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AAPL trade ideas

AAPL – Bullish Wedge Breakout Setup Toward Gap FillAAPL NASDAQ:AAPL has broken out of a descending trendline and is now consolidating inside a bullish wedge pattern . Price is holding above the 200 SMA and hovering near the 50 SMA. The structure suggests a potential breakout above the wedge, with a clear gap area between $216–$224 acting as the next upside target. Key levels: Support: $206 (wedge base / 50 SMA) Resistance: $216–$224 (gap zone) Trend structure: Bullish consolidation after breakout A clean breakout from the wedge with volume could trigger a continuation move toward the gap zone. 📌 Watching for confirmation and potential entry on a breakout + retest. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Binhuseyn
9
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 13/7Apple has faced prolonged downward pressure from bearish investors. Despite its best efforts and some dips, the stock has steadily maintained a baseline price of 200 USD. The flag pattern required some adjustments along its path to break out, primarily due to geopolitical issues and economic variables. Ultimately, Apple broke out to the upside in the week of June 30th, as predicted in my earlier posts. This breakout resulted from end-of-Q2/H1 sell pressure, delivering a 7.56% gain or 15 USD. This is a very bullish sign for Apple, and with the tailwinds forming for September product releases, we can expect further gains as traders return and volume increases. If Apple follows its historical profit trajectory (see pink line), we could see a new all-time high (ATH) in the region of 270 USD in September. The green resistance and support levels are highlighted, and I may use these to adjust my position, considering whether to short or go long once confirmation is established on the daily timeframe. Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions. The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back. While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly. Apple has continued to trend along its predicted trajectory, and with the exception of economic headwinds driving the price down, this trend is expected to continue. Strong support has been observed at 210 USD, with further support at $208.50, providing solid technical support for potential upside while reducing the risk of a downturn below $208. However, a short correction could occur if overall market confidence is shaken due to new policies. Nevertheless, Apple has demonstrated resilience to new tariffs, and its underperformance compared to other tech giants indicates plenty of upside potential. The target price remains set at over $260. My large long position is still intact, and my target price will depend on how we manage supports and resistances. I am looking to take profits at over 260 USD.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Discombobulate1
4
Apple Stock Is Surging! Here’s What Most People MissWhen it comes to trading, we don’t care about the latest news headlines or whether some analyst has upgraded or downgraded Apple stock. We focus on one thing and one thing only: the undeniable forces of supply and demand imbalances on higher timeframes. Right now, Apple’s monthly chart is a textbook example of how waiting for a strong demand imbalance pays off. That $178 monthly level is no random number. It’s the exact origin of a massive bullish impulse that happened in June 2024 — the kind of move that only happens when smart money and big institutions step in, creating an imbalance that pushes the price away rapidly. 📈 It’s Not About Fundamentals. It’s About Imbalances. Most retail traders waste time chasing news, earnings, or rumours about iPhone sales. But if you think about it, all those factors are already priced in once a strong imbalance is formed. Institutions don’t wait for tomorrow’s news — they plan their positions weeks or months ahead, and those footprints are visible right on your chart. The $178 level indicates a significant drop in supply and a surge in demand large enough to propel Apple higher, marked by consecutive large bullish candlesticks. That’s our signal — nothing more, nothing less.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
6
$AAPL | Smart Money Concepts Weekly DSS Update Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is approaching a critical decision zone on the weekly SMC structure, where liquidity, volume, and macro pressure converge. 🔎 Key Observations (WaverVanir DSS): 🔺 Premium Zone (240–260) acting as a weak high with multiple CHoCH & BOS confirmations 🔻 Major equilibrium level at ~$181 aligns with EMA 200 & potential downside sweep 📈 Projected upside target: $301.52, contingent on reclaiming premium zone 📉 Breakdown watch: If $211 fails, next liquidity pockets sit between $181 and $120 ⚙️ Volume Profile shows divergence—price rally on declining volume = possible distribution pattern. 🌐 Catalysts to Monitor: Q3 earnings (E icon on chart) China iPhone demand US macro (Fed policy, CPI, yield curve shifts) 🧠 DSS Probability Bias: Neutral to Slight Bullish (17/25 score) → Expect volatility with directional bias forming post-premium test. 📊 Trade Management: Wait for confirmation above $260 for continuation Or short-term bearish setups if price stalls below EMA cluster (~$213) 🧠 Posted by WaverVanir DSS | Quant x Macro x Liquidity Driven #AAPL #SmartMoney #TradingView #MarketStructure #VolumeProfile #LiquidityZones #QuantAnalysis #WaverVanir #AppleStock #MacroTrading #OptionsFlow #TradingSignals #RiskManagement
