Microstrategy: Renewed Upside MicroStrategy has continued to face downward pressure recently but is now showing more decisive signs of an upward move. We still see greater upside potential in the current magenta wave , though we expect the peak to form below resistance at $671.32. Afterward, the bearish wave should complete turquoise wave 2—while still holding above support at $153.49. Wave 3 should then usher in a longer upward phase, with momentum likely to ease only well above the $671.32 level. At the same time, there remains a 33% probability that the stock has already entered this upward phase. In that scenario, turquoise wave alt. 2 would already be complete, and the price would move directly above $671.32 as part of wave alt. 3.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
MSTR trade ideas
MicroStrategy Bitcoin FOMOIs it time to sell? In percentage terms, MicroStrategy has significantly outperformed its underlying asset, Bitcoin. It's concerning to watch Michael Saylor's FOMO (fear of missing out) into Bitcoin over the past year, as this could ultimately do more harm than good for Bitcoin. MicroStrategy's stock seems massively overvalued compared to its Bitcoin holdings. As the saying goes, "when the tide goes out, we see who is swimming naked."
Over the same period Bitcoin has gained 674%, while MicroStrategy has gained 2831%, making the situation quite clear. When comparing past bull runs, the percentage gains between Bitcoin and MicroStrategy have typically matched more closely, with both assets trending up together. So, what's different this time? Media exposure and FOMO.
Proceed with caution; this is starting to look like a bubble. Is it time to short?
MSTR Heating Up! Options and Intraday Setup Ahead for July/10🔥GEX-Based Options Analysis (Macro Sentiment):
MSTR is showing strong bullish momentum fueled by aggressive options flow. The key GEX levels show:
* Gamma Wall / Max Resistance is at $405–$410, aligning with current price action.
* Positive GEX Flow continues to build up toward $425, where the 3rd CALL Wall sits.
* On the downside, minimal PUT Wall pressure is seen until $390, offering a strong base of support.
💡 Options Setup Ideas:
* Bullish Setup: If MSTR holds above $405–$410 zone, consider a 415C or 420C for 07/12 expiry, targeting a move to $422.50–$425.
* Bearish Reversal Risk: If MSTR breaks back below $400 with volume, risk shifts to downside with $390 PUTs back in play.
IV is still low (IVR 7.4, IVx below average), which supports buying premium over selling.
1H Price Action & Intraday Setup:
On the 1-hour chart, MSTR just broke out of a compression wedge after forming a clean CHoCH and BOS (Change of Character and Break of Structure). Price is now flagging just below the purple supply box, creating a textbook bullish continuation setup.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $414–$416 (if broken, opens room to $422+)
* Support: $404–$408 (recent CHoCH zone and breakout base)
* Deeper Support: $396–$400 (prior structure, invalidation if lost)
📈 Intraday Trade Plan:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break and close above $416
* Target: $422.50–$425
* Stop: Below $408
* Pullback Long:
* Entry: Retest of $405 with bullish reaction
* Target: $415+
* Stop: Below $400
* Bearish Reversal (low probability):
* Entry: Breakdown below $400
* Target: $393–$390
* Stop: Above $405
My Thoughts:
MSTR is building strength with both option sentiment and price structure aligning for continuation. It’s one of the cleanest bull flags on the board right now. Keep eyes on the breakout zone at $414–$416 — a push through with volume could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $425.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
$mstr can’t get better than this setup Just look how beautiful the chart is. Breakout was imminent after waiting for the right time. This shows how effective the falling wedge pattern always gets out as a winner and everyone loves it because all bitcoin and related stocks mainly depend on falling wedge patterns. Trust the process!!
$MSTR Continues on last weeks path!NASDAQ:MSTR continues to breakout above the channel after a retest as support.
High Volume Node at $440 may proof tough but if price breaks through we could see a strong FOMO induced breakout into price discovery.
Analysis is invalidated below the channel at $358.
