microsoft outlook using smart money conceptsWeekly trend is still up, but fvgs formed on the way down, showing bearish intent
Price swept the 2 april lows' liquidity and then moved back up strongly on 5 aug week, creating a weekly bisi in the process, which is a bullish sign. Now bulls want to see the weekly fvg hold but currently it looks like its not holding. I will remain bullish only if this week's candle closed with lower wick to respect the bisi. Which means nfp has to push price up by a lot, if not, more downside to come
MSFTD trade ideas
MSFT Price RecapPrice Recap:
After breaking below a long term uptrend on the daily and weekly, MSFT’s price sold to a key demand zone before retracing back to the bottom side of the previous long term uptrend. Price rejected the bottom side of the previous long term uptrend in addition to rejecting a previous key resistance area. MSFT’s price is now consolidating between 405.14 and 425.21.
Trade Idea:
If price continues to sell below 405.14, watch for a move to 398.29 and 389.10. If begins to bounce from this demand point, watch for entries to the high of the current HTF range on. The daily.
Additional Considerations:
- Jeanius buy signal (Monthly and Daily)
- Holding 200ma
- Hovering RSI midpoint
- Possible head and shoulders on the HTF
The shares may return to the 385 USD support levelA head and shoulders pattern appears to be forming on the Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock chart.
The right shoulder of the pattern is currently taking shape, indicating that the stock price could drop to the neckline at 385.00 USD.
A break below this level may lead to a further decline in price to 340.00 USD.
Microsoft risks shown in chartThe biggest stocks in the market, from the technology sector, tops on July 2024. Now they are showing some concerning data. The weak RSI and Fibonacci retracement levels perfectly match previous support and resistance levels. There are also other concerning factors.
Microsoft is showing a weak RSI in the latest move-ups. Maybe it needs to find liquidity in the 0.382 FIB level around 370$.
msft bullishtechnically it seems more bullish than other mega gaps
Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing.
MSFT - MICROSOFT POTENTIAL REVERSAL (HEAD AND SHOULDERS) Dear traders,
keep an eye on microsoft, today is an important day due to NVIDIA's earnings report which could have a negative impact on tech companies if it is not good enough. Microsoft could very well go down to $375, this could generate some interesting buying ideas, I will share my thoughts on buying it.
best
MSFT - Head and shoulders is forming📈 Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Analysis
Let's take a closer look at Microsoft's (MSFT) recent performance. The stock is currently trading at $416.79, showing a slight increase of +0.30%. We're seeing some interesting technical patterns forming:
- Head & Shoulders Pattern: The chart shows a clear head and shoulders pattern, which could indicate a potential bearish reversal if the neckline is broken.
- Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key levels to watch include 0.236 at $407.82 and 0.382 at $370.78. The stock has reacted previously with these levels, indicating potential support areas.
- Support Levels: Strong support is found around $325.45, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
If Microsoft fails to stay above the neckline, we might see the stock test lower levels, potentially around $340 or even $325. Keep an eye on these key levels for any further movement.
MSFT has room to the daily 50 SMA.NASDAQ:MSFT daily chart shows consolidation just below the daily 50 and 65 EMAs. If MSFT can confirm this daily supply to the upside, there is significant space on the chart up to the daily 50 SMA, which gives this trade a large measured potential. Many NASDAQ:QQQ names have reclaimed their daily 50 SMAs, and as long as the index continues to build above its daily 50 SMA, MSFT is likely to catch up. As MSFT is a thinner name, this trade will be more likely to work during the morning trading session when liquidity is higher.
$MSFT Head and Shoulders Pattern in Formation?NASDAQ:MSFT
Technical Analysis of MSFT:
Head and Shoulders Pattern in Formation
Currently, the support established around $390 might be forming the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern. To complete this pattern, the right shoulder still needs to form.
Key point to watch: if the right shoulder develops below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, projected at $436, it could signal a bearish move. A confirmed break of the $390 support would then be expected to trigger a downward move towards the potential target of $310.
Summary:
Current Support/Neckline Level: $390
61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level: $436
Watch for Right Shoulder Formation Below $436
Potential Downward Target: $310
Monitor for the formation of the right shoulder and a potential break of support to validate the bearish outlook.
433 with a possible swing down to 415 to form the H&S pattern.Like other tech stocks in the AI sector, MSFT has been driving home the message reasonably clearly. Although the stock's shape and room have room to run, it is not in anyone's interest to continue to see one direction moving forward, which is why I am interested in what happens at the 433 corridor. It is one to watch for a possible breakdown. I will monitor it!
MICROSOFT Targeting $500 before the end of the year.Microsoft (MSFT) has made a new long-term bottom and recovered almost all of August's losses. That bottom is technically the Higher Low of the 20-month Channel Up that started in January 2023.
The price is currently consolidating below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and if broken, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg. In the previous (2) Bullish Legs of this Channel Up, the price tends to re-test the 1D MA50/100 cluster to confirm it as the new long-term Support after the break-out, so expect that to take place at some point.
Having though formed a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we can assume that this is already a safe level to buy for the long-term, as every Bullish Cross below 0.0 has technically been a confirmed buy level. Our Target for the end of the year is $500, which is still technically a 'modest' one as it is considerably below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which priced the March Higher High.
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