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ELI LILLY AND COMPANY CEDEAR EACH 56 REP 1ELI LILLY AND COMPANY CEDEAR EACH 56 REP 1ELI LILLY AND COMPANY CEDEAR EACH 56 REP 1

ELI LILLY AND COMPANY CEDEAR EACH 56 REP 1

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LLY trade ideas

Is Eli Lilly's Stock in a Bubble or just a Correction?Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: NYSE:LLY ) has been a standout performer in the stock market this year, with its stock price surging by around 50%, far outperforming the S&P 500’s 15% rise. This impressive performance has brought the stock to trade at 63 times its projected 2024 earnings of $13.75 per share. This raises a critical question for investors: Is Eli Lilly's stock overvalued, or is there still room for growth? Stellar Growth Driven by Innovative Drugs Eli Lilly's recent surge can be attributed primarily to the high demand for its obesity drug, Zepbound, and its diabetes drug, Mounjaro. These two drugs alone are expected to bring in $50 billion in annual peak sales. The company is currently facing a shortage of Zepbound and plans to invest $9 billion in a new manufacturing facility to meet this demand. Additionally, Eli Lilly’s pipeline is extensive, with several drugs under clinical trials across various therapeutic areas. One notable approval is Donanemab, an Alzheimer's Disease treatment, which could generate $5 billion in peak sales. Other successful drugs, such as Verzenio and Zyprexa, also contribute to the company’s robust revenue growth. Financial Performance and Future Projections Eli Lilly's revenue is projected to grow from $34 billion in 2023 to over $60 billion by 2026, representing an increase of over 75%. The company's earnings are also expected to more than triple during this period. Despite a 12% decline in net income from $6.2 billion in 2020 to $5.2 billion in 2023, mainly due to increased non-operating expenses and acquisitions, the adjusted net income margin is poised for a rebound. In Q1 2024, Eli Lilly ( NYSE:LLY ) reported an adjusted net margin of 26.6%, up over 500 basis points year-over-year. The company’s investments in R&D and product development are starting to pay off, and adjusted earnings are expected to range between $13.50 and $14.00 per share in 2024, more than double the previous year. Considering these projections and expected margin expansions, Eli Lilly’s adjusted EPS could reach $25 by 2027. If the stock price remains constant, the forward P/E multiple would decrease to 34x in 2026. However, investors are betting on the stock price increasing, resulting in a more modest P/E contraction to about 52x. This scenario would imply a 50% growth in Eli Lilly's stock price to approximately $1,300 over the next three years. Risks and Competition Despite the positive outlook, Eli Lilly faces risks, particularly from increasing competition in the obesity drug market. Competitors like Novo Nordisk, Roche, and Amgen are also making strides in weight-loss treatments. However, the obesity drugs market is projected to grow 16-fold to over $100 billion by 2030, with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk likely dominating this space. Is Eli Lilly's Stock in a Bubble? The term "bubble" implies a scenario where asset prices are inflated beyond their intrinsic value, often driven by speculation and a belief that prices will never fall. While Eli Lilly’s stock has seen tremendous gains, rising 656% over the past five years compared to the S&P 500’s 78.4% increase, it does not necessarily mean it is in a bubble. Eli Lilly’s rise is backed by strong fundamentals, significant revenue growth, and promising developments in its drug pipeline. Conclusion Eli Lilly’s stock is not just a result of speculative trading; it is supported by solid business performance and growth prospects. While there are competitive risks, the company’s innovative drug portfolio and strategic investments position it well for continued success. Any dip in Eli Lilly’s stock should be seen as a potential investment opportunity, offering robust long-term gains. The next few years will likely see Eli Lilly continue its upward trajectory, driven by market share gains and regulatory approvals.
NYSE:LLY
by DEXWireNews
The First Trillion Dollar Healthcare Company - Eli LillyI recently wrote about Eli Lilly and why it has caught my attention, what it may mean for markets, but more specifically the most expensive and elaborate industry on Earth, that none of us can understand... HEALTHCARE. Insurance is wildly expensive. Many people are focused on health. Scientists around the planet are trying to solve health. And now, Eli Lilly, is on the very of becoming the first trillion dollar company in healthcare. Eli Lilly is nearing $900 billion market cap and is on pace to become the first trillion dollar healthcare company. I have long followed healthcare stocks because I do believe they bring a lot of insight into health, innovation, and the natural sciences. After all, they are tasked with curing challenging diseases, sicknesses, and other aspects to help humans. Most recently, a certain stock has caught my attention. I find this to be a noteworthy development for the industry, especially while stocks like Pfizer and others, such as NASDAQ:MRNA are dropping. NYSE:PFE Place your bets accordingly. This move and alert has been added to my watchlist.
NYSE:LLY
by scheplick
Eli Lilly's Alzheimer's drug Kisunla wins FDA approvalEli Lilly & Co.'s new Alzheimer's disease drug, Kisunla, has received approval from the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), marking a significant advancement in treating the disease. This approval positions Kisunla as the second drug available that can slow the progression of Alzheimer's, a condition affecting around 6 million Americans. Kisunla's journey to market has been fraught with regulatory hurdles, including the FDA's initial reluctance to fast-track the drug based on early trial results, preferring instead to review late-stage data. This thorough scrutiny culminated in a one-day hearing earlier this year to deliberate on Kisunla's safety and efficacy, eventually leading to its approval. Kisunla will now compete with Eisai Co.'s Leqembi, which has been available in the US since early 2023. Technical analysis of Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) Exploring potential trading opportunities, let us review the technical aspects of Eli Lilly's stock: Timeframe: Daily (D1) Current trend: there is an observable uptrend, though the stock has recently broken the support level at 905.00 USD and is attempting to consolidate below it Resistance level: 917.00 USD New support level: after breaking 905.00 USD, further confirmation is necessary to establish new support Potential downtrend target: if a downtrend is established, the downside target could be around 820.00 USD Short-term target: if the uptrend resumes and the stock price breaks through the resistance at 917.00 USD, a short-term target could be set at 940.00 USD Medium-term target: should the upward momentum be sustained, the price might rise to 960.00 USD Investors should closely monitor Eli Lilly’s performance, especially in light of the recent FDA approval of Kisunla. This development could significantly impact the company's market position and stock performance in the pharmaceutical sector. — Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NYSE:LLYLong
