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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD(20250729)Today's AnalysisMarket news: After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buy and sell boundaries: 0.6538 Support and resistance levels: 0.6610 0.6583 0.6566 0.6511 0.6493 0.6466 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6538, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6566 If the price breaks through 0.6511, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6493
by NicolaZhu
AUD/USD: Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Bearish ShiftAUD/USD has broken down from a rising wedge formation after rejecting near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6558. This pattern, typically bearish, suggests the recent uptrend is losing steam — a view reinforced by Friday’s strong bearish candle closing below both the wedge support and the 50-day SMA (0.6510). The price action now sits just above the 200-day SMA (0.6397), a level that could act as a short-term buffer. If this moving average gives way, focus shifts to the prior horizontal support at 0.6170. Meanwhile, upside attempts may find resistance at the broken wedge support and Fib zone near 0.6550. Momentum indicators support the bearish case: MACD is flat but biased lower, hovering near the zero line. RSI has dipped below 50 (currently ~47.7), indicating weakening bullish momentum. Unless AUD/USD quickly reclaims 0.6550, the path appears tilted toward further losses, potentially targeting the 0.63–0.62 zone. Bias: Bearish breakdown with downside pressure while below 0.6550. Watch 0.6397 and 0.6170 as key support levels. -MW
by FOREXcom
Australian dollar down, eyes US GDP, Australian CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day. In the North American session, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. The data calendar is bare on Monday, with no events out of the US or Australia. Things get very busy on Wednesday, with Australian inflation, US GDP and the Federal Reserve rate decision. Even with no US releases, the US dollar has posted gains against most of the major currencies, including the Aussie. The greenback received a boost after the US and the EU reached a framework trade agreement after protracted negotiations. President Trump had threatened to impose 30% tariffs on European goods if a deal was not reached by Aug. 1. With the deal, a nasty trade war between the world's two largest economies has been avoided and the US will tariff most EU products at 15%. The deal with the EU comes on the heels of a similar agreement with Japan, bringing a sigh of relief from the financial markets that have been worried about the economic fallout from Trump's tariff policy. The agreements remove a great deal of uncertainty and investors are hopeful that the US and Chinese negotiators will wrap up their talks with an agreement in hand. The Federal Reserve meets on Wednesday and is virtually certain to maintain interest rates for a fifth straight meeting. It will be interesting to see if President Trump, who has been sharply critical of Fed policy, reacts to the decision. The money markets are expecting at least one cut before the end of the year, with the money markets pricing in a 61% likelihood a cut in September, according to FedWatch's CME.
by OANDA
This Chart Screams Breakout – Are You In?AUD/USD – Bullish Setup Brewing AUD/USD has been respecting this rising channel beautifully, with clean higher highs and higher lows. Back in April, we saw a classic bear trap, price wicked below support, lured in shorts, and then reversed sharply. That fakeout sparked a strong rally and confirmed demand. Currently, price is consolidating near the Key Resistance Zone and bouncing off the lower trendline again a sign of strength. If this pattern continues, we could soon see a breakout above the upper trendline, potentially sending AUD/USD flying toward 0.68+. Outlook: As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Bulls remain in control. DYOR, NFA Thanks for the reading
Long
by unichartz
AUDUSD corrective pullback supported at 0.6486Trend Overview: The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400 Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625. Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels. Conclusion: AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD 4HOUR TIME FRAME ANALYSISOn the 4-hour chart, AUD USD has recently shifted into a shallow up-trend after carving out a higher low around 0.6480. From that support zone, price has rallied through a short-term descending channel, breaking its upper trendline just above 0.6500 and holding that breakout on the last two candles. The entry at 0.65231 sits just above a cluster of prior resistance–turned–support (0.6500–0.6520), giving the trade a solid foothold. Momentum indicators confirm the bullish tilt: the 14-period RSI is riding around 60–65, neither overbought nor fatigued, suggesting room to run toward your target. Likewise, price is comfortably above both its 50-period and 200-period EMAs, with the shorter EMA crossing above the longer one roughly 12 bars ago, signalling that buyers are in control.
