AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD – Bearish Continuation Setup in PlayGiven the recent bearish shift on the 4-hour timeframe, the failure to break above the 4H high, and the formation of a flag pattern on the 15-minute chart in this zone, we expect the price to potentially drop toward the bottom of the 8-hour timeframe — which aligns with the first major support level.
AUDUSD Follow the ascending channel selling now from resistanceOANDA:AUDUSD Technical Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is currently following a well-established ascending channel and is now selling off from a key supply zone at 0.65300.
Technical Targets:
1. First Target: 0.64800
2. Second Target: 0.64500
3. Third Target: 0.64100 (Bullish Order Block)
Time Frame: 1-Hour Chart 📊
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AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
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Key Points
- U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick stated that "a broad agreement has been reached to implement the Geneva Accord with China," adding that "the results will be reported to President Trump, and the agreement will be implemented once both leaders approve."
- It is reported that in this negotiation, the U.S. offered to ease semiconductor-related sanctions in exchange for a stable supply of rare earth elements from China.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 11: U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has broken out of the recent range between 0.64000 and 0.65000 and is showing upward momentum. In the long term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level is expected. However, there may be resistance near the 0.67000 level, so close attention is warranted in that area.
AUD/USD Breakout Watch: Eyes on 0.6558 and BeyondThe AUD/USD daily chart has just confirmed a breakout from a sustained consolidation zone that had kept price action capped for nearly two months. The breakout clears the psychological and technical resistance near the 0.6500 level and puts bulls back in control.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Ascending Triangle Breakout: Price had been coiling into an ascending triangle with a horizontal resistance at 0.6500 and rising trendline support. Today's daily close above this resistance confirms the bullish breakout.
Golden Cross Support: The 50-day SMA (currently ~0.6386) has turned higher and is approaching the 200-day SMA (~0.6437), creating a potential "golden cross" that could add momentum to the uptrend.
MACD Confirmation: MACD has crossed above the signal line and is now back in positive territory, supporting the bullish bias.
RSI Momentum: RSI is rising and holding just below 60, suggesting there's still room to the upside before the pair becomes overbought.
Fibonacci Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is seen at the 61.8% retracement of the July–October 2024 decline near 0.6558.
Above that, the 78.6% retracement at 0.6730 becomes the next major target.
This breakout, backed by trendline support and bullish momentum signals, suggests AUD/USD could be entering a fresh impulsive leg higher.
-MW
Lingrid | AUDUSD sideways Action at Monthly ResistanceThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:AUDUSD has broken below the short-term range and upward trendline near 0.6510, suggesting weakness after failing to hold the breakout. The price is now testing support from the lower boundary of the broader upward channel. A breakdown below 0.6475 may confirm a bearish swing toward deeper support levels.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: confirmed rejection from 0.6510
Buy zone: 0.6460–0.6475 for rebound attempt
Target: 0.6475
Buy trigger: recovery and hold above 0.6510 with bullish momentum
💡 Risks
Reclaiming 0.6510 invalidates breakdown thesis
Channel support bounce could trap sellers
Upcoming macro data may trigger whipsaws in either direction
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUD/USD Breakdown in Progress – Time to Sell the Aussie?Hey traders! AUD/USD just gave us a clean rejection from a major supply zone. Let’s break this down 👇
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🟦 Supply Zone: 0.65100 – 0.65300
The pair was rejected sharply from a strong supply area after multiple failed attempts to break through. This is a clear sign of seller dominance in this region.
🔻 Current Price: 0.64980 – Showing early signs of a bearish reversal.
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📉 What I'm Watching Next:
First key support: 0.64487
If that breaks, next target = 0.63698
(strong demand zone + previous liquidity grab area)
🟠 Watch for bearish continuation candles around 0.64800 to confirm further downside pressure.
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📅 Upcoming Risk Events:
U.S. economic data releases on June 13 could fuel more volatility – mark your calendar!
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💡 Trade Setup Idea:
Short on retest of 0.65000–0.65100
🎯 Target 1: 0.64487
🎯 Target 2: 0.63700
🛑 SL: Above 0.65350 (above supply zone)
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🔔 Are the bears taking over AUD/USD?
Comment your thoughts or charts below!
