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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD BullishAUD/USD Weekly Forecast-Bullish Outlook with Key Levels Identified. Based on my technical analysis for the upcoming week, I anticipate a bullish move in AUD/USD. Despite the expected retracement trades, my primary focus remains on the larger trend. Technical Analysis. -timeframe:H4 -key support level (S level): 0.62501 -POI/Target level: 0.63653 -Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.4% Market Structure & Entry plan. -The market is currently showing signs of respecting the S level at 0.62501, supported by CHoCH. Although there remains unswept liquidity below this level, I am positioning my entry at 0.62501 with the expectation of a bullish reaction. Before this move unfolds , R level that could trigger a retracement . This retracement will likely occur to grab liquidity around 0.62708 and 0.62668 before price moves toward our QML . Once the liquidity has been collected , I anticipate price to push toward our entry zone , setting up a strong bullish trade. Trade Expectations -entry price: 0.62501 -liquidity grab at : 0.62708 and 0.62668 -expected reaction: After liquidity is taken, price should move toward the QML and then confirm the bullish move toward our target 0.63653 -estimated trade duration: Approximately 2 days.
Long
by dzuniso
AUDUSD Bearish Flag Formation: Potential for a Strong Downtrend AUDUSD is currently trading around 0.63, forming a bearish flag pattern, which is a strong continuation signal for a potential drop in price. The market structure suggests that after a brief consolidation phase, the pair may break downward, targeting the 0.61 level. A confirmed breakout below the flag formation could accelerate selling pressure, leading to a sharp decline. Traders should monitor key support levels and bearish confirmations before entering short positions. Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar remains strong amid expectations of continued Federal Reserve hawkishness. Recent economic data and risk-off sentiment in global markets have provided further support for USD strength, weighing heavily on AUDUSD. If market sentiment remains risk-averse, the pair could see additional downside pressure, making 0.61 a highly probable target. From a technical perspective, maintaining a cautious approach is crucial. If AUDUSD breaks below the lower boundary of the flag pattern with strong volume, it could confirm further downside momentum. Traders should look for key resistance at 0.6350, as any rejection from this level could strengthen the bearish outlook. Keeping an eye on upcoming fundamental catalysts such as U.S. economic data and Australian trade reports will be crucial in determining the next move.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUDUSD - Wyckoff Up-Thrust on Fib 78.6 - Speed Index readingThis is how you can use Speed Index and Plutus signal to confirm a Wyckoff Up-Thrust The methodology: 1. Location: if 61.8 Fib does not provide resistance 78.6 is stronger 2. It all started with a Fast Up wave (FU) with Speed Index 0.5F (fake move) 3. The down wave followed with an Abnormal Speed Index of 2.0S (first Push Down) which means that we could have sellers coming in. 4. On next up wave look at bottom indicator PVR where as price increases volume increases = more sellers coming at the top (SI:1.8) 5. Finally Plutus shows the entry with a WU signal (Wyckoff Up-Thrust) Enjoy
Short
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
Aussie H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6356 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6420 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6247 which is an overlap support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
BlkRk Says Buy USD on Dips... AUD sell with TRAILING STOP!!!The view from fund managers is still very bullish USD, and this Aussie rally gives a great opportunity to sell the Aussie dollar at a relatively high price to recent trading. This trade has a potentially fantastic risk to reward. We're looking to trail the stop, and secure 50% of the position at a 1:1 risk reward. Please note that using a trailing stop loss has been proven to be a winning strategy of itself - adding your own analysis can add further edge. Here' we're looking at a recent bearish structure break combined with trading below the 1H 21 period moving average. For more follow!
Short
by tomstewy
AUDUSD → Retest of the imbalance zone before growth FX:AUDUSD on the back of strong dollar decline has all chances for further growth, but today, Friday, the risks are quite high, as NFP is ahead... The currency pair is forming a local uptrend, in tandem with the falling dollar the Aussie may continue its strengthening course. On the 4H a local correction to the imbalance zone is forming, where a rather strong support line 0.63 is just passing. The price is forming a false breakout and after capturing liquidity is trying to consolidate higher. If the bulls can keep the defense above 0.63 - 0.633, the price will be able to continue the growth phase in the short and medium term. Support levels: 0.63, 0.6255 Resistance levels: 0.633, 0.6363 Consolidation above 0.63, subsequent rise and consolidation above 0.633 is an ideal scenario that could confirm the bulls' intentions to go higher. But, NFP and other news are ahead. Risks are rising and we should expect high volatility in the markets Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
AUDUSD - Potential SHORT to take advantage of AUD weaknessHigher timeframe trend = down Retail traders = long Therefore bias = down NOTE : Not in yet - Entry order set below the structure that is forming currently. We are at a resistance turned support zone (marked with white rectangle) and have seen a reaction which may entice buyers to get involved - at which point we can get involved if their stops get taken out. Target is close to the low that was recently created (marked with white dotted horizontal ray). Stops where my personal backtesting has suggested they be placed to invalidate the trade. If price gets to stops before triggering in, entry order is cancelled. Please keep in mind that there is another layer of analysis that goes into this that is part of my personal plan.
Short
by Gamblers-Fallacy
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: Trend Reversal or Just a Dip?Alright y’all, let’s talk AUD/USD because this setup is looking interesting. We’ve been in a strong bullish run, climbing straight up from the lows around 0.62150 and topping out near 0.63607. But now, I’m seeing a potential shift. Price has broken below that short-term ascending trendline, which could be an early sign that momentum is slowing down and sellers are creeping in. Right now, I’m watching 0.63150 closely. If price closes below this level and confirms rejection, I’ll be looking for a sell setup down toward the next key level at 0.62150. However, if buyers step in and we see a strong bullish reaction, then I’d wait for a break and retest of 0.63607 for a potential continuation to the upside. 👀 My Play: ✅ If we break below 0.63150 and hold, I’m looking to short down to 0.62150. ✅ If buyers reclaim control and we close strong above 0.63607, I’ll wait for a pullback and look to long. Either way, we let price tell us the story and move with it, not against it. Stay patient and be ready to execute when the confirmation hits. Let’s see how this plays out!
by SheenaL
1
AUD/USD Reversing? Major Buy Signal on H4 Chart AUD/USD is showing strong bullish momentum after bouncing from a key support zone near 0.61760. The price has broken above the 50-period moving average, indicating a potential trend reversal. A long position has been entered with: 🔹 Entry: 0.63494 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 0.61760 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 0.66570 If the bullish momentum continues, AUD/USD could target 0.66570 in the coming days. Watch for further confirmations! 💬 What’s your outlook on AUD/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Comment below! 👇 #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ICT #MarketAnalysis #TradingView
Long
by IRGELD