MSTRD trade ideas
MicroStrategy - HAMMER TIME - Purely TechnicalComments:
For me, MicroStrategy is a purely technical and seems to track bitcoin more than its underlying product. It reach the year 2000's all-time highs.
Technicals:
Weekly Zoomed In:
Weekly hammer with volume at the 50%-61.8% fib level
Weekly Zoomed Out:
All-time highs
5EMAs strategy
RM KJ Trend Bounce
ADX extra confirmation
Bounce from horizontals support of the year 2000 all-time highs.
Targets: 800ish by June 2025
MSTR short: wave 3 of 3I've purposely kept the risk very tight. The alternate count to this is that the entire correction is done and instead of wave 1 of 3, it's actually a C wave. The other alternate count is that wave 2 of 3 is NOT complete, but then it's too hard to predict wave 2 (can retrace back to start of wave 1 of 3). Thus, I this that by using the current wave 1 end (black number), it will serve as a good stock to try a short with a small risk.
$MSTR appears to have broken the downtrendStill not 100% confirmed yet.
Price action dipped into the gap, although i would have liked to of seen a bit more time ~$275 to confirm
That would have shown a strong bounce off the .618 Fib as well, so I’m still bit skeptical.
It is very good that MSTR had a full 50% retracement tho from this move up.
I’m expecting it to range sideways at least for a few more days to confirm.
Volume has flipped bullish to suggest a trend reversal.
RSI fully reset to beginning of move.
Price closed above the EMA 9 & 21.
EMA 9 still has not crossed 21, so more hesitation.
Bulls need to step up BIG here for the Weekly Close.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) 1-3NASDAQ:MSTR
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $363.00. A breakout targets $380 and $400, marking a strong recovery zone.
🩸 Support: $328.00. A breakdown exposes $300 and $280 as critical downside levels.
🔥 LucanInvestor’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $363.00, aiming for $380 and $400. Watch for strong volume to confirm the breakout.
🩸 Short: Below $328.00, targeting $300 and $280. Weakness at this level could accelerate selling pressure.
🩸 MicroStrategy has rebounded from key support near its 200 EMA, and MACD is starting to turn bullish, indicating potential recovery. However, seasonality and the recent 10.62% drop over the past month suggest caution at resistance levels. YTD gains of 179.44% highlight the stock's long-term strength.
👑 "Resilience at key levels defines the path to recovery. Stay alert for confirmation." — LucanInvestor
MSTR Fib Pitch FanNASDAQ:MSTR
This Fib Pitch Fan really shows the high touch points and low consolidation points. You can see that candle with a high of $543 in November 2024 and then consolidation follows in the blue zone to the green zone we are currently in. Looking back to March 2024, that candle with a high of $200 touches that green line and bounces into consolidation, similarly to what just happen in November of 2024. Volatility is increasing and bullish momentum is here.
Looking at this green zone we are currently in you can we can have a candle with a low of $285.01 and it did not want to break the line below the candle, bounced right from that line.
We can see this stock getting back to the blue zone above the green zone we are in, making the way back to the highs. Going to that new green zone and moving above the blue zone, can make new highs for the stock.
This chart is posted on X.
Check links on profile.
Comment what you think about this chart.
Comment any tips or suggestions.
NASDAQ:MSTR COINBASE:BTCUSD
Yes, I'm shorting thisBought puts Jan 24, strike 315. Price still in a downtrend and I think it needs more to change that. This is just a test of the broken support now resistance.
Possible MSTR targets As you can see from the fibs , if this doesnt turn into a 5 wave down , possible ABC correction for MSTR. Break of 200 would be bearish for any continuation...
MSTR 1H candlesConverging into a corner of a decreasing triangle, looks bullish despite the sentiment
MSTR 1H candles form a triangle Decreasing tops and decreasing bottoms but converting into a corner of a triangle, looks bullish despite the sentiment.
MSTR...up to 320ish, but then back down to where it belongsBuying BTC with debt, what could ever go wrong with that strategy! MSTR is enjoying this nice "mini" upswing, but let's not forget that if you zoom out it's not a very perilous journey downhill. You've been warned and hope that I'm wrong, but there are too many things that potentially could go wrong and the price will reflect that soon. Don't get caught in the FOMO!
Best of luck and always do your own DD!
MSTR - The Saylor in the Storm!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈MSTR has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. (log chart)
Currently, it is in a correction phase within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #MSTR approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MSTR Lower strength on bullish movement as 2024 march pick and 2021 first all time high, usually MSTR used to trend direction a couple months before BTC. It is possible to see higher prices on BTC and cryptocurrencies, however MSTR could be overvalued and we could see lower prices making lower highs in the process.
Analyzing MicroStrategy's Price Action & Impulse Wave FormationGreetings Everyone,
Happy New Year! To kick off the year with momentum, I've revisited and updated the MSTR chart for fresh insights.
Not financial advice
MicroStrategy (MSTR) is a leading business intelligence and analytics company, well-known for its significant investments in Bitcoin. Its stock price is closely tied to both its core business and Bitcoin's performance, making it an
exciting watch for 2025.
Key Levels:
Near term key levels are highlighted in orange.
