AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6555
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6583
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6497
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade
📍 Pair: AUDUSD
📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025
🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📉 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.64939
Profit Level 0.64393 (−0.84%)
Stop Loss 0.65091 (+0.23%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.59 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Premium Pricing at OB Rejection:
Price entered the premium zone and tapped a 1HR bearish order block, offering a clean entry for short positioning.
Bullish momentum to rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6457
1st Support: 0.6388
1st Resistance: 0.6546
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD – Type 2 AUTH Sell Setup (Weekly Bias | Tight Execution)Price is rejecting from a precision-based Type 2 Area of Liquidity (AOL) — a textbook scenario under the AUTH model, backed by higher-timeframe direction.
Breakdown
• Bias: Weekly momentum remains bearish with clean lower highs and fresh structure breaks
• AOL Type 2: Price taps into refined supply zone within premium, mid-volume zone — no excess, no noise
• Execution: Entry confirmed on lower timeframes after micro shift or rejection wick
• Stop Loss: 7 pips only — precise risk, nothing emotional
• Target: Continuation into inefficiency zones and previous internal demand
• Invalidation: Close above AOL structure – no hesitation, no negotiation
Disclaimer: This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management and trade responsibly.
AUDUSD Eyes Further Upside After BreakoutAUDUSD has confirmed a breakout above both the descending trendline and EMA confluence (34 and 89), with the price now stabilizing above a strong support zone near 0.6478. This zone also aligns with the breakout retest and trendline flip, reinforcing it as a bullish base.
With price holding above this key structure, the path of least resistance remains to the upside. The immediate target lies near the 1D resistance at 0.6571. If bullish momentum persists, a continued move toward higher highs could follow.
As long as price stays above 0.6478, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Trade Idea: Sell AUDUSD (Short-Term Weakness Setup) **📉 Trade Idea: Sell AUDUSD (Short-Term Weakness Setup)**
**Bias:** 🔻 Bearish (Short-Term) | ⚖️ Medium-Term Neutral
**Idea:** Aussie looks shaky — and USD weakness isn’t enough to carry it higher right now
---
### **💡 Why Sell?**
**🇦🇺 AUD Struggling:**
* RBA cut rates to 3.85% and left the door wide open for more 🔓
* China slowdown = bad news for Aussie’s export-linked economy 🐉📉
* Mixed commodity prices (iron ore stable, but others lagging) = no strong support 🛢️⛏️
* Market leaning bearish — rising net shorts and soft sentiment 🧊
**🇺🇸 USD Weak But Still Present:**
* Fed is pausing, not panicking — still no full shift to dovish 🧘
* Real yields down, but not crashing → USD not collapsing 💵
* Safe-haven demand quiet but intact = mild USD cushion 🛡️
---
### **📊 Technical Feel (Not Precise Levels, Just Chart Logic):**
* **Lower highs forming:** Price keeps failing to make new pushes up — structure bending 🧱
* **Weak rallies:** Bulls trying, but no follow-through — candles fading fast 🎈
* **Price hovering near a breakdown zone:** Feels like a floor’s about to give way ⛳
* **Momentum flattening:** RSI & MACD both soft — energy’s draining ⬇️
* **Small body candles stacking:** Choppy indecision = no conviction from buyers 📉
* **Volume light on up-moves:** Nobody’s chasing — a bad sign for continuation 📭
---
### **⚠️ Invalidation Clue:**
> If bulls step in hard with strong green candles and wide ranges → stand aside 📛
> But unless they do, short-term drift lower looks more likely
---
### **🎯 Summary:**
AUDUSD looks unmotivated. AUD is soft across the board, and USD doesn’t need to be strong to take advantage.
If momentum stays weak, this pair likely **grinds lower** before finding any real support.
AUDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6464
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD Ranging BullishHi there,
AUDUSD broke above (A) and formed a higher high (C). From this point, it gets interesting.
(BC) represents a full bullish range, and (n) is blocking the drop of (D). If the price falls below 0.64786, the bullish bias will be invalidated.
We have two price targets for a bias of 0.65397.
Happy trading,
K.
Not trading advice
AUDUSD Potential Long - Dependent on PA Market openAUD/USD Long Setup – 15M Chart Analysis
Looking at a potential long on AUD/USD after price tapped into demand and swept liquidity. The area aligns with a fair value gap and previous order block, suggesting interest from larger players.
Two Entry Options:
1. Aggressive: Buy limit at the order block (riskier, no confirmation).
2. Conservative: Wait for break of structure, then retest into FVG with bullish price action for confirmation.
Targets:
Target 1: 0.6470
Target 2: 0.6480
Target 3: 0.6490
Extended Target: 0.6530 (only if 0.6490 is breached and price holds above)
Important Notes:
This setup is forecast-based and depends on how price opens and reacts.
