$F Ford with a monthly RSI of 83....Ford currently has a monthly RSI of 83.... I would argue that this is not the best time to be investing for long term returns.
F trade ideas
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: $F) Kicking Off 2022 In Full Force!Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services a range of Ford trucks, cars, sport utility vehicles, electrified vehicles, and Lincoln luxury vehicles worldwide. It operates through three segments: Automotive, Mobility, and Ford Credit. The Automotive segment sells Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, and accessories through distributors and dealers, as well as through dealerships to commercial fleet customers, daily rental car companies, and governments. The Mobility segment designs and builds mobility services; and provides self-driving systems development services. The Ford Credit segment primarily engages in vehicle-related financing and leasing activities to and through automotive dealers. It provides retail installment sale contracts for new and used vehicles; and direct financing leases for new vehicles to retail and commercial customers, such as leasing companies, government entities, daily rental companies, and fleet customers. This segment also offers wholesale loans to dealers to finance the purchase of vehicle inventory; and loans to dealers to finance working capital and enhance dealership facilities, purchase dealership real estate, and other dealer vehicle programs. Ford Motor Company has a strategic collaboration with ARB Corporation Limited to develop a suite of aftermarket products for the new Ford Bronco. The company was founded in 1903 and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Ford of the EDGE of a Breakout!F
Ford is on the cusp of a breakout to the upside IMO:
Sitting above its:
(3day Chart)
20/50/100/200 MA
12/26 EMA
(3day Chart)
MACD strengthening the last 2 trading days (was about to flip but did not)
Currently breakout out of its wedge for the past 1.5 months
Recent consolidation in the 119-20 has been broken
Ford yesterday (1/3/22) reached price levels that it has not seen in 20 years!
ALL NEWS IS POSITIVE on Ford -with the exception of overall car sales not rebounding to expectations in 2021
Ford has reissued dividends
Insider buying > selling
Ford bumping up production of the fully EV F-150 Lightning
seekingalpha.com
$F - Temporarily ToppedAccording to my TA, this should be the local top for $F.
We've been running extremely hot these past couple of days, and I expect buyers to get exhausted.
Although I am bullish on this ticker as a whole, I have entered a 1/22 21P short position for the time being to play a temporary pullback.
$F Who'd of Guessed Over 150% Gain in Sleepy Stock Ford?There may be much more in store for this "New" EV play. Ford would have been a hard hold for me to catch this gain in a year. However, it seems to be setting up for another run. I know, I have a lot of lines here. But, I'm looking for $F to break out of this consolidation area and make another run. This may be a good one for your watch list. I'm interested when / if it crosses the short term downtrend line next week. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
$F / Long through a VCPScan Criteria
Does this stock meet my 8 point scan criteria? Yes
Structural Checklist
1. Can a proven price patterns be identified? Yes, a VCP
2. Is the 50D SMA trending up? Yes
3. Has price moved >20% since its last consolidation? Yes
4. Is the weekly RS above its Zero Line? Yes
5. Does price action suggest the stock is consolidating / digesting the recent price move? Yes
6. Is the price consolidation longer > 20 days? Yes
7. Has price volatility contracted from left to right? Yes
8. Has volume volatility contracted from left to right? Yes
9. Are there visible signs of demand within the base? Yes
10. Are there visible signs supply has been absorbed? Yes
Pivot Buy Point (Last 3 Bars)
1. Is there a visible Tight Zone? Yes
2. Have there been 3 Tight Closes? Yes (2)
3. Has there been a Constructive 3 Bar Correction? No
4. Is there a Bullish Inside Bar? No
AND
1. Has volume dropped dramatically? Yes
2. Can risk be managed under 8% in one of 3 ways? Yes
Other Notes
1. Note made of the the distribution day on December 16th, Supply still present above 20.50.
Scan Score (Minimum 8/8)
All Trading Dirty stocks have a Scan Score of 8
Structural Score (Minimum 7/10) 10
Entry Score (Minimum 1/4 then 2/2) 4
$F Looks Nice and Tight$F probably ready to go this week after its breakout shakeout couple weeks ago.