Overthrow : A concept in EW theory that explains the momentous break of a uptrend channel which then reverses strongly in the opposite direction often indicating buyer weakness.
Notice the 47.88% draw down since this overthrown candle.
Wishing you all a prosperous year ahead and a fantastic day!
Best regards,
CL
MSTR at Critical Reaction Zone: Will Bulls Reclaim Momentum?1. Chart Overview:
- Timeframe: 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart.
- Current Price: $292.00 (visible on the chart).
- Trend: The price appears to be consolidating in a reaction zone near significant support levels.
2. Key Levels (Support & Resistance):
- Support Levels:
- $277.18: Close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a significant support level.
- $292.00: Current price level acting as interim support.
- $289.80: EMA 200 level, which often serves as a strong support line in technical analysis.
3. Trend Analysis:
- The chart indicates that MSTR is in a **short-term consolidation phase**, bouncing around the reaction zone ($277-$300).
- **Uptrend Potential:** If the price breaks above $328.87 (23.6% Fibonacci), it could test higher levels:
4. Fibonacci Analysis:
- Retracement Levels:
- The price is hovering near the 61.8% retracement level ($289.80), a key zone for potential reversals.
- Holding above this level could signal a bullish rebound, while a breakdown might lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci levels.
Potential Trade Strategies: Bullish Rebound:
- Entry: Around $290-$292 (near current price and EMA 200 support).
- Target: $328 (23.6% Fibonacci) or $351 (EMA 50 level).
$MSTR 344X Profit Margin Pinescript Trading Strategy
Version 2 has achieved an unbelievable 344X Profit Factor
Max Drawdown: 5.94%
Sharpe Ratio: 2.2
Sortino Ratio: 4.97
Omega Ratio: 38.91
Profit Factor: 344.29
Profitable Trades: 84.62%
If I get a good response on these published ideas I plan to offer this script as a subscription, but for now if you follow me, I will post the next signal for free.
Also, please help a brother out and like and comment on this post.
260 looking likely with many channels suggesting the sameAs for the where and how on everyone's mind, we will break it down for you; it has broken through levels that could have acted as strong support, like Fibonacci retracements, Keltner channels, and closing in on the Bollinger, volume is not as high as it was when making the highs. Still, as we look at angles and lines symmetrically, it seems to be coming to a head at around 260s, with no confirmation on many indicators and oscillators and no reversal chart pattern indicating jumping in at any point soon. Will be looking for an entry around this mark.
$MSTR Time to Buy?Hello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on Microstrategy NASDAQ:MSTR you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
After an impressive move to the upside, we can now feel confident to look for entries after that retracement.
Keeping with the Bullish narrative of CRYPTOCAP:BTC we can assume NASDAQ:MSTR will once again see another projection higher back to its ATH (All Time High) of $543.
MSTR Daily ShortHere's a daily view of MSTR.
I expect a classical Trend-Barrier Reversal.
Let's see how this plays out.
Happy Christmas all §8-)
$MSTR 1hr bearflag is so clean and beautiful!I mean does it get more textbook than this BEARISH setup??
I will be buying NASDAQ:SMST as this really begins to BREAK DOWN soon.
People will be buying in the 280s to only be trapped and extracted for more exit liquidity as it continues to fall to 220's.
Depending on if they print more USDT to FAKE demand for BITCORN it could dive even deeper than that to the 180s...
In the 180s panic will start & who knows after that.
Michael Meth Saylor about to be sweating. This company is and will always be scam.
Bye Felicia
4H MSTR looks goodThe MSTR 4-hour chart shows the price squeezing into a symmetrical triangle. Volume’s been dropping, and it looks like a breakout is coming soon—maybe to the upside if momentum builds.
Long MSTR Next Week: Expecting Upside MomentumKey Insights: MSTR has shown resilience in recent market fluctuations, largely
due to its deep ties with Bitcoin and the lively sentiment around
cryptocurrency investments. The company's focus on Bitcoin as a primary
treasury strategy is attracting substantial investor interest, especially
with Bitcoin's recent price stability. Additionally, the potential for
further corporate adoption of Bitcoin could elevate MSTR's valuation.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=360, T2=375. Stop levels are S1=320,
S2=310.
- Recent Performance: MSTR has experienced fluctuating trading volumes over the
past few weeks, indicating increased investor participation. Despite broader
market volatility, MSTR's stock price managed to maintain its stance around
the 330 level, suggesting a strong support base.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts express a cautiously optimistic outlook, noting that
while MSTR remains highly volatile, its potential for upside is supported by
macroeconomic factors favoring cryptocurrencies. Market sentiment is leaning
towards bullish as many traders expect Bitcoin to rally, positively
impacting MSTR’s price in tandem.
- News Impact: Recent headlines regarding institutional investments in Bitcoin
and broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies have played a significant role in
boosting MSTR's profile. The company’s ongoing developments and partnerships
related to Bitcoin acquisition strategies continue to generate interest,
supporting the bullish sentiment.
SPX, SPY, QQQ, NDX, Bitcoin, MSTR: ShortI did a video update on the 4 symbols:
1. S&P 500
2. Nasdaq
3. Bitcoin
4. Microstrategy
I believe that we are going to crash on a wave 3 down.