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
1
AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________ Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026 After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉 Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26 1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence Strength: 9/10 The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖 2. Services Segment Growth Strength: 8.5/10 Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡 3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies Strength: 8/10 Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊 4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle Strength: 7.5/10 The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱 5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification Strength: 7/10 Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽 6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy Strength: 7/10 Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵 7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks Strength: 6.5/10 Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏 8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures Strength: 6/10 The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️ 9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment Strength: 5/10 With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈 10. Smartphone Market Competition Strength: 5/10 Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊 ________________________________________ Analyst Projections for Q4 2025: • Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY) • EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42 • Gross Margin: 45–46% • iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3% • Services Revenue: $25–27B Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊 ________________________________________ Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD) Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 () Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32 UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00 J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00 Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00 Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00 Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00 D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00 TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98 TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProjectSyndicate
58
APPL. Bulls are in ControlHello, I’m TheCafeTrader. This post is for technical traders looking to capitalize on short swings and options. What you’re seeing here are supply and demand zones — areas where liquidity is concentrated. These levels are identified using a system built around footprint data, order flow, and market imbalances. 🔹 Key Observation: I’ve marked a seller that price has now broken above. This tells us that buyers have overpowered a sell-side participant, and are now likely targeting deeper liquidity in the $218–$225 range. 🔹 On Apple’s Behavior: Apple can be slow and choppy at times. So, if you’re trading options, consider going as close to the money as possible and give yourself some time on the contracts. 🔹 New Buyer in the Market: Between $199–$206, a new aggressive buyer has stepped in. This player appears to be pressuring the first line of sellers (labeled “beginning of supply”). 🟢 My Expectation: I expect AAPL to pull back to around $206 before catching a bid. As long as price holds above $199, buyers remain in control. In this range, I anticipate further accumulation by bulls. 🔸 Take Profit Levels: • First TP: Just before the major selling cluster around $218 • Final TP: Deep inside the seller zone near $223 ⸻ 📊 Follow for more short-term analysis. This week, we’re covering both short- and long-term views of the MAG 7. ⸻
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by thecafetrader
