AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD still bearish AUD/USD Chart Analysis and Trade Setup (4H Timeframe)
Technical Analysis:
1. Ichimoku Cloud:
Price Action: The price is trading below the Kumo Cloud, signaling a bearish bias.
Tenkan-Sen (Blue Line) and Kijun-Sen (Red Line): The Tenkan-Sen remains below the Kijun-Sen, which confirms bearish momentum.
Cloud Outlook: The future Kumo (to the right) remains red, indicating that bearish sentiment is likely to persist.
2. Support and Resistance:
Immediate Support: 0.63500, as the price is currently testing this level.
Resistance Levels:
0.63790 (first hurdle),
0.63911 (stronger short-term resistance).
If support at 0.63500 breaks, the next downside target will likely be 0.63259.
3. Volume:
Volume is relatively moderate but has picked up as the price tests support, suggesting a potential breakout to the downside if sellers gain control.
4. Candlestick Patterns:
A series of bearish candles is seen, with no strong reversal patterns as of now.
A bearish continuation setup may unfold if the price closes below 0.63500 on the next candle.
Trade Setup:
1. Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Short the AUD/USD pair if the price closes below 0.63500.
Target:
First take-profit at 0.63259,
Extended target at 0.63000 if bearish momentum accelerates.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop above 0.63790 (resistance).
Risk/Reward: Ensure a minimum ratio of 1:2 for profitability.
2. Bullish Reversal Setup (Less Probable):
If the price bounces off 0.63500:
Entry: Long above 0.63790.
Target: First at 0.63911 and next at 0.64261.
Stop-Loss: Below 0.63450 to minimize risk.
Conclusion:
Current bias is bearish with potential for further downside if support at 0.63500 breaks.
Watch for volume confirmation and price action around key support levels before entering trades. A bounce would signal short-term relief, but the trend remains bearish as long as the price trades below the cloud and resistance areas.
Objectives complete and now we have new plans... AUDUSDGreetings fellow traders!
All the major targets marked in the previous idea have been achieved.
The new plan for now is observing what the market does. We do have a bullish Purge and Revert in progress in AUDUSD on the daily. Long till 0.64700. Apart from that, we also have a daily volume imbalance which would draw price towards it. Attaching the daily chart for reference.
Have an insightful trading week ahead!
Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
AUDUSD Reversal ExpectedHello,
As highlighted in the previous analysis, OANDA:AUDUSD has tested support levels and established a new 1-year low at 0.63366. While upside is anticipated, confirmation will be needed. A reversal is expected.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Will the better-than-expected employment data revert AUD's trend+ Macro theme:
The RBA kept rates at 4.35%, sounding more optimistic about inflation and hinting at future cuts. But Thu's job numbers might spoil those plans—Unemployment Rate dropped to 3.9%, showing a surprisingly strong labor market. This hot jobs data could push back those early 2025 rate-cut forecasts many have been making.
+ Technical theme:
- AUDUSD found support and bounced above 0.6365. The price is within the descending channel and below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum persists.
- If AUDUSD extends its decline below 0.6365, the price may retest the subsequent support at 0.6300, confluence with the 100% level of Fibonacci Extension.
- On the contrary, if AUDUSD surges above 0.6474, breaking its descending channel and EMA21, the price may retest the following resistance around 0.6560.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
AUDUSDScared money never makes money.I found my self thinking that, but back to what matters.I called the trade before ,waited for my checklist to fill ,then went in .
I am now being patient .
audusd longaudusd long
Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
INSTRUCTIONS:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
AUDUSD 4H SWING TRADE IDEAThe current overall direction for The Australian dollar is a downtrend with multiple ranges on the lower timeframes respectively while gathering liquidity points and levels to be taken out upwards before eventually moving back down in the upcoming weeks.
Current price: 0.63669
POI: 0.62697(If the price gets to this level, we should get a position if a signal appears)
AUDUSDAUDUSD is entring into bullish trend.
Bullish divergence also shown in RSI.
Market sentiment is also bullish.
We buy at CMP.
posibility of uptrendThe price is expected to change direction within the current support range and begin an upward trend.