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Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6483
1st Support: 0.6447
1st Resistance: 0.6537
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Bullish continuation?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6499
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6483
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6537
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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AUD/USD Bulls Capped by Critical Resistance Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below.
A topside breach exposes a potential run towards the upper parallel / September low at 66222 and the 2019 low at 6670. Initial support rests with 52-week moving average and is backed by the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357. A break / close below the low-week close (LWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 6290-6300 is needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
-MB
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pinex-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe second chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
Pines-Capital Trade IdeaThe chart shows a bullish daily structure with a higher volume range and positive momentum. The first long idea is based on a pullback to the value area high or the 0.5 Fibonacci zone around 0.6498. Should the market test this area and show buyers there, this would be an opportunity for a long entry with a target in the area of the recent high at 0.6538. The stop can be placed slightly below the 0.618 level at 0.6484.
A second long opportunity arises on a breakout above the recent high at 0.6538. If the price breaks above this zone with volume and stabilizes there, a procyclical long can be entered with a target towards 0.6560+ (next psychological level). The stop should be placed just below the breakout level.
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Key Rejection🔍 Market Context:
AUD/USD has shown an ascending structure followed by a potential bearish divergence. The recent high around 0.65437 is marked as the Invalidation Level — a break and close above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Invalidation Zone: 0.65437
Support Target Zone: Near 0.64000
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📉 Bearish Scenario:
Price is expected to reject the resistance zone and move downward based on the current structure and possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. The red projected path illustrates a potential move lower if price fails to break above the invalidation level.
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📛 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
AUDUSDTechnical Analysis:
Trend Context:
On H4 and Daily, AUD/USD is in a downtrend or corrective phase within a broader bearish structure.
Recent rallies have failed to break key resistance at 0.6550-0.6560, forming a double top/weak continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 0.6550 – 0.6565
Support Zone: 0.6460 – 0.6440
Next Major Support: 0.6400 (if 0.6460 breaks)
Trade Setup: AUD/USD Short at 0.65256
🔻 Position: Sell AUD/USD
🔹 Entry Price: 0.65256
🎯 Target: 0.64600 (Initial TP)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 0.65580
🔧 Risk:Reward Ratio: ~1:2
AUDUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDUSD is currently forming a strong ascending triangle on the 8H chart, with a series of higher lows pressuring a key horizontal resistance zone around 0.65250–0.65300. This is a classic bullish continuation pattern, indicating buyer strength and a potential breakout toward 0.67000 if the structure confirms. The current price action at 0.65285 shows that bulls are testing the upper boundary again, signaling possible breakout acceleration as we move into mid-June volatility.
From a macro standpoint, the Australian dollar is supported by rising commodity demand, particularly in iron ore and copper — both of which are showing strength in global markets. At the same time, the Federal Reserve remains cautious with its rate path, with recent U.S. labor data pointing to a cooling job market. Traders are now pricing in possible rate cuts sooner than expected, weakening the dollar’s bullish grip. This divergence in central bank tone and economic performance favors risk-on currencies like the AUD.
Technically, the ascending triangle is providing solid structure and confluence. Breakout traders may look for a clean candle close above 0.65350, which could open the path to the 0.67000 zone with minimal resistance ahead. A well-placed stop below the 0.64500 zone keeps risk controlled, and the favorable risk-to-reward ratio makes this setup ideal for swing continuation strategies in trending environments.
This pattern has been building over several weeks, showing market accumulation and strong bullish compression. With today's fundamentals aligning with the technical structure, AUDUSD looks ready to launch into a higher bullish leg. Keep eyes on the breakout candle and volume confirmation as we may be entering a powerful momentum phase toward the 0.67 handle.
AUDUSD follow the ascending channel bullish now from key demand 📈 AUD/USD Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe
The AUD/USD pair continues to trade within a bullish ascending channel, rebounding strongly from the key support zone at 0.64800. Momentum remains positive, signaling potential for further upside.
🎯 Next Technical Target:
1st Resistance: 0.65200
Traders should monitor price action near this level for potential breakout or rejection signals.
🔍 Stay tuned for more real-time updates, insights, and setups.
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— Livia 😜
Aussie H1 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6526 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6547 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6502 which is an overlap support.
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