AAPL trade ideas
Topping Pattern Ahead of Earnings: AAPLNASDAQ:AAPL needs to have a great earnings report on August 1st but it has a topping formation at the moment, after huge speculation from promoting something that is not yet proven to increase sales. You can't take hope to the bank. Speculation occurred as investors assumed that AI would sell more new iPhones in droves. This earnings report will reveal reality one way or another.
There is a negative divergence between the price trend and accumulation/distribution suggesting there may have been quiet rotation against the retail speculation.
Apple POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current 0.618 FIB ZONE. Based on market trend, the market is still bullish both on Weekly and Daily. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
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AAPL-US STOCKSAAPL is showing reversal at with divergence in RSI , IF it break its last LH with trendline
SELL with risk define below HIGH
AAPL Support and Resistance Levels and Options225 is a major level for AAPL it is shown that a previous support on 225 back in July became a resistance. There is also a spread in the options chain where if the price stays below 225 then 220, 215, and 200 will get sold as well. so far we are still under 225 so we remain bearish. however there is a lot of spread pinned in 220. if we go above 220 we can see 232.5 and 240 but below that we are still targeting 215, 210 and 200.
AAPL: The Next Key Points to Watch (D & H charts).On the daily chart, AAPL exhibits a clear upward trend supported by the 21-day EMA, which stands around 221. This moving average has provided a robust support level throughout the recent price action. The stock recently tested this level near 220.20, which acts as a double support comprising the 21-day EMA and a horizontal support line. This confluence of support levels suggests a strong area where buyers might step in.
On the hourly chart, the bearish pivot point at 232.33 has been triggered, indicating potential short-term weakness. This point marks a significant level where the price reversed its previous upward movement, leading to a lower high and lower low formation. The declining trendline connecting these lower highs and lows highlights the bearish sentiment in the short term. The 21-hour EMA is a dynamic resistance now, reinforcing the downward bias during this period.
These technical factors suggest that while the daily chart maintains a strong uptrend with significant support, the hourly chart indicates potential short-term weakness that we should monitor closely. Since it is a bull trend, any bullish reaction around the double support level would present another buying opportunity. For now, we should be cautious and wait for more clues.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Mag 7 Bounce?Bloody today so far, no real signs of support that I see. VX is stalling near last week's highs though and there are a lot of stocks coming into critical support. Would not be surprised to see a bounce here. The mag 7 is retesting it's major trendline it broke above for the first time. Also, ES is at demand an near 5500. NQ is also at demand. The April uptrend on SPY and QQQ is now broken, so gotta be careful.
I think we may be due for a relief bounce here, especially if NVDA can hold on to $118. If not, it'll probably get a lot worse and fast.
APPLE Sell Cycle Trading PlanAPPLE
Sell cycle:
Open@210
Close @189
Plan:
Entry1: 40% Size: 10% Capital Leverage: 4X Exit: 40% Profit
Entry2: 50% Size: 10% Capital Leverage: 5X Exit: 50% Profit
Apple's Highest Dollar Volume Day EVERI was pretty surprised to see that just a few weeks ago, on a random summer June day, over 51 billion dollars worth of Apple was traded.
That's 51 BILLION DOLLARS of Apple traded in just 24 hours.
After doing some research I also realized that this was a record for Apple. At no other point in history has this much Apple traded. This is hard to ignore for any large investor and it has me thinking the following:
1. What large investor exited this position?
2. By extension, which large investor bought the position?
3. There's no way this was just day trading volume, clearly there was a large change of hands and ownership.
4. For $51 billion worth of trading activity, it's also fascinating the stock barely moved during that transaction. Perhaps it was at an agreed upon price.
We all know Buffett has an outsized stake, as do others, is it possible one of them just exited? And who was the buyer? An ETF or Mutual Fund?
I'll be watching the filings closely going forward to see who this was and what it says about Apple's potential. If it turns out to be Buffett, and knowing his skillful investment approach, I do think that'll be a rather critical sign for Apple's future.
Buy call option – at the money / in the money / out of the moneyDefinitions
Buy call option – a stock option is the right to buy a stock (but not the obligation) at a certain price for a limited period of time. The price at which the stock may be bought is called the striking price.
