MSFT bullish biasif close above 435
That will confirm the retracement
above 435 it will close above 50day ma and 200 EMA
so this will confirm the bullish bias
Entry 436
Stop loss 394
MSFTD trade ideas
Global Economic News & MarketsGlobal Economic News & Markets
In our interconnected world, it’s more important than ever to stay up to date with global economic news. The link between economic events and financial markets emphasises that traders need to be well-informed. This FXOpen article looks at the significance of global economic news and its impact on financial markets. Through expert judgement and attention to long-term trends, the article aims to equip you with the knowledge you need to make wise financial decisions.
Top Global Economic News
Why is it so critical to keep abreast of current global economic news? The answer lies in how much influence they have on the financial markets. News can cause market volatility and influence long-term trends. Top global economic news can be divided into five categories:
- Central bank announcements
- Economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment, and inflation
- Trade agreements and geopolitical tensions
- Fiscal policy, government initiatives, and infrastructure investment
- Earnings reports of major corporations
Market Reactions
Stock market indicators, currency market fluctuations, changes in commodity prices and the level of volatility reflect market sentiment. Traders try to learn as much as possible about them to make informed decisions.
Stock Market Performance
When economic data or corporate news is released, it can trigger immediate reactions in the stock market. For example, when publicly traded companies release their earnings reports, analysts assess whether the company has met, exceeded, or fallen short of expectations. Positive earnings often lead to stock price increases, while disappointing results can lead to price declines.
Individual stocks affect the direction of the indices they are included in. Indices serve as benchmarks or references for evaluating the overall performance of a specific stock market or a particular sector within it. They provide a quick and easy way to assess whether the market, as a whole or in part, is doing well or poorly. Also, indices serve as a benchmark of the market sentiment.
Volatility Level (VIX Index)
The Volatility Index, often referred to as the VIX or fear indicator, measures market volatility and trader sentiment. A high VIX indicates that traders expect significant market fluctuations, indicating uncertainty or fear in the market. Typically, the VIX rises when the level of fear and uncertainty is high.
Currency Market Fluctuations and Exchange Rate Shifts
Central banks set interest rates, and changes in these rates can significantly impact a country's currency value. Higher interest rates typically attract foreign capital, leading to an appreciation of the currency. Conversely, lower rates may lead to depreciation.
Various economic indicators, such as GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, and trade balances, provide insights into a country's economic health. Positive economic data can boost a currency, while negative data can weaken it.
Changes in Commodity Prices and Their Drivers
The fundamental driver of commodity prices is the balance between supply and demand. Factors such as population growth, economic development, and shifts in consumer preferences can influence demand, while supply can be affected by weather conditions, geopolitical events, and production decisions by producers.
Regional Focus
Not all regions face the same economic challenges. There are emerging markets with promising growth prospects and developed economies with unique challenges. Let’s explore some specific regions and countries that are particularly noteworthy in the current economic landscape.
Emerging Markets
Emerging markets refer to economies that are in the process of rapid industrialisation and experiencing substantial economic growth. They tend to be characterised by a growing middle class and urbanisation. They are seen as long-term growth engines for the global economy.
- Many investors are attracted to emerging markets because of the opportunity for high returns in sectors such as technology, consumer goods, and infrastructure.
- To diversify risk, traders can allocate a portion of their portfolio to emerging markets. These markets may not necessarily correlate with developed markets, providing a buffer during global economic downturns.
- Investing in emerging markets comes with risks. Political instability and currency volatility can create uncertainty.
Developed Economies
Developed economies, generally characterised by stability and strong financial systems, also face specific challenges. For example, many advanced economies have ageing populations, which can put strain on social protection and health care systems.
- Some developed economies have experienced long periods of low economic growth. This is due to demographic trends and low labour productivity.
- Managing public debt and deficits is challenging for developed economies. The balance between social spending and fiscal responsibility is a key issue.
- Developed countries are highly dependent on international trade, which makes them vulnerable to trade disputes and supply chain disruptions.
Long-Term Trends
Traders and investors explore technological advancements, sustainable investing, and demographic shifts to guide their investment strategies for years to come.
Technological advancements are a driving force behind economic and market transformation. Key points to consider include the rise of e-commerce, FinTech, AI and automation, blockchain and cryptocurrency, renewable energy and green technologies.