APPL, Get Yourself a Good PriceHello This week we are breaking down the MAG7 starting with Apple. This analysis is an aid to help you: 1 Find good price to add to your long term. 2 Hedge your current position. 3 Make a swing trade (we will touch on options pricing as well). Currently Apple is 1 of 5 of the MAG 7 that had not gained a new high since Trump and the tariff scares. Many analysts have given their predictions on where Apples fair value lies and these vary. What they will not tell you is where the institutional buyers and sellers are. Not to worry, this is where we come in Big Buyers and Big Sellers On the chart in front of you, take a look at the 3 different buy and sell zones (otherwise known as supply and demand zones). We find these areas in using a system similar to "imbalances" if you are familiar with the footprint chart, or orderflow. If you had no idea what any of that means, not to worry, I've done the work for you. -The lines represent the fringe of real liquidity . Using this we will be able to help you find how and when you can find a good price for your long term. - Buyers/Sellers: strong motivated liquidity. - Extreme Buyers/sellers Extreme demand, this is an area you could consider a steal. 1 How do you find good pricing? Simply put - Buy with the buyers and sell with the sellers. If you are wanting to add to your long term here are the prices. Do you want to get in ASAP? or are you willing to wait for what could be a great deal. This is important as the end of the year can greatly depend on not just picking a good stock, but finding a great price. Buying Fair - 192 Good - 188-187 GREAT - 180-169 Now if you are in, and maybe you want to hedge the downside (you can do this by shorting the stock, or buying put options (even more in depth you can do spreads). For now we will just focus on Buying Put options and taking profit for swing traders. The Burgundy line "bottom of supply" previously rejected this area twice before (May 1st, and May 14th). July 7th marks the 3rd rejection. It's important to note that the last test pushes a new high, this shows a bit of weakness from the sellers. This weakness suggests we may see the 218-225 Sellers get tested before it comes down. The question is, How strong will the buyers be coming into this zone. If they are aggressing this area with new REAL buyers, Then we may see this run through all these sellers and continue to run until the 245 area. If we do not find real buyers here, then likely we will reject to the pricing marked previously. If you are holding APPLE, you can look to hedge with puts at the end of the 220-223. Since you are looking at about 5-7% downside from apple if the sellers are strong here, look to only spend 2-3% of your apple worth on puts. look for maybe 2-3 weeks out if possible. Secondly if APPL does make a bull run to 245 you can mark this area again to hedge short term puts. look for 8-10%+ downside puts 3-4 weeks out (roughly 3-5% of your apple size) Hedging can be very useful in wanted to keep your long term and navigate some of the ebbs and flows of the market. Notice that the risk of your puts, 2-3% & 3-5%, is half of the expected reaction from these areas. if you get a big rejection, expect these options to pay well. NOTE: If you do not understand the implied volatility (IV's) change the price of options, it is recommended that you stay away from options until you have sufficient experience. It's also important to know how to find a good strike price, and how to know if you are getting a good price. I will be breaking down options pricing in a different time. That's all for Apple, Stay tuned for the rest of the MAG 7!
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by thecafetrader
AAPL BULLISH WEDGEApple previously wedged, and broke out into the 213s. I previously tracked it but didn't enter. As of recent the volume has been thinning and the PA has been consolidating. I believe Apple has potential to breakout once again. The EMAs are also in more of a bullish stack. Hoping to hit somewhere in the 218-230. From a technical standpoint looks good but watch for general market sentiment and other tech stocks / QQQ as many have claimed they're due for a pullback and I agree. If they move Apple moves. Nfa
NASDAQ:AAPL
by machuv0
AAPL at a Pivotal Zone! TA for July 14AAPL at a Pivotal Zone! GEX & Price Action Align for Major Move 📉📈 🧠 GEX Sentiment (Options-Based Insight) * Current Price: $210.53 * GEX Zone Traps: * Below Price: * 🟥 Put Support at $205 (-11.48%) * 🔻 PUT Wall at $200 (-9.06%) — strong floor * Above Price: * 🟩 CALL Walls at: * $212.5 → 29.79% GEX7 * $215 → 38.62% GEX6 (3rd largest resistance) * $217.5 → 11.45% GEX9 * $220 → 39.78% GEX2 (heavy resistance zone) * 🟩 Max GEX Cluster: $215–$220 * 🔺GEX10 spike at $230 → unlikely unless squeeze * IVR/IVX: * IVR: 24 (low volatility environment) * IVX: 34.2 → Soft volatility bounce * Call/Put Flow: * Calls: 3.1% favored * GEX trend: 🌕🌕🌕 (Neutral-to-Bullish if over $212.5) 📦 Interpretation:
