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AVAXUST trade ideas

Lingrid | AVAXUSDT long after FAKE BreakoutBINANCE:AVAXUSDT experienced a sharp drop in response to Mt. Gox, but the market's reaction was swift and intense, with a brief impulse move below the previous low. The price then rapidly pulled back and formed a range zone, which I view as a bullish sign given the long-tailed bar formation on the daily timeframe. Furthermore, the price has created a double bottom with divergence, indicating a potential shift in momentum or pause. I expect the price to grab the resting liquidity below the range zone before making a bullish move towards the resistance zone. My target is resistance level at 28.90 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1
AVAX → Avalanche Falls to $22! Heading Back to $50?Since my May 18th update, AVAX has fallen into a pullback, as expected. We found resistance at $41.80, took half profits, and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on Avalanche? How do we trade this? 🤔 As expected, AVAX found resistance at the 2021/2022 resistance area of $60.00 after three strong pushes up followed by a head and shoulders reversal pattern. That reversal pattern played out into a two-legged pullback, leaving us near Push #1 support at around $25.00. I think we can expect to continue testing this support area for a while. I do not believe we will break and hold below $25.00. I would not enter a long yet unless you're fading into your total position size. What we need now is two or three tests of the Push #1 support area between $23.00 and $25.00, forming a double-bottom or reverse head and shoulders pattern. A good strong bull signal candle followed by a confirmation candle is the signal we need to enter a long position, taking half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:3 Risk/Reward. We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in AVAX. A final point of data is the RSI low and below the moving average of around 42.00, which could remain in this area for some time. This indicates we should be looking for long entries, but should wait for the price action to guide us. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Long Entry: $27.00 🟥 Stop Loss: $21.33 ✅ Take Profit #1: $32.70 ✅ Take Profit #2: $44.00 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Three legs up into a resistance zone after a breakout 2. Head and Shoulders reversal pattern 3. Two-legged pullback to Push #1 Support 4. Wait for a double-bottom followed by a strong signal and confirmation candles 5. RSI at 42.00 and below the moving average. Supports waiting for a long entry. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Long
by TraderEngineering
3
Lower usage brings lower prices ---- AVAXThe employment data on Friday didn't change anything. Although gold and U.S.stocks rebounded, crypto continued to fall due to potential selling pressure from Mt. Gox and others. We believe this situation may continue into the interest rate cutting cycle. When recently sorting out on-chain data, including activity, TVL and other data, we found that the data of some old chains continued to decline and their fundamentals deteriorated seriously. This will result in its performance in the market being generally worse than other public chains. Avalanche is one of them. Except for the popularity of SocialFi protocol Arena in its ecosystem last year, there is almost no news at all. The same is true from the data. According to the number of 24h active addresses announced by Nansen, Avalanche holds about 40k active addresses every day, which is far less than the mainstream chains. And in terms of TVL decline, Avalanche and Optimism have become the largest heading chains with the largest decline recently. Of course, Optimism’s TVL is shared more with other chains in the OP alliance, such as Base. Avalanche, on the other hand, had a net outflow. The same is true from the indicators. Although the market has rebounded in the past two days. But AVAX is always below the wavy area of the TSB indicator. And the current trend is a downward trend that started on July 4th. This shows the weak performance of AVAX. Introduction to indicators: Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated. KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
by sypool-AI-TradeGenius
✴️ Avalanche 8X SHORT (294% Profits Potential)I have some followers that like action, fast; they don't want to wait. What's wrong with that? There is nothing really wrong. If you have the right tools, the right mindset, the right amount of experience and the courage and will power to keep trying no matter what; then it is possible. It is possible now, today, yesterday, tomorrow and everyday. Everything you can think of can be achieved; there is no limit to how high we can rise in this life. ➖ Avalanche is trading below MA200 for the first time since November 2023. This level was lost as support recently and the action currently moved below it after a rejection at EMA50. This is all bearish. Now, things can change... Are you looking for fast profits? The chart can turn around and a sure win can turn into a loss; what would you do in this scenario? Would you blame me for sharing this chart or would you take the loss and move on? What if the pair breaks down and this becomes a successful trade? Is it because I shared this chart or because you decided to take action because you are already ready, ready now! for success? Full trade-numbers below... ___ SHORT AVAXUSDT Leverage: 8X Buy-in: $35 - $32 Targets: 1) $30 2) $27 3) $24 4) $21 Stop-loss: Close daily above $35 Potential profits: 294% Capital allocation: 3% ___ You can change the leverage to fit your trading style and liking. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Remember, you are a Divine being and your body is just the vehicle for your Soul. You are eternal. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Short
by AlanSantana
16
Lingrid | AVAXUSDT long from SUPPORT levelThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. BINANCE:AVAXUSDT has pulled back towards the support level after being rejected at the resistance zone around 30. On the daily chart, we can see that the market has reached a demand zone, which suggests that the price may be poised for a potential reversal. Additionally, we can see that price action is forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern. Given this setup, I expect the price to potentially drop slightly before bouncing back up to the channel border. My expectation is that the price will retest the midpoint of this range zone before resuming the bullish momentum. My goal is the resistance zone around 30. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
