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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

Don't Be Too Quick To Short The DollarYes, DXY closed with a strong weekly bearish engulfing candle, in fact, the first bearish candle close in 2 months. While this is a strong indicator of what's been a highly anticipated correction lower, if price action on the daily continues to trade higher aggressively, then we may see a short term rally before price sell's off. Despite this uncertainty, I see plenty of opportunity early in the week across the board. Here's how I'm positioned after Monday's development: DXY - LONG EURUSD - SHORT USDJPY - LONG GBPJPY - SHORT AUDUSD - NEUTRAL
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
What’s Flowing: AUDUSD ShortThe AUDUSD is demonstrating a bearish breakdown, aligning with the current downward momentum. The pair has recently breached key support levels, with selling pressure increasing in the highlighted zones. Key Observations: 1. Price Action: The pair is trading below critical resistance areas, moving toward the lower bounds of the channel. 2. Bearish Momentum: Clear signs of sellers dominating, with the price rejecting upper levels and closing near session lows. Strategy: Traders looking to capitalize on this movement can monitor the following: • Short Entries: Ideal near minor pullbacks into resistance zones around 0.6480–0.6520. • Targets: Downside levels near 0.6440 and below, depending on momentum strength. • Stops: Tight stops above the 0.6520 resistance for effective risk management. Stay cautious of any reversals or macroeconomic events impacting the Australian Dollar. For more refined strategies, reach out for insights tailored to managing AUDUSD flows effectively.
Short
by moneymagnateash
AUDUSD TO 0.653000 TOMORROW??Trading Plan 1. Baseline Scenario : - Macro-Fundamental Bias Dovish. The market expects the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates, with a 66.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in December. This expectation is driven by the Fed's recent decision to lower the federal funds rate to 4.50% - 4.75% and ongoing efforts to support maximum employment and achieve the 2% inflation target. - Short Term Sentiment Bias : Dovish. Current sentiment is driven by the recent decline in the US 10-year Treasury yield to 4.2%, reflecting market expectations of further rate cuts and stability under the new Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Additionally, the PCE inflation data aligning with expectations has reinforced the view that the Fed's current policy stance is appropriate. 2. Risk Event Baseline : - Market Expectations: - ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast: 47.7 | Previous: 46.5 - ISM Manufacturing Prices: Forecast: 55.2 | Previous: 54.8 3. Surprise Scenarios : - Negative Surprise: 7If the ISM Manufacturing PMI or ISM Manufacturing Prices data come in below expectations, it could lead to further USD selling pressure. This scenario supports long positions on AUD/USD, as the AUD is likely to strengthen against a weakening USD.
Long
by Midas_Macro
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our sell entry at 0.6501, which is a pullback resistance close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6485, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be at 0.6520, a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair. Strength in the Australian Dollar The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by: - **GDP Annual Growth Rate:** Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion. - **Inflation and Employment:** Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability. These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs. The Resilient US Dollar On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates: - **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16):** Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market. - **S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.):** Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector. However, additional data from the US this week showed signs of slowing economic activity, adding pressure to the dollar: - **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2. - **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Declined to -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4. - **New Home Sales (Oct):** Slumped to 0.61M, missing expectations of 0.73M. - **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Dropped to -14, underperforming the forecast of -10. - **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by only 0.2%, below the forecast of 0.5%. - **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped sharply to 40.2, well below the expected 44. While the US economy remains stronger overall, these data points highlight areas of cooling, which tempered the dollar’s momentum. Seasonality No Longer Supportive Unlike earlier in the quarter, seasonality now provides less support for AUD/USD. As the year-end approaches, seasonal patterns often shift toward favoring the US dollar due to increased demand for liquidity and a cautious risk environment. This shift adds another layer of resistance for the Australian dollar, which typically performs better during periods of stronger global growth sentiment. Conclusion AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates. However, signs of cooling in the US economy, as reflected in recent data, have given the AUD a short-term advantage. With seasonality no longer providing support, the pair’s near-term trajectory will depend on further macroeconomic developments and risk sentiment shifts. What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
by InvestMate
AUDUSD Long Term Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
by ForexMasters2000
AUDUSD SHORT OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone! How are you all? AudUsd is a pair to watch this week, because it is shaping up very nicely for a bearish trend continuation that we can capitalize on. So, I will be looking for a sell continuation because of the following reasons: 1. The overall trend is Bearish 2. The price has formed a continuation structure. 3. The price is approaching correctively to the value area. Game Plan: If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the High, will look for a risk sell entry within the structure.
Short
by DTreasureMarketHub
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.651. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.645. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
5