DE - Elliottwave analysis - dump and pump set up DE - It is in strong impulse up cycle and within 4th wave down. Sell with stop level above 260.75 at current level for target around 240 or lower. After completing 4th wave, it will start 5th wave up for new high above 270 or higher.
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DED trade ideas
DE to $200 possibly and here is whyLooking at the chart there is significant upside for the production equipment companies. Farms still have to produce product and consumer good prices have risen dramatically over the past few months. Only concern is the commercial food industry Sysco didn't report all that well and that is where a lot of the food supply goes to. Short term target is still $200 based on charts.
DE Bull Flag Breakout NYSE:DE is a ticker I have kept my eye on for a little now. It fell into sideways movement after maintaining a strong bullish trend. It formed a bull flag and broke out of the upper bound at the close of the 6.25 session. This is a strong breakout signal supported by a MACD crossover underneath the zero line. This, along with analyst price target upgrade to 165, involvement in agriculture sector that reaps benefit from the recent China Phase 2 deal, and potential 2 trillion dollar infrastructure aid, makes me believe that we may enter a strong bullish trend from this breakout. Keep your eyes peeled
Deer following Cat down this week. 5%-20% short gains possibleDE is showing a strong bearish MACD-histogram divergence following a second failed attempt close the gap-down and break resistance at 147.
CAT's (same big machinery bucket) earnings miss, downgrade and refusal to give guidance might weigh on DE too.
Next support levels down are at the 129.50 (~5% down), and then 110 (~20% down).
Deere & Co Jumps On Farmer Confidence Will possible range between POC and ATH resistance
Best to wait for a confirmed breakout before looking to trade the stock.
EARNings Highlights
(Bloomberg) -- Machinery giant Deere & Co. delivered better-than-expected quarterly results and maintained its outlook for the year as early signs of stabilization in the U.S. farm sector offset a slowdown in construction. Shares surged.
“Farmer confidence, though still subdued, has improved due in part to hopes for a relaxation of trade tensions and higher agricultural exports,” Chief Executive Officer John May said in a statement accompanying its fiscal first quarter results.
While the CEO didn’t mention the coronavirus in the statement, his comments may help ease concerns about how much the outbreak will delay China’s return to U.S. agricultural markets as laid out in the phase one trade deal. American farmers have been cautious on replacing large equipment, Deere’s top moneymaker.
Earnings Highlights
Deere maintained its fiscal 2020 guidance, forecasting a range of $2.7 billion to $3.1 billion. That compares with the $2.9 billion average analyst estimate.
The company’s cautiously optimistic view on agriculture contrasts with the results of a survey released Thursday in which more than half of U.S. farmers said they planned to spend less on capital equipment this year. Fundamentals for American farming remain challenged with increasing competition from South America and the Black Sea region compounded by a strong dollar. Two of Deere’s peers issued disappointing 2020 outlooks.
As Deere reduces production to work through excess inventory and faces weaker demand, Bloomberg Intelligence expects a slow start to fiscal 2020.
Precision Ag
“The Coronavirus has driven investors to a defensive positioning in machinery and Deere has been the defensive play,” Stephens analyst Ashish Gupta said in a Feb. 18 report. “The long-term thesis centers around Deere coming out the farm machinery winner due to investments in precision ag and we do not think an F1Q results shortfall is likely to change that.”
The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.63 a share for the quarter, up from $1.54 a year ago. The average analyst estimate was $1.25. Company-wide sales fell 6%, dragged down by lower construction and forestry shipment volume and unfavorable currency effects.
Shares, down 4.3% this year, rose about 7% before the start of regular trading Friday. Investors will be looking for more detail on the company’s prospects for this year in light of coronavirus on a conference call scheduled for 10 a.m. in New York.
Source Bloomberg