Safe Trading
MSTR stock has seen a strong rally since JuneSince June, MSTR stock has seen a strong rally—rising from the mid‑$300s to above $430—driven by a few key factors:
Bitcoin’s continued ascent has fueled sentiment. Bitcoin recently hit fresh record highs (above $118K), driven by a weakening dollar and bullish macro trends, which in turn boosted bitcoin-linked equities like MicroStrategy.
In short, MSTR’s rally since June has been largely Bitcoin-driven: a powerful combination of rising crypto prices, ongoing BTC purchases, proactive capital raises, and positive analyst sentiment creating a bullish feedback loop.
Let me know if you'd like a breakdown of Bitcoin’s trend or deeper insight on MSTR’s financing strategy.
$447 will be my next buy TP.
Please, share your thought, like, share and follow me.
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) – Bitcoin Proxy Setting Up AgainMicroStrategy Incorporated NASDAQ:MSTR remains the definitive institutional proxy for Bitcoin exposure, uniquely combining its enterprise software operations with a high-conviction, leveraged Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Its $1.42B BTC purchase in April 2025 further cements this thesis, making MSTR a prime vehicle for traders seeking amplified BTC exposure via equities.
Since our May 5th analysis, MSTR has rallied ~14.61%. We’re now eyeing a re-entry opportunity on a pullback to the $394–$387 zone, aligning with technical support and previous consolidation.
🎯 Bullish targets remain unchanged: $490.00–$500.00, backed by Bitcoin strength and MicroStrategy’s unwavering strategy.
🔁 Re-entry: $394–$387
🟩 Targets: $490–$500
#MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #BTC #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MicroStrategy #HighBeta #CryptoExposure #TradingSetup
MSTR MICROSTRATEGY As of July 11, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) is trading at approximately $434.58 per share on the NASDAQ, showing a strong daily gain of about 3.04% (+$12.84). The stock has experienced significant growth recently, with a 3-month return of around 45% and a 1-year return exceeding 220%.
Key Highlights about MicroStrategy (MSTR):
Industry: Software - Application
Market Cap: Approximately $118.8 billion
Shares Outstanding: About 273 million
Trading Range (Year): Low near $102.40 and high around $543.00
Volume: Active trading with daily volumes around 18 million shares
CEO: Phong Q. Le
Headquarters: Tysons Corner, Virginia, USA
Business: MicroStrategy provides enterprise analytics software and services, including a platform for data visualization, reporting, and analytics. It serves a broad range of industries including finance, retail, technology, and healthcare.
Recent Price Trend
The stock has steadily appreciated from about $255 in February 2025 to over $430 in July 2025.
Recent trading range for July 11 was between $423.70 and $438.70.
After-hours trading shows a slight dip to around $433.25.
Outlook
The next earnings announcement is scheduled for July 31, 2025.
Analysts forecast the stock price could range between $434.58 and $798.13 in 2025, reflecting optimism about the company’s growth prospects and market position.
MicroStrategy’s strong correlation with Bitcoin price movements (due to its large BTC holdings) often influences its stock volatility and performance.
In summary: MicroStrategy is a major player in enterprise analytics software with a highly volatile stock influenced by its Bitcoin exposure and market sentiment. Its stock price has surged strongly in 2025, reflecting both business fundamentals and crypto market dynamics.
MSTR -- Cup & Handle Breakout // Long & Short SetupsHello Traders!
There is a beautiful cup and handle pattern that has formed on MSTR (Microstrategy).
This pattern offers us a wonderful long setup, as well as a potential short at the all time high.
Pattern Failure: If price both breaks and confirms below the C&P neckline the pattern is void.
Price will likely temporarily pull back from the all time high, giving us our short setup. However you'll want to be in and out quick considering price will likely continue to new highs after pulling back.
I will be swing trading the long setup and likely day trading the short setup.
Have fun and best of luck to everyone on their trading journey!