Long
by FX-CHART-BOSS
1
AUDUSD Engineered to Drop?🧠MJTrading: 📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: 🔻 OANDA:AUDUSD – Tagged the Top | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels?? 📍 Perfect Respect of Channel Structure AUDUSD has just kissed the upper boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, showing sharp rejection — a sign that premium pricing might now shift toward discount levels. 📈 The aggressive push into the highs likely aimed to clear buy stops — fulfilling smart money objectives before a potential reversal. 📉 And here’s the subtle clue: Just below the last bullish candle lies a thin slide — a structural weakness. If price breaks and closes below that full body bearish candle (Below 0.66000), the market could slip fast, unleashing a momentum-driven drop into the first liquidity zone (0.6520s). 🧠 For smart money lovers, this is the classic: Sweep → Trap → Slide 📏 And for fans of parallelism, the chart’s geometry offers a rare beauty — lines in harmony, structure in rhythm, and opportunity in alignment. 🔍 What to Watch For: Break below 0.66000 (last candle body) = entry signal 0.6520–0.6540: first liquidity zone 0.6400–0.6300: deeper cleanout, if bearish pressure sustains Inset: DXY bouncing from long-term demand supports bearish thesis Manage your risk wisely... For Lower time frame traders: Psychology Always Matters: (Click on the pictures for caption and concepts) #AUDUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ChannelTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #PriceAction #Forex
Short
by MJElahifx
3
AUDUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50% Fib Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 0.6542, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.6581, an overlap resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 0.6499, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025AUDUSD 7/27/2025 AUDUSD 4hour Bullish idea Monthly - Bearish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bullish 4hour - Bullish AUDUSD is holding steady in this weekly channel but has been showing signs of high volume ranging over the last month. Going into this week we’re looking mostly bullish but we have some minor zones that could slow price action down. Here are two scenarios we are looking out for, for the week ahead: Bullish Continuation - This is our ideal scenario as we want the trend to continue so we can have the best quality trade. For us to get comfortable going long AU we need to see structure above our 0.65800 zone. We want to see price action use this zone as support and establish structure (the next higher low). If this happens we can look to target higher toward major resistance levels and key fib levels. Bearish Reversal into range - If we fail to see bullish conviction at the current zone it’s possible price action will fall back into the range. This is a likely scenario as we have seen price action bounce between 0.65800 and 0.65000 multiple times over the last month. I wouldn’t recommend trading this scenario as I don’t like trading ranges but we could see price action head lower to 0.65000.
Long
by ForexLeague
AUDUSD looks promising for a continuationThis pair presents a potential trade opportunity in the form of a short continuation. The price did reach a significant Area of Interest (AoI) in form of an expanding 3-touch structure before turning around. Price did close outside the structure on the H4 with a candlestick reversal pattern and printed a bearish high-test candle on the daily timeframe. This clearly shows a shift in momentum and I am now waiting for a lower time frame (LTF) continuation pattern to confirm the direction and a valid candlestick pattern for entry. 📈 Simplified Trading Rules: > Follow a Valid Sequence > Wait for Continuation > Confirm Entry (valid candlestick pattern) > Know When to Exit (SL placement) Remember, technical analysis is subjective; develop your own approach. I use this format primarily to hold myself accountable and to share my personal market views. ⚠ Ensure you have your own risk management in place and always stick to your trading plan.
Short
by kalganid
AUDUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.656. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.662 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD Timeframe: m30 Entry: 0.66151 SL: 0.66266 TP1: 0.66033 TP2: 0.65914 TP4: 0.65681 📊 Setup Rationale 🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal. 🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile. 🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry. #MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell Psychology always matters:
Short
by MJElahifx
2
AUDUSD.JULY 29TH Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish will JOLTS which measures the Number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the farming industry; JOLTS Job Openings CB Consumer Confidence forecast 95.9 previous 93.0 .market will watch for data report for clear directional bias . wednesday 30th Australian Bureau of Statistics will publish the Consumer price index which Measures Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers 'Actual' greater than 'Forecast or below will be watched for clear directional bias . this data are Frequency Released quarterly, about 25 days after the quarter ends; and the next report will be on Oct 30, 2025 Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate of 2% Aud CPI q/q forecast 0.8% previous 0.9% AUD CPI y/y forecast 2.1% previous 2.1% AUD Trimmed Mean CPI q/q forecast 0.7% previous 0.7% USD 1:15pm 1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change forecast 82K previous -33K Advance GDP q/q forecast 2.4% previous -0.5% Advance GDP Price Index q/q forecst 2.3% previous 3.8% Pending Home Sales m/m forecast 0.3% previous 1.8% USD Crude Oil Inventories-3.2M by 7pm USD Federal Funds Rate previous 4.50% 4.50% FOMC Statement 7:30pm FOMC Press Conference. watchout for federal fund rate data report and FOMC (federal open market committee) NOTE;TRADING ANAY INSTRUMENT IS 100% PROBABILTY ,ANY KEY LEVEL CAN FAIL YOU,DONT EVER TRADE WITH ALL YOUR CAPITAL BECAUSE YOU MENTOR SAY BUY OR SELL. TRADING IS 100% PROBABILTY AND NO STRATEGY IS PERFECT. TRADE WITH CAUTION. WISH A HAPPY NEW WEEK. BYE.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/USD - Breakout (25.07.2025)The AUD/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6551 2nd Support – 0.6513 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
Aussie H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6554 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6525 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6597 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu