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MSFT / MICROSOFTMSFT (Microsoft Corporation) Stock Analysis: Key Dates and Potential Market Movements: 1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside: • Scenario: The chart suggests that Microsoft might experience a bullish phase around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive quarterly earnings, strong product launches, or renewed investor confidence in Microsoft’s cloud and AI strategies. • Impact on Price: We may see Microsoft’s stock price rally, potentially revisiting previous highs around the $460-$470 mark. • Reflection: As we witness the potential rise in Microsoft’s value, let us also reflect on the importance of placing our trust in both our investments and in a higher power that guides our steps. 2. November 11, 2024 - Potential Downside: • Scenario: Moving into November 2024, the chart indicates a potential bearish trend. This could be attributed to broader market corrections, changes in global economic policies, or challenges within the tech sector. • Impact on Price: Microsoft’s stock might face a pullback, potentially testing lower support levels around $380-$400. • Reflection: In times of decline, whether in markets or in our personal lives, it’s our faith that provides stability. Just as we hold onto our investments during downturns, we should also hold onto our faith, trusting in recovery. 3. January 2, 2025 - Recovery and Consolidation: • Scenario: By early 2025, Microsoft might enter a recovery phase, possibly driven by strong end-of-year performance, increased adoption of new technologies, or favorable market conditions. • Impact on Price: This could lead to a stabilization or gradual increase in the stock price, with potential movements towards $420-$430. • Reflection: As the new year begins, let this recovery remind us that perseverance through challenging times, with faith as our foundation, often leads to renewal and growth. 4. July 14, 2025 - Continued Growth or Consolidation: • Scenario: The chart suggests that mid-2025 could either continue the growth trend or enter a consolidation phase, depending on market conditions and Microsoft’s performance in the first half of the year. • Impact on Price: If positive momentum continues, we might see Microsoft’s stock breaking new highs; otherwise, the stock could trade sideways within the $420-$450 range. • Reflection: As we navigate the complexities of the market, let us remember the words from Proverbs 16:3, “Commit to the Lord whatever you do, and He will establish your plans.” This verse encourages us to combine faith with our strategic planning. 5. November 8, 2027 - Long-Term Outlook: • Scenario: Looking further ahead, the chart indicates significant potential shifts by late 2027. This could be influenced by global technological advancements, changes in leadership, or major economic events. • Impact on Price: This period could mark either a major breakout for Microsoft or a significant correction, depending on the overall market environment and Microsoft’s adaptation to future trends. • Reflection: As we plan for the long term, let us build our investments on solid foundations, just as we build our lives on faith. In doing so, we prepare for both the challenges and the opportunities that lie ahead. Considerations for Investors: • Technological Innovation: Microsoft’s ongoing advancements in AI, cloud computing, and enterprise solutions will be crucial drivers of its stock performance. • Market Sentiment: Investor confidence in the tech sector, especially in established leaders like Microsoft, will play a significant role in price movements. • Economic and Geopolitical Factors: Global events, such as trade policies, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends, could impact Microsoft’s performance. As we approach these key dates, how do you plan to position your investments in Microsoft? Are you prepared to navigate both the potential ups and downs, relying not only on market analysis but also on a steady foundation of faith?
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by trushkovskiy
MSFT Short TargetI had several bearish charts for MSFT and when I saw it struggle after less than stellar earnings, it looked like a great short so I took it. NQ was up over 3% on the session, but MSFT remained flat. I saw this is as a bearish signal for MSFT and I was liking my position going into close. To my surprise, MSFT held up incredibly well today considering what happened with NQ. I'm still surprised, but I expect it to break down eventually because it's weak and remains below $430. I think the range from $396-$430 is critical, so if it hits that area I'll look to take some profit. In addition to the horizontal support, we also have a trendline support that goes back to November of 2023. This should be an area where bulls look to defend, but if not I think it gets worse and fast. Most stocks and indexes I see are right on the edge right now and whichever direction we break from here should end up being the new direction for a few weeks at least.
NShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
Microsoft with a large head and shoulders formation.Technical Analysis of Microsoft (ticker at Nasdaq: MSFT) Microsoft with a large head and shoulders formation. Although the stock exchanges and many shares have recovered a good deal in the past week, and after the strong correction in the markets. But there are still many charts for both important stock market indices and large important companies, which indicate that there may be another sharp decline soon. One of these charts is Microsoft (MSFT), and where it looks suspiciously like an ongoing establishment of a large head and shoulders formation. Such large head and shoulders formations often appear at the end of a longer uptrend, and these formations are considered to be among the most reliable of all technical formations. Now it is starting to look suspiciously like a large head and shoulders formation here in the chart for Microsoft (MSFT), and where now the other shoulder may be in the process of being established. What will trigger a strong technical sell signal for Microsoft (MSFT) will be if there is an established break down below the 'neckline' and the support level around USD 388.00. On the upside, there is now important technical resistance to watch for the Microsoft share around USD 420.00 - 430.00. In any case, it is well worth following closely here, and one does not have to have a very good imagination to be able to see that this looks a lot like a large and clear head and shoulders formation during the establishment of the now last shoulder in the formation. If there were to be such a strong technical sell signal from such a large head and shoulders formation for Microsoft (MSFT), then the formation here would indicate that the MSFT share could fall down to around USD 320.00 - 340.00. Pls don't shoot the messenger..
