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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUD/USD: Neutrality Emerges in the Bearish ChannelThe dominance of the US dollar, driven by expectations of a high interest rate (4.5%) from the Federal Reserve as the annual CPI (2.9%) remains far from the 2% target , has weakened the Australian dollar in the short term. The AUD/USD has lost 11% of its value since late September 2024, and for now, neutrality has taken over the market as the next Federal Reserve decision (January 29) approaches. Bearish Channel The bearish channel stands out as the most significant technical formation on the chart currently. The price has consistently adhered to oscillations between the channel’s upper and lower boundaries. However, recent minor bullish corrections have led to price stagnation near the support zone, which aligns with the channel's current upper boundary. Over time, this could challenge the integrity of the bearish formation, particularly if short-term buying pressure continues to build. Neutral Movements The ADX indicator line remains above the neutral zone of 20 but has started to decline steadily from its recent highs in the 40 range. The TRIX line continues to oscillate below the neutral 0 zone, indicating that the average movements of the exponential moving averages have been predominantly bearish. However, the line’s slope has turned positive and is gradually approaching the neutral zone in the short term. Both indicator trends suggest that the long bearish momentum might be experiencing a period of exhaustion, coinciding with the neutrality generated by the current support zone. If this effect persists, the existing bearish channel may struggle to generate new lows in the coming sessions. Key Levels 0.62906: Current resistance level. Persistent oscillations near this level could ultimately invalidate the current bearish channel formation dominating the chart. 0.61929: A key support level, responsible for halting the long bearish trend. It aligns with recent weekly lows and the upper boundary of the bearish channel. Sustained oscillations below this level could signal a new phase of selling pressure and revive the current bearish trend. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD - Aussie make its way heading to daily supportHello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
by QQGuo-Shane
AUD/USD ( SYDNEY Session ) 30 Minute Mark Up Analysis 1/19/2025 Mark up at 1:30PM US Eastern Time ( Sunday ) Market currently not moving Identified as Downtrend Using Trendline on bottom side of price to depict downtrend Resistance at 0.63000 Support at 0.61323 Price at 0.61869 Key Levels Identified in Blue Rectangles Consolidation on tail right of chart identified in Red Rectangle - looking for price to breakout towards bottom right on rectangle to confirm downtrend Fibonacci Applied - may see some retracement where middle key level has been identified, also hovering over the fibonacci Price currently on a downtrend, but can break out to the upside before continuing to downside Stop loss at (0.62128) Tp1 at extension 0.27 (0.61719) Tp2 at extension -0.618 (0.61526) * 3:1 Risk/Reward RatioTrade Full Take Profit (0.61115) 75/25 (0.61115/0.62128)
Short
by cosrickmcdonald
3
AUDUSD - Potential Bullish Reversal, LONGDear Friends, CPI Today, be Safe! How I see it: Falling Wedge Pattern. Price is holding around fair market value, exhaustion characteristics. Safest Option: Waiting for a wedge " breakout and hold (or Re-Test)" for a "Long" entry. The falling wedge pattern "breakouts" can be some of the most explosive of all breakouts. Keynote: (Patience!) "Falling Wedge Exhaustion" patterns are the best bullish reversal indicators in my opinion. It is also the best breakout patterns for a "LONG" entry of course. Whatever happens, regardless of the strength and the distance of the "breakout". IT HAS TO COME BACK AND TEST THE BREAKOUT "ZONE" AGAIN, ALWAYS! I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
Long
by ANROC
AUDUSD HAS LOOK LIKE BEARISH @ 0.62116AUDUSD Analysis & Forecast – Bearish Setup with Technical Target at 0.60000 🔶 Market Overview: AUDUSD is showing signs of bearish pressure, with a potential selling zone forming at 0.62122. The technical target for this downward move is around the 0.60000 level. The pair is currently facing a key support level at 0.61937, which may act as a critical point for price action. If the price breaks through this support, further downside momentum towards the 0.60000 target is likely. 📈 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 0.62855 Selling Zone: 0.62122 Technical Target: 0.60000 Support Level: 0.61937 🔶 Price Action & Outlook : AUDUSD has been showing bearish signs, and the selling zone around 0.62122 is likely to offer an opportunity to enter short positions. If the pair breaks the support at 0.61937, further downside toward the 0.60000 target becomes more probable. The resistance zone at 0.62855 remains important to watch for any potential reversal or upward correction. As long as the price remains below the resistance zone, the bearish outlook is intact.
Short
by ALBERTGOLDHUNTER
AUDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hey traders! Here’s my analysis for the AUD/USD pair. I’m currently expecting a small pullback before the price continues its downward trend. My first target for this move is between 0.60780 and 0.60430 . However, if the Australian Dollar breaks above 0.63022 on the 1H timeframe and holds, I anticipate a pullback towards higher levels on the higher timeframes. 📉 Expectation: Downward movement towards 0.60780 - 0.60430 , unless 0.63022 is broken. If 0.6322 is broken to the upside, expect a pullback on higher timeframes. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Target Range: 0.60780 - 0.60430 Resistance to break: 0.63022 💬 What’s your take on AUD/USD? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
Short
by PouyanTradeFX
#AUDUSD WEEKLYAUDUSD (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is currently testing a channel support level that has consistently acted as a strong base for upward movements in the past. This indicates a potential area for bullish momentum to emerge if the support holds. Forecast: A buy opportunity is anticipated if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling a potential move toward the upper boundary of the channel. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the channel support level after confirmation of a bounce. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support to limit downside risk in case the pattern fails. - Take Profit: Target the midline or the upper boundary of the channel for potential upside gains. Market Sentiment: The price action at the channel support reflects a possible bullish sentiment, with buyers likely to regain control if the support remains intact. Waiting for confirmation of a bounce is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market direction.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
#AUDUSD 1HAUDUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has broken below a key trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market momentum toward the downside. The breakdown suggests that buyers could not maintain control, and selling pressure has begun to dominate. Forecast: A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the broken trendline as resistance and confirms rejection, signaling further bearish movement. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: After the price retests the broken trendline and shows signs of rejection. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or the recent swing high to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives. Market Sentiment: The breakdown of the trendline support highlights a bearish sentiment in the short term. Waiting for a retest provides a more strategic entry point, minimizing risk and aligning with market confirmation. Proper risk management is essential.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
AUDUSD potential buyWith the recent push down of the US index there is a high probably of buying momentum in the Aussie dollar due to weaker US data yesterday. With the SMC indicator in the 4hr time frame we can see a rejection of price to the downside while breaking thought the PML. In my opinion it will race towards TP1 which is a good place to exit since there is an orderblock at that level. If it breaks through that Orderblock you could wait for a pullback & enter to play for TP2 & TP3 or simply just trailstop each time it breaks past a TP level till you get stopped out.
Long
by bethalldaybae
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6218 1st Support: 0.6181 1st Resistance: 0.6246 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the 4-hour chart analysis, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.6221, which is a key resistance near the 127% Fibonacci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup. Our take profit is set at 0.6172, an overlap support. The stop loss is set at 0.6133, below the recent swing low and a key support zone, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6182 1st Support: 0.6159 1st Resistance: 0.6243 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1