9
Why Avalanche Might Not Hit Its All-Time High During The Next BuI saw a couple of posts lately on social media that predicted 200, 300, or even 500 as a price target for during the next bull run. This surprised me. I don't think that AVAX will get even close to those numbers. To make this very clear, my assumption has nothing to do with the project in general or Avalanche's technology. On the contrary, I am a big fan of Avalanche and think it will be one of the few projects that will exist ten years from now. I think AVAX won't hit its previous ATH during the next bull run for a simple reason: Circulating Supply! AVAX marked its ATH in November 2021, when the price peaked at ~145 USD. Based on the circulating supply at that time (~230m), the asset had a market cap of ~33b. Since 2021, the circulating supply of AVAX has constantly increased. Moreover, it will continue to increase until it reaches its total supply 443m. Currently, AVAX has a circulating supply of almost 400m. As a result, to reach the ATH price again, AVAX requires a market cap of 58b. That's almost twice the size of its previous ATH market cap. Although it isn't completely unrealistic, I consider it unlikely that Avalanche will double its market cap compared to the last bull run. But even if I am wrong with this assumption, the numbers show how unlikely prices of 200, 300, or even 500 are. Just to do the math: A token price of $500 would lead to a market cap of 200b. Nevertheless, I still think AVAX has a bright feature and solid potential during the next bull run. At the same time, I consider it essential to have realistic targets.
by ben_walther
Spotting a Bullish Opportunity: AVAX/USDT Cup and Handle PatternI recently identified a classic Cup and Handle pattern in the AVAX/USDT trading pair, which is now breaking out and currently undergoing a test of the breakout level. This pattern suggests a potential price target around $34. The chart shows the cup formation, followed by a brief consolidation (the handle), and now we are witnessing the breakout. The price is testing the breakout level, which is a critical phase before the expected upward move. Stay tuned and watch for this potential price relief rally in AVAX/USDT!
Long
by ArslanKAhmed
Avalanche (AVAX) Rises: Can It Break Thru $30?Avalanche (AVAX), a prominent smart contracts platform, is currently experiencing a surge in price. As of July 1, 2024, AVAX is trading confidently above the $28.65 resistance level, hinting at a potential breakout. This article delves into the recent AVAX price rally, explores the technical analysis behind it, and examines whether AVAX can conquer the critical $30 resistance zone. A Bullish Breeze for AVAX The ongoing AVAX price rally offers a sigh of relief for investors after a period of price stability. The current movement signifies positive momentum, with AVAX climbing steadily from its $27.40 support level. This upward trend is further bolstered by the fact that AVAX is currently trading above both the $28.65 resistance level and the 100-hourly simple moving average (SMA). Technical Indicators Paint a Breakout Picture Technical analysis is a valuable tool for understanding price movements and predicting future trends. In the case of AVAX, a crucial technical indicator is the recent break above the declining channel with resistance at $28.40 on the hourly chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, potentially paving the way for a further price increase. The $30 Hurdle: A Crucial Test While the current trend is undoubtedly positive, a significant hurdle awaits AVAX at the $30 resistance zone. A decisive break above $30 would be a strong bullish signal, indicating continued upward momentum. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further price appreciation, with potential targets around $32.50 or even $34.00. Support Levels: A Safety Net It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Even in a bullish scenario, there's always the possibility of price corrections. For AVAX, the $29.35 and $28.65 levels act as critical support zones. If the price fails to surpass $30, these support levels can prevent a significant decline. Additionally, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from $27.37 to $29.95 provides another layer of support around $28.65. A drop below $28.65 could lead to a slide towards the $28.00 level and the 100 SMA (4 hours). The $27.40 zone would be the next important support to watch in case of a deeper correction. MACD and RSI: Bullish Whispers Beyond price action, other technical indicators offer valuable insights. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for AVAX/USD is currently climbing in positive territory. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Additionally, the Hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 50, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI reading implies that there's still room for the price to rise before a potential correction. Looking Ahead: A Promising Future for AVAX The current price rally for AVAX is a positive development, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout above the $30 resistance level. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further gains. However, investors should exercise caution and be aware of the crucial support zones at $29.35 and $28.65. Monitoring the MACD and RSI indicators can also provide valuable insights into the ongoing price trend. Overall, the outlook for AVAX appears promising, and a break above $30 would be a significant bullish signal for the cryptocurrency. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Long
by bryandowningqln
Avax - IHS in the making?Looks like Avax is currently printing a nice IHS with the neckline sitting around 28-29$. If this pattern is going to play out we should see a right shoulder forming over the weekend, preferably slightly above the lowest point of the left shoulder, so around 26$ would be ideal. If you are planning to trade this you can place your stop just below 23$ as it should not get below this point (IF it's going to be an IHS that is). Target should be around 35-36$. Stay safe!
by TV288