FSLR trade ideas
Follow Up Previous Post 4-days ago, we commented this classic double top bearish with precise projected price target and it hit, and bounced as expected per the note. Now, there is no good reason to go long til price penetrates upper neckline with a solid volume that seems unlikely in the near future, should stay at this level to lower prices. Next good area for a possible bounce will be 47. If you want to get a real time alerts try us www.2waytrading.com
A Sunny Level For First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR)In the last few weeks we have seen the markets roll over. It has taken down many stocks and many sectors and First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) is no exception. The stock is down almost 20% from its high pivot on September 12 of $73.78. The stock of First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLR) is starting to get into good levels of support, and now is the time when traders need to step up and get long this equity. The great support level which I am zeroing in on is $57.75. That is where First Solar should see mass buyers coming in, giving the stock a nice pop in price. Keep this stock on your radar and profit.
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Weekly Options Play With FSLR and SCTYLooking at these two charts, it's hard to dispute that there's a relationship between the micro-trends of $FSLR and $SCTY. They're in the same sector, so similar macro-trends are visible; within that sector, they are competitors in several ways so if one goes up it makes sense that the other would go down on a micro level.
The yellow lines are the most recently established R1 and S1 levels of $FSLR if April is included up to today...I included them to show that this most recent peak didn't even reach it, so the unusual volume that drove the price up on its' most recent spike took it to territory where it doesn't really belong (low volume has been sustaining it if you follow the chart down).
Most analysts, most notably those at $GS are expecting a stronger earnings statement and guidance from $FSLR than from $SCTY. So not only is there a natural technical reason for $FSLR to go down, but there's also analyst sentiment reasons for Solar City to go up this coming week and FSLR to drop.
Long story short, I'm buying weekly SCTY calls and $FSLR puts.
FSLR ... rdy for a pullback?The stock is in a uptrend so shorting this will be a high risk trade.
However, we see that in the last 5 days, the volume has been decreasing and the candles have been shrinking in size.
This is a possible hint that buy interest @ higher prices is weakening.
Also note that today we have a nice bearish engulfed pattern. Any bulls that bought yesterday are now in pain. this could possibly help drive the price down.
Therefore, I am thinking this could be a possible intraday short tomorrow. Some good targets would be $70 and of course $68.
This offers both scenario nowFrom the last trading sessions, I was looking if the price would go to 58.15 as invalidation level to be extremely short this stock. But then the price has been traded inside of downtrend channel which kept me from buying this.
I still think this looks constructive to the upside but it hasn't offered opportunity to go long just yet.
Instead if the price doesn't break the downtrend trendline and just drops making another leg lower, I might consider to sell the bounce to the previous range bounce at resistance level 55.98 and loo for 49.29.
The reason why I am not really buying this short side is the fact that the RSI hasn't been showing me the strong selling signal and the length of the decline is not showing promising extreme decline at this moment. Will be watching closely if there's good setup for both sides
FSLR looks great for the short-termPrice Entry: $55.68
Stop-loss: $52.91
Price Target: 60.20
This week might be a deciding factor on the future of FSLR. This stock is currently just over the S1 Pivot Point and the 54% fib line. From December 5 to December 12 the stock tanked 12% on lowering volume. This shows that everyday there was less selling pressure which gives us a bullish sign. After these days the stock has begun to go up again on increasing volume. The price is just under the 50 SMA which served in June and July as a resistance level. The stock has to cross over this SMA to continue its uptrend. My stop-loss is just under this 54% fib line and my price-target is at the Pivot Point. There is a great deal of bullish sentiment going around the social networks(twitter and stocktwits). I am long this stock for the short-term. There is a possibility that I am also bullish for the long-term but I still need confirmation.
Check out the full article tomorrow at fonzotrader.com
