AUDUSD trade ideas
Sellers Trapped! AUD/USD Flips Structure to BullishAustralian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (AUD/USD)
📆 Timeframe: 1-Day (1D)
📈 Technical Breakdown:
1. Sideways Consolidation Zone
The price has been consolidating within a clear horizontal range.
This range is defined by upper resistance and lower support zones, with several rejections confirming the boundaries.
2. Downtrend Resistance Line Broken
A long-standing resistance trendline has been breached to the upside.
This breakout suggests a potential trend reversal or continuation rally if price holds above.
3. Seller Trap Identified
There was a strong liquidity sweep below the support zone, labeled “Sellers Got Trapped.”
This is a classic liquidity grab, where shorts were likely triggered before price reversed sharply upward.
4. EMA 50 as Dynamic Support
Price has reclaimed the 50 EMA (0.62701), indicating a shift in short-term momentum towards the bulls.
If the price remains above this moving average, it could act as a dynamic support in the near term.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 57.62
RSI is in bullish neutral territory, suggesting there’s still room for upward momentum before overbought levels (>70).
No bearish divergence is currently visible.
✅ Bullish Outlook:
Breakout above resistance trendline ✅
Recovery above EMA 50 ✅
Seller trap below range ✅
RSI supports further move ✅
AUDUSD keeps surging upwardFrom a technical analysis perspective, the moving average system presents a typical bullish arrangement pattern. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are continuously rising and diverging 🚀, providing a solid support foundation for the exchange rate of the Australian dollar against the US dollar. At the moment, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, and its histogram bars are also continuously expanding 📈, which clearly indicates that the bullish momentum is in a strong state 💪. At the same time, although the KDJ indicator is in the overbought area, there has been no significant sign of a turn, which means that the current upward trend is highly likely to continue 😎.
In terms of fundamentals, Australia's recent economic data has been rather remarkable 🌟. For example, Australia's employment data has shown a good growth trend, and the unemployment rate has decreased, indicating that the vitality of Australia's labor market is increasing 💪, which in turn provides strong positive support for the Australian dollar 😃. In addition, Australia's commodity export data is also quite excellent. As a resource-exporting country, the stable increase in commodity prices and the growth in export volume have greatly promoted Australia's economic development 🚀 and further enhanced the attractiveness of the Australian dollar 😍. In contrast, there is a certain degree of uncertainty in the economic policies of the United States. Especially, the progress of the fiscal stimulus plan has been slow, which has somewhat weakened the market's confidence in the US dollar 😕. Based on considerations of risk, investors have started to gradually shift their funds to other currencies, including the Australian dollar, injecting strong impetus into the rise of AUDUSD 💥.
💰💰💰 GBPUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@1.3200 - 1.3230
🎯 TP 1.3300 - 1.3350
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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Aud/Usd Long Term SellAud is weak. So has also Usd been this week. But, what I'm looking for here is long term picture. Institutions are shorting Aud and buying Usd. This we can see looking at COT reports and priceaction.
Looking at monthly and weekly charts bulls have difficulties to move price higher. Simply put, sellers are holding their resistance at 0.6400 level and price is ranging in side movement. Also, Aud had a strong push up from 0.6240 level after US put tarrifs on foreign countries on April 2nd. Despite this price was pushed down again on April 4th.
Entry: 0.62400
SL: 0.65000
TP: 0.5800
For best performance: trade in small size and scale into trade. This gives you opportunity to DCA with small size while keeping risk down.
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here.
🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here.
🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss.
🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned.
📉 Trade Plan:
✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone.
🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
AUDUSD Short Setup Based on DXY AnalysisHello traders!
After closely analyzing the Dollar Index (DXY), I've spotted a key development that has shaped my bearish bias on AUDUSD. The DXY recently broke below a higher timeframe low, rejecting strongly off the July 2023 low after sweeping liquidity on the Weekly chart. This kind of price action signals potential bullish momentum on the dollar in the coming days.
As a result, I’m anticipating weakness across major USD pairs, AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and NZDUSD included.
Here’s my trade setup for AUDUSD:
Entry: 0.63550
Target 1: 0.62748
Target 2: 0.62061
Target 3: 0.61506
Target 4: 0.60951
Stop Loss: 0.64020
I’m expecting a move to the downside if the resistance level at 0.6355 continues to hold, especially with DXY looking primed for further upside.
📈 This idea is based on a combination of liquidity grabs, higher timeframe structure, and DXY confluence, a powerful trio when it comes to swing setups.
If this analysis resonates with your view or adds value to your trading, a boost would be greatly appreciated! 🙌
Stay sharp and trade safe! 💰
DXY (Dollar Index) on Weekly Timeframe
AUD\USD SELL IDEASell AUDUSD
Reason:Price has reached our pivot point at 0.62288 a potential reversal formation to the price of 0.61301. Wemight experience a hgher price as market could reach our QML level at 0.63147 where we could there after experience a move down to the QML base at 0.59149
First Entry (Pivot Point)
Entry:0.62439
Tp:0.61301
Sl:40pips
Second Entry(QML)
Entry: 0.63147
Tp1: 0.61301
Tp2: 0.59149
Sl: 20pips above QML head
Disclaimer :This is an idea used for educational purposes, it is not a financial advice or signal for you to take a trade. If you do, do so at your own risk, forex trading may put your funds at risk of losing them. Always trade safe and only risk what can afford to loe
AUDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my AUDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
AUD/USD - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
This pair is testing a key confluence of support.
A Falling Channel - Exhaustion Pattern is unfolding.
A strong breakout required above dashed resistance for bullish reversal -
Institutional "LONG" Inventory accumulation is evident.
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
AUD/USD Update: Potential Targets Dear Fellow Traders,
4HR Calibration - Post CPI
1) Potential return - "SHORT" to breakout area if bullish trend is breached.
2) Potential continuation of rally - in case of breached trend resistance:
* Imbalance to be filled
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – RBR Zone StrategyAUD/USD 1H Chart Analysis
1. Trend Shift Identified
⚡ CHoCH (Change of Character) detected!
Price broke above a previous high → Potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
🔸 Bearish → Bullish Shift!
2. Key Zone: RBR Zone
🔵 RBR (Rally-Base-Rally) Zone!
This is a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Price is expected to return here before continuing upward.
⬇️ Price retracement
⬆️ Reentry opportunity!
3. Trade Setup
📍 Entry: In the blue RBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Below zone at 0.61002
🎯 Target: At 0.63307
Trade Idea:
Risk: 🔻 Small (below RBR zone)
Reward: 🔺 Big (up to previous structure)
R:R Ratio = 3:1 ✔️
4. EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
📈 9 EMA is trending upward
Price is above the EMA → Bullish momentum confirmed
Summary
Buy setup forming after trend reversal
Watch for price reaction in the RBR zone
If support holds → 🚀 to the target!
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
✅ Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (AUD/USD)
📅 Date: Thursday, April 10, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📈 Pair: AUD/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
📐 Structure TF: 1-Hour (Directional Bias)
🎯 Entry TF: 2-Minute (Precision Entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 0.61804
Take Profit (TP): 0.63266 (+2.37%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.61588 (–0.36%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.77 🔥
Reason: Being timed with London–NY overlap, the byuside trade idea is assumed prime territory for-accumulation > displacement > continuation > was the reason for entry and buyside directional bias.
AUDUSD(20250410)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6079
Support and resistance levels:
0.6339
0.6242
0.6179
0.5980
0.5917
0.5820
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6179, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6242
If the price breaks through 0.6079, consider selling, the first target price is 0.5980