Three terms describe the relationship between the stock price and the options striking price: At the money / In the money / Out of the money
For example; stock XYZ trade at $100
At the money – the strike price of the option is $100
In the money - the strike price of the option is $90
Out of the money – the strike price of the option is $110
The strike price is one of the 6 factors that determine the price of the option.
Those factors are:
1. The price of the stock
2. The strike price of the option
3. The time until the option expires
4. The volatility of the stock also called “implied volatility”
5. The risk-free interest rate (usually the 90-day treasury bills)
6. The dividend rate of the stock.
The last two have less influence on the option price.
The option pricing has two elements, “time premium” and “intrinsic value”.
In this post, I’m not going to elaborate on those two. (But they are important to understand).
The Delta
The delta of an option is the amount by which the call option will increase or decrease in price if the stock moves by 1 point. The values of the delta are between zero to one, if the call option is in the money the delta is closer to 1 if the call option is out of the money the delta is closer to 0.
For example; if the stock option has a delta value of 0.8, this means that if the stock increases or decreases in price by $1 per share, the option price will rise or fall by $0.8.
The option pricing is based on a partial differential equation because of that the behaver of the option pricing is not linear, as we can see from the charts.
In the right chart, we see In the money option with a delta of 0.92, meaning the option price is behaving very similar to the stock price, we see that the lines are nearly flat.
In the left chart, we see Out of the money option with a delta of 0.12, meaning the option price does not move like the stock price, for every $1 the stock will move the option price will move $0.12.
Also, note the difference between the profit lines, to make 3 points with In the money option the stock needs to move to above $190, but the Out of the money option needs only to move above $145.
This was the profit side, the losing side as you can see if the stock will remain at the same place the In the money options will break-even while the Out of the money options will expire worthless and will lose 1 point.
The options that were used (input):
Right chart: Option price -> $25.9, Stock price -> $115 , Strike price -> 90$ , Interest rate -> 0 , Days to expire -> 56 , Implied volatility -> 40.8%
Left chart: Option price -> $1.17, Stock price -> $115 , Strike price -> $140 , Interest rate -> 0 , Days to expire -> 56 , Implied volatility -> 40.8%
One option contract is the right to buy 100 shares so the cost for the options would be: $2590 and $117 respectively, not include commissions.
For clarification: If you hold it to expiration and it is not worthless, that means you need to buy 100 shares at the strike price, $9000 in the right chart, $14,000 in the left chart. (not include what you already paid)
#AAPL to the dirty NASDAQ:AAPL Dark cloud cover on the weekly looking a bear week for AAPL well the start of the week
Apple will now probably test support down towards USD 190.00Technical Analysis of Apple Inc. (ticker on Nasdaq: AAPL)
The Apple share has shown strong development both in the short and long term, and within an upward trend.
Now it is sometimes the case that even strong trends come to an end, (cf. chart back to the strong rise for the share in the first half of 2023).
Now the share has shown a correspondingly strong development in the past six months, but now the share may face another downward correction, and within the long-term upward trend that the share is moving within.
There are occasional downward corrections and testing of support levels such as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and another such test of key technical support levels is now indicated by the overall technical picture for Apple stock.
That will mean a correction down to around USD 188.00 - 208.00.
There may well be a correction down to the lower trend line in the long-term rising trend as well, and in that case it will mean a correction down to around USD 180.00 - 185.00.
The overall technical picture for the Apple share, short-term and long-term, therefore now signals a correction for the share, and to somewhere between USD 180.00 - 208.00.
On Friday, the share ended at USD 224.38.
AAPL expected correction and buying areaDue to an engulfing pattern and completion of 5 wave impulsive Elliott wave pattern, I expect Apple to correct to price levels below in black from where I expect it to rally to new all time high.
AAPl: Breakout and RetestBreakout and Retest
Disclaimer: only for education purposes, no buy or sell recommendation. we are not sebi registered. always discuss first with your financial advisors
Magnificent 7 Long IdeaThe mag 7 has finally pulled back some, things seem rough right now, but I think we could see a bounce soon. We have this major trendline that we broke above previously, I expect it to hold. If it doesn't, yet another fakeout to the upside that will likely cause a lot more damage in the future.
$AAPL short term range $242-214Think NASDAQ:AAPL is likely to continue the trend higher here and squeeze up to the $242 level.
Once we hit that, I do think we'll see a sharp selloff back down to the $214 level.
My plan is to enter puts once we hit the top level because I think we should see a swift pullback and there should be large gains to come from that.
