Get started

Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

AUDUSD trade ideas

Aussie H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci projectionThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6324 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6370 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% projection and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6264 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUDUSD Setup – Sell into Strength We look to Sell at 0.628 The primary trend is still bearish, and although we’re seeing a short-term bounce, rallies are likely to be capped near 0.628, which lines up with bespoke resistance and yesterday’s high. 🔽 Preferred Trade: Sell into rallies toward 0.628 🎯 Targets: First support: 0.625 Second support: 0.623 Momentum remains in favor of the bears unless price breaks above that resistance zone. We trade what we see—not what we feel.
Short
by Eleazarahmath
1
What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading?What Is an ABCD Pattern, and How Can You Use It in Trading? Are you looking to improve your trading strategy and technical analysis skills? The ABCD trading pattern may be just what you need. This tool may help you identify potential market reversals and decide when to enter a trade. Keep reading to learn more about the ABCD pattern and how to apply it to your trading strategy. What Is an ABCD Pattern? The ABCD pattern is one of the basic harmonic patterns. It gives traders an idea of where the market might reverse. Therefore, when combined with other forms of technical analysis, it may be a great addition to your trading arsenal. The ABCD pattern comprises two legs, AB and CD, and one retracement, BC, with D as an entry point. More specifically, an ABCD can be identified by: - AB Leg: A trend starts at A and makes a high or low at B. - BC Retracement: The price retraces from B to C. - CD Leg: The trend continues from C to D. - D Entry Point: Once another high or low forms and traders enter at D. These price movements create the “zig-zag” or “lightning bolt” shapes. In fact, ABCD patterns are present across every market and every timeframe. The up-down movements in financial assets represent opportunities to identify and trade ABCD patterns. Why Use the ABCD Pattern in Your Trading Strategy? Before we move on to identifying and trading the ABCD pattern, it’s worth explaining why you might want to consider using it. Here are a few reasons traders favour the ABCD pattern: - It’s one of the harmonic patterns suitable for traders of all experience levels. - It’s versatile and works for stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies*, not just forex trading. - Traders use ABCD patterns to make informed decisions about potential turning points in the market. - It can form the basis of a working trading strategy if used correctly alongside other forms of technical analysis. - It provides quite an effective risk/reward ratio if reversals are caught. How Traders Identify an ABCD Trading Pattern The first step in finding ABCDs is to look for that classic zig-zag shape. Once you’ve found one, it’s time to apply Fibonacci ratios to confirm the pattern. If you’re struggling, you can consider using pre-made ABCD pattern indicators or scanners to help your eyes get used to spotting them. The ABCD pattern requires that the BC leg is between a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, ideally between 61.8% and 78.6%. This means that if you put a Fibonacci retracement tool at A and B, C should be between 0.382 and 0.786. The second CD leg should be a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of the BC retracement. For extra confirmation, consider specifying that AB is equal to the same length as CD. While it can be tempting to start trading based on these conditions, you’ll find that, in practice, identifying point D can be trickier than it seems. That’s why traders typically use Fibonacci ratios, key levels, candlestick patterns, and higher timeframe convergence to confirm their entries, which we will touch on shortly. ABCD Pattern Examples Now that we understand how to identify the ABCD pattern, we can start applying it to real price action. Note that the ratios won’t always be perfect, so allowing for slight variability above or below the defined ratios is acceptable. Bullish ABCD Pattern For a bullish formation, the following must be present: - The AB leg should be between the high A and low B. - The BC bullish retracement should be between the low B and high C, which is below the high A. - The CD leg should be between the high C and low D. - BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%. - CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC. Additionally, you may look for AB to be an identical or similar length to CD. Entry: Traders set a buy order at D. Stop Loss: The theory suggests traders place a stop below a nearby support level or use a set number of pips. Take profit: Traders place take-profit orders at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for higher prices if they believe there’s the potential for further bullishness. Bearish ABCD Pattern The bearish ABCD chart pattern is essentially the same, just with the reversed highs and lows. As such: - The AB leg should be between the low A and high B. - The BC bullish retracement