Breaking out!The price breaks through the purple resistance and is preparing to start an upward movement.
A compression triangle formation is taking shape, with the lows resting on the underlying purple trendline.
At $203.3, the weekly 100-period simple moving average (SMA100, green line) is located. A close above this level would be an important confirmation of the bullish reversal.
AAPDB trade ideas
$AAPL Long Setup – Range Breakout Potential with Tight RiskApple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is finally showing signs of strength after a prolonged sideways range. Price is attempting to break above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart while MACD is starting to curve upward—indicating a potential shift in momentum. After holding the $190–$200 zone as support for months, this move above $200 could trigger a short-term breakout toward the $220–$226 levels.
The current setup has a clean structure with a 4.27 risk/reward ratio:
Entry: $200.30
Stop: $195.07 (below recent range lows)
Target: $222.61 (prior high + pivot cluster)
If this move holds, it could mark the start of a trend reversal in Apple following months of chop. Solid setup for a 2–4 week swing trade or as part of a core position rebuild.
Let me know if you're playing this one or waiting for confirmation above $208.
AAPLApple shares trade in a consolidation zone after solid Q2 results—revenue at $95.4B (+5%), record services growth, and strong margins despite tariff headwinds.
Technically , indicators lean bullish, but resistance near $202–204 poses a short-term barrier. Market reaction to WWDC AI updates and further supply‑chain diversification will be key. On dips toward $196, there’s room for selective buying; if $204–214 breaks decisively, upside toward $235 could unfold . However, the lack of clear AI revenue guidance warrants caution, aligning with Needham’s cautious stance.
AAPL Bulls May Regain Momentum – Price Action Suggest a Bounce 🔍 GEX-Based Options Insight:
* GEX Cluster sits heavy at 204–206, marking a Gamma Wall / Resistance Zone.
* Highest NET GEX levels suggest 205–206 is a magnet if price builds strength.
* IVR: 16.2, IVX is low, indicating cheap premium for call buyers.
* Calls: 0.6% bias, showing a neutral-to-light bullish flow.
🟩 GEX Support: 197.5
🟥 PUT Walls: Below 192.5 and 190 (farther from current level)
🧠 Technical View (1H Chart):
* AAPL is pulling back into a demand zone while still respecting the upward channel.
* Just formed a CHoCH, signaling a potential reversal back up.
* Price is sitting on channel support + demand, with a recent BOS confirming bullish structure intact.
* Volume during this pullback is lower than the prior bullish leg—healthy retrace.
🔁 Trading Idea (for calls):
Entry:
🟢 Around 198.5–199 (channel and OB support zone)
Target 1:
📈 201.50 – retest of supply / GEX resistance
Target 2:
📈 204.88–206 – Gamma Wall target
Stop Loss:
🔴 Below 196.50, breaks OB and structure
🎯 Ideal Option Play:
* July 5th or July 12th 202 Calls
* Low IV makes this a decent R/R for directional play
* Momentum confirmation on reclaim of 200.80 gives confidence
💬 If AAPL can defend the current structure and flip 200.80 intraday, we may see a gamma chase back to 204+.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
AppleNo change in regard to my Apple analysis. I am still waiting for price to either break down to the target box or head straight to the upper target box from here. I think given the current price action we have a higher probability of moving lower first, but the fact remains it is not required. This week will hopefully bring some needed clarity. Regardless of what happens, I believe we're within minor B. It is only a matter of what pathway price takes to get to its end destination.
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 23/6Apple has been dealing with significant negative press recently, leading to fear and critical perceptions among investors. This situation suggests a common investment principle: in times of fear, you should buy, and in times of greed, you should sell. Consequently, I have taken a considerable long position on Apple.
The flag pattern is almost complete, indicating that a price movement is imminent. I have set my stop loss at $196, with an anticipated profit from a positive breakout expected to exceed $223, representing potential gains of over 10%. There is also further upside potential to surpass $230.
Apple is a strong long-term hold, regardless of current market fluctuations. The company boasts a mature and extensive ecosystem, making it a brand I wouldn't bet against. If you already own Apple products, you likely understand how unlikely it is that you would switch to another brand.
