17-02-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ AUDUSD H41- Bullish Divergence followed by False Breakout. 2- Break of the Last High. 3- No Divergence against. 4- Anticipated ABCD Pattern.Longby ansfarUpdated 3
AUDUSD InsightGreetings to all subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Friedrich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and a potential candidate for German Chancellor, held a 1.5-hour meeting with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. During the discussion, they explored ways to bypass strict national debt limits and increase defense spending. - The U.S. February CB Consumer Confidence Index fell by 7 points from the previous month to 98.3, raising concerns about stagflation as it coincided with a sharp rise in 12-month inflation expectations. - ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated, "We can no longer confidently say that our policy is restrictive." Key Economic Events This Week + February 27: U.S. Q4 GDP + February 28: Germany February CPI, U.S. January PCE Price Index AUDUSD Chart Analysis As anticipated last week, after surpassing the 0.63000 level, AUDUSD climbed to the 0.64000 resistance area, where it is now facing downward pressure. If this decline is short-term, the 0.63000 level should hold. However, if it fails to do so, a further drop toward the 0.60000 level is likely. On the other hand, if an upward move breaks through the 0.64000 level, the pair may establish a new high around 0.66000.Shortby shawntime_academy1
AU Bullish Play - Multi-Timeframe Precision 4H is running bullish after breaking a major HH. I spotted an IDM, but mitigation to the 4H OB looked like it could take days or even weeks. Instead of waiting, I dropped to the 30M to hunt for bullish continuation. On the 30M, price was still pushing, but I needed refinement. Spotted a major IDM from the 2H, then dropped back to the 30M to locate near-term structure. Instead of a clear OB, order flow stepped in—wicking into refined 15M levels. That was my cue. Dropped to the 5M and waited for a clean CHoCH confirmation. Price followed through strong, locking in my entry. Now the 30M is pushing through, confirming bullish intent. TP is mapped—now it’s just execution and trade management. When you stack timeframes the right way, the market lays out the moves for you. Let’s see how this one plays out. #SMC #Forex #AUDUSD #OrderFlow #MultiTimeframeAnalysis Bless Trading!.. Longby Juicemannn0
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6324 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6301 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6373 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group. Longby VantageMarkets11
Australian dollar awaiting inflation dataThe Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August. The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%. Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band of 2%-3% but the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation. The RBA finally lowered rates last week after maintaining rates for over a year and joined most of the major central banks which are in the midst of an easing cycle. The RBA delivered a "hawkish cut" as the central bank stated it "remains cautious" on the possibility of further cuts and the markets aren't expecting a rate cut before May. The latest headache for RBA policymakers is the Trump administration which has hit China with tariffs and threatened to apply tariffs to other trading partners. This could lead to another trade war with China which would likely raise inflation and hurt China's economy. China is Australia's largest trading partner and a slowdown in China would hurt Australia's key export sector. The US releases the Conference Board consumer confidence index later today. The market estimate stands at 102.5 for January, down from 104.1 in December. The US consumer is spending, as retail sales for December rose 0.4% m/m and 5.5% annualized from November. The labor market is strong, wages are outpacing inflation and the economy is humming. This rosy picture means that the Federal Reserve isn't under pressure to lower rates and the markets aren't expecting another rate cut before June. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6331 earlier. Below, there is support at 0.6314 0.6362 and 0.6379 are the next resistance linesby OANDA3
AUDUSD Waiting For Sell On 4hr TimeframeMonthly & weekly trending the same direction Price currently heading toward weekly resistance at 0.65153 Next target will be monthly resistance at 0.66228Shortby Obreezy5Updated 2
AUDUSD 25.02.2025+Expected bullish USD month-end flows; investment curbs on China +Seasonality -COT Shortby Cherry940
This is a 4-hour chart of AUD/USD with key technical levels and Market Analysis Structure & Trend: The market previously broke structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling an uptrend. However, the price is now retracing toward a demand zone (gray area), possibly forming a higher low for continuation. Key Levels: Support (Demand Zone): 0.63250 – 0.63050 Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.64500 Liquidity & Order Blocks: Buyers may step in at the demand zone (0.63250 - 0.63050). Sellers will be active at 0.64500 if price reaches resistance. 📊 Trade Setup Recommendations ✅ Buy Setup (Long Position) 📍 Entry: 0.63250 (First level) or 0.63050 (Deeper pullback) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.64000 ⛔ Stop Loss: Below 0.62800 📌 Trade Idea: Wait for bullish confirmations (engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support). If price reacts strongly at 0.63250, enter with confidence. ❌ Sell Setup (Short Position) 📍 Entry: 0.64500 (Major Resistance) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.63250 ⛔ Stop Loss: Above 0.64700 📌 Trade Idea: If price rallies and rejects the 0.64500 zone with bearish price action, short it. Look for BOS confirmation and bearish engulfing candles. 📢 Final Thoughts If 0.63250 holds, the market is bullish → Look for buys. If price breaks 0.63250, expect further downside → Avoid longs. Best setup: Buy at demand zone (0.63250) or short from 0.64500.Shortby forexcitysignal0
