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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers! Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - UK September CPI falls short of expectations at 1.7%, raising hopes for a BOE rate cut by the end of the year - Rising Trump risks contribute to dollar strength - Expectation for a 25bp rate cut by the ECB in October - Anticipation of a 25bp rate cut by the Fed in the November FOMC meeting Economic Indicators - October 17: Eurozone September CPI, ECB rate decision, U.S. September retail sales Chart Analysis AUDUSD is showing strong downward pressure near the 0.69400 level. It has currently dropped to around 0.66500, a region considered to be within the support zone. There is potential for further pressure down to the 0.66000 level, but a rebound towards the 0.69000 level is expected afterward. However, if the price breaks below the 0.66000 level contrary to expectations, I will promptly adjust the strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
1
Aussie Slide: Is AUD/USD Slipping Into the Outback?Let's get into the breakdown of AUD/USD based on the charts you're showing. Starting with the weekly chart, we can see that price is currently trading near the 0.66670 area, which is a significant level of support. This level has been tested before, and with the price currently sitting on it, we could see a potential break or bounce depending on how the market reacts. If price holds above this level, we might be looking for a reversal opportunity. However, if we break below 0.66670, the next target level would be around 0.66100, and ultimately 0.65832 for a continuation of the downtrend. Zooming in on the daily chart, we can see how the price has been steadily declining and currently hovering around that 0.66670 level. The moving averages are above the price, signaling bearish momentum. With the support being tested, it’s critical to watch how the price closes today and tomorrow. A daily close below the support will confirm bearish sentiment and could lead to further downside action. On the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, the price has already broken below 0.66771 and appears to be consolidating at the current level. There could be a short-term retracement before a potential drop, so I’m watching for a potential bounce from 0.66670 for a small corrective move before continuing lower. If we do get a break and close below this area, then a sell opportunity could be in play targeting 0.66100 or even 0.65832 by Friday. For now, I’m looking to potentially enter a sell trade if we get that break and close below 0.66670, with a possible entry around 0.66600, targeting the lower levels mentioned. As always, keep your risk in check and wait for confirmation before entering!
Short
by SheenaL
AUDUSD Short Pullback TradeAUDUSD Short Pullback Trade We rejected PDL. Created lower low, possible new local lower high to join the trend on pullback. Stop Loss above the recent high: 0.66997 Take Profit: 0.66769 1. R:R 1:1, 0.5% Risk 2. After reaching TP closing half and moving SL to Breakeven 3. Trailing the rest with market structure on M15 later H1 - Close the loser before hitting full SL if the retracement extends and the price does not confirm the anticipated reversal. - Close the winner if a reversal signal forms (e.g., engulfing pattern, pin bar), especially on higher timeframes like H1 or if momentum weakens indicated by MACD oscillator, consider closing the remaining position early to lock in profits. *No important news for AUDUSD today*
Short
by Marteyfx
AUDUSD 2024.10.16 05:15:08 Trading Signal SELL FrankPro Signal for AUDUSD Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.665895 SL: 0.6696 Entry Price: 0.66903 Flexity Analysis for AUDUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Strong Down LT=Probably Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Down FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(0) AUD/USD Pair Expectations Short-term (next few days) Key Points Expectations Resistance Area Test near 0.6775 before potentially continuing its fall below 0.6605 Moving Averages Indicate a short-term bullish trend, but broken through the bullish channel, indicating seller pressure FX Option Expiries Levels at 0.6675, 0.6730, 0.6775, and 0.6800 may influence market sentiment and price movements Expected short-term movement: Down Long-term (next few weeks/months) Overall Outlook: Cautious due to global economic uncertainties, including the situation in the Middle East and China's economic challenges RBA Interest Rates: Expected to remain unchanged at 4.35%, which could influence the AUD/USD pair Long-term Trend: Uncertain, but a strong growth and breakout above 0.6865 would suggest continued growth towards 0.7215 Expected long-term movement: Neutral (with a slight bearish bias due to global economic uncertainties) Please note that these expectations are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Down FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(1) AUD/USD Price Movement Forecast Short-term Outlook (Next Few Days/Week) The price is expected to go down. Here are the key points to consider: The technical analysis indicates a potential continuation of the fall. A test of the resistance area near 0.6775 is expected, followed by a downward price rebound to the area below 0.6605. The pair has faced renewed selling pressure, testing the 0.6700 support level. A retest of the October low of 0.6699 and the September low of 0.6622 is possible. Long-term Outlook (Month of October 2024) The price is expected to go up slightly. Here are the key points to consider: Forecast Metric Value Starting Rate (Oct 1) 0.644 Ending Rate (Oct 31) 0.662 Average Rate 0.656 Monthly Increase 2.8% Overall Outlook The short-term outlook is bearish, while the long-term outlook is slightly bullish. However, please note that market conditions and forecasts can change rapidly, and these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and data as of October 15, 2024. Result: ST=Down LT=Up FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(2) **AUD/USD Price Movement Analysis** **Short-term (next few days to a week)** Expected Price Movement The price is expected to go down. Reasons Lack of clear fiscal stimulus details from China affecting the Australian economy. Bearish breakdown below the 50 level on the RSI momentum indicator. Pair has broken through the signal lines downwards, indicating pressure from sellers. Key Levels Potential test of the resistance area near 0.6775. Downward rebound expected, with price potentially falling to below 0.6605. **Long-term (next few weeks to months)** Expected Price Movement The price is expected to stay the same or go down. Reasons Deflationary risk in China's economy affecting demand for Australian exports. Lack of specific details on new fiscal stimulus measures. Broader market sentiment remains cautious due to growing conflicts in the Middle East and rising oil prices. Key Levels Failure to hold at 0.6700 could expose the next support at 0.6600. Potential deeper correction towards 0.6360 if the 0.6600 level is breached. 200-day moving average near 0.6600 may provide some support, with price potentially stabilizing or bouncing back from this level. **Overall Assessment** The AUD/USD pair is under pressure, and the price is expected to go down in the short term. In the long term, the price may stay the same or go down, depending on the development of the economic situation in China and the broader market sentiment. Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by orbborisson
Could the Aussie reverse from here?AUD/USD is reacting off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6686 1st Support: 0.6648 1st Resistance: 0.6732 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
4
AUDUSD sellI was bullish in AUD USD last week but as i have observed the chart technically i am expecting a bearish move over the pair, AUD vs US dollar has made a move downward 👇 this week as far technical data is concerned the pair has made a falling wedge pattern a downward move is expected other confluence is 50 SMA , price is moving under the SMA which is another confluence for the price to be bearish we have observed the pair from Monthly to Weekly to Daily to H4 to H1 price is in bearish trend 📉
Short
by Wakeel_Saab