Entry should follow a clear confirmation, especially after a liquidity sweep.
Ideal confirmation: Break of structure followed by a retest with bullish PA on lower timeframes (M5/M1).
Invalidation: A clean break and close below 0.6430 would invalidate this idea.
Stay disciplined. Trade the plan, not the prediction.
AUSSIE BANK ROBBERY: AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmed!🔥 AUD/USD BANK HEIST: The Ultimate Bullish Robbery Plan (Thief Trading Style) 🔥
🌟 ATTENTION, MONEY MAKERS & MARKET ROBBERS! 🌟
💸 MISSION BRIEF:
Based on Thief Trading Style (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re executing a bullish heist on AUD/USD ("The Aussie")—time to steal those pips like a pro!
📈 ENTRY STRATEGY (The Heist Begins!)
Long Entry Trigger: Wait for Dynamic Resistance MA crossover + candle close above 0.65300 (bullish confirmation).
Pro Tip: Use Buy Stop orders above MA or Buy Limit orders on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe).
🔔 SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout—alert up, gloves on!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Protect Your Loot!)
"Yo, rookie! 🗣️ If you’re entering on breakout, DO NOT set SL before confirmation!
📍 Thief SL Placement: Nearest 4H swing low (0.64800)—adjust based on your risk, lot size, & trade multiples.
⚠️ Warning: Deviate at your own peril—your risk, your rules!
🎯 TARGET (Cash Out & Run!)
Take Profit Zone: 0.65800
Scalpers: Long-only plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave—big money moves require patience!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Know Why We Robbin’!)
Bullish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, sentiment shifts.
🚨 Breaking News Alert: Avoid high-impact news spikes—trail SL or stay out!
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
Hit 👍 LIKE, 🔄 SHARE & 🚀 BOOST—strengthen the robbery squad! More heists = more profits!
🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED! 🐱👤
Looking for buy AUDUSD I'm analyzing AUDUSD, and on the 4-hour timeframe, the overall market is in an uptrend. In the 1-hour timeframe, a minor downtrend has been broken, and the price looks ready to align with the overall uptrend. If the market comeback for retest that strong support then I’ll look for entry.
AUDUSD – Swing Point Failure Sell Setup (AUTH Model)AUDUSD just rejected from a significant swing point — not by accident, but through exhaustion. Price tapped into residual liquidity, failed to break continuation structure, and is now reverting to the dominant bias.
Market Breakdown
• Swing Failure: Price attempted to reverse at a key swing high but failed to hold. This is not a pause — it’s a confirmation of bearish control
• AUTH Context: Liquidity was swept above the swing, triggering a sell-side response
• Structure: Clean rejection wick + lower timeframe shift confirms bearish entry logic
• Bias: Weekly and H4 remain bearish, with price likely to return toward value and imbalance zones
Execution Logic
• Entry: After confirmation (internal structure break or supply wick)
• Invalidation: Hold above the failed swing = setup void
• Target: Move into inefficiency, previous demand zones, or deeper support structure
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his testimony before the House, responded to a question regarding Governor Christopher Waller’s suggestion of a possible July rate cut by stating, “There are a range of possible paths. It’s a possible scenario.” However, the overall tone of the testimony emphasized a wait-and-see stance.
- While there was some noise around the Israel-Iran conflict, it has been confirmed that a ceasefire was agreed upon. The Israeli side stated, “The focus will shift back to Gaza. We will bring the hostages home and dismantle the Hamas regime.”
- Due to the effects of de-dollarization, Australia’s bond market is gaining attention, and Australian government bond yields are on a downward trend.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 25: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a brief pullback, the AUD/USD pair fell to the 0.64000 level but rebounded from that support zone and is now showing an upward trend. A gradual climb is expected to continue, with the anticipated high near the 0.69000 level. However, there is minor resistance around the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a short-term decline, so caution is advised.
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6497
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6510
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6512
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6487
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6455
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6513
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025
Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction)
Timeframe: 2H
🔍 Market Overview:
AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point.
✳️ Technical Structure:
🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555)
🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May
🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense
🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression
🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario):
Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing
Entry: 0.6465–0.6475
Stop: Below 0.6440
Target 1: 0.6515
Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge)
R/R: ~2.0+
🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario):
Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection
Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest
Stop: Above 0.6480
Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone)
Target 2: 0.6300
R/R: ~2.5+
The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict.
Zoom in:
Please Manage Your Risk...
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