Analyzing the Australian Dollar: A Bearish Outlook for AUD/USDRecent developments in the Australian economy, particularly the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to trim its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, have sparked discussions among traders and analysts regarding the future trajectory of the Australian Dollar (AUD), especially in relation to the US Dollar (USD). This move, while anticipated, has implications that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. RBA Rate Decision: Implications for AUD The RBA's decision to cut the interest rate signals a cautious stance towards Australia's economic conditions. Although the RBA specified that this rate reduction should not be interpreted as the onset of a broader easing cycle, the act of lowering rates typically suggests underlying concerns about economic growth and inflation. Lower interest rates can diminish the attractiveness of a currency, as they often lead to lower yields on assets denominated in that currency. In the current environment, where other central banks may be maintaining or raising rates to combat inflation, the RBA’s rate cut could position the AUD unfavorably against its peers. Traders may interpret this move as a reflection of economic weakness, prompting a more bearish sentiment toward the AUD in the forex market. Technical Analysis: AUD/USD Supply Area and COT Report Recent technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD pair has triggered a supply area, aligning with insights from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report. The COT report illustrates that retail traders are predominantly holding long positions on the AUD, suggesting a potential mismatch between retail sentiment and market dynamics. When retail traders are heavily long, it can sometimes signal exhaustion in upward momentum, setting the stage for a bearish reversal. Furthermore, forecasting models indicate the possibility of an emerging bearish trend for the AUD/USD pair. Given these elements confluence—the RBA’s rate cut, the transition into a supply area on the charts, and the current positioning of traders—the market may be primed for a bearish impulse. In conclusion, the AUD appears to be facing headwinds in the near term. The recent rate cut by the RBA, coupled with retail traders’ long positions and our forecasting indicators suggesting potential bearish momentum, paints a challenging picture for the Australian Dollar. Traders should remain vigilant and prepared to act on signals that suggest a continuation of this bearish trend. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.Shortby FOREXN17710
Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6323 1st Support: 0.6260 1st Resistance: 0.6402 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party. Longby ICmarkets3341
AUDUSD Downtrend to be continued??Hi Trade Lovers!!! Does anyone see the chart as I do? If we have a look on Weekly chart, and if we assume that our lines are valid, AUDUSD gonna be in a downtrend for a few weeks or a couple month, TARGETING 0.55000... Shortby MJElahifx3
AUDUSD SHORTPrice has breakout support and retrace. looking for sell signal from this CCY pair. waiting at 50% & 75% fibo level and will wait for a 2nd signal. if the price go before 2nd signal it will consider as miss trade. dont worry wait for another setup as my mentor always says there will be always a next time. Shortby AzrinJamaludin1
AUDUSD H4AUDUSD TF H4 The price is still moving in an uptrend and is currently starting to form a new swing low. You can take advantage of the buy opportunity with the setup: SL: 0.63496 TP: 0.64436 Disclaimer ON! Remember to keep setting risk limits and maintaining money management.Longby DozeUpdated 2
AUDUSD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH Entry at Daily AOi Weekly Rejection at AOi Daily Rejectiion at AOi Previous Structure point Dally Around Psychological Level 0.63500 H4 EMA retest H4 Candlestick rejection Rejection from Previous structure Levels 5.36 Entry 90% REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability : Manage Your Risk : Be Patient : Every Moment Is Unique : Rinse, Wash, Repeat! : Christ is King. Longby mobbie_zwUpdated 2
AUDUSD wave structure analysis at 15 min 1 hour time frame1H swing is bullish. M15 swing is bearish => current is pullback. we can look for selling opportunities in this area according to the bearish structure of M15 time frameby quangcttnUpdated 0
AUD_USD LONG FROM SUPPORT| ✅AUD_USD will soon retest a key support level of 0.6320 So I think that the pair will make a rebound And go up to retest the supply level above at 0.6380 LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ Longby ProSignalsFx113
AUD-USD Potential Long! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUD-USD is trading in a Local uptrend and the pair Will soon hit a horizontal Support level of 0.6311 From where we will be Expecting a local Bullish rebound Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Longby TopTradingSignals112
AUDUSD What Next? BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.6361 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6376 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Longby AnabelSignals115
Buy AUDUSDPrice pulled back to the trendline and has rejected it. Bullish momentum no apparent on the 4hr candleLongby Jasdp1
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this Pair, we are expecting a continuation of trend to the upside, from the H4, price is hitting an area of structure which is in align with the D1 trend, also on the DXY, we expect more push to the downside, as the trend on the DXY is still BEARISH,we got a lower TF entry within the structure and we took the trade, Update will be giving in the UPDATE SESSION. Thank YOU.Longby LOVEGODFX2Updated 4
AUDUSD: How to Draw Quarter's Theory LevelsThe Quarter’s Theory , popularized by Ilian Yotov, is based on the idea that the market moves in predictable 25, 50, and 100-pip increments. When applied to AUD/USD, these psychological price levels become crucial for identifying potential reversals and breakouts. Current Market Outlook AUD/USD is currently trading near a key quarter level, indicating a potential reaction zone. The pair is hovering around 0.6500, a psychological price barrier that often serves as support or resistance. If buyers step in, the next upside target is 0.6750, while a break lower could send prices to 0.6250. How to Trade It Aggressive traders can look for confirmations near quarter levels and enter trades with tight stops. Conservative traders might wait for a breakout and retest before committing. Combining Quarter’s Theory with Renko charts can help filter out noise and confirm strong trends. Will AUD/USD Hold or Break? Quarter’s Theory gives traders a structured way to navigate price movements. Whether AUD/USD holds or breaks through the current quarter level will determine the next significant move. Are you watching these levels? Drop your thoughts below!Education10:04by TLTurnerTV2
Aud/UsdLooking at the chart, we can see that this pair is losing momentum and it's preparing to fall even further. sentiment is neutral medium term, on the 4h chart though it has broken and fallen below its trendline which is bearish. Watch the chart carefully and prepare to short were possible.Shortby SenzoWethu3
AUD/USD NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern.... Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER Stop lost before pattern R/R %1/%3 Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalpingLongby xavi_m592