should be between the high B and low C. - The CD leg should be between the low C and high D. - BC is a 38.2% to 78.6% retracement of AB, preferably between 61.8% and 78.6%. - CD is a 127.2% to 161.8% extension of BC. You can choose to apply the same AB = CD rules in a bearish ABCD pattern if desired. Entry: Traders typically place a sell order at D. Stop Loss: A stop may be placed above a nearby resistance level or at a set number of pips. Take profit: Traders often take profits at the 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8% retracement of CD or hold for lower prices if there’s a bearish trend on a higher timeframe. ABCD Pattern Strategy A momentum-based ABCD trading strategy can help traders confirm potential reversals by incorporating indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index). This approach often adds an extra layer of confluence. Entry - Traders may wait for point D to form and for the RSI to indicate overbought or oversold conditions, typically above 80 or below 20. - Additional confirmation can be sought if there is a divergence between price and RSI, signalling weakening momentum. - Once the RSI crosses back into normal territory, it can suggest a reversal, providing an opportunity to enter the market. Stop Loss - A stop loss is often placed slightly above or below point D, depending on whether the formation is bearish or bullish, respectively. This helps potentially manage risk in case the reversal doesn’t hold. Take Profit - Traders can consider taking profits at Fibonacci retracement levels of leg CD, such as 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. - Another common target is point C, but traders may also hold the position for longer if further price movement is anticipated. Looking for Additional Confluence Given that trading the ABCDs usually relies on setting orders at specific reversal points, consider looking for extra confirmation to filter potential losing trades. Below, you’ll find three factors of confluence you can use to confirm your entries. Key Levels If your analysis shows that D is projected to be in an area of significant support or resistance, there’s a greater chance that the level will hold and the price will reverse in the way you expect. ABCD Timeframe Convergence One technique to potentially enhance the reliability of ABCD chart patterns is to check for multiple timeframes. When you identify the formation on a lower timeframe—say, the 5-minute chart—you can then look to a higher timeframe chart, such as the 30-minute or 1-hour chart to see the overall trend. If the pattern converges with the longer-term trend, it strengthens the analysis and increases the likelihood of an effective trade. Candlestick Patterns Some traders look for particular candlestick patterns to appear. The hammer and shooting star patterns are commonly used by ABCD traders for extra confirmation, as are tweezer tops/bottoms and engulfing candles. You could choose to wait for one of these candlesticks to form before entering with a market order. Common Mistakes to Avoid When Identifying an ABCD Chart Pattern Of course, ABCD patterns aren’t a silver bullet when it comes to effective trading. There are several common mistakes made by inexperienced traders when trading these types of patterns, such as: - Confusing the ABCD with other harmonic patterns, like the Gartley or three-drive pattern. - Trading every potential ABCD formation they see. It’s preferable to be selective with entries and look for confirmation. - Not being patient. ABCDs on higher timeframes can take days, even weeks, to play out. Experienced traders wait for the pattern to develop before making a trading decision. - Ignoring key levels. Instead, you could allow them to guide your trades and look for the ABCD pattern in these areas. The Bottom Line The ABCD pattern is a versatile tool that can enhance a trader’s ability to identify potential market reversals and refine their overall strategy. When combined with other forms of technical analysis, such as momentum indicators, an ABCD trading strategy can be an invaluable addition to your trading arsenal. For traders looking to apply the ABCD pattern in forex, stock, commodity, and crypto* markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of low-cost, high-speed trading across more than 600 assets. Good luck! FAQ What Is an ABCD Trading Pattern? The ABCD trading pattern is a simple harmonic pattern used by traders to identify potential market reversals. It consists of three price movements: the AB leg, BC retracement, and CD leg, with point D marking a potential entry for a reversal trade. It helps identify changes in trend direction. How Can You Use the ABCD Pattern in Trading? Traders identify the ABCD pattern by finding the characteristic zig-zag shape and using Fibonacci ratios to confirm it. Entry points are typically placed at point D, with stop losses and profit targets based on the formation’s structure. Confluence with other technical analysis tools improves its reliability. Is the ABCD Pattern Bearish or Bullish? The ABCD pattern can be either bearish or bullish. A bullish ABCD indicates a potential upward reversal, while a bearish ABCD suggests a downward reversal. The structure remains the same, but the highs and lows are reversed. What Is the ABCD Strategy? The ABCD strategy revolves around identifying trend reversals using the formation and confirming entry points through tools like Fibonacci retracements or momentum indicators like the RSI for added accuracy. *At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
