AUDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.641.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.629 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD, Are Bull Set for a Breakout ?This analysis dates from the 3rd of May, this is in no way financial advice and should be taken into account in an objective way. Make your own opinion about it, don't take it for granted.
- AUD/USD is trading around the 0.64000 area on the daily chart, it has been consolidating around that area since April 21st following a 7 consecutive bull rally. Where it is heading to next still needs to be determined. Nevertheless, there is a clear Expanding Triangle dating since the start of 2025. (see image attached),(13th January, 03rd of Feb, 09th of April for the lower bar and 27 January, 20th Feb, 17th March, 23rd of April for the upside channel).
- This expanding triangle is similar to the one identified on NZD/USD which had an upside breakout and is now consolidating around the 0.59200.
- Whether there is an upcoming BO on Aussie Dollar is still TBT, but odds slightly favor the bulls following the strong rally in the first half of April. Nevertheless, it has been trading in a trading range since April 21st and there are no confirmed breakout yet. Needs to be closely watched in the coming days!! If bulls manage to get consecutive strong bull bars, this could set the stage for an measured move up for at a minimum a test of the 0.66000 area (downside channel from Feb 2021 to Nov 2024 on the Monthly).
- The Bear reversal case is harder to argue for, as they only managed to get one strong bear bar (04th April), with no follow through selling, The market has been trading for longer on the upper bracket of the extending triangle which means the market participant agree more on higher prices. Stay tuned for further updates !! Peace.
Bearish to fill demandAUDUSD current phase of consolidation ending soon. Will breakout one way or the other but I'm betting bearish.
Noteable supply one at top of consolidation, with massive liquidity grab above. Coming back into this supply after asia session 28th April.
Waiting for confirmation on the drop.
I will be looking for a break in structure to the downside on the 30min and then a retest up to supply before aiming for this demand zone over the long term at 0.60600
AUD/USD Key Rejection Zone Identified – Bearish Momentum in PlayPrice recently tested a significant resistance level (R.L) and showed rejection after forming a lower structure (L.S). The bearish pressure is visible as price fails to break above 0.64640 and starts consolidating below the resistance. A clean break below the marked lower support zone (around 0.64116) could signal further downside potential toward the 0.63707 area.
📍 Resistance Holding
📍 Lower High Formed
📍 Eyes on Key Support Break
Chart timeframe: 30 min
Instrument: AUD/USD
The VWAP Blueprint: Your Gateway to Smart Money MovesVWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price
What is VWAP?
VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. It’s a trading benchmark that gives the
average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, weighted by volume. This makes it
more accurate than a simple moving average, especially for intraday analysis.
Unlike regular moving averages that treat every price equally, VWAP emphasizes price levels
where heavier trading occurred, providing a realistic snapshot of the true average market price institutions and algorithms are interacting with.
The VWAP Bounce + Rejection Entry Strategy helps you enter trades at optimal zones of value
using the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP). This dynamic line acts as a magnet for
price and often becomes a bounce zone when volume aligns.
Instead of guessing support or resistance levels, this strategy lets you use VWAP as a real-
time value guide, waiting for price to pull into it, show rejection, and bounce away with
momentum.
How VWAP Works
The VWAP is calculated cumulatively from the market open:
VWAP = (Cumulative Price × Volume) / Cumulative Volume
With each tick or candle:
Multiply the price by volume.
Add it to the previous cumulative total.
Divide by the total volume so far.
This means VWAP resets daily and builds throughout the session, offering real-time insight
Into what traders are willing to pay based on volume-weighted interest.
Why VWAP Matters
When price pulls back into VWAP and bounces with rejection, it signals that traders are
defending value. Smart money often uses VWAP as a tool for entries or exits. When you align
with that behavior and combine it with a clean rejection candle, you get a high-probability
trade setup that’s based on logic and flow, not emotion.
1. Institutional Benchmark
Institutions and smart money often aim to buy below VWAP (to secure a better-than-average
price) and sell above VWAP. So the line often acts as a magnet or barrier where decisions
cluster.
2. Intraday Bias Gauge
Price above VWAP: Buyers dominate; bullish bias.
Price below VWAP: Sellers control; bearish bias.
3. Support/Resistance & Mean Reversion
VWAP behaves like a dynamic equilibrium level. Price frequently:
Pulls back to VWAP during trends
Here's a clear down trend 50 and 200 ma cross over. Await a pull back to trend or ma for continuation.