MSTR returning to ATHMSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not? MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?MSTR returning to ATH. Will MSTR continue or not?
$MSTR Megatrend Continuation?NASDAQ:MSTR is market leader in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC strategic reserves strategy and has set the benchmark.
After a nearly 20x rally profit take is exceptive, price has held up extremely well through the last 6 months only dropping to the .236 Fibonacci retracement and weekly pivot. As Bitcoin continues into price discovery expect the MSTR rally to continue with renewed tailwinds.
It is an extremely hated stock as well as its collection of yield baring derivatives. The keeps the social mood / sentiment low which could prove further tailwind for growth.
I am looking at a terminal target this cycle of around $1500 at the R5 weekly pivot.
Safe trading
(MSTR) – Cup & Handle Brewing Inside a Rising Wedge?MSTR is currently trading around $384, consolidating just under a significant historical resistance near $432, the neckline of a potential cup and handle formation. Price action has respected a rising wedge channel since mid-April, making higher highs and higher lows with relatively muted volume – a classic consolidation before a breakout... or breakdown.
The Cup and Handle – Brewing or Breaking?
Cup Formation: The cup ranges from the November 2023 high down to the January 2024 lows and back up, completing the round base at ~$432.
Handle Formation: Price has been forming a descending handle within the rising wedge, staying above key moving averages.
Breakout Target (Cup & Handle):
Cup depth: ~$432 - ~$290 = $142
If confirmed breakout occurs above $432, measured move takes us to ~$574
Bullish Validation:
Close above $432 on strong volume confirms breakout.
Look for volume spike + strong Heikin Ashi candles with little/no wicks below body.
Momentum indicators (MACD crossover + RSI breaking 60+) would further confirm.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
A confirmed breakdown below $360 (channel support + BB midline) would shift momentum bearish.
$352 (100 EMA) is the next critical level — if this goes, the structure weakens significantly.
Watch for a test of $332, which aligns with both Bollinger Band support and a horizontal demand zone.
A full breakdown of the channel and cup handle structure could see price revisiting the base of the cup near $290–292, where the 233 SMA and major historical support converge.
Indicators:
MACD: Bullish crossover forming, histogram slightly positive. Needs stronger momentum to sustain rally.
RSI: Neutral zone (~52). Not overbought or oversold – room to move in either direction.
Volume: Volume is decreasing, typical before a big move. A spike will hint at direction.
Final Thoughts
MSTR is at a pivotal technical crossroads. The broader setup shows a cup and handle formation in progress, with the handle unfolding inside a well-defined ascending channel — a bullish structure that supports continuation if price holds key levels.
To confirm the cup and handle, bulls need to see a clean breakout and close above $432, preferably on increased volume. That would validate the pattern and open up a measured move target toward $574+.
Meanwhile, the ascending channel remains intact, guiding price higher with higher lows and highs. To maintain this structure, MSTR must hold support above $360–352. A sustained bounce off this zone would reinforce both the channel and the handle as part of the bullish setup.
However, if price breaks below $352 and especially closes below $332, it would invalidate the ascending channel and begin to threaten the cup’s base structure. A breakdown toward $290–292 would likely follow, where the entire pattern would need to be reassessed.
Until a breakout above $432 or a breakdown below $352–332 is confirmed, this remains a neutral “watch zone”. Swing traders should be cautious, but keep alerts set, a move in either direction could be powerful and directional.
MSTR Long - high squeeze potentialMSTR recently made 20-day highs (green candles) and then sold off towards the 20D EMA trendline. Meanwhile, looking at a proxy of net buying/selling (bottom panel), there has been neither significant buying nor selling activity.
All of this is setting up the potential for a squeeze higher.
Needless to say, please manage your risks carefully and consider setting a stop-loss upon MSTR closing at a 20-day low (red candle).
Both indicators (Breakout Trend and Buying/Selling Proxy) are available for free on TradingView.