NShort
by StockCharts365
Global Economic News & MarketsGlobal Economic News & Markets In our interconnected world, it’s more important than ever to stay up to date with global economic news. The link between economic events and financial markets emphasises that traders need to be well-informed. This FXOpen article looks at the significance of global economic news and its impact on financial markets. Through expert judgement and attention to long-term trends, the article aims to equip you with the knowledge you need to make wise financial decisions. Top Global Economic News Why is it so critical to keep abreast of current global economic news? The answer lies in how much influence they have on the financial markets. News can cause market volatility and influence long-term trends. Top global economic news can be divided into five categories: - Central bank announcements - Economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment, and inflation - Trade agreements and geopolitical tensions - Fiscal policy, government initiatives, and infrastructure investment - Earnings reports of major corporations Market Reactions Stock market indicators, currency market fluctuations, changes in commodity prices and the level of volatility reflect market sentiment. Traders try to learn as much as possible about them to make informed decisions. Stock Market Performance When economic data or corporate news is released, it can trigger immediate reactions in the stock market. For example, when publicly traded companies release their earnings reports, analysts assess whether the company has met, exceeded, or fallen short of expectations. Positive earnings often lead to stock price increases, while disappointing results can lead to price declines. Individual stocks affect the direction of the indices they are included in. Indices serve as benchmarks or references for evaluating the overall performance of a specific stock market or a particular sector within it. They provide a quick and easy way to assess whether the market, as a whole or in part, is doing well or poorly. Also, indices serve as a benchmark of the market sentiment. Volatility Level (VIX Index) The Volatility Index, often referred to as the VIX or fear indicator, measures market volatility and trader sentiment. A high VIX indicates that traders expect significant market fluctuations, indicating uncertainty or fear in the market. Typically, the VIX rises when the level of fear and uncertainty is high. Currency Market Fluctuations and Exchange Rate Shifts Central banks set interest rates, and changes in these rates can significantly impact a country's currency value. Higher interest rates typically attract foreign capital, leading to an appreciation of the currency. Conversely, lower rates may lead to depreciation. Various economic indicators, such as GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, and trade balances, provide insights into a country's economic health. Positive economic data can boost a currency, while negative data can weaken it. Changes in Commodity Prices and Their Drivers The fundamental driver of commodity prices is the balance between supply and demand. Factors such as population growth, economic development, and shifts in consumer preferences can influence demand, while supply can be affected by weather conditions, geopolitical events, and production decisions by producers. Regional Focus Not all regions face the same economic challenges. There are emerging markets with promising growth prospects and developed economies with unique challenges. Let’s explore some specific regions and countries that are particularly noteworthy in the current economic landscape. Emerging Markets Emerging markets refer to economies that are in the process of rapid industrialisation and experiencing substantial economic growth. They tend to be characterised by a growing middle class and urbanisation. They are seen as long-term growth engines for the global economy. - Many investors are attracted to emerging markets because of the opportunity for high returns in sectors such as technology, consumer goods, and infrastructure. - To diversify risk, traders can allocate a portion of their portfolio to emerging markets. These markets may not necessarily correlate with developed markets, providing a buffer during global economic downturns. - Investing in emerging markets comes with risks. Political instability and currency volatility can create uncertainty. Developed Economies Developed economies, generally characterised by stability and strong financial systems, also face specific challenges. For example, many advanced economies have ageing populations, which can put strain on social protection and health care systems. - Some developed economies have experienced long periods of low economic growth. This is due to demographic trends and low labour productivity. - Managing public debt and deficits is challenging for developed economies. The balance between social spending and fiscal responsibility is a key issue. - Developed countries are highly dependent on international trade, which makes them vulnerable to trade disputes and supply chain disruptions. Long-Term Trends Traders and investors explore technological advancements, sustainable investing, and demographic shifts to guide their investment strategies for years to come. Technological advancements are a driving force behind economic and market transformation. Key points to consider include the rise of e-commerce, FinTech, AI and automation, blockchain and cryptocurrency, renewable energy and green technologies. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors are increasingly influencing investment decisions and corporate behaviour. ESG-focused investments consider a company’s impact on the environment and society. Companies that demonstrate a commitment to social responsibility and fair labour practices tend to attract investors. Demographic changes are altering consumption patterns, labour markets, and economic dynamics. Factors to keep in mind are ageing populations in developed countries, rapid urbanisation, consumption habits and preferences of Millennials and Gen Z, and increased global mobility. Insights from financial analysts and market experts provide valuable context. They interpret recent economic data, offer forecasts, and recommend investment strategies. You may, for example, check out global markets news at Reuters or read JPM global markets news. Of course, you should double-check for yourself, but you can find some main areas to consider in their analyses. Final Thoughts The significance of economic events cannot be overstated, and their impact on financial markets emphasises the importance of adaptation. It’s best to monitor economic news globally, seek expert advice and consider long-term trends when making financial decisions. Informed and adaptable investors and traders are most successful in an ever-changing global economic and market environment. You can open an FXOpen account and read our blog to learn more about potential opportunities and ways to mitigate risks. Also, you can use the TickTrader platform to conduct technical analysis and benefit from advanced charts. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NEducation
