Collective Confluence among USD majors = USD strengthAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
AUDUSD H4 | Rising toward the Fibo extensionBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 0.6390, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.6518, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6263, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Weekly Analysis for AUD/USD📊 Weekly Analysis for AUD/USD
🔍 Technical Outlook by Shaker Trading
✅ Reasons for the Bearish Outlook:
Descending Price Channel:
The pair is clearly moving within a downward channel, reflecting continued bearish pressure in the medium to long term.
Overbought Signals on Indicators:
Both RSI and MACD are showing overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal from current levels.
Strong Supply Zones:
Price has entered into major supply zones that are likely to act as resistance and push the price downward.
📌 Trading Idea:
As long as the price remains below the supply zone and inside the descending channel, the bearish bias remains valid.
Best sell opportunities are expected from the upper resistance areas highlighted on the chart.
🔥 Copy Trading for Free
Follow pro strategies and trade smarter – all for free with our Copy Trading service. No fees, no subscriptions.
AUDUSD: Consolidation Near Key ResistanceIn the previous analysis, the decline toward the 0.60 support was accurately predicted, followed by a rebound from the identified zone. After a sharp rally, a corrective move is not unexpected. With the price now approaching the 0.64 supply zone, a pullback toward 0.63 or lower is likely. However, if the 0.64 resistance is broken, the next bullish target would be 0.65, as illustrated in the chart scenario.
AUDUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis second chart is for AUD/USD (30-minute timeframe) and shows a bearish harmonic pattern, likely pointing to a short (sell) trade setup.
Here’s the breakdown:
Red Arrows: Mark resistance levels and potential pattern completion—suggesting a short entry.
Green Zone: Ideal entry area for selling.
Blue Path: Projected price decline after completing the pattern.
**
AUDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN
## 🔥 AUD/USD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 **Date**: April 22, 2025
🆔 **PLAN ID**: AU22APR25-ID
🔒 **Format**: Institutional 0.001% Precision
---
### **Trade Plan Overview**
| Plan ID | Type | Direction | Confidence | R:R | Status |
|---------------|-----------|-----------|------------|------|------------------|
| AU22APR25-ID | Intra-Day | Sell | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 85% | 2.5:1| Awaiting Conf. |
**Guidance**: Tactical bearish Intra-Day continuation within H4 exhaustion and D1 rejection zone. Strong short-term downside interest. Monitor London/NY session for entry.
---
### 🔻 Primary Trade Plan: Intra-Day – Continuation (Sell)
📈 **Market Bias & Trade Type**
- **Bias**: Bearish 📉
- **Trade Type**: Continuation (Intra-Day)
🔰 **Confidence Level**
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (85%)
**Reason**:
- H1 BOS + OB rejection near 0.6435
- 50%–61.8% Fib pullback into OB
- Volume spike at lower high
- Sentiment Score: +7/10 (Retail 72% long AUD/USD, USD strength from DXY)
- D1 rejection from previous structural highs
- H4 signs of exhaustion after impulse
**Breakdown**: OB 30%, Fib 20%, Sentiment 17%, Volume 13%, USD strength 5%
📌 **Status**:
Price approaching zone (~0.6395); waiting for rejection pattern.
---
📍 **Entry Zones**
🟥 **Primary Sell Zone**:
**0.6415 – 0.6435** (H1 OB + Fib zone)
🟧 **Secondary Sell Zone**:
**0.6440 – 0.6450** (H1 FVG, liquidity grab above highs)
---
❗ **Stop Loss**
**0.6460** (Above OB wick + 1x H1 ATR, 65 pips risk)
🎯 **Take Profit Targets**
🥇 **TP1**: 0.6380 (35 pips, 1:0.5 R:R, minor reaction zone)
🥈 **TP2**: 0.6350 (85 pips, 1:1.3 R:R, clean liquidity pool)
🥉 **TP3**: 0.6300 (135 pips, 2.5:1 R:R, prior swing low – optional)
📏 **Risk:Reward**
TP2: 1.3:1
TP3: 2.5:1
---
🧠 **Management Strategy**
- **Risk**: 0.5% of $10,000 ($50, ~0.12 lots)
- SL to breakeven +10 pips after TP1
- TP1: 70% partial
- TP2: 30% partial
- TP3: Optional trail if risk-off momentum increases
- **Exit**: Invalidate if H1 bullish BOS or major USD weakness
- **Total Portfolio Risk**: 0.5% of 2% total
---
⚠️ **Confirmation Criteria**
- H1 bearish engulfing / pin bar in zone
- Volume spike (M30)
- Optional: RSI divergence (M30)
- **Best Entry**: London or NY open (2–5 AM or 8–11 AM PDT)
- **Avoid**: Risk events (FOMC April 23)
---
⏳ **Validity**
H1 plan: Valid for next 12–18 hours (expires April 23, 2025, 1 PM PDT)
❌ **Invalidation**
Close above 0.6460, bullish H1 BOS, or strong risk-on surge
---
🌐 **Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot**
- **COT**: USD positioning stable
- **DXY**: Bullish continuation above 106.20
- **Retail Sentiment**: 72% long AUD/USD (contrarian bearish)
- **Cross-Pair**: NZD/USD and GBP/USD showing similar rejection
- **Cross-Market**: S&P 500 stalling, VIX holding above 20 = risk-off
- **Macro**: FOMC risk ahead, USD demand increasing
- **Sentiment Score**: +7/10
- **Historical**: H1 OB continuation setup = 78% win rate
---
📋 **Final Trade Summary**
Intra-Day bearish continuation from 0.6415–0.6435 zone, targeting recent reaction lows. Aligned with D1 rejection and H4 slowdown. Enter only with clean H1 rejection, preferably during London/NY session.
