Ford potential H&S setup?Ford could be about looks like a H&S setup could be in the making on F a break below the neckline would confirm
F trade ideas
FORD'S DOWNFALL PT. 2Price is currently sitting on a support line struggling to hold it. I believe in the next coming weeks we could see a break of this support and see price drop lower into the $10-$8. I will be looking for a put option once price pulls back for a retest (white arrows).
Ford and what to doPre-Sales of the Lightning were stellar. Haven't seen a truck on the streets as of yet but 2022 models were sold out and delivered.
2023 Models are being sold as we speak.
Also that Ford Electric network isn't the greatest thing on Earth which compounds things
Ford is still in the downtrend towards earnings. I wouldnt anticipate it breaking out until once we get numbers on how successfully 2023 is going.
Trending 222 Bearish on the daily and I expect it to continue.
Short on Ford until a week before earnings is my non-financial advise.
F 4/28 12P
FORD GOING THROUGH WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION: PROFITABLE ENTRIES SOONIf you are new to Wyckoff accumulation or distribution, please visit school.stockcharts.com
Unless you are familiar with the different steps in the Wyckoff method, some of the terminology and price stages will not make any sense to you, so I encourage you to read up on Wyckoff theories.
A couple of points to know:
-Fed is releasing expected rates tomorrow. Some say an almost 50% chance that they will ease rate increase down. No matter which way it goes, I believe that the rate increase (at any point basis) has already been "built into the cake", so to speak. I believe most people are net short the entire market structure, which makes for a very painful lesson to the common trader when market makers find liquidity to offset retail trader sheep behavior.
-Ford itself is at least short term accumulating while the markets in general are quietly building up steam to break short sighted sellers that only equate an economy in turmoil into market selloffs.
-Think about it... If shorting the market in general at a time when market weakness and fear are at an all time high was lucrative, THE COMMON RETAIL TRADER WOULD BE A MILLIONAIRE. But you're not... So why isn't it that easy? Because if it was, everyone would literally be doing it.
-Market structure strives on one main component: the majority cannot win. And if the majority are all going one way, it better not be the right way, or their way must be altered or manipulated to be the wrong way. This is the only way to keep the powerful in power, and power structures intact.
-The only way to survive as a trader is to recognize when that altering (or better yet, manipulating) is being done.
What to understand about the chart:
-Liquidity is what drives the market. Better yet, what drives the market makers.
-To understand when there is a fundamental shift (or reversal) by a market maker, you have to understand the signals they give, to give yourself a chance to get into the market with them.
-Markets in general are directional towards either supply, or demand. THE WAY PRICE REACTS TO LIQUIDITY IS WHAT ULTIMATELY DETERMINES REVERSALS.
-In Ford's case, the market structure changed to go towards the upside of liquidity last Monday. Market makers are now reacting to that shift, and manipulating the markets to position themselves for the perfect profit opportunity.
-This is where Wyckoff's work comes into play...... Once we have established that the market made a change in behavior, the Wyckoff structure begins to form. (In this case, being an accumulation pattern since we have shifted from price falling from liquidity, to all of a sudden pushing above it).
*I WILL BE MAKING A VIDEO ABOUT THIS SHORTLY TO EXPLAIN IN DETAIL*
(NOTE: FORD IS AN OPTIONABLE STOCK, SO YOU CAN "SHORT" IT BY PURCHASING PUT OPTIONS WHEN THE TIME COMES)
F putIn a good day, $F can't even stay positive.
Bought March 17th $16.35 put for $3.3
My breakeven is $13.05, the premium is almost 0 :)
Set a close price $3.55
FordMotor, 10d+/70.03%rising cycle 70.03% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
Fall FORD? Ford is currently sitting below a weaker support zone showing weak buying momentum back into the area of support which could possibly be indicating a retest of the support to continue its overall down trend.
FLong idea break out the resistence and pull back if its can reject the previos resistence we can look for entry
$F with a bullish outlook following its earnings #StocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for $F after a positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 60%.
FORD'S DOWNFALLPrice has been forming a descending triangle over the past few months after its quick drop from $25 to $11 in the first half of 2022. On top of this information, we can spot a gravestone doji when price tried to break out of this descending triangle but failed.
Ford, might be a long!I really like this set up but I don't feel super good about overall market paired with this. The TA is here, trade at your own risk.
$FORD - Triangle BreakoutThird consecutive upward swing breaking above the 50 EMA.
Candle not yet closed, but all remain unchanged, this is an above average sized bullish candle ... which is just as well depicted in the RSI plot.
The bulls have the momentum. There are converging technical hints vouching for their case.
On the not so bright side, volume is not ideal and there are plenty of overhead obstacles just ahead of the price.
No matter what you do: manage risk, manage risk, manage risk, manage risk ....
F seems to have peakedFord's cycle analysis seems to indicate a peak for the near term (Earnings is a wild card here). Its also hitting up against 78.6% short term Fib levels at $13.86. With Ford cutting its prices on Mach-E will out pressure on revenue and Ford would have to increase its sale (hopefully due to demand from reduced prices).
As cycles indicate a peaking and with ER around the corner, I am out of this position for now. ER could be the deciding factor to see if Ford still remains within the cyclic channels or if the cycles need to shift.
Disclaimer: My opinion on stocks are mine alone and not to be taken as Investment advice.