by FXOpen
2
The 3 Steps To The Rocket Booster Strategy AdvancedNow am a huge fan of the rocket booster strategy but there is another strategy called the Rocket Booster Strategy Advanced - This is where I show you a more advanced technical analysis tools to use for your trend analysis. - For for this advanced session am showing you one of my favourite tools It is called the MACD - Basically, the following 3 steps have to happen - The 10 MA should be above the 30 MA - The 10 MA should cross the 30 MA - The price should gap up in a trend - This is the Rocket Booster Strategy Advanced - To learn rocket boost this content - Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not.Please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies
NLong
by lubosi
Microsoft Recovers 10% From Market Correction!Berkshire Hathaway has significantly cut its Apple investment, selling 505 million shares—a 55.8% reduction. This move reflects a major shift in its investment strategy, despite an 800% gain in its Apple shares since 2016. The decision is influenced by multiple market factors, including a slowdown in Apple's revenue growth and a significant drop in smartphone demand, particularly impacted by shrinking markets in China and ongoing legal challenges, such as a U.S. Department of Justice antitrust lawsuit. Despite these hurdles, Apple is pushing innovation, venturing into artificial intelligence and satellite connectivity, which could strengthen its market position and open new revenue streams. Meanwhile, Apple's stock, after peaking at $237 in July and dropping to $200, has begun to recover, rising 10% since a post-earnings dip in early August, with a 12% year-to-date increase. This volatility underscores the need for investor patience, given Apple's trend of prolonged growth phases interspersed with flat periods.
NLong
by Sublime_Trading
MSFT 15 Years Old Bullish Wave To Be "Corrected" To 300/255/188➖ The latest bullish wave for Microsoft (MSFT) started more than 15 years ago, around March 2009. This wave is about to be "corrected." ➖ The last correction, November 2021 through November 2022, pushed prices close to the 0.5 Fib. retracement level relative to the entire bullish wave. 👉 A similar outcome happening now, would lead MSFT to hit around 255 in the coming months. ➖ If the corrective wave turns out to be weak/small, then it can end around 300. ➖ If the corrective wave becomes extensive and gains momentum, it can lead to a lower low compared to 2022 and thus end around 188. The actual price range is really big, between 111 and 188. 👉 We will settle for either ~255 or ~188 for the next drop. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
NShort
by MasterAnanda
7
Microsoft: More Oversold than During Covid?Microsoft has declined along with other AI names in the last month. How big was the pullback? Some traders may be surprised to know its intensity. The first noteworthy signal on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI). The oscillator hit 24.69 on Monday. That was the lowest reading since August 2015. In other words, MSFT this week was more oversold than March 2020 -- at the depths of the coronavirus selloff. Next, the software giant tested and held its April 25 low around $388. That may suggest support remains in effect. Third, MSFT is trying to hold its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March 2023. That could indicate the presence of a longer-term uptrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
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by TradeStation
2
Microsoft crashing with the world markets $322 on the cardsInv C and H has formed on Microsoft. We have seen a cosnsistent downtrend forming (Safety line). And we have an uptrend (action line) that has broken. So once price goes below 200MA, we could see a huge crash for Microsoft. NATURE: Medium Probability due to: Price<20 Price>200 Target 1 will be at $322.62 With Israels conflict exacerbating and with the interest rates staying put which is leading to less buying and more saving, we can continue to see world markets crash along with Crypto in the week coming.
NShort
by Timonrosso
1
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances. MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand. MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization. MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away. MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year). The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well. Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites. MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings. Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
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by moonypto
2
$MSFT - Math defies logicNational wide, possible global database crash today grounds all flights, cripples hospitals, scares the doot out of people. Short Microsoft right? Well, let's look at the chart. Bottom of regression channel after some powerful movement long term. It needed to correct. Fibs show support, hammered off of the bottom of the current fib channel even under incredible negative real life PR. Can't make this PR up, it's devestating. Airline stocks down across the board on this news..... MSFT is not? It got killed pre-hours at 8am, big drop, but recovered on open. If it holds this FIB level, it moves back up and is a good entry position after a long period of overcooked RSI My confirmation is when teh stochastics and trend meter show the reversal on the 1 hour chart which is occurring now. Not trade advice.
NLong
by mike-ai-automation
1