AUDUSD BUYBUY @0.64256
SL @0.64189
TP @0.64591
If SL hits by a candle sweep and closed above the entry level again buy....
And always risk 1%
AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD ~ Real Time Elliott Wave UpdatesThis is an update of an AUDUSD chart I had previously posted. We can see that Wave B(Blue) confirms at the 161.8% Fib. level and then sells. Wave B(Blue) pushed a bit higher than I had previously thought, but all other analysis remains the same. The sentiment is a for a sell. Check my previous post for more analysis on this pair.
Australia inflation gauge hits 20-month high, Aussie gains grounThe Australian dollar has extended its gains on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6483 up 0.22% on the day. The US dollar made inroads last week against all the major currencies except the yen and gained 1.5% against the Australian dollar.
Australia's Melbourne Institute inflation guage soared 0.9% m/m in July, up sharply from 0.1% in June and marking the highest rise since Dec. 2023. The MI gauge, which provides a monthly guide to consumer inflation (official CPI is published quarterly), will no doubt raise concerns at the Reserve Bank of Australia, which has been cautious about cutting rates due to inflation worries.
Last week, CPI for the second quarter eased to 1.9%, down from 2.2% in Q1 and just below the central bank's target of 2%-3%. This cements a rate cut at the Aug. 12 meeting, after the RBA shocked the markets last month when it held rates. The markets had widely priced in a rate cut but the RBA defended its non-move, saying it wanted to see additional inflation data.
The week ended with a softer-than-expected US employment report. Nonfarm payrolls for July rose by only 73 thousand, missing the market estimate of 110 thousand. Adding to the bad news, the June and May reports were both revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258 thousand. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.2%, up from 4.1%.
The weak July reading and the downward revisions indicate that the labor market may be cooling more quickly than initially anticipated. The weak numbers support the case for the Fed to lower interest rates at the next rate meeting in September. The likelihood of a cut has climbed to 75%, compared to 63% on Thursday.
The soft jobs report should serve as a wake-up call regarding the effect of US tariffs on the economy, as the employment picture is worse than previously thought.
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | D4 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUDUSD H4| Bearish reversal off 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceAussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 0.6541, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6580, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6467, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Daily AnalysisWe continue following our trade setup from Monday and looked into valid entries for the day
AUDUSD(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks.
Technical analysis:
Today's buy and sell boundaries:
0.6538
Support and resistance levels:
0.6610
0.6583
0.6566
0.6511
0.6493
0.6466
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6538, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6566
If the price breaks through 0.6511, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6493
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
AUD/USDThis is a trade setup for AUD/USD, based on volume and trend analysis.
Entry Price: 0.64230
Stop-Loss (SL): 0.64350
Take-Profit (TP): 0.64100
The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction.
Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Aussie H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop lower from this level.
Sell entry is at 0.6467, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6525, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6389, which is a swing low support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Bearish ShiftAUD/USD has broken down from a rising wedge formation after rejecting near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6558. This pattern, typically bearish, suggests the recent uptrend is losing steam — a view reinforced by Friday’s strong bearish candle closing below both the wedge support and the 50-day SMA (0.6510).
The price action now sits just above the 200-day SMA (0.6397), a level that could act as a short-term buffer. If this moving average gives way, focus shifts to the prior horizontal support at 0.6170. Meanwhile, upside attempts may find resistance at the broken wedge support and Fib zone near 0.6550.
Momentum indicators support the bearish case:
MACD is flat but biased lower, hovering near the zero line.
RSI has dipped below 50 (currently ~47.7), indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Unless AUD/USD quickly reclaims 0.6550, the path appears tilted toward further losses, potentially targeting the 0.63–0.62 zone.
Bias: Bearish breakdown with downside pressure while below 0.6550. Watch 0.6397 and 0.6170 as key support levels.
-MW
AUDUSD - BullishAUDUSD is Bullish on Fundamental Bias and Seasonal aslo support long position. Divergence can also be observed on RSI. Forming an Harmonic pattern so it looks like buyers are in a strong position
AUDUSD 4HOUR TIME FRAME ANALYSISOn the 4-hour chart, AUD USD has recently shifted into a shallow up-trend after carving out a higher low around 0.6480. From that support zone, price has rallied through a short-term descending channel, breaking its upper trendline just above 0.6500 and holding that breakout on the last two candles. The entry at 0.65231 sits just above a cluster of prior resistance–turned–support (0.6500–0.6520), giving the trade a solid foothold.