F Ford Motor Options Ahead of EarningsFord follows Tesla’s example and cuts price on Mustang Mach-E from as little as $600 to as large as $6,000. Most notable are the cuts to the Premium eAWD Standard range model, which takes it to $53,999 from $57,676.
Looking at the F Ford Motor options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $13.5 strike price Calls with
2023-2-3 expiration date for about
$0.21 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Ford Double topDouble top showing here. Very high chance of this falling back to 11$ in near future
The double top is the minor pattern at play here.
The major pattern is the descending triangle that will take this back to single digits
$F: Bullish trendI'm not particularly fond of $F's CEO as of late, but he is the one doing a less worse job when it comes from transitioning from ICE to EV among legacy firms, so I give Jim that. Setup here is good and there is a gigantic YEARLY scale uptrend signal in the stock, so as long as it holds over yearly support, it could catapult the stock WAY up over time. Setup here is decent, and offers a nice swing trade op for us.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Ford levels below 11 continue to attract.Ford - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 11.21 (stop at 10.55)
Levels below 11 continue to attract buyers.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 12.77 and 13.07
Resistance: 13.50 / 14.00 / 14.60
Support: 12.50 / 12.00 / 11.00
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$F Trade Idea - Ford aims to cut 3,200 German, factory jobs $F Trade Idea
Calls over $12.45
Targets: $12.85, $12.93
Puts under $12.08
Targets: $11.88
Ford shares and trucks are getting traction in 2023In just two weeks, Ford shares (F) soared from $10.86 (USD) to $13.42. Traders are wondering what’s causing the surge and whether it will continue throughout 2023.
Ford’s EV truck is racing ahead of competitors
Among investors and traders, there are two things everyone understands about the automotive industry: trucks drive massive profits for manufacturers, and electric vehicles are the future. Ford's electric vehicle sales are surging, but the brand's future success may depend on one car.
Electric and hybrid cars are growing in popularity the world over, but would the working utility driver see the benefits over the cost? The Basic F-150 starts at $33,695, so when the price of the Ford F-150 Lightning was revealed to be only $8000 more, truck drivers took notice.
If Ford Motor Company's F-150 Lightning’s current sales are an indication, electric trucks are set to become the future of utility vehicles, and Ford is leading the way.
Is Lightning optimism just hype?
Maybe not! The F-150 Lightning electric pickup added to its trophy shelf the 2023 MotorTrend Truck of the Year award, and it was the first electric truck to win by a unanimous vote from the judges. In a MotorTrend vote, electric vehicles have only been unanimously voted twice before, and nobody expected that with a truck.
In the eyes of its supporters, the F-150 Lightning is Ford's best truck ever and a historic achievement in the history of American transportation. Time will tell if the truck is worthy of such high praise, but for now it’s checking all the boxes, and the stock has been reacting bullish since the beginning of the year.
Sales say everything about the F-150 Lightning
Since its launch, Ford's F-150 Lightning has been the best-selling electric truck in America throughout November and December, and its sales are growing twice as fast as the industry as a whole.
As a result, Ford's electric vehicle sales jumped 126% in 2022 compared to the previous year, and production soared 223% in December. Ford's F-150 Lightning is off to a great start, but it may hit speed bumps in the near future, and that might have a weighty effect on stocks, and not many traders are aware of it.
Production pushes the breaks on expansion
When a product trends, producers often find themselves shorthanded and under-equipped to handle the order volume. Clearly, Ford underestimated the global interest in the F-150 Lightning, and they are struggling to keep in step.
Ford is building Lightnings around the clock, but it wants to boost production capacity to 150,000 units by the end of Q2. A tall order that seems unrealistic, given what’s happening in the world.
Ford hasn’t exactly placed all its eggs in one basket, but it is somewhat dependent on one truck type for healthy shareholder reports and revenue. This might sound strange, given that Ford produces 40+ types of vehicles worldwide, but keep in mind, the “OG” F-150 has consistently generated around 90% of Ford's global profits for years.
We saw it with Tesla. An overworked production line led to late orders and quality issues. Is Ford about to make the same mistake? If that’s true, the bullish trend will be short-lived, and a correction is on the horizon.
Conclusion
Ford has made an electric version of its best selling vehicle and truck drivers love it. The world is ready to adopt hybrid and EV alternatives. The Lightning hype helped rocket F prices from a 12-year low to $13.43. And then, on January 12, somebody dumped a large volume of stock in a single day, pushing prices back to $12.64, creating a buyer opportunity.
Both fundamentally and technically, Ford stocks are trending in a buyers market with both long-term and short-term possibilities, but supply and demand in 2023 will be the deciding factor for the company’s success. If recession fears diminish sales, right after Ford sets up an infrastructure for increased production, F charts will get stormy, so trade under the assumption that a trend change could happen any time.
Keep up with the latest news surrounding Ford's F-150 Lightning. Vehicle recalls and sales drops could create negative sentiment, and any gains could be erased within a day.
Ford - Henry would be proudNot really amazing last years, but the company seems to take a solid consolisation time.
Maybe setback by 15%, but overall for years very nice.
Ford Setting Up For Third Bart PatternFord meming, but being consistent with its colors and signals. Keep an eye out for a repeat:
-Color Rotation into a hair line
-RSI Xs color rotation into a hair line
-Runner Bot to print TOP Signal
Let us know what you think!