Reverts to VWAP in consolidations
Finds support/resistance at or around VWAP
How to Use VWAP in Trading
1. Trend Confirmation
Use VWAP as a bias filter: if price is cleanly above, favor longs if below, favor shorts.
Combine it with higher highs/lows (or lower highs/lows) to validate trend strength.
2. Entry Opportunities
In an uptrend: look for pullbacks to VWAP as a buy zone
In a downtrend: look for retests of VWAP as a short opportunity.
3. Mean Reversion Strategy
If price is far extended from VWAP, and volume shows divergence or exhaustion, consider
fading the move with a target toward VWAP (especially in range-bound sessions).
4. Anchored VWAP
You can anchor VWAP to specific candles, like a major high, low, or news release, to gauge
value zones within a custom context.
Best Timeframes for VWAP
Intraday trading (1min to 15min): Ideal for scalpers and day traders.
VWAP resets daily it’s not designed for swing trading unless you're using anchored VWAP.
Pro Tips
Don’t use VWAP in isolation pair it with:
Market structure (HH/LL, BOS/CHoCH)
Volume spikes or divergence
Liquidity zones (order blocks, FVGs, imbalance)
Session opens (London/NY open confluence)
Use VWAP for confluence with other tools, not as a single trigger.
VWAP is more than just a line it's a window into the heartbeat of the market. It shows where
real money is positioned and whether you’re trading with or against that flow.
Used with structure and context, VWAP becomes a weapon for precision entries, smart risk, and clean execution.
Vwap entry types
1. VWAP Bounce (Mean Reversion Entry)
Best for: Range-bound or early in the session.
Entry: Price pulls back to VWAP and shows signs of rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle).
Confirmation: Look for confluence with support/resistance, order blocks, or volume spikes.
Stop: Below the recent swing low (if long).
Target: Prior high or key level.
2. VWAP Break and Retest (Trend Continuation)
Best for: Trending markets.
Entry: Price breaks above VWAP with momentum and retests it from the other side.
Confirmation: Lower time frame bullish structure, bullish candle on retest.
Stop: Below VWAP or structure low.
Target: pivot levels or structure high, fib levels.
3. VWAP Reclaim (Reversal Entry)
Best for: Capturing a shift in momentum.
Entry: Price moves below VWAP, then reclaims it (closes back above with strength).
Confirmation: Break of market structure + volume surge
Stop: Below reclaim candle.
Target: Range high or key fib levels.
4. VWAP Confluence with Other Indicators
Combine with:
Moving Averages: e.g., 9, 50 and 200 SMA OR EMA
Fibonacci retracement levels
Order blocks / Liquidity zones
Pivot points
Use VWAP as a dynamic support/resistance level and enter when multiple signals align.
Vwap examples
AUDUSD SHORT IDEAUnder current market conditions, the area near 0.6398 has been identified as a critical resistance zone, where the AI model detects a high-probability trade setup.
From a technical perspective, a clear directional bias based on recent price action patterns. Suppose the market demonstrates increased volume and price stability above key moving averages in the 0.6398 area. In that case, traders are advised to monitor for trend-continuation entry opportunities in alignment with the prevailing momentum.
Profit targets are defined at 0.6372 and 0.6344, corresponding to logical technical support zones. These levels are designed for staged profit-taking across different trade management styles. Stop-loss should be strictly enforced at the designated level; once breached, the strategy is considered invalidated in order to limit potential downside.
Aussie Rally Fizzles at ResistanceThe Australian Dollar staged an impressive V-shaped recovery month with AUD/USD surging more than 9% off multi-year lows. The advance has now extended into confluent resistance at 6408/29- a region defined by the 50% retracement of the 2024 decline and the February swing high. Note that the upper parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and further highlights the technical significance of this zone- looking for a reaction off this mark.
Initial support rests with the August / April lows at 6348/62- a break / daily close below this threshold would threaten a larger setback towards the 38.2% retracement / monthly open at 6245/47 with key support steady at the 2022 low / 2025 yearly open at 6170/88 (an area of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Losses below this threshold would mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
Ultimately, a topside breach / close above the 200-day moving average near ~6465 would be needed to validate a breakout of the October downtrend / suggest a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 61.8% retracement at 6550 and the November high-day close (HDC) at 6680.
Bottom line: A 9% rally off multi-year lows takes AUD/USD into multi-month downtrend resistance- risk for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses should be limited to 6245 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 200-day moving average need to fuel the next leg of the advance.