Gamma compression is strong near $212.5–$215. If AAPL stays above $210.5 and reclaims $212.5, options market opens up space toward $217.5–$220. Below $207.5 = risk of drop toward $205 then $200 PUT wall. 🕹️ Option Trade Ideas Based on GEX Bullish Strategy (IF Breaks $212.5): * Trade: Buy AAPL 215c or 217.5c (Jul 19 or 26 expiry) * Trigger: Hold above $212.5 * Target: $217.5–$220 * Stop: Break below $209.8 Bearish Strategy (IF Breaks $207.5): * Trade: Buy AAPL 205p or 200p (Jul 19 or 26 expiry) * Trigger: Loss of $207.5 with momentum * Target: $205 → $200 * Stop: Reclaim of $210.5 🔍 1-Hour Chart Analysis (Price Action) * Structure: Sideways consolidation between $207.5–$213.5 * Key Levels: * Demand: $205–$207.5 (Buyers defended) * CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed near $209.8 * Resistance: $213.48 (rejected multiple times) * Trendline: Rising wedge forming under liquidity sweep zone * Liquidity Pools: Resting above $215 and below $205 * FVG/OB Zones: Thin FVG at $209.8–210.5 and mid OB around $207 📈 Scenario 1 (Bullish): * If price bounces off $210 again and breaks $212.5 with volume, watch for sweep of $215–$217.5 * Watch for re-entry above CHoCH/BOS confluence near $211.5 📉 Scenario 2 (Bearish): * If we break $207.5 and fail to reclaim $210.5 → liquidity vacuum opens toward $205 and $200 ✅ My Thoughts & Suggestions * Direction Bias: Neutral > Bullish if $212.5 is claimed, otherwise range-bound. * Best Risk/Reward: Wait for $212.5 breakout confirmation OR $207.5 breakdown. * Scalpers: Use $210.5–212.5 as chop zone — fade edges. * Swing Traders: Only enter on clear breakouts with stop discipline. 🔒 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL - Another Possible BreakoutsHello Everyone, Apple AAPL is the another possible breakouts in my list. Good entry point could be 205-206 , Re-test point. 228-230 is target price for me , which is approx %10 above from 205-206. I tried to draw possible price action on Graphs. Same as I mentioned in GOOG , Apple is Apple and you can get it in every price point for long term. But short term you can watch the these price points that i mentioned to get some gain. This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis. Have a lovely Sunday and good start a Week
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by streak35
AAPL: The Rally Might Not Be OverWhile many tech giants have already reached new all-time highs, Apple is still lagging behind — NASDAQ:AAPL hasn’t yet broken out. This may represent both a risk and an opportunity for latecomers. Investor caution remains due to potential tariffs on Apple products from China, with the decision now postponed until August. This uncertainty may be holding the price back, but could also lead to a strong accumulation phase if no negative headlines emerge in the near term. Technicals: • A breakout above $215 could open the way toward $249 (previous high). • Support at $197 remains strong. • Stochastic is in overbought, but MACD confirms bullish momentum. NASDAQ:AAPL may start catching up with the broader market — especially if tariff fears subside. Watch closely for a confirmed breakout above $215.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ALVO13_official
1
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 18/7Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions. The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back. While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly. Apple has been consolidating in the 210 USD region, forming a smaller flag pattern that is nearing completion. Based on this previous pattern, the next upward move is expected to reach >$220, where consolidation will likely begin again. With Apple’s earnings rapidly approaching and stronger-than-expected results anticipated, July and August could be very positive months for Apple holders. A golden cross appears likely, with the 50-day EMA just $5.50 below the 200-day EMA. This would be very bullish for Apple and could trigger significant interest from both institutional and retail investors. Additionally, Apple has been lagging behind the other “Magnificent Seven” stocks, experiencing considerable selling pressure; however, this trend is now reversing. Apple is shaping up to be a good short-term and long-term hold.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Discombobulate1
Apple Inc Long Setup – Break, Ride, Exit Like a Pro🕵️‍♂️💼 “The Apple Heist: Thief Trader's Masterplan for a Clean Escape” 💸🚀 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Welcome, Money Makers & Market Thieves! 🤑💰💸✈️ This ain’t your average stock analysis — this is a high-level blueprint for the Apple Inc. (AAPL) market heist, built using the Thief Trading Style 🔥📊. We've scouted the field using a mix of technical patterns, market sentiment, and fundamental fuel, and we’re ready to make our move. The plan is set: go long once the resistance wall cracks, and aim for a clean getaway just before the danger zone hits. 🎯 THE PLAN: INFILTRATE, ESCAPE, PROFIT Entry Point: 💥 “The vault’s cracking – the breakout begins at 216.00!” Place Buy Stop orders just above the resistance wall or wait for a pullback to recent swing zones (15M–30M charts work best). 📌 Set your alerts early – you don’t want to miss the opening. 