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors are increasingly influencing investment decisions and corporate behaviour. ESG-focused investments consider a company’s impact on the environment and society. Companies that demonstrate a commitment to social responsibility and fair labour practices tend to attract investors.
Demographic changes are altering consumption patterns, labour markets, and economic dynamics. Factors to keep in mind are ageing populations in developed countries, rapid urbanisation, consumption habits and preferences of Millennials and Gen Z, and increased global mobility.
Insights from financial analysts and market experts provide valuable context. They interpret recent economic data, offer forecasts, and recommend investment strategies. You may, for example, check out global markets news at Reuters or read JPM global markets news. Of course, you should double-check for yourself, but you can find some main areas to consider in their analyses.
Final Thoughts
The significance of economic events cannot be overstated, and their impact on financial markets emphasises the importance of adaptation. It’s best to monitor economic news globally, seek expert advice and consider long-term trends when making financial decisions. Informed and adaptable investors and traders are most successful in an ever-changing global economic and market environment.
You can open an FXOpen account and read our blog to learn more about potential opportunities and ways to mitigate risks. Also, you can use the TickTrader platform to conduct technical analysis and benefit from advanced charts.
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The 3 Steps To The Rocket Booster Strategy AdvancedNow am a huge fan of the rocket booster strategy
but there is another strategy called the Rocket
Booster Strategy Advanced
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This is where I show you a more advanced technical analysis
tools to use for your trend analysis.
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For for this advanced session am showing you one
of my favourite tools
It is called the MACD
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Basically, the following 3 steps have to happen
- The 10 MA should be above the 30 MA
- The 10 MA should cross the 30 MA
- The price should gap up in a trend
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This is the Rocket Booster Strategy Advanced
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To learn rocket boost this content
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Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not.Please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies
MSFT 4 wave Expanding triangle and a .50 % wave 5 target 488The chart posted is the chart of MSFT I can count the correction as forming a rather large abcde triangle and it dropped to a 50 % of the whole move . I will now look for a 5th wave up from 483 to 502 with the math pointing to 488
BUY MicrosoftHello everybody
I think MSFT is long in long time It is your responsibility to check and tade with yourself This analysis has an educational aspect .
Dont go into details and short timeframe
Trade with your little money and Invest with your big money
Good Luck
Microsoft Recovers 10% From Market Correction!Berkshire Hathaway has significantly cut its Apple investment, selling 505 million shares—a 55.8% reduction. This move reflects a major shift in its investment strategy, despite an 800% gain in its Apple shares since 2016.
The decision is influenced by multiple market factors, including a slowdown in Apple's revenue growth and a significant drop in smartphone demand, particularly impacted by shrinking markets in China and ongoing legal challenges, such as a U.S. Department of Justice antitrust lawsuit.
Despite these hurdles, Apple is pushing innovation, venturing into artificial intelligence and satellite connectivity, which could strengthen its market position and open new revenue streams.
Meanwhile, Apple's stock, after peaking at $237 in July and dropping to $200, has begun to recover, rising 10% since a post-earnings dip in early August, with a 12% year-to-date increase.
This volatility underscores the need for investor patience, given Apple's trend of prolonged growth phases interspersed with flat periods.
MSFT 15 Years Old Bullish Wave To Be "Corrected" To 300/255/188➖ The latest bullish wave for Microsoft (MSFT) started more than 15 years ago, around March 2009. This wave is about to be "corrected."
➖ The last correction, November 2021 through November 2022, pushed prices close to the 0.5 Fib. retracement level relative to the entire bullish wave.
👉 A similar outcome happening now, would lead MSFT to hit around 255 in the coming months.
➖ If the corrective wave turns out to be weak/small, then it can end around 300.
➖ If the corrective wave becomes extensive and gains momentum, it can lead to a lower low compared to 2022 and thus end around 188. The actual price range is really big, between 111 and 188.
👉 We will settle for either ~255 or ~188 for the next drop.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Microsoft Corp.Benzinga
Power Of Oversold Bounce Overcomes Another Weak Treasury Auction
Aug 9, 202419:01 GMT+3
MSFT 2024 -2025PreviousEPSRevenue
Jun 2024Beat 0.23%Beat 0.45%
Mar 2024Beat 3.40%Beat 1.61%
Dec 2023Beat 5.83%Beat 1.46%
Sep 2023Beat 12.85%Beat 3.62%
Microsoft: More Oversold than During Covid?Microsoft has declined along with other AI names in the last month. How big was the pullback? Some traders may be surprised to know its intensity.
