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AUDUSD trade ideas

AUDUSD Breakout ascending channel and consolidation breakout 1D 📊 AUD/USD Technical Breakdown – 1D Time Frame The Aussie has officially broken out of both the ascending channel and the consolidation phase, signaling strong momentum ahead. 🚀 📍 Entry Level: 0.65800 🔁 Possible Retest Zone (Support): 0.64000 🎯 Technical Targets: ✅ 1st Target: 0.66900 (Key Supply Zone) ✅ 2nd Target: 0.69000 (Major Resistance Level) Market structure and price action suggest bullish continuation if the breakout holds. Always manage risk accordingly. 📈 --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below ❤️ Like, 🔄 Follow, and 👥 Join us for more real-time updates and smart setups! — Livia, keeping it sharp 😜
Long
by experttrader04
2
AUDUSD Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.658. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.663 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
I love a fresh daily structure break, here's why.......All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish Momentum IntactAUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift. Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and rising support from the channel base suggesting consistent demand. A sustained break above the 0.6558 level could open the door toward the 78.6% Fib retracement at 0.6730, a level that also aligns with prior resistance from September 2023. Momentum indicators support the advance. The RSI is at 61.77 and rising, but still comfortably below overbought levels, implying room for further upside. The MACD is marginally positive and could accelerate higher if price confirms a breakout above the 61.8% Fib barrier. Traders will be watching whether the pair can hold above the confluence of the SMAs and the lower trendline of the channel. A failure here could expose downside toward 0.6420–0.6450. Otherwise, the bullish structure remains intact, with scope for a continuation higher into July. -MW
by FOREXcom
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6598 1st Support: 0.6548 1st Resistance: 0.6628 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
3
Bullish continuation for the Aussie?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5537 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.6490 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Take profit: 0.6623 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSDAUD/USD Exchange Rate Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550 Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025) Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session. Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years) Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets. Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025. US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50% Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting. Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling. Key Implications Rate Differential: RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD. Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal. AUD/USD Drivers: RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further. Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength. Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside. In summary: AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support. #AUDUSD
by Shavyfxhub
1
AUDUSD AUD/USD Exchange Rate Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550 Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025) Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session. Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years) Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets. Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025. US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50% Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting. Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling. Key Implications Rate Differential: RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD. Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal. AUD/USD Drivers: RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further. Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength. Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside. In summary: AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD Bull Flag developing Trend Overview: The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.6465 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6445 and 0.6400 Resistance: 0.6570 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6625 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 0.6465 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6570, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6625. Conversely, a daily close below 0.6465 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6445 and 0.6400 as downside levels. Conclusion: AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6465 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6570 area. A breakdown below 0.6465, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
9
AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D30 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50EMA Rejection ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
Could the price reverse from here?AUD/USD is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6537 1st Support: 0.6359 1st Resistance: 0.6680 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bullish Analyzing the AUD/USD across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery and potential accumulation phases. Starting from the 1D chart, there is a visible upward trend with recent bullish candles indicating strong buying interest. The 4H and 1H charts show a pullback to a potential Order Block (OB) around 0.6535, suggesting institutional buying interest at these levels. The 15M, 5M, and 1M charts provide a more granular view, showing recent price rejection at lower levels and a swift recovery, indicating a sweep of liquidity below recent lows and a potential trapping of retail short positions. This setup suggests a possible preparation for an upward continuation, as institutions may have accumulated enough positions at a discount. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, buying at lower levels (around 0.6535) and preparing for a potential upward move. The repeated testing and rejection of lower prices across shorter timeframes indicate a buildup of buy-side liquidity, likely targeting the recent highs for a liquidity grab. LEARNING POINT: "1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This concept is crucial as it shows how institutions potentially use lower price levels to accumulate positions before driving the price up to target liquidity above the market. SIGNAL: WAIT SYMBOL: AUD/USD ENTRY PRICE: $0.6535 STOP LOSS: $0.6520 TARGET PRICE: $0.6560 CONDITION: Buy limit at $0.6535 after confirming support at this level across multiple timeframes. RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters. STRATEGIES USED: 1H Order Block Mitigation, Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Analysis URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.00, Reward=$0.00, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum) Risk Calculation: Risk = Entry Price - Stop Loss = $0.6535 - $0.6520 = $0.0015 Reward Calculation: Reward = Target Price - Entry Price = $0.6560 - $0.6535 = $0.0025 Ratio Calculation: Ratio = Reward ÷ Risk = $0.0025 ÷ $0.0015 = 1:1.67 Final Decision: The calculated risk/reward ratio is less than 2:1, thus changing the signal to WAIT. FINAL RECOMMENDATION: WAIT Despite the favorable setup for a BUY based on institutional analysis, the risk/reward ratio does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. It is recommended to monitor the price action closely and adjust the target or stop loss to improve the risk/reward ratio before entering the trade.
Long
by Mistermoriarty
AUDUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea Monthly - Bearish Weekly - Bearish Dailly - Bullish 4hour - Bullish AU has been in this subtle bullish channel since late April 2025, just above major monthly support at 0.63250 area. We also have some conflicting trends and we need to see some conviction before we can comfortably follow price action. We do have some alignment with a bearish USD but at the moment we have two options: Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario based on what we’re seeing and where price action is. Ideally, we see some rejection from our 4hour 0.65000 support area followed by bullish conviction. If this happens look for price action to touch or break the top of this channel and continue bullish for the week ahead. Reversal back into channel - If we fail to see bullish presence we could see price action fall back into the channel. The key indication of this would be a break below our 0.65000 support area followed by a retest and bearish conviction.
by ForexLeague
2
AUDUSD Bullish Ready for long position**Description (AUD/USD Long Setup):** This is a 1-hour chart of **AUD/USD**, showing a textbook **bullish continuation setup**. The price has recently pulled back in a **bullish flag** (descending channel) and is now showing signs of a breakout above the flag's upper boundary. Price is reacting from a **Weekly Area of Interest (AOI)** — a zone of previous support — while remaining above the **200 EMA (red)** and reclaiming the **50 EMA (blue)**. All major timeframes (W, D, 12H, 6H, 4H) are **100% bullish**, adding confluence and confidence to this buy idea. --- **Why I want to enter Buy:** * ✅ **Bullish flag breakout** — strong bullish pattern indicating trend continuation. * ✅ **Price bounced from Weekly AOI** — key support zone respected. * ✅ **Reclaiming EMAs** — bullish strength returning. * ✅ **Confluence of timeframes** — momentum aligned from 4H to Weekly. * ✅ **Great Risk-to-Reward (R\:R)** — defined invalidation below support (Daily AOI), and upside toward **Daily AOI @ 0.66500**. --- 🎯 **Target:** 0.66500 🛡️ **Stop loss:** Just below 0.64500 📈 **Entry idea:** Either aggressive on breakout or conservative on retest of flag breakout / AOI This setup reflects smart money reaccumulation at a key zone with multi-timeframe alignment — high probability for bullish continuation.
Long
by andreabiondo13
1