching a key Order Block (OB) zone, aligning with prevailing bearish order flow.
🔻 Sell Zone: 0.65400 – 0.65000
❌ Stop Loss: Above 0.65713 (Liquidity Level)
🎯 Target: 0.6432
This setup reflects strong rejection from premium pricing and confirmation of bearish momentum. Smart money dynamics suggest a continuation to the downside as price respects resistance and structure.
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/06/2025This week the Judas Swing strategy has delivered two clean setups on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Both trades played out beautifully, hitting their targets and ending the day with a solid +4% return (2% each), reinforcing the power of patience, structure, and sticking to the rules.
Let’s break down how each trade unfolded:
Trade 1: OANDA:AUDUSD Long — Textbook Setup
We kicked off Wednesday’s session watching OANDA:AUDUSD closely after identifying a classic Judas Swing scenario.
First, we saw liquidity swept below the previous session’s low, exactly what we’re looking for. This kind of move is crucial to the strategy, it grabs early sellers or stop orders and sets the stage for a reversal.
Right after the sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming our bullish bias. At this point, we didn’t rush in. We waited for price to retrace into our FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Patience paid off and price finally tapped into the FVG, and as soon as the entry candle closed in our direction, we executed the trade.
We risk 1% on every trade, aiming for a 2:1 reward-to-risk. After being in drawdown for a bit, price accelerated sharply and hit our target after being in the trade for 5 hours. Clean setup, clean execution, and a smooth +2% return.
Trade 2: OANDA:NZDUSD Long
OANDA:NZDUSD presented a near-identical setup. Price had been consolidating, but by the time the NY session rolled in, the stage was set.
Just like OANDA:AUDUSD , we saw a liquidity sweep at the lows, followed by a bullish break of structure, textbook Judas Swing again.
This time, the retracement into the FVG came swiftly. We executed as soon as we had confirmation on the candle close.
The trade barely hesitated, and price moved decisively in our direction, steadily climbing until our target was hit. Another +2% return, reinforcing the strategy’s strength when rules are respected
What This Week Reminds Us:
Discipline matters: We don’t chase trades. Both setups met all our checklist criteria
Patience is key: Waiting for the FVG entry and confirmation avoids emotional entries
Risk management is the foundation: With a 1% risk and 2:1 target, you only need to win half the time to be consistently profitable
When you follow a rules-based strategy like Judas Swing, you remove the guesswork and bring structure to your trading decisions.
AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?By: MJTrading
📉 AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?
The Aussie is struggling at its 2025 high, printing successive lower highs (LH) and flirting with the 60-period EMA. With momentum leaning bearish, a short opportunity opens up near 0.64878, targeting the 0.64094 support zone. Confirmation from the EMA breakdown and rejection wicks strengthens the setup. Stop-loss above 0.65285 protects against a breakout trap.
Entry: 0.64883
Stop Loss: 0.65285
TP1: 0.64500
TP2: 0.64100
#Hashtags: #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ReversalSetup #BearishBias #LowerHighs #EMARejection #ShortThePop #PriceAction
AUD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.653
Target Level: 0.647
Stop Loss: 0.657
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Aussie H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6545 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6571 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.6514 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUDUSD Ranging BullishHi there,
AUDUSD broke above (A) and formed a higher high (C). From this point, it gets interesting.
(BC) represents a full bullish range, and (n) is blocking the drop of (D). If the price falls below 0.64786, the bullish bias will be invalidated.
We have two price targets for a bias of 0.65397.
Happy trading,
K.
Not trading advice
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.64939
Profit Level 0.64393 (−0.84%)
Stop Loss 0.65091 (+0.23%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.59 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Premium Pricing at OB Rejection:
Price entered the premium zone and tapped a 1HR bearish order block, offering a clean entry for short positioning.