If the price breaks through the support range, a continuation of the downward trend is likely
AUDUSD 2H ShortBearish trend continuation on AUD/USD 2H chart, with price rejecting the Kijun-Sen and remaining below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming downside momentum. Entry near 0.635, stop at 0.638, and target at 0.633, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. Chikou Span below price action adds further confirmation of bearish sentiment.
AUDUSD downside target 0.6270In the chart, AUDUSD is currently running below the downward trend line, and the bearish trend is obvious. Yesterday's market closed with a bearish pinbar pattern. Currently, you can pay attention to the area around 0.639. If the rebound is blocked, you can consider shorting. Pay attention to the support near 0.627 below.
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights.
Technical Setup
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level).
Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection).
Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit).
Risk/Reward Insights
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips.
Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed.
Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
AUDUSD (2D) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UPTREND⚠️ Here's a HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY to capture the UPTREND RETRACEMENT before it returns to the High Timeframe downtrend.
SLO2 @ 0.7235 ⏳
RESISTANCE @ 0.71769
SLO1 @ 0.7138 ⏳
TP4 @ 0.7090
TP3 @ 0.6914 (Resistance, minor)
TP2 @ 0.6800
TP1 @ 0.6636
BLO1 0.6469 ⏳
BLO2 0.6366 📈
⚠️Holding a Long Position above 0.6914 is HIGH-RISK
Finally some relief for the Australian Dollar | FX ResearchUS CPI came in as expected on Wednesday, which has kept markets mostly confined to tighter consolidation. The data confirms expectations for another rate cut from the Fed next week. However, it also introduces the possibility that the Fed might be less accommodative in 2025.
Elsewhere, the Australian dollar has been benefiting from a strong wave of demand after sinking to a fresh yearly and multi-month low on Wednesday. Earlier today, Australian employment data came in much stronger than expected, leading to a less dovish repricing of RBA bets.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada proceeded with a 50 basis point rate cut. Interestingly, the Canadian dollar traded higher on the day, driven by the market's prior anticipation of the rate cut—classic "buy the rumor, sell the fact" behavior.
Key standouts on Thursday's calendar include the ECB policy decision, US producer prices, and US initial jobless claims.
Audusd AUD/USD rises to 0.6392, buoyed by weak US labor market reports. US Initial Jobless Claims hit a two-month high, fueling speculation of continued Fed policy easing. Australian employment exceeds expectations with 35.6K jobs added in November, unemployment dips to 3.9%The AUD/USD rose sharply and print a daily high of 0.6429 following Aussie’s data, but it has trimmed its gains, as strong US PPI figures, hint that the Federal Reserve would adopt a cautious approach on reducing interest rates.
Momentum turned slightly bullish in the near-term, but overall, the trend Is tilted to the downside as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bearish.
If AUD/USD buyers reclaim 0.6400, the next resistance would be the 0.6500 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.6568.
Conversely, if sellers stepped in and drag prices below the December 11 daily close of 0.6336, the pair might drop to 0.6300, before aiming toward October 23, 2023 swing low of 0.6270
Looking for a move upIf support holds at the hour, looking for a move up to .5 on FIB
Don't get greedy!
Always set a stop loss!
Tools:
Stoch RSI
MACD
DD
AUDUSD - Potential Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
AUDUSD SELL DIRECTION Discuss About The AUDUSD Forecast as Pattern in seems in Sell I will Expected the price will moving in Bearish Trend so Traders it will be Good support zone.
Buy Rights now its neutral position right now so Put Position in sell side.
My 1st Support Zone 0.63300 and 2nd Support Zone 0.62700
You can see more details in the chart.
Keep fallow and like this idea For more insights Thanks Dear.
AUD/USD Short PositionThis trade aligns with the broader bearish trend, as the pair continues to exhibit rejection near key resistance levels. Technical indicators, including moving averages, support the downward momentum. The position reflects a cautious approach to capitalize on potential price weakening, consistent with current market sentiment and broader technical patterns.
AUDUSD Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.634.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.639 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