MSTR · 4H —Early Bearish Divergence Detected Near Key Fib TargetSetup Breakdown
Price recently broke out from a falling wedge and hit both technical targets — first at ~$409 (78.6%) and then ~$419 (100%).
However, momentum is weakening despite price hovering near the highs.
We're now seeing early bearish divergence on multiple timeframes and oscillators, signaling potential reversal or pullback.
⚠️ Bearish Signals
RSI Divergence
Price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs — classic bearish divergence.
Double confirmation
Both RSI with MA and pure RSI show declining momentum.
Volume drop
Price is rising but volume is not following — another early warning sign.
🔻 Potential Breakdown Trigger
If price closes below $407–405, that would break short-term structure and confirm the divergence risk.
Watch for RSI to drop below 50 and volume to spike on red candles — that would likely accelerate the correction.
📉 Downside Zones to Watch
$400
=> 61.8% Fib retracement + consolidation base
$395
=> 50% Fib retracement
$389
=> 38.2% Fib retracement + prior breakout support
✅ Summary
Divergence is still early but meaningful — momentum does not support current price highs.
A breakdown from current levels could open a short window down to $386 or even $371 if confirmed.
Watch RSI + volume + candle structure for confirmation before acting.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and follow your trading plan.
#MSTR #BearishDivergence #RSI #Fibonacci #MomentumShift #VolumeAnalysis #TradingView #TechStocks #4HChart
Crypto Stocks to the moon?NASDAQ:MSTR , along with numerous other publicly traded companies with significant cryptocurrency exposure, experienced a remarkable rally during the previous crypto bull market. There are indications that a similar dynamic could be emerging once again.
#bitcoin #crypto #stocks #stockmarket #portfolio
MSTR Daily Chart Analysis: Key Price LevelsThis analysis focuses on the daily chart of MicroStrategy (MSTR), highlighting significant price action, identified patterns, and predefined support and resistance levels.
Price Action Overview:
Starting from late 2024/early 2025, MSTR experienced a notable downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, leading to a test of the "Strong Support" zone, illustrated by the grey shaded area around the 230-240 price level.
Following this decline, the chart illustrates a distinct "W" pattern formation, often interpreted as a potential bullish reversal signal. This pattern culminated in a decisive breakout above the overhead descending trendline (marked in red), indicating a shift in market structure from downtrend to a more bullish posture.
Post-breakout, the price saw a strong upward move into May. A subsequent pullback found significant support within the "Key Support 360 to 370" zone, which appears to have acted as a crucial pivot point, preventing further decline. More recently, the price has consolidated and is current
ly trading above the "1st Support 390 to 400" area.
Key Levels Identified:
Key Resistance / Target Level (435 to 450): The red shaded area at the top represents a significant overhead resistance zone. This level aligns with a previous peak and is identified as a potential target if the current upward momentum continues.
1st Support (390 to 400): This green shaded area serves as the immediate support level. The price has recently traded above this zone, suggesting it has transitioned into a new support area after potentially acting as resistance previously. Sustaining price action above this level would be a key observation.
Key Support (360 to 370): Located below the first support, this green zone has demonstrated its importance in recent price action, coinciding with the lows seen in June, where buyers stepped in.
Feb 50% Retracement & Flip Zone (330 to 340): This lower green shaded area represents a significant structural level, identified as a potential 50% Fibonacci retracement level from a previous move and a historical "flip zone" where price action shifted between support and resistance.
Strong Support (approx. 230-240): The grey shaded box at the bottom indicates a strong historical support level, representing the lowest point observed within this timeframe, acting as a critical long-term floor.
Current Observations:
The current price of 405.09 indicates MSTR is trading above its immediate "1st Support 390 to 400" zone. The dotted blue line on the chart illustrates a hypothetical continuation of the current upward momentum, projecting a potential move towards the "Key Resistance / Target Level 435 to 450."
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.