AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD READY FOR MARJOR BREAKDOWN ? The Aussie dollar is trading right below a major supply zone (0.64796 area) and showing signs of exhaustion after multiple failed attempts to break higher. This is a textbook distribution phase, often preceding a significant drop.
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Supply Zone: 0.64796 (Heavy rejection seen multiple times)
🔹 Mid-Level Support: 0.62210
🔹 Major Demand Zone: 0.59468 – 0.60000 (POI + high volume node)
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price fails to reclaim the supply zone, we may see a move to:
1. 0.62210 – minor support, likely to break on high momentum
2. 0.59468 – high-interest demand area + visible range support
📉 Confluence Factors:
Price trapped in a range under supply
Weak bullish momentum after previous rally
Red arrows suggest next bearish impulse targets
Demand visible via LuxAlgo’s Volume Profile + Order Block
USD strength likely from upcoming U.S. data (NFP, CPI news ahead 📅)
---
🎯 Trading Plan:
🧨 Break & Retest below 0.64000 = Sell confirmation
🎯 TP1: 0.62210
🎯 TP2: 0.59468
🚫 SL: Above 0.64800 zone
---
📌 Risk Management is key – wait for confirmations like strong bearish candle close or volume spike on breakdown. Don’t rush entries.
💬 What do you think? Will the bears take control or will bulls defend this zone again?
📊 Drop your analysis below and don’t forget to like & follow for more FX setups!
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #ForexTrading #LuxAlgo #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BearishSetup
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that “he received reports that the EU has reached out to quickly schedule talks,” calling it “a positive development.”
- The Japanese yen strengthened as speculation grows that the Ministry of Finance may reduce the issuance of long-term government bonds.
- The U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index came in at 98, significantly beating market expectations of 87.1.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Core PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is currently showing limited movement between the 0.64000–0.65000 range, suggesting a wait-and-see market stance. However, as higher lows are being formed, a potential upward trend appears likely. The projected resistance level is around 0.69000. Unless the price breaks below the support line at 0.63000, we will continue to view the outlook as bullish.
AUD/USD Coiling for Breakout as Wedge Tightens Below 200-day SMAAUD/USD is threatening a breakout from a bullish ascending triangle pattern after weeks of tight consolidation:
Triangle Pattern: The pair has carved out a clear ascending triangle, marked by higher lows and resistance near 0.6500. Today's breakout attempt is the most convincing yet.
Key Levels in Play: 0.6500 remains the neckline to beat, while the 200-day SMA (currently near 0.6446) has served as a gravity line for weeks. A daily close above both would mark a significant technical shift.
Momentum Gauges: RSI is lifting off the 50 level, hinting at building bullish momentum. MACD is attempting to cross above the zero line but still lacks follow-through.
Targets: A confirmed breakout opens the door toward the 0.6558 Fibonacci level, with 0.6730 a stretch target if momentum builds.
Failure to break higher from here could bring a sharp drop back toward support near 0.6360. Keep an eye on volume and closing strength.
-MW
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.648.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.644.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅AUD_USD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit around 0.6400
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 0.6463 shall follow
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD pullback on the m15AUDUSD - with a pullback on the M15 timeframe, and confirmation on the 1-minute timeframe, we expect it to rise to its previous high. This setup offers a very good risk/reward ratio of 1:5.
Please note in the description that you should not risk more than 2% of your account and take full responsibility for your trades."
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.650.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.653.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AU Bulls Make A Break For Higher Prices! Time To Long??OANDA:AUDUSD has practically been caught in an Ascending Channel for most of this year but that might not be for "Long"!
A few key things to point out:
- Early April delivered a False Breakout where Price reached the Previous 5 Year Low @ .5980 and was immediately sent back up into the Channel! (Liquidity Sweep??)
- Most of the Price Action that's occurred in this range has been contained to the Upper Chamber of the Channel between the Rising Resistance and Linear Regression.
- Price Consolidated tightly into a Pennant Pattern underneath the Rising Resistance for the past few weeks before delivering a Bullish Break just earlier this evening.
If Bulls are able to sustain Price outside the Channel, this could generate potential Long Opportunities on the Retest of the Break of the Ascending Channel!
Once a Breakout is validated and Retest is successful, the Price Target would be the Next Swing High @ .66875 where Bears were able to push Price down last.
Fundamentally, RBA will be releasing CPI y/y numbers on Tuesday, May 27th with analysts forecasting a .1% Decrease in Inflation from 2.4% to 2.3% after last week having made a 25 basis point rate cut from 4.1% to 3.85%.
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Market POTENTIAL Short EntryThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:AUDUSD facing resistance near the 0.6450–0.6460 area, marked by a lower high under the descending red trendline. After a breakout from the triangle pattern, price showed strength but failed to sustain above the swap zone. Now it's forming a potential lower high setup, suggesting weakening momentum. If price fails to clear resistance, it could rotate back toward 0.6412 support and below.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection near 0.6450
Buy zone: 0.6412
Target: 0.6368
Buy trigger: reclaim of 0.6460 with strong bullish candles
💡 Risks
A break above the descending trendline would shift structure bullish.
U.S. dollar weakness could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Data surprises may cause sharp volatility spikes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar continues to show strength, On the 4H chart, AUDUSD has confirmed a bullish market structure. We observed a breakout above the previous major resistance at 0.63500, which now serves as a key support level.
After this breakout, a Change of Character (CHOCH) was confirmed, followed by multiple retests of the 0.63500 level and a clean rally toward the minor resistance at 0.65200.
We’re currently monitoring for accumulation and a possible liquidity sweep below the minor key zone. This is a typical setup for institutions to trigger stop losses before the next move higher.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 0.65290
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 0.64770 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): 0.66900 (next minor resistance zone)
Meanwhile, Australia’s resilience, rising commodity prices, and a hawkish central bank continue to support the AUD’s bullish outlook.
Fundamental Outlook:
Labor Market Strength
Australia’s employment data remains solid, with consistent job gains and low unemployment, reinforcing confidence in the country’s economic stability.
RBA Hawkish Tone
The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a firm stance on inflation, leaving the door open for possible rate hikes. This hawkish outlook adds upward pressure on AUD.
Commodity Price Recovery
As a key exporter, Australia benefits from rising prices in gold, iron ore, and copper—particularly driven by China’s demand recovery.
Weakening USD
The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to dovish Fed expectations, fiscal uncertainty, and a rise in speculative short positions, boosting AUD/USD.
(Source: Bloomberg, Reuters)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution
AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal
Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger.
As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold.
Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy:
Entry: 0.64007
Stop Loss: 0.63907
Take Profit: 0.64207
The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit
NZDUSD: Same Script
If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs.
Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts.
This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay.
Entry: 0.59002
Stop Loss: 0.58902
Take Profit: 0.59202
We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades
These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets:
- We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap
- We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation
- We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker
Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
AUD-USD Free Signal For Monday! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD keep growing in
An uptrend an we are bullish
Biased mid-term, however
The pair is locally overbought
So after the pair enters the
Resistance area around 0.6510
On Monday we will be able
To go short on the pair
With the Take Profit of 0.6480
And the Stop Loss of 0.6516
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.