Looks tight and nice.
Strong resistance at 21 for $F #FF has had quite the run up last year, and making big changes to their product line up. Recently there has been rejections of F once hitting about 21/share. There have been several rejections which makes me think, this needs a bit of consolidation or heavy buy volume to break 21/share.
NFA.
FordI believe Ford is going down for the short term. This is because of the quick bounce back through resistance over time the last few weeks =, it is believed that over time ford will drop to 17.50 and the boost back up to reach all-time highs or dump to a half-year low.
F has potential to break!F has already stopped orders for the new F-150 Lightning electric truck, about 200K.
$21 is a big resistance and this line will be a good mark for a lot of shorters.
Over the long term I see a pullback, back to the VPOC. The next leg up could finally reach the $22 if the catalysator is strong enough.
In conclusion I would avoid to short and wait for a good long position.
FF looking to breakout. This is going to be the second time its trying to breakout. If it can hold above for another day then the easy target should be 22 and then 26.
Ford Consolidating after a few days of stepping upNYSE:F Taking a nice stair step up to the 21 range. The smaller moves with consolidation afterwards is a healthy bullish signal to me. The market really needs to soak up volume in the 20-21 range in order to break above 21.50 and hold in the long run.
Ford - why is the Bear wearing horns?My previous analysis was based on the overbought condition which indicated exhaustion was close at hand. I believe in order for me to be a successful and long term trader it is important to be nimble.
Flag has broken to the upside and seems Ford has not finished the race but perhaps only finished a lap. Green arrow indicates either a target for profit or to look for an area of rejection with further analysis needed.
FF is getting closer to the rising trend line. It has been trading in a range for a month now. It tried to breakout twice and failed. But the sell off wasn't big on the failed breakouts. It will most likely make a move in either direction by next week which will then set the new trend. I'm staying neutral until in the make a breakout.
FALL of FORDFord will fall.
Two times price rejection. MA20 support level is weakening.
This could be a distribution phase.
Ford Set To Race HigherFord (F) has been doing a dance with the ORANGE zone for about a month now. I'm expecting prices to hold above 20.27 and definitely 19.21 (stop-loss) on the path to higher levels.
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In Trading, Objectivity Trumps Subjectivity
“Every trader is a steaming hot bowl of bias stew and must maintain self-awareness and lucidity behind the screens as the trading day oscillates between boredom and terror.”
The above quote is from a good friend of mine and veteran FX trader Brent Donnelly. It completely nails the biggest challenge for new and even experienced traders: being as objective as possible when making trading decisions.
Yes, as you become more experienced, subjectivity, market feel and experience are part of one’s decision-making matrix, but early on you do not have that luxury.
If you start each day knowing that price action in the market is random it will remind you to think objectively. There are, however, repeatable patterns that occur again and again…..it’s your job to identify them.
That’s where Support & Resistance levels come in.
Definitions: “Support” and “Resistance” Levels
Many technical indicators and tools can be subjective and challenging to learn. This is not the case with support and resistance levels.
Support and resistance are terms for two price levels on a chart that appear to limit the security’s range of movement.
The “support level” is where the price regularly stops falling and bounces up.
The “resistance level” is where the price normally stops rising and dips back down.
The more frequently a price hits either level, the more reliable that level is likely to be in predicting future price movements.
Understanding Support and Resistance Levels
Remember, the more informed and objective we can be with numbers, the more confident we can be with our trades. That’s important because, although price action is random (a fact that has been proven time and time again), there are repeatable patterns we can use to get an edge.
Two of those objective data points we can use to gain an edge are support and resistance levels. These are two of the best tools we have when it comes to swing trading. Why? Because they give us strong data points that suggest where an instrument is likely (and unlikely) to go.