by RoboMarkets
ELI LILLY Entering consolidation phase. Wait for the buy signal.Last time we looked at Eli Lilly (LLY) was on March 18 (see chart below) and we got the most out of it as we entered after a 1D MA50 correction and got the most optimal value: Our original target was $1050 calculated according to the % rise of each previous Bullish Leg (+45%) of the +1 year Channel Up but now it appears that the stock won't hit that level during this Leg as we are entering the bottom phase of the Sine Wave. As you can see on the chart (now on the 1W time-frame), this is where LLY typically pulls-back and consolidates (red Rectangle) until the next Bullish Leg begins near the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As a result, we are closing our bottom buy position and turn neutral on LLY until we approach the 1D MA100 again, starting mid-August. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:LLY
by TradingShot
1
$LLY look out below $265 bottom coming soonNYSE:LLY looks like it's topping up here. Anytime you see a chart that has gone straight up like this, you know the fall is going to be painful. I think we'll top within the next week or two and then we're going to start the bear market that goes all the way down to $265 before it truly bounces. Why do I think this? If you create a parabola, price is starting to break through it which means we're likely to see a 80%+ correction once the trend changes. On top of this, RSI is in extreme overbought territory. If you're long, I'd set stops where you're comfortable with gains because once this move down happens, months worth of gains will evaporate.
NYSE:LLYShort
by benjihyam
2
LLY -- Does the BBTrend indicator really work?LLY has been a very strong stock over the past year -- obviously. But when the new BBTrend indicator is viewed, does it work or is it BS? My opinion is that it is BS. The only indicated substantial downtrend immediately follows an earnings Gap Up. In the several days following the gap, nothing trends downward. Now look at the major uptrend (by BBTrend indicator) in March and April this year. I'd call it a non-trending flat period. When the BBTrend indicator is barely positive, in May and June, is the strongest uptrend of the chart. So is BBTrend working or is it just BS? What is your experience with this new indicator?
NYSE:LLY
by tobyz7
Riding the Wave or Reaching the Crest?Recent news highlights that the Lilly Endowment sold over $150 million worth of shares. While significant insider selling could be seen as a bearish signal, it’s important to note that this does not necessarily reflect the operational performance or future outlook of the company. Investors should consider both the strategic aspects of such sales and the broader market context. The earnings report due in 59 days is critical. With strong performance in recent quarters and a solid revenue forecast, any positive surprises could further fuel the stock’s ascent. Short-Term Outlook: Price Target: Based on the current momentum and technical indicators, a short-term price target is set at $870, contingent upon breaking the $856.05 resistance level. Trading Strategy: For traders looking to capitalize on this trend, consider going long at the current levels with a stop loss placed just below the 10-day EMA at $785 to mitigate downside risk. If the price breaches $856.05 with strong volume, an aggressive target towards $900 could be pursued. Long-Term Outlook: Price Target: Given the bullish indicators and historical performance, a longer-term target of $920 is speculative yet achievable if the bullish trend sustains post-earnings. Trading Strategy: Long-term investors might consider maintaining their positions while setting a trailing stop loss to protect gains against potential market volatility or a sectoral pullback. Shorting Strategy: When to Short: If RSI and Stochastic levels remain in the overbought zone and price action fails to break above the resistance at $856.05, short positions could be considered. Stop Loss and Targets: Set an initial stop loss at $870 to cover the short in case of a breakout. A potential target for the short could be around the $820-$800 range, aligning with recent support levels. Eli Lilly & Company showcases a compelling bullish case with robust technical support. However, the overbought conditions and strategic insider selling warrant cautious optimism. Investors should closely monitor the upcoming earnings report and market reactions to pivot their strategies accordingly. The current analysis suggests a primary bullish bias with well-defined entry and exit points to optimize risk-reward dynamics in the volatile pharmaceutical sector.
NYSE:LLY
by AxiomEx
BUY LLYInvesting differs from trading as it focuses on long-term growth and sustainability of assets rather than quick gains. An investment idea involves committing money to ventures, projects, or assets expected to grow in value over time, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate. Investing requires understanding the fundamental factors that drive growth and stability. It involves detailed analysis of opportunities, like evaluating a company's financial health and potential for innovation, to minimize risk and maximize long-term gains.
NYSE:LLYLong
by boye369
ELI LILLY Preparing for the final buy opportunity.Eli Lilly is on a very steady bullish technical outlook on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 62.145, MACD = 9.380, ADX = 18.580) as it has been trading inside a Channel Up since January 2023. The current bullish vessel within this pattern is a Rising Wedge. As you can see, the two Wedges prior have a last break under the 1D MA50 before rallying to a HH at the top of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI has already crossed over its LH trendline so every pullback that comes in the next 2 weeks, is in our opinion the last buy opportunity. Our target is approximatelly a +45% rise (TP = 1000) which is the rise that all bullish structures prior experienced. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:LLYLong
by InvestingScope