The first noteworthy signal on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI). The oscillator hit 24.69 on Monday. That was the lowest reading since August 2015. In other words, MSFT this week was more oversold than March 2020 -- at the depths of the coronavirus selloff.
Next, the software giant tested and held its April 25 low around $388. That may suggest support remains in effect.
Third, MSFT is trying to hold its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March 2023. That could indicate the presence of a longer-term uptrend.
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Microsoft $MSFT Best RR rn. LONG WE GOAs advised in our last Zelf Trade report, we have now reached our ideal long entry for a swing trade. Price just took liquidity off the lows of $387 level and we are at the best risk reward entry.
A long at market price or entries closest to $390 and we’ll be targeting $425 ish at first.
Low of $383 must be respected.
Microsoft crashing with the world markets $322 on the cardsInv C and H has formed on Microsoft.
We have seen a cosnsistent downtrend forming (Safety line).
And we have an uptrend (action line) that has broken.
So once price goes below 200MA, we could see a huge crash for Microsoft.
NATURE: Medium Probability due to:
Price<20
Price>200
Target 1 will be at $322.62
With Israels conflict exacerbating and with the interest rates staying put which is leading to less buying and more saving, we can continue to see world markets crash along with Crypto in the week coming.
MSFT - current pullback set stage for explosive upswingMassive upswing approaching as pullback hits strong 150days SMA support
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector
In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances.
MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand.
MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services
Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization.
MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away.
MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year).
The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well.
Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites.
MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings.
Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
MSFT investment Msft was on a massive pull back after a long run,all this pull back,it's a chance to get into position not a challenge,allow the system to work harder but smart n easily see things from distance,don't depend in short move,investment requires good system displean n waiting for longer for big return.
$MSFT - Math defies logicNational wide, possible global database crash today grounds all flights, cripples hospitals, scares the doot out of people.
Short Microsoft right? Well, let's look at the chart.
Bottom of regression channel after some powerful movement long term. It needed to correct.
Fibs show support, hammered off of the bottom of the current fib channel even under incredible negative real life PR. Can't make this PR up, it's devestating.
Airline stocks down across the board on this news..... MSFT is not?
It got killed pre-hours at 8am, big drop, but recovered on open.
If it holds this FIB level, it moves back up and is a good entry position after a long period of overcooked RSI
My confirmation is when teh stochastics and trend meter show the reversal on the 1 hour chart which is occurring now.
Not trade advice.
MSFT Short TargetI had several bearish charts for MSFT and when I saw it struggle after less than stellar earnings, it looked like a great short so I took it. NQ was up over 3% on the session, but MSFT remained flat. I saw this is as a bearish signal for MSFT and I was liking my position going into close.
To my surprise, MSFT held up incredibly well today considering what happened with NQ. I'm still surprised, but I expect it to break down eventually because it's weak and remains below $430. I think the range from $396-$430 is critical, so if it hits that area I'll look to take some profit.
In addition to the horizontal support, we also have a trendline support that goes back to November of 2023. This should be an area where bulls look to defend, but if not I think it gets worse and fast. Most stocks and indexes I see are right on the edge right now and whichever direction we break from here should end up being the new direction for a few weeks at least.
IS MICROSOFT coming towards the ascending TL?Following the global outage and impact is had on MSFT, I think it will be a driving force that may push MSFT towards the TL on my chart.
lets ee how it plays
Let Wait for Start Some Fresh Long in $NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:MSFT
Go for Fresh Long and Accumulation area..
MSFT Falling Channel PatternNASDAQ:MSFT post earnings now. Below the 100MA and still trading within the falling channel pattern. Will watch to see if we can start trading out of this channel tomorrow if the markets remain bullish like today (currently i'm very cautious for the next 60 days).
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction!
Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though!
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
MSFT Bear FlagMSFT does not look good on any time frames really, except for the super long term ones, where it's obviously trending up, uptrends have been broken.
The uptrend from April is broken, the $430 support level is broken. Now it's consolidating and forming a bear flag near last week's lows around $417. My short target is the $400-$396 area. To the upside, it has resistance at $430 and that trendline from April. I'd expect both of those to fail on retests, if it's able to reclaim then it would be time to look for longs IMO.