Last Friday's green candle validated the flag pattern, indicating that a breakout is still needed. However, the flag pattern has now shifted to a more bearish formation, which could suggest seller exhaustion and strong support at these price levels. Achieving above 202 USD would be both a positive sign and an indication of strong buyer interest. The Iranian conflict may cause volatility, but my long position is still active, and the upcoming weeks could see a positive breakout >202. Although this flag pattern is typically bearish, I believe Apple is undervalued based on its future potential offerings and this could be a good entry price? As always not financial advice but let me know if you think Apple is going to <170 or >230.
My target sell price is now 271 USD.
Apple UpdateThe way this pattern has been moving is very indicative of a B wave. It has been complex and very choppy. Needless to say, I have removed the lower target box from the chart and believe we should be headed to the upper larger target box from here. It appears, to my eyes, that price is within the micro-wave 3 of (c) of B. Once B completes, price should be headed to the $150-$110 area to complete minor wave C. This won't happen overnight but will take time. Be patient as these things can take a while.
AAPL - Weekly HV/IV PerspectiveGood evening —
I wanted to do one more write up with that being on NASDAQ:AAPL as we enter the week with futures just opening.
HV10 (16.58%) is trending -11.56% below IV (28.14%) showing a weekly price gap differential of -$2.89 on the stated implied move to what trending markets are doing. This current IV value entering the week sits 69% within the sliding year spectrum.
Now, with Apple consolidating in range for almost eight weeks after selling off when it reached its 4T milestone in December of 2024, has now begun advancing back upwards in price. The strength here is obvious and the quality of company is well, Apple.
My price targets on the week is first the upper band of stated IV ($220.58) then moving on towards the upper implied range of HV63 ($225.87). I believe the markets are going to push apple higher while balancing the indices out selling off in other areas. This would start to accelerate HV10, as it is now 91.23% coiled to its yearly lows and needs to unwind. Hopefully with a few short-term trending days increasing we find our regression.
Please come back next week and see how our position and volatility progressed forward.
APPLE Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 213.58
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 208.03
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$AAPL On The Run? NASDAQ:AAPL breaking out of the stage 1 and entering a stage 2 breakout back to prior support and resistance zones.
RSI is a little hot at 67.52 so it may trade sideways to allow a cooling off phase before grinding higher to reach its value. News is that it is investing in the USA.
Stop loss would be a trailing stop loss of $4.48.
AAPL LONG 05/07/2025Price has been moving inside a multi-year bullish tunnel, price has also broken a minor resistance level of 207$ with a nice bullish engulfing candle with some increase in volume on the last few daily candles.
Analysis HTF - Weekly
execution LTF - Weekly
Candle pattern - Bullish engulfing
Acceleration - Check
Volume - Check
Structure - Check
Moving average - X
Base rate - 70%(to hit stop loss)/30% to succeed
With the acceleration, volume pattern and strong multi year structure I suggest a base rate of 55%/45%(to succeed)
Good luck
aapl just got great news, great stock! ATH coming?? YEA???aapl just got great news, great stock!
bullish. so very bullish
let us know!
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Apple Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- Apple broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 213.40
Apple recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 203.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of June) and the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone should add to the bullish pressure on Apple.
Apple can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 213.40, which reversed the previous waves (A), (C) and (2), as can be seen below.
Apple Inc (APPL): Trend Continuation to $300+Overview Summary
We’ve added new long positions on Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) recently after a textbook rejection from a well-established support/demand zone between $185–$200. This area has consistently acted as a launchpad for previous rallies and is now once again serving as a structural support on the weekly timeframe.
Apple’s ability to consistently innovate through product cycles, expand its services ecosystem, and integrate AI-driven features into its devices provides strong conviction for long-term upside. With Vision Pro, Apple Intelligence, and chip-level innovations underway, the company is positioning itself to benefit from both hardware and software expansion over the next decade.
Technically, the price has formed a multi-year stair-step structure with clear levels of accumulation. We believe NASDAQ:AAPL is beginning its next leg higher after consolidating above this zone. A clean move to retest all-time highs is likely, and a long-term target of $300 aligns with both trend structure and growth potential.
Green Zone Capital remains bullish on NASDAQ:AAPL with a long-term horizon and will continue to scale into strategic pullbacks within the broader uptrend, our current setup is:
Bias: Long
Type: Long-Term Accumulation
Entry Zone: $190–$205
Target: $300+
Invalidation: $165
Technical Analysis:
Apple is currently sitting at a critical demand zone that has historically acted as a base for previous multi-month rallies. Our TradingView chart highlights several key structural zones showing Apple’s tendency to build stair-step accumulation ranges followed by breakouts. The current zone between $185–$205 has been tested and held multiple times, confirming its significance.