But this is really key: Arbitrarily cataloging each price level that appears to be relevant as a support or resistance level isn’t going to get you far. That’s why Aspen Trading takes a unique approach to support and resistance levels.
With Aspen’s Support & Resistance Levels, we measure where trades (prices) occur in terms of frequency. This gives us a sense of where market participants are wagering prices may go.
That’s about as raw and unfiltered as you can get in terms of displaying what has taken place. There’s no room for interpretation - this is raw data that can be used to get a sense of where prices may be heading.
Learning The “Four Sets” of Support and Resistance Levels
There are four sets of support and resistance levels that are part of Aspen Trading’s S/R framework.
Each set of support and resistance levels is unique to a specified period of time. We display each of them in different colors on our charts when we analyze trades to make it easy for us to understand the data as we get comfortable reading charts.
You’ll see each of these levels on display in the charts that follow below. The four sets of support and resistance levels are classified as follows:
There are four sets of support and resistance levels that are displayed by Aspen Trading’s S/R Analysis Tool. Each one is unique to a specified period of time that we then display directly on the chart. The levels are classified as follows
- Intra-day & short-term traders love the GREEN levels
- Swing traders gravitate towards the ORANGE levels
- Medium-term traders like to see RED
- And those longer-term folks dig PURPLE
IMPORTANT:
These lines will change/adjust until the end of the specified observation period is complete.
Once the observation period is complete, that range will then be displayed on the chart as a set of dotted lines that is shaded in to serve as a reference point for traders to know the key levels from the prior lookback period. This can often be very helpful.
What’s the distinction between the 4 color levels?
Essentially think of these levels on a rising scale of importance. While GREEN levels are certainly key, they do not hold the same level of significance as the PURPLE levels.
ford is in the top of the channel and 50 % CORRECTION the stock will follow could be touch the bottom of the channel
the RSI has divergence
F/TSLA Beta Hedge , Just took a small starter in this trade .I think that there is a good possibility that , with Farley at the helm at Ford , which has also recently broken out of a 20 year base and just on Friday ( Dec 10th, 2021) broke out of a smaller base too, that we will likely begin to see F outperform TSLA . I am not saying that TSLA is going to capitulate or anything like that , but I am betting that Ford is going to become a pretty notable challenger for EV dominance and give TSLA a run for its leader status in the industry .
I think that TSLA is going to have some difficulties keeping the same levels of growth up we have seen in its former years and whereas Ford is just getting started in the EV sector really and that is currently not priced in well to it's share price. So, I personally believe that the market is very inefficient in pricing Fords true value but that it eventually will correct this inefficiency .
I could be wrong but even if I am , this trade probably has a pretty low probability of loss overall .
I like the market caps vs share price of the two .
TSLA - $ 966.55 per share with a cap of 979 billion .
F - $ 20.68 per share with a cap of 89 billion .
Ford is a sleeping giant here . Also , I really like Farley too and that's a big part of why I have high hopes for Fords future .
Nothing against Musk either :) This is about making money though and I think it's a trade that has potential for profit greater than loss .
If this goes the way I am hoping I will add when it shows us some more strength in the highlighted area on the chart .
$F - Walking up the ChannelFord has been an awesome name to trade recently.
You can consistently enter a trade when we're at the bottom of the trade, and wait to catch a rip to the top.
Even on a volatile day like today, we were safely given an opportunity to enter the channel and ride it back up to the top.
I'll be looking to exit my position around 21.2!
Fakeout city on F 🦉Hello traders! today I will be going over what a fakeout breakout is and why Its important to wait for resistance to break AND hold if you are playing the breakout.
What is a fakeout breakout? this occurs when the price has a nice move past a strong resistance or support zone! but quickly goes back where it was before :(
On my ford chart I pointed out how it has had fakeout breakouts to both sides!
I hope you learned something/enjoyed this post! like and follow for more 💘