---
AUD/USD H4 AnalysisAfter multiple rejections of 0.5950, we saw a huge stimulus of buying which has now taken price up to the 0.6400 zone.
We have recently seen rejections in this area, and what is noticeable is that the most recent price action appears to be slowing down, with the higher highs and lows not significantly advancing.
Is this a sign to exit any buy positions and anticipate sells?
This is an idea of what may happen. You should always trade with a well tested and profitable trading strategy using good risk management.
Long trade
15min TF Overview
📈 Buyside Trade – AUDUSD
🗓 Date: Thursday, 22nd April 2025
🕖 Time: 7:10 AM (New York Time)
📊 Session: London Session AM
⏱ Structure Timeframe: 1 Hour
📉 Entry Timeframe: 5 Minutes
🔹 Entry Price: 0.64045
🔹 Take Profit: 0.64381 (+0.52%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.64015 (-0.05%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 11.2
🧠 Trade Rationale & Execution Notes: (Market Context)
This setup aligned with the ongoing bullish momentum visible on the 1-hour structure. Price had recently swept short-term liquidity and returned into a fresh demand zone, indicating potential accumulation.
5min TF Overview
AUDUSD - Short IdeaAUDUSD - Possible short on the currency pair.
The pair has broken a ascending trend twice, last week once, and yesterday again. The pair is busy re-testing and filling sell orders. I would suggest to take profit at the daily open price, but I do believe it will melt down even more. RR1:2
Happy Trading
ASRIELFX
AUDUSD INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 0.6355AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6470 – initial resistance
0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Short AUDUSDA stellar run higher on AUDUSD, currently on its 10th day higher from the last pivot. A confluence of indicators and trendline intersections makes AUDUSD a decent short at 0.6420-0.6470 zone. 50% Fib retracement level from the fall from Sept 2024 highs. 200-day Moving Avg at 0.6470. Downsloping parallel channel - the top has hit (only the second hit, suggesting a pull-back). Bearish RSI divergence. How many more signals does one need?! Initial target is 0.6200, but likely a move to the bottom of the channel - around 0.5850
AUDUSD BULLISH WEAKNESS BUILDING UP#AUDUSD currency pairs showing early formation of bullish Upthrust weakness which could activate a rounded top chart pattern as seen in the image. The transformation of the bearish pattern would aid bearish sentiment to build up aggressively on the pairs. The pattern is forming at a major key-level structure detected from the weekly time-frame.
What can you see on your #audusd price chart?
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is reportedly considering lowering the general tariff rate on Chinese imports from 145% to 50–60%, while also applying differentiated tariffs of 35% and over 100% based on national security concerns.
- U.S. President Trump stated that he plans to exempt certain auto parts from tariffs.
- In peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine held in the U.K., the U.S. reportedly proposed terms that included freezing current territorial lines, recognizing Russia’s annexation of Crimea, and banning Ukraine from joining NATO. Ukraine strongly opposed these proposals.
Key Economic Event This Week
+ April 24: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After rising to the upper boundary of an overlapping resistance zone, the pair is now showing downward movement again. If it breaks below the 0.63000 level in this decline, a bearish trend would be confirmed, and the next target low would be around the 0.60000 level. However, if the pair fails to break through the 0.63000 level, the likelihood of a rebound increases, in which case a new strategy will be formulated.