🛑 STOP LOSS - YOUR BACKUP PLAN 🔊 “Listen up, crew: No stop loss until the breakout confirms! Once you’re in, place SL wisely – use the 4H swing low (200.00). Your risk, your rules. Don't get caught slippin’.” 📍 Adjust SL based on lot size, entry volume, and trade size. Protect your stash. 🏁 TARGET ZONE: 🎯 Heist Target = 232.00 (Or bail early if the heat's on – you know the drill.) ⚠️ SCALPERS & SWINGERS 💸 Long side only – don’t fight the wave. 🧲 Scalpers: Get in, grab the cash, trail the stop. 📈 Swing Traders: Hold firm. This setup has legs. 🔎 WHY WE’RE ROBBING THIS CHART: Apple’s bullish momentum is fueled by: 📌 Strong institutional sentiment 📌 Earnings strength 📌 Index rotation and positioning 📌 COT data & macro tailwinds Get the full scope: fundamentals, macro outlook, positioning data, sentiment, and intermarket dynamics 🔗📊. Stay sharp – stay informed. 📰 NEWS ALERTS & POSITION MANAGEMENT 🚨 Avoid new entries during high-impact news releases. 🏃 Use trailing SLs to lock profits and exit clean. 💖 BOOST THE CREW — STRENGTH IN NUMBERS 🚀 Hit that BOOST button if this helped you steal a profitable trade. Your support powers our heist team. Let’s keep making money the Thief Way – with style, planning, and confidence. 🎉💪🏆 📌 NOTE FROM HQ: This analysis is for educational purposes. It’s not personalized financial advice. Manage your trades responsibly. Conditions can shift quickly — stay updated and flexible. Stay in the shadows and move smart. 🐱‍👤 💬 Drop a comment, hit like, share with your gang – the market's a vault, and we’re the codebreakers. See you on the next heist, Thief Fam. 🤑🔥🕶️💼
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by The-Thief
AAPL Set for a Breakout? | Technical Checklist & Projections ▍Observation & Context ▪ AAPL has been moving sideways within a clearly defined range for the past three months . ▪ On July 07 , price tested the range resistance decisively, showing some interest in the upside. → Let's first explore the bullish breakout scenario. ▍What Makes a Good Breakout ? Before we talk about targets, let’s define what a good breakout looks like: ▪ A strong bullish candle breaking through the resistance in one clean move . ▪ Followed by a retest of the broken resistance (now acting as support). ▪ After that, price should ideally: 1. Form a higher low , and 2. Reach the next resistance or target zone before pulling back. ▍Target Price – Method 1: Extension of the Range 🔹 Near-Term Target: 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci Extension - A common zone where momentum often pauses. - Aligns with the previous high from the last downtrend. - Technically, to reverse a trend, price needs to take out the previous high. Even though the range has “cooled off” the pressure, we still respect that level. 🔹 Ultimate Target: 2x Range Extension - Represents a 100% projection of the previous range. - Commonly used in range breakout targets. 🔹 Dream Target: 2.618x Fibonacci Extension - Aligns with the start of the last downtrend , adding significance to the level. - Often marks the exhaustion point of strong trends. ▍Target Price – Method 2: Projection from Higher Low Note: The new higher low is not yet confirmed at the time of writing. The levels below assume an upward breakout without dropping below 207.22 . However, the same logic can be applied once the higher low forms. 🔹 Near-Term Target: Same as Method 1 🔹 Ultimate Target: 100% Projection of Prior Swing - Projecting the prior swing (from previous low to recent high) from the new higher low . - This level also aligns with the 1.5–1.618x Fibonacci extension of that swing, increasing its significance. 🔹 Dream Target: Another 100% projection - Rare, but happens when momentum is very strong . - In such cases, price might skip any retracement and launch directly into a second leg , equal to the previous swing. - Here, the level aligns perfectly with the start of the last downtrend , just like the 2.618x extension in Method 1. ▋Mental Notes ▪ No one knows for sure if the breakout will be real or fake. But when it happens, knowing what to look for and where price might go next gives us a clear plan of action . ▪ The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow. ▋Not Financial Advice The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by stock_adelie
Apple: Consolidation Before Potential Breakout Toward $260Apple shares have recently pulled back into a consolidation phase. We see further upside potential in magenta wave (B) before a pullback occurs as part of the same-colored wave (C), which is expected to target the low of green wave . After that, we anticipate a new upward move: Green wave should take over—remaining above support at $168—and drive the stock toward the next major resistance at $260.10. However, if the price drops back below the $168 support level, our alternative scenario comes into play: in that case, we would expect a lower low for blue wave alt.(IV), with a probability of 32%. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do (for more: look to the right).
