Msft double top. Swing short trade ideaMsft double top with a clear neckline break. We can also see the retest of the neckline this past Friday so looking for a continuation to the downside. Measured move takes Msft to about $317. Trade is wrong if we close a day above neckline.
There’s a lot going on next week with the feds so I expect some decent volatility.
Have a good week!
MSFTD trade ideas
MSFT AnalysisPrice play out nicely as analyzed last week. We got the bearish retracement we need but failed to mitigate the bullish POI at 322.72 before price continued higher. We see volume decreasing on the up move recently and this can be signs of exhaustion. I'm expecting price to consolidate here or to make another bearish retracement from here.
Don't buy Microsoft stock at current priceHello,
Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of Office Commercial (Office 365 subscriptions, the Office 365 portion of Microsoft 365 Commercial subscriptions, and Office licensed on-premises), Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, Office Consumer, including Microsoft 365 Consumer subscriptions, Office licensed on-premises, and other Office services, LinkedIn, including Talent Solutions, Marketing Solutions, Premium Subscriptions, Sales Solutions, and Learning Solutions, Dynamics business solutions, including Dynamics 365, comprising a set of intelligent, cloud-based applications across ERP, CRM, Customer Insights, Power Apps, and Power Automate, and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of Server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub, Enterprise Services, including Enterprise Support Services, Microsoft Consulting Services, and Nuance professional services.
The company remains strong but the share price is not at a good place for us to buy. Check more details about the financials to understand the company more.
Good luck!
Is AI mania going to be stopped...Answering my own question - don't think so. But from technical standpoint, what I can see:
- stock overbought,
- bearish Crab pattern almost completed (getting to the D-point)
- SELL volume higher from the BUY one in the recent days
- fundamentals
no recommendation whatsoever.
Cup & Handle//Rising WedgePrice has broken up and out of the bearish Rising wedge. This pattern is not valid until the bottom line broken. It has not been broken so it is not valid.
Price is trying to reach long entry level for a large Cup pattern
There will be resistance at the top of the cup.
No recommendation/overbought with RSI on 70.
Some would set RSI to 80 vs 70 for a high momentum security.
MSFT: Weekly and Monthly TargetsPer request, quick video and analysis on MSFT.
Let me know your questions/comments below.
Also excuse the cars in the background, its nice weather and I have every single window open haha.
Also to clarify, I say market outlook is very bullish and positive, I mean this by behaviour and not reality!
Safe trades everyone!
Microsoft is undervaluedMicrosoft is undervalued, high quality, financially healthy and with AI and Cloud under their belt, it has a huge growth potential. Expected ER end of July. Several indicators and machine learning scripts suggest, that NASDAQ:MSFT could get to $342 soon.
*Disclaimer*
The information is purely for *entertainment* purposes, and is not meant to be, and does not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Do Your Own Due Diligence (DYODD)
MSFT, 10d+/-15.29%falling cycle -15.29% more than 10 days.
==================================================================================
This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
MSFT after acquisition.....1. Activision Blizzard
On January 18, 2022, following the announcement of the acquisition, the stock price of ATVI reached its peak at $82 after initially being at $65, which is 25% increase.
Around December 8, 2022, before and after the FTC's indication of opposition, the stock price experienced minor fluctuations of around 10%. However, after the CMA's opposition on April 26, 2023, the stock price plummeted by over 13%.
Overall, since the announcement of the acquisition on January 18, 2022, the stock price of ATVI has risen by over 20% from $65 to $78 on May 19, 2023. Despite this increase, it remains significantly below the premium price of $95 proposed by MSFT (-17%).
2. Microsoft
As of May 2023, Microsoft (MSFT) has a market cap of 2.363 trillion dollars. The acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) for 69 billion dollars represents approximately 3% of Microsoft's market cap. This indicates that M&A issues related to Activision Blizzard are not correlated with the MSFT stock price. As evidence of this, on January 18, 2022, after the acquisition announcement, Microsoft's stock price only declined by 2.43%. Similarly, on May 15, 2023, when the acquisition received EU approval, the stock price increased by a mere 0.16%. The 7.24% increase in the stock price after the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) rejection on April 26, 2023, was largely attributed to the company's strong earnings report.
3. Overall Microsoft does not show much fluctuations from the acquisition or any other anti-trust issues. May be due to the high premium paid to ActivisionBlizzard that makes the investors slightly lackluster towards the deal.
ActivisionBlizzard – Very enthusiastic towards the deal. Perhaps due to the expected synergy effect and the high premium paid by the Microsoft. Need to talk about why FTC’s rejection shows little to no effect while the CMA’s rejection has a significant impact in the stock market.
Sony – Mostly the opposite of ActivisionBlizzard
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. From here, price is over extended to the upside. Do not FOMO into buying from here. I'm expecting price to make a bearish retracement, at least into the bullish POI at 322.72 next. Price could also potentially go lower and take out the sell-side liquidity built in early May.
Cup & Handle//Rising WedgePrice is NOT to EL level yet.
There is a possible Rising Wedge and price broke up from the bearish Rising Wedge.
This happens when the narrowing of the wedge forces price up, but usually price is forced down.
This pattern is not valid until the bottom trendline of the wedge is broken.
Rising wedges are bearish but this stock has defied the odds for now.
No recommendation/If this makes it to long entry level, I will calculate targets.
ATH IS 349.67 and this will need to break this level for this pattern to reach EL.