AVAXUSD: Avalanche Elliott Wave History and Potential2024-01-17
The Avalanche token AVAX was created about September 2020, and began trading on exchanges about a year later, after an investment of 230 million USD by an investor group.
The all-time high of the token is US$ 147.50, achieved shortly after its listing. Since then it has been trading downward alongside the general crypto winter of 2022 to a low of $8.62 (Coinbase) on September 25, 2023.
Since the last week of September 2023, AVAX caught the spirit of the new crypto bull market, and commenced a complete five-wave Elliott Wave impulse peaking on Christmas Eve (12/24) at exactly $50.00, a psychological level that is also just short of the first historical chart resistance at $51.25.
Since Christmas, AVAX has been trading down as low as $31.25, in what appears so far to be a simple sharp A-B-C correction.
For a successful run to a new all-time high the token must overcome three principal levels of resistance:
- a band at the $50-52 level
- the 0.618 Fibonacci retrace level of its decline from ATH, which also coincides closely with a structural apex of the decline.
- the all-time high at $147
Since the token has seemingly completed an entire Elliott Wave impulse, and has therefore formed a new wave one top, we can use this value to project the future potential for advancement, potentially into open price discovery above $150. However, the complete analysis relies on the certainty of completion of wave two, which needs to be confirmed.
The chart shows what this may look like in the large black wave, of which wave three ends at about $550. If the past angle of attack, or slope, continues to prevail, this should complete sometime in Spring.