1
AUD/USD Daily Time Frame (DTF) AnalysisAUD/USD Daily Time Frame (DTF) Analysis The AUD/USD pair remains in a downtrend, recently breaking below the minor key support level at 0.62900. However, after this breakdown, sellers failed to drive the price lower toward the next key support, leading to a retracement towards the minor resistance level at 0.63500. This area has formed a double top pattern, signaling potential price reversal and strengthening the bearish outlook. With price currently trading below key levels, our strategy remains focused on anticipating liquidity formation between these two minor key levels. We plan to wait for a retracement towards the previous support level before executing a sell limit order at 0.62700, with a stop-loss (SL) set at 0.63870, placed above the liquidity zone, and a take-profit (TP) target at 0.59910, aligned with the next major support level. Fundamental Outlook: Key Developments Impacting the AUD Impact of U.S. Tariffs: On April 3, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, escalating global trade tensions. This announcement triggered a sharp sell-off in risk assets, leading to a 2% decline in the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) 200 index. Export-driven stocks, such as Ansell and Breville Group, were particularly affected. In response, the Australian dollar depreciated as investors shifted toward safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and Swiss franc. (Source: Reuters) Market Volatility and Risk Aversion: The imposition of these tariffs has heightened concerns about a potential global economic slowdown, prompting investors to move away from risk-sensitive assets, including the AUD. The resulting risk-off sentiment has contributed to further weakness in the Australian dollar, as market participants continue to favor safer currency alternatives amid heightened geopolitical and economic uncertainty. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
2
Smart Money Play with Extreme POI MitigationTimeframe: 4H Risk-Reward: 4.66R (~5R) Entry Type: Smart Money Concept (SMC) Supply & Demand In this trade, I took a buy position after identifying a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe. I mapped out two Points of Interest (POIs): 1. A close POI – a nearer demand zone where I initially looked for a reaction. 2. An extreme POI – a deeper demand zone where price could mitigate before continuing bullish. Trade Progression: Initially, price tapped into the close POI but failed to hold, leading to liquidity sweep and stop-loss breach. Price then moved further down to my extreme POI, where it found strong support and reversed. A major news event on USD acted as a catalyst, driving price swiftly to my Take Profit (TP) level. Key Takeaways: ✔ Liquidity Grab: The stop hunt at the close POI cleared weak buyers before moving in the intended direction. ✔ Extreme POI Respect: Smart money often mitigates deeper institutional zones before continuing trend direction. ✔ News-Driven Volatility: The USD event accelerated price movement, hitting my TP faster than expected (~5R trade). This trade perfectly aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and liquidity dynamics, reinforcing the importance of patience and POI selection. What’s your outlook on AUD/USD for the coming sessions? Share your thoughts below! #AUDUSD #SMC #ForexTrading #Liquidity #POI #PriceAction #SmartMoney
Long
by clever_jeph
Australian dollar rally continues, Trump tariffs loomThe Australian dollar has posted strong gains for a second straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6306, up 0.47% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.10% on Tuesday, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday. The RBA statement noted that underlying inflation continued to ease in line with the Bank's forecast, but the Board "needs to be confident that this progress will continue" so that inflation remains sustainable at the midpoint of the 2%-3% target band. The statement said there was "significant" uncertainty over global trade developments, pointing to the threat of further US tariffs and possible counter-tariffs from targeted countries. The central bank's decision was made in the midst of a hotly contested election campaign, and a rate cut would likely have been attacked by the opposition parties as political interference. In a press conference after the meeting, Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the uncertainty over the global outlook due to US trade policy but sought to assure the markets by saying that Australia was "well placed" to weather the potential storm of a global trade war. US President Trump has not specifically targeted Australia with any tariffs but China is Australia's number one trading partner and a US-China trade war would inflict damage on Australia's economy. The new US tariffs are expected to be announced later today and take effect on Thursday. The financial markets remain volatile as investors look for some clarity from Washington about the tariffs, as it remains unclear which countries will be targeted and the extent of the tariff rates.