We are seeing bullish rejection candles forming on the weekly timeframe, showing buyer interest is returning. This confluence of technical support and long-term structural demand confirms our long entry thesis.
Macro/Fundamental Thesis:
Apple remains one of the strongest tech companies globally with unmatched brand equity, pricing power, and integration across hardware, software, and services. The company continues to expand aggressively into AI with Apple Intelligence, spatial computing with Vision Pro, and strategic chip development.
With record cash reserves, a loyal consumer base, and continued innovation cycles across iPhone, Mac, and Services, Apple remains a strong defensive and offensive tech allocation in any long-term portfolio. Despite current macro volatility, Apple has consistently outperformed over market cycles.
AAPL : Technical Analysis Report - 29 June 2025
Trend:
The primary trend (big picture) is downward. Bearish momentum is weak.
Short Term Trend : sideways / consolidation. Momentum in sideways trends is usually weak and indecisive. Sideways within a long term downtrend is often a continuation pattern.
Reasons:
Market Uncertainty: Waiting for news, earnings, or macro events.
Accumulation/Distribution: Smart money prepares for the next move (either continuation or reversal).
Pattern : Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
The pattern represents a temporary pause in the prevailing trend. The symmetrical triangle is considered a continuation pattern. This means that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the trend that preceded the triangle's formation. Neutral pattern until the breakout direction is confirmed.
Key levels :
R2 - 214
R1 - 206
S1 - 193
S2 - 186
Tips for Trading
Wait for a confirmed breakout (e.g., a daily candlestick close above/below the trendline) to avoid false signals
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Note :
If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your investment decisions.
AAPL: Premium PlayApple beat expectations this quarter—revenue, profit, EPS—all slightly better than analysts hoped. But the stock dropped to $196.26, down from $212.83. Why? Investors are still worried about tariffs, margin pressure, and supply chain changes.
Tim Cook talked about strong product sales (iPhone, Mac, iPad) and all-time high Services revenue. But he also admitted tariffs and regulatory issues are weighing on Apple’s outlook.
My Covered Call Strategy
I’m selling the $202.5 call and buying the $210 call for June 27, 2025. Big money seems to be doing the same—there was a huge premium sale over $2 million, likely betting Apple stays range-bound short term.
- Why this works:
- Resistance near $202.50 gives me a clear ceiling
- Apple fundamentals are strong, but macro risk caps upside
Chart Notes
- Resistance: $202.50 and $210
- Support: Around $192.50
Bottom line:
I like this trade as a way to bring in income while defining my risk. If Apple grinds sideways or pushes a bit higher, the trade still pays. Clean structure, high odds.
Impact on the Dollar and Forex — Artavion AnalyticsThe development of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) — especially the digital yuan (e-CNY) — is becoming a key factor in transforming global currency flows. While the US dollar still dominates, the architecture of global liquidity is beginning to shift.
At Artavion, we see the e-CNY not just as a technological experiment but as a tool of China’s currency policy. Its goal is to strengthen the yuan’s role in international settlements and reduce dependence on the dollar, particularly in developing regions.
Why the Digital Yuan Matters
The e-CNY is already being used in China for retail payments and is being tested in cross-border transactions (e.g., in the mBridge project with the UAE and Thailand). This enables the creation of alternative payment systems not tied to SWIFT.
If the digital yuan gains broader acceptance, especially for commodity and energy settlements, its role in forex will grow, potentially weakening the dollar’s monopoly in certain regions.
CBDCs and Forex Structure
CBDCs won’t displace the dollar in the near term, but they are already influencing the structure of currency trading:
New currency pairs are emerging, especially in Asia;
Transactions are becoming faster and cheaper, particularly in the B2B segment;
Market participants are adjusting strategies to real-time settlements and the potential programmability of currencies.
Risks and Limitations
Privacy: CBDCs are under full state control;
Fragmentation: There is no unified technical standard across different countries’ CBDCs;
Geopolitics: The rise of the e-CNY could intensify currency competition with the dollar.
Artavion’s Conclusion
The digital yuan will not replace the dollar, but it is creating an alternative — especially in regions seeking autonomy from Western financial infrastructure. For traders and investors, this means reassessing currency risks and exploring new opportunities in decentralized settlement channels.