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MarketIntel
How Sell Side Institutions Move Price: BuybacksThere are Buy Side Institutions, aka Dark Pools, and there are Sell Side Institutions, the Money Center Banks and Giant Financial Services companies. These two groups dominate the market activity and move price in entirely different ways and for entirely different reasons. Sell Side Institutions are short-term TRADERS. They are not allowed, nor do they wish, to hold stocks for the long term. The Sell Side trades stocks and has the most experienced, most talented, and most sophisticated floor traders in the world. Buy Side Dark Pools have floor traders as well but they are strictly long-term investment companies managing the 401ks, pension funds, ETF long-term investments on behalf of the Middle Class of America and, in some instances, other nations. Sell Side Institutions may buy a stock and hold for a few weeks or months but strictly for the short-term profits. The Sell Side are also the Banks of Record who do the BUYBACKS on behalf of the Corporation which has made the decision by the Corporation's Board of Directors to do a buyback program, which tend to last many months or longer. Corporations do not have stock traders on staff. So the Bank of Record does the actual buying of the shares of stock. The reasons for doing a Buyback: To lower the outstanding shares which can create some momentum runs during high buying demand from retail groups and other investors. Buybacks are intended to move price UPWARD in runs. The price range is established by the corporation. The runs are created by the Bank of Record. Buybacks also increase dividend yields for long term investors, including pension fund investors. NASDAQ:AAPL has a mega buyback that was approved in May but has just started now. Buybacks can be a great strategy for trading stocks this year as many corporations will be doing buybacks due to the reduction of their taxes and more benefits to corporations. Now is the time to start watching for buyback runs.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 7/7Apple has faced prolonged downward pressure from bearish investors. Despite its best efforts and some dips, the stock has steadily maintained a baseline price of 200 USD. The flag pattern required some adjustments along its path to break out, primarily due to geopolitical issues and economic variables. Ultimately, Apple broke out to the upside in the week of June 30th, as predicted in my earlier posts. This breakout resulted from end-of-Q2/H1 sell pressure, delivering a 7.56% gain or 15 USD. This is a very bullish sign for Apple, and with the tailwinds forming for September product releases, we can expect further gains as traders return and volume increases. If Apple follows its historical profit trajectory (see pink line), we could see a new all-time high (ATH) in the region of 270 USD in September. The green resistance and support levels are highlighted, and I may use these to adjust my position, considering whether to short or go long once confirmation is established on the daily timeframe. Apple has significantly underperformed compared to the other Magnificent 7 stocks, but I don’t believe it’s a company you should bet against in the current climate. With a slow rollout of AI and recent statements from Apple, they may not always be first to market, but they generally execute well. The remarks regarding Sony, Samsung, and Netflix by Apple were very revealing and demonstrate a solid long-term strategy. However, there may be some bumps along the way as they work toward their goals, potentially involving acquisitions. The fear spread in the media is similar to the FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) often associated with Bitcoin, and this is typically a good time to buy. Remember the saying: if retail investors miss the boat, it’s gone, but if institutions miss it, they often bring the boat back. While this is not financial advice, based on the green weekly candle, it's hard not to pay attention, and Apple may now have a very positive year ahead! Especially with the weakening dollar and reports stating that this will benefit them greatly. My large long position is still intact, and my target price will depend on how we manage supports and resistances. I am looking to take profits at over 260 USD.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Discombobulate1
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