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Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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AUDUSD trade ideas

BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! AUDUSD 22/05 – BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! 🌐 MACRO OVERVIEW DXY is starting to lose momentum after a sharp rally fueled by the Fed’s hawkish stance. However, there’s still no clear signal of an imminent rate cut. Meanwhile, the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) maintains a steady policy, offering short-term support for AUD. While rates remain unchanged, the central bank’s cautious tone adds a defensive layer for the Aussie. On the trade front, Australia has seen marginal recovery in commodity prices, though ongoing concerns about Chinese economic slowdown continue to weigh on sentiment. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Timeframes: H1 – H4) AUDUSD is forming a tight symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows — a typical precursor to a breakout. The current price at 0.6418 is sitting right along the lower trendline. Price action here is critical to determine today’s direction. 🔍 Scenario A – Upside Breakout (30% probability): If price breaks and closes above 0.64700–0.64910, we could see bullish continuation toward the 0.65134 resistance zone. 🔍 Scenario B – Breakdown (70% probability): A strong break below 0.64137 could trigger a move toward 0.63964 and potentially deeper into the 0.63640 liquidity zone. 🎯 TODAY'S TRADE PLAN 🔵 BUY SCALP (only if price reacts strongly at trendline support) Entry: 0.6414 – 0.6416 SL: 0.6408 TP Targets: 0.6445 → 0.6470 → 0.6490 🔴 SELL SETUP (if triangle is broken to the downside) Entry: 0.6405 – 0.6396 SL: 0.6420 TP Targets: 0.6364 → 0.6340 ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES Expect high volatility during the U.S. session as PMI and Unemployment Claims data are released. Stick to your TP/SL levels with discipline — the market may sweep liquidity on both sides before choosing a direction. 📌 SUMMARY: AUDUSD is consolidating in a clean technical pattern while macro uncertainty looms. Whether we break up or down, the key is to trade what the market gives — not what we think. React to confirmation, not prediction.
by MMFlowTrading
AUDUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation supported at 0.6355AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation. Key Support Level: 0.6355 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support Upside Targets: 0.6470 – initial resistance 0.6500 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes A bullish breakout from 0.6355 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum. However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6355 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6310, with additional support at 0.6235 and 0.6195. Conclusion AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6355. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. President Trump is strongly pushing for the passage of a “mega bill” that includes massive tax cuts, despite opposition within the Republican Party. This is heightening concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit. - Amid these concerns, the yield on the 20-year U.S. Treasury bond was set at 5.047% in a $16 billion auction, triggering a “Sell USA” phenomenon. - During the G7 finance ministers meeting, which runs through May 22, the U.S. and Japan are reportedly planning to hold currency discussions. There is speculation that the U.S. may pressure Japan to strengthen the yen. Major Economic Events This Week + May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI + May 23: Germany Q1 GDP AUDUSD Chart Analysis Despite increased U.S. dollar volatility and the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cuts, AUDUSD volatility remains largely unchanged compared to last week. However, after breaking through resistance recently, the long-term outlook suggests potential for a rise toward the 0.69000 level. As long as the support level at 0.63000 holds, we maintain a bullish view.
Long
by shawntime_academy
AUD's appeal boosted by rallying metals and yuan Following the dovish RBA rate cut on Tuesday, the AUD/USD has bounced back. The US dollar has fallen across the board, while the Aussie has been boosted by rallying prices of precious metals and a firmer yuan. While equity markets have been relatively subdued, the commodities space has seen some notable action — particularly in precious metals. Platinum and palladium have each surged more than 10% this week, while silver is showing renewed strength after breaking out of a prolonged consolidation phase and climbing above its bearish trend line. Gold is also on the move, rising for the third consecutive session and reclaiming the $3,300 level. With the AUD being sensitive to metals prices, this is clearly a bullish signal. The AUD/USD itself has been consolidating its recent gains, as it potentially gears up for a breakout. Today it has more than made up for yesterday's mild losses that were driven in part by a dovish RBA. With resistance at 0.6460 broken, the AUD/USD could be heading to 0.6500 and beyond in the days ahead. Watch out for a breakout in this pair. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
IF THE SHOE FITS... AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6433 1st Support: 0.6391 1st Resistance: 0.6458 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
2
AUD/USD Struggles at Resistance- Moment of Truth for the BullsAussie has held below resistance for nearly five-weeks now with multiple breakout attempts failing at the 52-week moving average. Weekly resistance now stands with the 2025 high-close / 50% retracement of the September decline at 6429/45 and is backed again by the yearly moving average, currently near ~6485. Critical resistance is eyed with the July close low / 61.8% retracement at 6511/50 and a breach / close above this threshold is needed to fuel the next leg of the advance towards the 2019 low at 6671. Weekly support rests with the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / 2025 low-week close at 6286/91. Note that the median-line converges on this zone over the next few weeks and a weekly close below would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place. Subsequent support seen at 6143/79- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement and the 2024/2022 swing lows. Bottom line : The Australian Dollar rally has been halted at resistance and the focus is on a breakout of this multi-week range just below. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 6285 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above the 52-week moving average needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. -MB
by FOREXcom