by OANDA
Falling towards pullback support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6270 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6236 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.6329 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its benchmark interest rate at 4.10%, citing uncertainties in leading economic indicators, including the impact of President Trump’s tariff policies. Markets expect the RBA to cut rates in May. - The Washington Post reported that White House staff have drafted a proposal to impose a 20% tariff on most U.S. imports. - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the European Union has the power to negotiate with the U.S. and to retaliate if necessary. - The March ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 49.0, indicating that the U.S. manufacturing sector has entered a contraction phase. Meanwhile, the February JOLTS Job Openings report showed 7.57 million job openings, missing market expectations, suggesting a gradual slowdown in the labor market. These two indicators hint at the formation of stagflation in the U.S. economy. Key Economic Events This Week + April 2: U.S. March ADP Nonfarm Employment Change + April 4: U.S. March Nonfarm Payrolls, March Unemployment Rate, Fed Chair Powell’s Speech AUDUSD Chart Analysis With the market frozen ahead of Trump's reciprocal tariffs, AUDUSD remains largely range-bound. Technically, a short-term rise to 0.63500 is likely, followed by a decline toward 0.60000. However, given potential variables, a breakout above 0.63500 is possible, which could extend gains toward 0.66000.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Potential bullish rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6261 1st Support: 0.6229 1st Resistance: 0.6322 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
AUD/USD - Sell SetupThis pair has been showing us some choppy price action for a little while now with some small price movements but we are finally starting to see some movements Higher Time frames show us a break of support as well as a breakout trade from this Liquidity Trend in the Long Term The Short Term movement Im looking for will be price respecting this Supply zone and sweeping Buy Side Liquidity before taking out our protected Low. I will then refer to my entry model before entering We currently have sellers momentum, also are below the 200 EMA Good luck to the Traders that follow
Short
by jamesibartram
AUDUSD Triangle Break Looms on Tariff RiskAUDUSD is trading inside a triangle pattern that's been forming for 83 days. A break below 0.6215 could trigger a 188-pip drop, with a 3.82 risk-reward setup. While the RBA held rates at 4.1%, upcoming US tariffs on Liberation Day may pressure the Aussie. Fundamentals and technicals align for a potential bearish move. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
AUDUSD 4h Descending ChannelAUD/USD Analysis - April 1, 2025 (1H Timeframe) Trend Overview The pair is currently in a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows—indicating a downtrend. Price has reached a strong demand zone (purple box) around 0.6240 - 0.6260, which has previously acted as support. Key Levels to Watch Support Zone (0.6240 - 0.6260) If price holds and forms bullish price action (e.g., higher low, engulfing candle), we could see a reversal to the upside toward 0.6280 - 0.6300. Bullish Confirmation: Break above 0.6260 and a close above the descending trendline. Resistance Levels: 0.6260 (Immediate resistance & trendline rejection zone) 0.6280 - 0.6300 (Major resistance if the breakout happens) Bearish Breakdown Scenario If price fails to break 0.6260 and gets rejected at the trendline, it could lead to a drop toward 0.6220 - 0.6200. Bearish Confirmation: A strong rejection from 0.6260 or a break below 0.6240. Trade Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case (Reversal / Breakout) Entry: Above 0.6260 with confirmation (trendline breakout) Target 1: 0.6280 Target 2: 0.6300 Stop Loss: Below 0.6235 🔻 Bearish Case (Continuation of Downtrend) Entry: On rejection at 0.6260 or breakdown below 0.6240 Target 1: 0.6220 Target 2: 0.6200 Stop Loss: Above 0.6270 Conclusion Watch for price action at 0.6260. A breakout = bullish move, rejection = bearish continuation. Bias: Neutral for now, waiting for confirmation.
by Forexbeats
No Rate Hike, No Mercy – AUD/USD Selling in Style!Riding the wave of bearish structure, AUD/USD continues to follow the macro trend with laser precision. After the RBA held rates steady, we’re seeing the typical post-news dump play out—fueled by the market’s disappointment and reduced sentiment. Technically, price respected the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and showed strong displacement to the downside, confirming continuation. Key Targets: 🔻 0.62311 – Minor liquidity 🔻 0.62185 – 1H Sell-side liquidity 🔻 0.61703 – Ultimate short-term sell-side target Expecting the market to bleed lower unless major fundamentals flip the bias. Until then... the trend is your bestie. DYOR 🧠📉
Short
by INSIDER_INTEL