I'll update as price action continues to play out.
Apple (AAPL) Stock Pulls Back Within Bullish ChannelThis chart displays the stock price movement of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) over a period from late April to mid-July 2024. Here's an analysis of the key features:
1. Trend: Apple's stock is in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending channel defined by green and red trend lines.
2. Current price action: The most recent candle shows a significant drop, with the price at $224.18, down $4.70 (-2.05%) from the previous close.
3. Support and resistance: The lower boundary of the channel (green line) may act as support if the price continues to fall. The upper boundary (red line) has been serving as resistance.
4. Volume: The volume bars at the bottom show trading activity. There's been consistent volume throughout the period, with some spikes coinciding with price movements.
5. Price levels: The stock has moved from around $170 at the start of the chart to over $220, representing significant growth.
6. Recent pullback: After reaching the upper boundary of the channel, the price has pulled back, which could be a normal retracement within the uptrend or the start of a larger correction.
7. Market sentiment: Despite the overall bullish trend, the recent sharp pullback might indicate some short-term bearish sentiment or profit-taking.
In conclusion, while Apple's stock has been in a strong uptrend within the ascending channel, the recent pullback suggests some caution. Traders and investors might be watching to see if the price finds support at the lower channel boundary or if this could be the beginning of a more significant correction. The stock's ability to maintain its position within the channel will be crucial for determining the continuation of the uptrend.
My Latest Open Source Indicator: Stef's Dollar Volume CounterStef's Dollar Volume Counter is my second script that I've worked on and coded. It is free and open source for everyone! Get it here:
I am proud of this script because it does something very, very important: it counts the amount of money traded, not just the number of shares or contracts. In this educational post, I want to share why I think it matters and explain some concepts of markets along the way.
1. This is key for understanding where the big and small money is flowing in the market. By focusing on the dollar volume, traders can gain insights into liquidity and significant money movements over time.
2. Watch the money, not the shares. This script is totally different from other volume scripts because it shows the amount of money traded, not just the shares, contracts, or coins. More importantly, it stands out from other volume indicators because it specifically showcases dollar volume amounts either as a table or a label. This focus helps traders track the sheer money movements.
3. Know your perspective! I personally am most pleased with two important features that the indicator offers: it shows the Dollar Volume Counter table that illustrates the highest and lowest and average dollar volumes over a specific period that YOU can customize in the settings menu.
Fun little feature: In the spirit of Doge, I added a text lable that says "Wow! Much Money!" which highlights the top three recent highest dollar volumes within the visible chart area, emphasizing significant trading periods. You can toggle this on or off in the settings menu.
Thanks for reading! I look forward to hearing your feedback.
Apple - Caution at the all time high!NASDAQ:AAPL just created a new all time high, however we have to be quite careful now.
Trading cycles in an overall uptrend is one of the most profitable trading approaches. You are trying to capitalize on the major upswings and missing out on the major downswings. Apple is currently retesting resistance and probably creating the top of the previous cycle. I am waiting for a move back to support before we will then see the next major bullish cycle on Apple.
Levels to watch: $240, $170
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AAPL - Magazine Cover Setup!
In February 2024, we published an analysis indicating a sell in two targets; however, only one target was achieved.
Apple showed resilience and continued its stable path of continuous appreciation.
An Elephant Bar was what broke the resistance line, and the operation still has the support of the Fiboclouds that aligned and compacted in the H4, D, and W timeframes. This movement suggests a continued breakout towards the first target.
We project the best buy point to be a pullback equivalent to a 2/3 correction of the Elephant Bar candle that initiated the breakout. If this projection is realized in practice, and a partial realization occurs at the first target, the stop loss should be moved from its initial position to the same line where the position was entered.
This way, the journey towards the final target will proceed with reduced risk of losses and the preservation of the partial gains achieved so far.
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150 Follo(W)er Double Bottom on #61Fib Thank you to all the new followers out there.
For your dedication, here is a very nice simple setup imo.
The W / Double bottom is clear, and its on a nice Fibonacci level here as well...
Target; $240 by end of Summer.
I expect Apple to integrate more and more AI with every update / new product , and it's not that bold of a call.
NEXT CHART @ 300 Followers ;)
(I'm trying to relax here!)
AAPL short to $190-$200 rangeJust pattern recognition encouraged by expected overall markets pullback thanks to US elections.