Momentum indicators confirm the bullish tilt: the 14-period RSI is riding around 60–65, neither overbought nor fatigued, suggesting room to run toward your target. Likewise, price is comfortably above both its 50-period and 200-period EMAs, with the shorter EMA crossing above the longer one roughly 12 bars ago, signalling that buyers are in control.
AUDUSD corrective pullback supported at 0.6486Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400
Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUDUSD TRADE SETUPWait for retest the entry level and Bullish momentum candle then take a trade for Buy otherwise skip this setup
demand and supply strategymost traders will be taking an aggressive entry from the supply down to the demand zone but for me being a patient trader, i want to see a new trend, price forming a LL before considering any sell opportunity...
if it doesnt pullback for me to enter then its fine i will sit on my hands and wait for the next opportunity...
please drop a comment...
AUDUSD.JULY 29TH
Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish will JOLTS which measures the Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry;
JOLTS Job Openings CB Consumer Confidence forecast 95.9 previous 93.0 .market will watch for data report for clear directional bias .
wednesday 30th
Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer price index which Measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers
'Actual' greater than 'Forecast or below will be watched for clear directional bias .
this data are Frequency Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends;
and the next report will be on Oct 30, 2025
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate of 2%
Aud CPI q/q forecast 0.8% previous 0.9%
AUD CPI y/y forecast 2.1% previous 2.1%
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q forecast 0.7% previous 0.7%
USD 1:15pm
1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast 82K previous -33K
Advance GDP q/q forecast 2.4% previous -0.5%
Advance GDP Price Index q/q forecst 2.3% previous 3.8%
Pending Home Sales m/m forecast 0.3% previous 1.8%
USD Crude Oil Inventories-3.2M
by 7pm USD Federal Funds Rate previous 4.50% 4.50%
FOMC Statement
7:30pm FOMC Press Conference.
watchout for federal fund rate data report and FOMC (federal open market committee)
NOTE;TRADING ANAY INSTRUMENT IS 100% PROBABILTY ,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL YOU,DONT EVER TRADE WITH ALL YOUR CAPITAL BECAUSE YOU MENTOR SAY BUY OR SELL.
TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY AND NO STRATEGY IS PERFECT.
TRADE WITH CAUTION.
WISH A HAPPY NEW WEEK.
BYE.
AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe: m30
Entry: 0.66151
SL: 0.66266
TP1: 0.66033
TP2: 0.65914
TP4: 0.65681
📊 Setup Rationale
🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal.
🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile.
🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry.
#MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell
Psychology always matters:
AUDUSD looks promising for a continuationThis pair presents a potential trade opportunity in the form of a short continuation. The price did reach a significant Area of Interest (AoI) in form of an expanding 3-touch structure before turning around. Price did close outside the structure on the H4 with a candlestick reversal pattern and printed a bearish high-test candle on the daily timeframe. This clearly shows a shift in momentum and I am now waiting for a lower time frame (LTF) continuation pattern to confirm the direction and a valid candlestick pattern for entry.
📈 Simplified Trading Rules:
> Follow a Valid Sequence
> Wait for Continuation
> Confirm Entry (valid candlestick pattern)
> Know When to Exit (SL placement)
Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views.
⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar WeakensMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar Weakens
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6520 level.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6550 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6565 zone. A high was formed near 0.6564 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6540 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6454 swing low to the 0.6564 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone. If there is a downside break below it, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6480 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6565. The first major resistance might be 0.6575. An upside break above the 0.6575 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
audusd sell tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish crossover, further supporting the potential for a downward move
This Chart Screams Breakout – Are You In?AUD/USD – Bullish Setup Brewing
AUD/USD has been respecting this rising channel beautifully, with clean higher highs and higher lows.
Back in April, we saw a classic bear trap, price wicked below support, lured in shorts, and then reversed sharply. That fakeout sparked a strong rally and confirmed demand.
Currently, price is consolidating near the Key Resistance Zone and bouncing off the lower trendline again a sign of strength.
If this pattern continues, we could soon see a breakout above the upper trendline, potentially sending AUD/USD flying toward 0.68+.
Outlook:
As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Bulls remain in control.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for the reading
