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INTEL CORP CEDEARS (EACH 5 REP 1 COM USD0.001)INTEL CORP CEDEARS (EACH 5 REP 1 COM USD0.001)INTEL CORP CEDEARS (EACH 5 REP 1 COM USD0.001)

INTEL CORP CEDEARS (EACH 5 REP 1 COM USD0.001)

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INTC trade ideas

Long from oversold conditionsLimit buy orders waiting on yellow numbers marked. I also took a small position off of the 0.5. The market is very oversold, and one look at the fundamentals tells you why that is. However there is potential for a buy out. Should this happen you would expect a short term push upwards. The technicals look really good to me and meet my conditions. The conditions are, liquidity sweep, break of structure, FVG created, entry on return to the fib areas marked. Additionally, currently the stock is correcting very nicely. Weekly momentum is overbought suggesting we could expect a deeper move down in the coming weeks, whilst monthly momentum is oversold. Lets see what happens !
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by adam_48574
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
Intel (INTC): Patience is key while the market is rangingNothing significant has changed on NASDAQ:INTC since our last analysis. It appears that Intel may have found a bottom at the 88.2% Fibonacci level, but the stock has remained in a range since then. Unless the resistance level above is reclaimed, we wouldn’t be surprised to see continued ranging behavior. Even Intel’s latest earnings report didn’t create much movement. Despite posting a considerable net loss due to impairment and restructuring charges, Intel projected fourth-quarter revenue above estimates. As one of the largest producers of PC chips, Intel has recently benefited from renewed demand for PCs, driven by on-device AI features and a fresh Windows update cycle. These factors allowed Intel to exceed Wall Street’s low expectations, but not enough to break the current range. We’ll continue to monitor NASDAQ:INTC , but as it stands, trying to long it into the overhead resistance doesn’t make sense from our perspective. Patience is often the best strategy in such uncertain market conditions.
NASDAQ:INTC
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
Will Intel play catch-up?CAPITALCOM:INTC has vastly underperformed its peers for a long time, but there might be signs the stock will start to move in the right direction. There has been a lot going on with the company this last week, maybe the chart will show some improvement. Price has broken resistance recently and closed above on Monday this week. It has since started building momentum, with indicators showing strength. MACD is rising, and On-balance-volume is confirming the uptrend. My first target would be for price to fill the gap created on Aug 2 when price dropped a whopping 25%. Once reached, we might see a slight pullback, however this should be temporary. Next speed bump might occur around $35.50 - $36.00 but that would be a 50% jump from the price today and will be more long term I believe, unless rumors of a takeover (or a massive investment) of the company becomes more solid. One more trigger one might want to wait for is the shorter EMA (i.e. 21) crossing the longer (i.e. 50).
CAPITALCOM:INTCLong
by WeRideAtDawn
INTC REVERSAL ?INTC in reversal area for now, or we succeed or fail! If you are in the trade you must make space for the SL, because it could not do immediate reversal (enter range then reverse). I will keep watching of how it's going, generally talking it's looking good. If you haven't bought it yet, I would suggest to wait a bit more to get more confirmation regrading the reversal SL BELOW 20.5 TARGET 29 * will update if there is any change in sentiment of the structure * for any question drop them below, and HIT THE FOLLOW BUTTON
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by ChartHouse_
Short INTC from $23.81 to $20.50 or channel bottomMODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make. Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated. My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play. I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price at bottom top of 3 channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level Impulse MACD is flat crossing over to the downside Price at near Fibonacci level In at $23.80 Target is $20.50 or channel bottom
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by chancethepug
18
Is Intel getting ready to fill the gap?Technical Analysis Overview of Intel Corp (INTC): Chart Overview On the provided 45-minute chart, INTC appears to be in the midst of a larger Elliott Wave cycle. The labeling and wave structure indicate a strong corrective pattern, with potential for a new impulsive move higher. The key levels of support and resistance, highlighted by moving averages, also suggest possible near-term volatility as price attempts to break out of the current consolidation zone. Wave Count and Elliott Wave Structure You have highlighted the Elliott Wave count, indicating that the price has recently completed a Wave 4 corrective phase and is on track to enter the final impulsive Wave 5. The chart shows a resistance line around $26, which, if broken, could confirm the start of this next leg higher. Your focus on the gap north of $26 suggests that you are expecting price action to fill this gap, with a target likely near or above $27.00. Wave 1 to 3: The clear impulsive movement seen during Waves 1, 3, and 5 aligns well with classic Elliott Wave theory. Each wave is subdivided neatly, reflecting smaller degree waves within the larger trend. Wave 4: This appears to be a standard corrective phase, potentially forming a triangle or a flat, with multiple subdivisions that indicate exhaustion of selling momentum. The flattening of momentum indicators also supports this as a consolidation zone. Key Indicators and Levels Moving Averages: The MA 50 (22.43) and MA 200 (22.87) serve as critical dynamic support and resistance levels. The price has shown strong respect for these levels, bouncing from them on multiple occasions. A clear break above the MA 200 could serve as a confirmation