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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea on AUDUSD. I'm anticipating lower prices towards a higher timeframe ascending trendline, after price took out buyside liquidity from a descending trendline and then displacing lower. The trendline in the image is one isolated to around these timeframes, and not the HTF narrative. Besides that, I'm basing it off a Daily iFVG and Daily -OB. First target is the most recent low that price made. Stoploss at immediate swing high, but completely possible for price to come up during a high impact news event to take out the buyside liquidity above. Either a sweep, or this idea is completely wrong. Good luck and safe trading. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
1-hr AUD/USD: Sellers are in Control The USD is exhibiting notable strength while the AUD continues to decline sharply. The presence of a Death Cross pattern—a classic bearish signal—underscores the prevailing downward momentum. This occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average, signaling sustained selling pressure. Despite the strong bearish trend, oversold conditions often attract short-term buyers. As a result, we observed a retest of immediate resistance near the 23% Fibonacci retracement level. This pullback is expected to extend further upward, potentially revisiting the 0.6533 zone, which corresponds to the critical 38% Fibonacci retracement. For traders looking to align with the broader downtrend, this higher level could present an optimal entry point, offering improved risk-to-reward opportunities. Monitoring price action around these resistance levels is key, as it provides insight into whether bearish momentum will resume after the retracement concludes.
Short
by Trendsharks
AUDUSD - Can Interim Support Offer New Short Options?20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: If you find my analysis helpful, please boost and follow me for future analysis at your service. How I see it: Anything is possible this time of year. A ton of compressed data releases today, be safe! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view. Keynote! The most important to consider always, before you leap: When you jump in the river, make sure you swim "WITH" the current.
Short
by ANROC
AUDUSD InsightHello, subscribers! It’s great to connect with all of you. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The November FOMC meeting minutes revealed that most participants deemed it appropriate to gradually reduce policy restraint, considering uncertainties surrounding the neutral interest rate level. It was confirmed that Federal Reserve members broadly support gradual rate cuts. - U.S. medium- and long-term yields have rebounded following news that Trump plans to impose an additional 25% tariff on products from Mexico and Canada, and a 10% tariff on Chinese products. - Israel announced its intention to reach a ceasefire with the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia in Lebanon. Key Economic Data Schedule - November 27: U.S. Q3 GDP, U.S. October Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index - November 28: Germany November Consumer Price Index (CPI) - November 29: Eurozone November Consumer Price Index (CPI) AUD/USD Chart Analysis The AUD/USD pair is currently moving near its lower boundary. To continue an upward trend, it is crucial to maintain the lower trendline. If a rebound occurs within this range, the price could rise to the 0.69000 level. However, if it breaks below the 0.64000 level, the outlook shifts bearish, with a potential drop extending to the 0.62000 level. If market movements differ from expectations, I’ll quickly revise the strategy.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUD/USD 1H AnalysisThe price is approaching a key resistance zone (red), where we could see sellers step in and push the price lower. However, we need confirmation before considering a short trade. ✅ What I’m looking for: Clear rejection signals at the resistance (e.g., bearish candlesticks, high selling volume). Strong confirmation that sellers are back in control. 🚨 Plan: Patience is key. Wait for confirmation before entering a short position to avoid unnecessary risk. What’s your view on AUD/USD? Let me know!
Short
by rebenga93
AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair. Strength in the Australian Dollar The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by: - GDP Annual Growth Rate: Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion. - Inflation and Employment: Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability. These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs. The Resilient US Dollar On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector. With US interest rates at 4.75%, higher than Australia’s, and diminishing prospects of immediate rate cuts, the USD continues to attract global capital. However, the dollar’s strength is moderated by seasonal trends and risk-on sentiment, which tend to favor higher-yielding and riskier assets like the AUD. Key Event Ahead for the AUD The most significant event for the Australian dollar this week will be the release of the Monthly CPI Indicator (October) on Wednesday. The market is anticipating a reading of 2.3%, which will provide crucial insight into inflation trends and the RBA’s potential policy direction. A higher-than-expected result could further strengthen the AUD by reducing expectations of future rate cuts. Seasonality and Risk-On Sentiment Seasonal patterns and a supportive risk-on sentiment are also aiding the AUD/USD pair. Investors’ appetite for riskier assets typically benefits the Australian dollar, which is closely tied to global growth and commodity markets. Conclusion AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates. The upcoming inflation report in Australia will likely set the tone for the AUD’s near-term trajectory, while broader market sentiment and seasonal trends could favor continued consolidation or moderate gains in the pair. What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
Long
by InvestMate
1