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ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC CEDEARS (EACH 10 REP 1 COM USD0.01)ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC CEDEARS (EACH 10 REP 1 COM USD0.01)ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC CEDEARS (EACH 10 REP 1 COM USD0.01)

ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC CEDEARS (EACH 10 REP 1 COM USD0.01)

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AMDC trade ideas

Be careful with AMD !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company are 14.5% overvalued and should reach a price of $137. The reason for the recent decline in AMD shares is due to cautious statements at Morgan Stanley. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) shares fell more than 3% on Tuesday following cautious comments from Morgan Stanley, highlighting concerns over the company's AI supply chain strategy. Analysts noted that AMD appears to have reduced its wafer bookings for MI325 at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. Morgan Stanley stated, 'It appears that AMD has reduced some of its CoWoS wafer bookings at TSMC for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. This move indicates AMD's conservative approach to managing potential demand volatility for its AI processors.' However, Morgan Stanley analysts added that Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) quickly absorbed the vacated capacity at TSMC, emphasizing Nvidia's aggressive positioning in the AI market. The bank's note also provides insight into broader trends in the semiconductor industry, indicating that other companies are ramping up production. For instance, Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) tripled its CoWoS bookings for 2025 compared to 2024. Meanwhile, Intel's Habana division kept its wafer bookings at TSMC unchanged, indicating stability in its AI-related production. The cautious tone from analysts on AMD follows a period of intense competition in the AI space, with Nvidia strengthening its leadership. The note also mentions that 'WPG's sales in the third quarter grew 25% quarter-over-quarter, compared to previous guidance of only 5.5% quarter-over-quarter growth,' with the bank noting 'increased business from AMD processors and GPUs.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by CobraVanguard
2
AMD Bullish Inverse Head & Shoulder SetupSummary: AMD has been in a multi week (beginning 11/12) inverse head & shoulders pattern that formed within a broader descending channel. There is very little selling pressure on the current test of inverse H&S neckline (142.9) and trendline resistance so I would expect a small, low volume pullback before we get a breakout above the neckline and full reversal. In addition to this, AMD just broke above the 20d SMA and in previous reversal crossovers this year, they were followed by significant uptrends (see Aug’24 and Sep’24 for reference). Bullish Thesis is valid unless the right shoulder fails to form; my preference would be a small right shoulder forming above 139.7 buy zone. Trade Plan: Day trade or swing calls on a break above 142.9 with expectations of bullish run to 145 & 148. Stop loss would be 20% or failed breakout and loss of 140.9. I will likely be looking for 2-3 week expirations and 145C. Risk vs Reward: +$5 upside, -$2 downside (2.5:1)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by brycat23
AMD Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst Cyclic AnalysisIt’s been a while since my last update on AMD. Looking at the wave structure, I believe we are currently in a complex pullback, correcting the bullish move from October 2022 to March 2024. This correction appears to be a double zigzag, and we’re in the process of completing wave A of the second zigzag (labeled 'y'). Analyzing the cycles, we can see that the trough from October 2023 aligns with an 80-week (80W) cycle trough and the trough in August 2024 aligns with a 40-week (40W) cycle. Currently, I’m expecting the first 20-week (20W) cycle of this 40W cycle, which is actually the second 40W cycle in the 80W cycle, to occur around December 18th. This would correspond to wave A of the y leg of the larger wave II in the wave analysis. Following this, I anticipate a rally that should take us higher before the extreme bearish phase begins as we approach the 80W cycle trough, which is expected in early April 2025. There is an alternative (less likely) bullish scenario to keep in mind. If wave B becomes more strongly bullish, I would shift my bias to that scenario. However, until that happens, my preferred view remains as shown in the chart.
NASDAQ:AMD
by bamdadsalarieh
AMD Potential LongChart has been very bearish lately. Not really sure what AMD wants to do, looking at the daily chart it looks like AMD could bounce off the 130 support level and into the 155-160 range. With that being said I think that there could be the possibility that it trades sideways into the 145-150 range. Going to have to wait and see what it gives us in the coming days, next week could be a big tell all. If the price breaks that 130 support range look for a drop into the 122-110 range and possibly the 100 range. P.S first idea so don't crucify me if its wrong. I will update this if I decide to take a position.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Swigs
2
Better alternative for Nvidia NASDAQ:AMD might be a better alternative to NASDAQ:NVDA right now. Here are a few reasons why: 1. AMD has recently demonstrated stronger data center growth compared to Nvidia. 2. Nvidia appears to have reached a peak, with its revenue growth unlikely to remain as significant as before. 3. Nvidia's growth margins are slowing and even showing slight declines. 4. Nvidia's high stock price lacks a clear outlook for substantial gains. Considering these points, I believe AMD has the potential to outperform Nvidia in the coming months. However, AMD first needs to break out of its current downtrend. If that happens, I plan to reduce my Nvidia position and allocate it to AMD.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Glancu
Bullish Reversal on AMD with Trendline SupportAMD’s price action shows a strong upward trendline support, recently rebounding off this line around $143, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. This technical setup aligns with AMD’s solid fundamentals, including its growing presence in the server CPU market, stable financial performance, and ambitions in the AI sector. While AMD currently trails NVIDIA in AI market share, it has made strategic moves to position itself for growth in this high-potential area. This setup could see AMD moving toward previous resistance levels in the $170–$175 range. Fundamental Strengths : Dominant Position in the Server CPU Market : AMD has steadily gained market share in the high-performance server CPU segment, particularly with its EPYC processors. Leveraging advancements in power efficiency and performance, AMD’s server CPUs are increasingly adopted by major cloud providers and enterprise data centers. This expansion supports a robust revenue base and strengthens AMD’s positioning against competitors like Intel in the server and data center markets, a high-growth area driven by AI and data-centric applications. Solid Financials: AMD has consistently demonstrated strong financials, showing year-over-year revenue growth and improving gross margins. The company's strong balance sheet, with healthy cash reserves and manageable debt, gives it the flexibility to continue investing in R&D and expand market share. Additionally, the revenue from high-margin segments, such as data centers, boosts profitability and provides stability amid broader market volatility. AI Ambitions : While NVIDIA currently dominates the AI GPU market, AMD is actively pursuing growth in this space with its MI200 and MI300 series GPUs, targeting data centers and high-performance computing (HPC) applications. Although it has yet to capture significant AI market share, AMD’s commitment to AI development reflects a strategic ambition to diversify and tap into the growing demand for AI and machine learning hardware. As the AI market expands, AMD’s advances may gradually open new revenue streams, especially in areas complementary to its existing strengths in CPUs. Potential Trade Setup: Entry : Consider entering a long position (or a call option) around the current price of $143-145, leveraging the trendline support and AMD's promising growth outlook across multiple sectors. Target : Aim for a price target near $170, where previous highs could act as resistance, especially if positive sentiment around AMD's server CPU and AI ambitions builds. Stop-Loss : Place a stop-loss just below the trendline, around $135, to manage downside risk if the stock breaks below support.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Maleven11