of the bullish momentum heading into the next wave. Support and Resistance Zones: You've highlighted $22.87 as a critical resistance level, with multiple moving averages clustering in this zone, creating a significant barrier that the price needs to break through to continue higher. The $23-$26 zone could act as a battleground, with traders closely watching for a break above $26. Indicators and Momentum RSI & Stochastics: Both are showing signs of recovery from oversold conditions. The stochastic oscillator crossing over indicates the potential start of a new uptrend. This aligns well with your expectation of a bullish move. CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): With a significant increase in CVD (772%), it suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively after the correction, potentially driving the next wave higher. Price Gaps The most prominent feature on your chart is the gap around $26, which is also marked as a future target. Based on the "gap fill" theory, prices often return to fill gaps left behind in the chart, especially in bullish market conditions. This could be a significant motivator for market participants to push the stock higher. The resistance trendline intersecting around $26 could act as a trigger for acceleration, likely coinciding with positive market sentiment. Market Sentiment & Psychology Intel’s price action is likely reflective of the broader semiconductor industry, which has faced headwinds in 2023. However, recent earnings results and general optimism around the company's future plans have instilled renewed confidence among investors. Bullish Catalysts: AI & Data Center Growth: Intel has been positioning itself as a key player in the AI hardware space. This has created a lot of optimism, especially after the recent launch of AI-focused processors, which could serve as a key driver for future revenue growth. Earnings Beat: Intel's recent quarterly earnings beat analyst expectations, showing resilience in the face of supply chain issues and industry slowdown. This has led to improved market sentiment, with many traders looking at this consolidation as a potential opportunity for further upside. Wall of Worry & Sentiment: The phrase “climbing the wall of worry” fits well with the sentiment that investors often have during corrective waves like Wave 4. Despite some lingering concerns about competition from rivals like AMD and Nvidia, and macroeconomic concerns such as inflation and interest rates, the underlying fundamentals of Intel suggest there is plenty of room for optimism. Often, as fear subsides and positive news emerges, stocks break out from these consolidation patterns, driving upward momentum. Bearish Risks: Any failure to break above key resistance could trigger further consolidation or even a deeper correction, potentially testing lower support levels. Negative sentiment around broader economic concerns, including geopolitical tensions, could also act as a headwind to any bullish progress. Conclusion: Intel appears poised to break out of a consolidation phase and move toward filling the gap around $26. The completion of Wave 4, combined with positive market momentum and fundamental drivers, indicates the potential for bullish movement. However, traders should monitor key resistance levels closely, as any failure to break above them could prolong the current consolidation or trigger further corrective action. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $22.43, $21.51 Resistance: $22.87, $23.72, and the gap around $26 Summery by my custom Elliot Wave GPT
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Darth_Buddha
INTEL Breakdown! Bearish Move Smashes First TargetIntel has shown a significant bearish movement on the Risological swing trader after the short entry at 23.36, with the price quickly moving towards the first profit target. Key Levels Entry: 23.36 – The short trade was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish sentiment. Stop-Loss (SL): 23.59 – Positioned slightly above recent resistance to manage risk in case of a price reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 23.07 – The first target, which has been hit, indicating the trade is progressing in the right direction. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22.60 – The second profit-taking level is also hit as the bearish momentum builds. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 22.14 – If selling pressure continues, this is the next target to watch for. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 21.85 – The ultimate profit target, signaling a significant downward move. Trend Analysis The price is moving downward sharply, breaking below the support of the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong bearish trend. The sharp drop shows significant selling pressure, which suggests further downside potential. With TP1 reached, the next targets at 22.60 and 22.14 are in focus as the bearish momentum continues. If the trend holds, there’s a strong possibility of achieving TP4 at 21.85. Intel’s sharp breakdown following the short entry at 23.36 has resulted in hitting the first profit target at 23.07. With strong bearish momentum and the price moving below the Risological Dotted trendline, further downside targets are likely to be achieved if this trend continues.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by ProfitsNinja
1
Intel GAP fill then ATHLong term calls for about two years out on INTEL is a sure fire play. Leadership restructuring, AI chips, and a company with too much to lose. Intel is still the number one choice for any windows pc. It did not deserve to go down, easiest play in history, and is not going to dip under MA180, if it gets near the MA180 I would load up on a position surely or average down. Its climbing slowly and I doubt the company would get sold, if it did I can only see it becoming more bullish. Feel free to voice your opinions in comment section bellow. Thanks Ben
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by benarcotta
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend. Levels to watch: $26, $20 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
8