BAT Daily - Please can I get a little basic attention!Hi all,
I hope you're having an equally fantastic hair day like me. Anyway, I don't have a long position on BAT (Basic Attention Token), but I do have to say...loving the technical picture on the chart. It looks a lot like Ethereum's falling wedge. See my other publication on that.
The thing I love about the chart (I forgot to highlight) - the double bounce zone at .1233. Nice confirmation of support.
Now the thing with falling wedges is that this is signaling a trend reversal especially if forming nearing capitulation or bottom part of a wave. So what's important to understand here is that although we are making lower highs, the momentum of lower low's is becoming more exhausted. More simply put we are finding the bottom of a trend or market cycle and bears are losing strength overall.
So we could go lower thats the point so trading falling wedges are tricky. I tend to wait for a break out of the wedge (if I missed the bottom) and confirmed retest near the top of the trend line. I'm conservative on this pattern so I'll probably wait for Wave 4. Or if I didn't miss the bottom I try and and go long near the bottom trend line. The point is always before trading this pattern you need to have your exit plan established and be disciplined on it before going long. Figure out the zones that best fit your risk/reward style.
I do love the overall technical picture of BAT and I do love their browser. I use it 100% of the time for both mobile and desktop versions as it's a great product. The only thing that's held me back going long is I have trouble coming up with a valuation of the token itself. I get what they are trying to do by revolutionizing the ad industry by actually giving users the ability to control ads, what kind of ads and reward content creators...I'm still figuring out ok based on this what is this utility token's value. It's easier for me to calculate multiple valuations for Bitcoin whether we talk about the store-of-value business or as M1/M2 monetary supply economics.
I think the best way to value BAT is comparing it to a mobile browser like GOOG Chrome or FireFox. The creator of Firefox actually started BAT in case you didn't know. So if Firefox I think has a valuation around 300M I think (double check that). So based on BAT tokens you can do a very rough valuation. That could be it's potential economic value if you're trying to wrap your head around the project.
Anyway, simple chart and it speaks to itself as far as where I see things going the next 5 impulse waves.
Good luck trading,
Bobby
-Don't hate the hair, hate the game"