AUDUSDPotential of a short opportunity.
- retested and retracted from supply zone.
- double top
- bearish engulfing candles
- change to a downtrend
AUDUSD trade ideas
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution
AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal
Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger.
As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold.
Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy:
Entry: 0.64007
Stop Loss: 0.63907
Take Profit: 0.64207
The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit
NZDUSD: Same Script
If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs.
Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts.
This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay.
Entry: 0.59002
Stop Loss: 0.58902
Take Profit: 0.59202
We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades
These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets:
- We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap
- We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation
- We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker
Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
Looking to go short on this trade Reason to take short is because the market conditions shows me a signal to take my trade after a beautiful M FORMATION formed after the new York opener
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Market POTENTIAL Short EntryThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD facing resistance near the 0.6450–0.6460 area, marked by a lower high under the descending red trendline. After a breakout from the triangle pattern, price showed strength but failed to sustain above the swap zone. Now it's forming a potential lower high setup, suggesting weakening momentum. If price fails to clear resistance, it could rotate back toward 0.6412 support and below.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection near 0.6450
Buy zone: 0.6412
Target: 0.6368
Buy trigger: reclaim of 0.6460 with strong bullish candles
💡 Risks
A break above the descending trendline would shift structure bullish.
U.S. dollar weakness could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Data surprises may cause sharp volatility spikes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 0.6355AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6470 – initial resistance
0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
CAUTION 50'EMA NOT ON SIDE AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25CAUTION 50'EMA NOT ON SIDE AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA forecasting rejection
✅Daily 50 EMA target
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD Sell Setup- look for EU buy
- enter only if entry setup given
- refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you have the strategy
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Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump is strongly pushing for the passage of a “mega bill” that includes massive tax cuts, despite opposition within the Republican Party. This is heightening concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit.
- Amid these concerns, the yield on the 20-year U.S. Treasury bond was set at 5.047% in a $16 billion auction, triggering a “Sell USA” phenomenon.
- During the G7 finance ministers meeting, which runs through May 22, the U.S. and Japan are reportedly planning to hold currency discussions. There is speculation that the U.S. may pressure Japan to strengthen the yen.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Despite increased U.S. dollar volatility and the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cuts, AUDUSD volatility remains largely unchanged compared to last week. However, after breaking through resistance recently, the long-term outlook suggests potential for a rise toward the 0.69000 level. As long as the support level at 0.63000 holds, we maintain a bullish view.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAudUsd is currently BULLISH on all higher time frames. Price came back down into a higher time frame HL with structures flipping back bullish on the 15m time frame supporting the overall bullish trend. I've decided to go long on this pair with price giving a bullish engulfing candle after retesting the structure flip. If all goes well price could tap back into the higher time frames high and potentially create a new high. I'll be looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how price moves.
AUD/USD Sentiment Sours (But There May Better Shorts)Asset managers increased their net-short exposure last week - and as these are 'real money' accounts, they are a group of traders worth listening to. But as always, timing as key, and there may be better setups for bears than AUD/USD over the near term. Today I pick out for AUD crosses to consider.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
AUDUSD Testing Resistance—Clean Setup, Clear RiskPrice is approaching a familiar resistance zone and showing signs of exhaustion. I’m positioned for a short here, with a tight stop above recent highs. If price rejects cleanly, I’ll be targeting a drop back toward the moving average zone below.
Risk-to-reward lines up. Now we wait to see if the reaction holds.
AUDUSD Losing Bullish StrengthHi there,
AUDUSD appears stagnant around the 0.64556 level, which keeps the price confined within a bearish range.
The low point at 0.63928 supports bullish momentum toward the current high, but that high is losing bullish strength.
I anticipate a bearish continuation down to 0.64046, with a target bias of 0.63561.
Happy trading! Hope you have a great and fruitful week.
K.
Not trading advice
AUD's appeal boosted by rallying metals and yuan Following the dovish RBA rate cut on Tuesday, the AUD/USD has bounced back. The US dollar has fallen across the board, while the Aussie has been boosted by rallying prices of precious metals and a firmer yuan.
While equity markets have been relatively subdued, the commodities space has seen some notable action — particularly in precious metals. Platinum and palladium have each surged more than 10% this week, while silver is showing renewed strength after breaking out of a prolonged consolidation phase and climbing above its bearish trend line. Gold is also on the move, rising for the third consecutive session and reclaiming the $3,300 level.
With the AUD being sensitive to metals prices, this is clearly a bullish signal.
The AUD/USD itself has been consolidating its recent gains, as it potentially gears up for a breakout. Today it has more than made up for yesterday's mild losses that were driven in part by a dovish RBA. With resistance at 0.6460 broken, the AUD/USD could be heading to 0.6500 and beyond in the days ahead. Watch out for a breakout in this pair.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
AUDUSD pair moving to bullish trend sooonAUDUSD chart showing divergence and I am taking my trade after candles created double bottom and I am booking my trade.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is currently sitting at a level that price has respected before. 15m shows price flipping from bullish to bearish but than flips back to bullish. I'll need to see the break and retest below 64370 in order to execute shorts on this pair. That would confirm price respecting the level of resistance once more and expect price to tap back into 63900. We'll see what happens.
IF THE SHOE FITS... AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSDascending channel with a three touch structure ..first touch middle section and the last touch to complete the move.
possibility of uptrendIt is expected that after some fluctuation and correction, the resistance level will be broken and the upward trend will continue.
If the price breaks the support levels and the support trend line, the continuation of the downward trend will be likely.
AUDUSD 15M 1: Bearish Divergence
2: Strong Resistance zone on 2H Timeframe.
3: Risk Reward Ratio 1:1
4: Entry point based on Cambist 15M
5: We could see an short term Downtrend
6: Stoploss placed above the Resistance zone
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AU WAITING GAMEWill see how this one plays out. I believe we could start to see bullish push from the monthly support marked in blue. This should hold strong for longs.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6433
1st Support: 0.6391
1st Resistance: 0.6458
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