HD The Home Depot Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold HD here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of HD The Home Depot prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $325usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
HD trade ideas
Home Depot, Inc. (‘HD’)Home Depot, Inc. (symbol ‘HD’) share price has made some profits in the second quarter by just over 10%. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending July 2023 is set to be released on Tuesday 15th of August, before market open. The consensus EPS is $4.46 compared to the same quarter of last year at $5.05.
‘The company is currently performing exceptionally well compared to the start of the quarter but there are some financial issues to be paying attention to. Even though the home improvement giant has a current ratio of 1.27 , the debt to equity ratio as of 30/04/2023 is at 113.03 indicating that the company is operating at a great level of debt which is something that might discourage investors to direct their funds towards the company.’ said Antreas Themistokleous at Exness.
From the technical analysis perspective the price is trading in an aggressive bullish rally for the last 2 months with some signs of possible correction in the near short term. The first indication is the extreme overbought Stochastic oscillator which is in this level for an extended period of time and more specifically around 3+ weeks. The second indication is that in the recent sessions the price moved away from the Bollinger bands after consecutive touches of the upper band which usually but not always a correction follows.
If this scenario is confirmed in the following we might see some support around the $320 price area which consists of a reaction area since mid February as well as the psychological support of the round number. On the other hand if the bulls prove to be stronger than the bears then we might see the price retesting the previous highs around the $340 level.
HD - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹Breakout the horizontal trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Breakout a double bottom formation
🔹A decisive break of the resistance 302, continue looking at next resistance 322.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
BATPrice appears to be struggling at a resistance level and is boxed in right now.
Possible Ascending Triangle formed which is neutral until broken.
A Bat pattern noted, crooked M which is bullish but price keeps hitting the resistance line, so has not broken as far upward like most Bullish Bats do.
A bat has peak 2 lower than peak 1 and the 4th leg down should hit the .886, or 1.113 for a Alternate Bat. This nailed the .886 fib level of XA but continues to struggle.
No recommendation.
Home Depot - Pump to $327 incoming🐂 Trade Idea: Long - HD
🔥 Account Risk: 1.00%
📈 Recommended Product: Knockout / Option
🔍 Entry: +/- 306.27
🐿 DCA: No
😫 Stop-Loss: 284.29 (or 294.65 for aggressive trade)
🎯 Take-Profit: 327.27 (50%)
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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Home Depot is in a larger uptrend since Oct. 2016 (yellow trend line) but consolidates sideways since Feb 2023 despite a take-off situation in the housing market - at least when it comes to permits. Home Depot is considered as a stock that should benefit from those situations.
Technically we can see that the bottom support of the current consolidation zone (big green box) was breached only one time immediately retracing in the consolidation box with high volume. This indicates a stronger support there. Since beginning of June we now entered into a much smaller consolidation box (little green box) on the upper right corner of the bigger zone. Those multiple tests of the upper resistance and the share price remaining ever closer to resistance indicate an upward breakout.
If you’re a pre break-out trader you might want to jump in with a tight stop around 294. All others should wait for daily confirmation outside the box possible at 306.
Don’t forget earnings in August if you take the trade.
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Home Depot Sits Calmly as Housing SurgesThe U.S. housing market is taking off -- at least according to yesterday’s data (starts and permits). However one of the biggest companies in the sector is still negative on the year: Home Depot.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on February 21 after sales and guidance disappointed. HD has recently started probing the $305.55 opening price from that session. Does this create the potential for a breakout?
Second, positive pressure could be emerging from below. Notice how HD tried to break under its March low last month but quickly rebounded. There was a higher low on June 1, followed by a steady push upward. That kind of price action may suggest buyers are lurking near the current price area.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) are also rising. Those may reflect improving short- and intermediate-term trends.
Finally, HD stalled at its 200-day SMA about two months ago. However the current consolidation is occurring at the same line -- a potential sign it’s losing relevance as resistance.
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HD chart points down but reality up?I just arrived to Home Depot to get $50 of stuff. I come here once a week for DIY things. It is Saturday but the parking lot is packed crazy like when middle Covid home improvement blitz. So I pull it up on trading view and see the benefit of premium level - the head and shoulders sitting there drawn up. I would assume my personal experience is worth 000000 so will be going short on this if/once is crosses the line
Home Depot a change of trend is possibleIdea: Long
Horizon: 1-2 weeks
Target 1: 303.34
Target 2: 308.57
Target 3: 313.8
Potential of the idea: 60%
Stop order: $286.7
Technical analysis
HD is in a sideways movement, the price made a deviation from the bottom and we got a reaction from buyers. We expect that the price will come to the upper boundary of the sideways movement at least, after that a deviation from above is possible and if the price consolidates above the level of 303, then this will already be a change of trend to an upward one. Where the deal can be held along the trend until reversal.
The RR ratio when reaching Target 1: 1 to 2 After reaching Target 1, we advise moving the stop-loss to breakeven.
You can only enter after confirmation on younger time frames
Weak earnings on end of cycleHome Depot reported weaker earnings – revenue fell 4.25% YoY earnings fell 8.8%. It reflects a weaker building + DIY market in the US, which is what we’re seeing across the board – specialist store Restoration Hardware (RH) reported similarly weak sales. HD fell 2.15% in response, which isn’t enough value for us yet. We initiated coverage of HD back in December where we said that HD is a best in class retailer but too expensive, citing slowdown fears. Those slowdown fears have come to pass yet now we’re anticipating more slowdown versus HD’s 3-5% projected decline in sales for the FY. We think this is too little. Home Depot’s customers tend to be “tradies” and homeowners. Typically having homeowners as a customer base is a good thing – they are cashed up and have equity. Yet we’re in an environment of rising interest rates for mortgages, which will strain that previously strong “homeowner” dollar. We still consider HD to be an exemplary business – even in a recessionary environment they still have net margins of ~20% (vs James Hardie’s 12% and Fletcher’s ~8%) and they maintain an average “ticket” price per sale of ~$92. The headline here is Pandemic spending is over and that goods spend we were seeing previously has shifted to services. See upside as $+$230 and downside as +$190. Read more at: research.blackbull.com
Home Depot "Plunges" to SupportAll media invokes sensationalism to get clicks and views to see their ads. Some really play into the doomer mindset of their readers/viewers by selecting stories that amplify the theme of the world/economy/dollar ending and that the next crash is right upon us! I've been reading these headlines every day for over a decade now and it's just the way modern journalism works. As a trader I aspire to cut through the noise and negative bias (and sometimes the positive bias) and ask the more objective question: "what does the price action suggest?"
Home Depot NYSE:HD had earnings today and while the news was negative the overall long term trend (on the Weekly timeframe) has not changed. The key low of COVID and All Time High trend has defined most stocks for the last two years and may continue to define them for up to a decade. This past trend sets up a 50% Retracement level around 280.62 which Home Depot stock price has stubbornly held with an auction zone for a year of price action by now.
Digging down through the lower timeframes the price action sets up a potential low-risk post-earning trade. The price action of the open poked below the near term low but failed to follow lower.
What I would look for is price to hold today's opening action and NOT break the opening low. That sets up a stop for a reversal of this oversold condition while the broader price action on the Weekly is at a major Support.