-MB
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
AUDUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure to be confirmed
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AudUsd Trade IdeaAU is showing a clear range between 64350 and 63600. With last weeks higher time frame closing below the previous high at 64500 I would want to see smaller frames shifting bearish below 64350 to confirm our move to the downside where 63600 could potentially get smacked again in the range continuation.
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The Xrest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT
AUDUSDSwing trade
- possibility of a short position
- rejected and retested off our daily resistance line
- bearish candle sticks
- breaking through the upwards trend line
- breaking through our 15m demand line
- now we wait ( is it a falls breakout?- will it break through and retest and continue towards the demand zone
Australian dollar hits five-month high after Australian electionThe Australian dollar continues to impress and has posted strong gains on Monday. European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6491, up 0.72% on the day and its highest level since early December 2025.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese cruised to a resounding victory in Saturday's national election. Albanese' centre-left Labor Party increased its majority and thumped the Liberal Party opposition. The coalition's defeat was marked by its leader, Peter Dutton losing his own seat.
The long shadow of US President Donald Trump was a factor in the election. Dutton adopted right-wing policies such as promising tougher immigration laws and establishing a platform to reduce the waste of public funds. The similarities between Dutton and Trump hurt the Liberal leader as many voters were upset with Trump's 10% tariffs on Australia.
At the start of the year, Albanese was trailing badly in the opinion polls. However, he struck a receptive chord among voters on domestic issues such as health care and housing, and benefited from the anti-Trump sentiment, which proved to be a winning recipe.
US nonfarm payrolls, a key gauge of the US labor market, dipped slightly to 177 thousand in April, down from a revised 185 thousand in March. This easily beat the market estimate of 130 thousand. The positive unemployment report points to a resilient labor market which remains strong despite the US economy declining in the first quarter.
The markets have responded by lowering the odds of a rate hike in June to 33%, down sharply from 60% a week ago, according to the CME's FedWatch. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain the benchmark rate of 4.25%-4.5%.
AUDUSD looking Bullish?!!Hello traders I hope you are having a wonderful week!!!
We have this wonderful resistance which we broke out of and now we might be looking at buys.
This resistance has also been a market high for a few days now.
That white line there is my Pivot for next week and it serves as a great spot to put my SL.
AUDUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off 61.8% Fibo Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.6417, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.6488, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.6355, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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AUDUSD - BULL FLAG (Bullish)🧠 Technical Overview
Pair: AUD/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: ~0.63864
General Structure:
Strong prior uptrend leading into a consolidation phase.
Price is forming a classic bull flag pattern (bullish continuation).
Fibonacci extension levels are plotted from the recent impulse leg to project targets.
🔥 Pattern Analysis
Bull Flag:
Parallel, downward-sloping channel following a strong bullish move, indicating healthy retracement.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the flag (~0.6394).
Breakout Plan:
Break and close above the flag resistance would confirm bullish continuation.
Immediate target lies at 0.6508 (previous structure high and 1.0 Fibonacci extension).
Higher Fibonacci extension targets are located at:
1.618 Fib ≈ 0.6553
2.0 Fib ≈ 0.6573
2.618 Fib ≈ 0.6622
🔍 Indicators
(Indicators not shown in the image, but inferred from price action):
A breakout supported by higher volume would strengthen confirmation.
RSI pushing above 60 would further confirm bullish momentum.
🧩 Summary
Bias: Bullish
Key triggers:
A strong breakout and close above 0.6394–0.6400.
Retest and continuation move would offer a more conservative entry.
Risk:
Caution required if breakout occurs on low volume.
Invalidation of the setup if price falls below 0.6380 (flag base) or decisively below 0.6318 (key structural support).
✍️ Quick Trade Plan Example
Setup Details
Entry Break and close above 0.6400
Stop Loss Below 0.6380 (or tighter below 0.6368)
Take Profit 1 0.6508
Take Profit 2 0.6553
Take Profit 3 0.6622
Final tip:
If price breaks out impulsively, aggressive entries can be considered. If the breakout is slow and grinding, it would be safer to wait for a pullback and a confirmed bullish rejection.
AUD/USD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekThe AUD/USD has been in a range - bound fluctuation recently. 📈 In the short term, if the price can stay above the support level of 0.63340 and market risk - appetite sentiment rises, the AUD/USD is expected to challenge the target level of 0.64500. 🎯 However, if it breaks below the support level, it may trigger further downward adjustments. 📉
⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@0.6350 - 0.6380
🚀 TP 0.6400 - 0.6450
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
AUDUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!