Netflix Earnings Growth Expected As It Prepares For Q125 ResultsNetflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) is set to report its earnings for the quarter ending March 2025 on April 17. Analysts expect year-over-year growth in both revenue and earnings. However, consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates have been revised down slightly by 0.07% over the past 30 days. This suggests a cautious outlook among analysts.
At the close on April 11, Netflix stock traded at $918.29, down by 0.31%. In after-hours trading, the price edged slightly higher to $919.80. The stock traded with a volume of 4.07 million shares. RSI stands at 47.76, reflecting neutral momentum.
The final result could trigger a sharp price move. A positive earnings surprise might push the stock higher. On the other hand, a miss could lead to a decline. The outcome will also depend on management’s commentary during the earnings call.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, Netflix recently bounced off a key demand zone near the $820–$830 range. This zone had previously served as a strong support area. After touching this level, the price formed a reversal candle, signaling potential buying interest.
The stock is now hovering around $918.29, near the 50-day and 100-day moving averages at $961.61 and $931.24, respectively. If the price clears these levels, it may aim for the recent high of $1,064.50. A short-term retracement could occur before a possible continuation higher.
Volume analysis shows a spike during the bounce from support, indicating accumulation. The price pattern suggests a bullish structure is forming. Overall, eyes remain on the April 17 earnings report for the next major move, which might see Netflix surge to a new all-time high.
NFLXD trade ideas
NFLX Bearish Setup!This is a simple setup that almost anyone can read—a Head & Shoulders at the top signaling a reversal pattern.
Contrary to popular belief H&S are continuation patterns if they are not at a top.
The only other time H&S are reversal patterns is if the chart has multiple H&S everywhere.
Time for bulls to take their money and RUN!!! The fun ride is over for a while. Time to go home. ((
CAUTION!
Click BOOST, follow subscribe. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. ))
Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Jumps Nearly 5%Netflix (NFLX) Share Price Jumps Nearly 5%
According to the charts, Netflix (NFLX) shares rose to their highest level since early April, while the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) declined by approximately 0.2% yesterday.
Since the beginning of 2025, NFLX’s share price has increased by more than 8%, showing resilience in a volatile stock market that remains sensitive to the escalation of the global trade war.
Why Is Netflix (NFLX) Gaining in Value?
The strong performance may be attributed to three key factors:
Jason Helfstein, an analyst at financial holding company Oppenheimer, believes the company likely faces “limited” risks. Netflix does not sell tradeable goods subject to tariffs and could even benefit from a potential economic downturn if consumers opt to stay home more often.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Netflix has set a target of reaching a market capitalisation of $1 trillion and doubling its revenue to $39 billion by 2030.
Positive sentiment ahead of the earnings report – yes, Netflix is one of the first to release its quarterly results.
Technical Analysis of NFLX Share Chart
The share price is moving within an upward channel (shown in blue), with strong support in 2025 provided by both the lower boundary of the channel and the $840 level – a level originating from the powerful rally at the end of 2024.
On the other hand, the price has now approached the psychological $1000 level. It is possible that, in light of the upcoming earnings release (scheduled for tomorrow, 17 April), the bulls may attempt a breakout and aim to secure a foothold in the upper half of the channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NETFLiX: $855 | reset for next generational gainsa FRESH BEAR is as Wicked as a Bull on Steroids
money go rounds
as this is anchored to Tariff circus
money managers who invested in the last decade are booking profits
as time for retirement to enjoy life
next batch of retirees should be lucky to wait at $300 zone to hop on
markets are cycles and this one
gives the best bang for every buck both long and short players
just size in entries as this can wick you out both ways
Netflix Short PositionHi traders,
Lets have a look at the Netflix 1D timeframe chart.
We can see that the price is approaching the horizontal resistance.
We expect that price will get reject at the horizontal resistance therefore, the short position can be taken
Entry, target, stop loss, are shown on the chart.
Risk/Reward ratio: 7.33
Could Netflix (NFLX) Be Gearing Up for a Major Correction?Netflix has had an impressive bull run since mid-2022, but based on historical structure and price behavior, a correction could be right around the corner.
🔍 Chart Breakdown (9W Time Frame):
Current Price: ~$870
2025 Projected High: $1,064.50
No significant correction since 2022
Bearish Target Zones:
📉 Zone 1: ~$443 (-46% from current levels)
📉 Zone 2: ~$344 (-57% from current levels)
Market Structure Notes:
Bullish momentum has been non-stop for 2+ years
The last time Netflix saw a proper reset was during the 2022 market correction
If this candle breaks structure to the downside, the selloff may be fast and steep
Support Zones are clearly outlined between the 2023 lows and historical demand blocks
💬 My Prediction:
I believe Netflix is overdue for a pullback, and based on the volume and vertical structure of this bull run, we could be setting up for a mean reversion play back to strong support areas.
I’m not saying Netflix isn’t a long-term powerhouse, but even the strongest runners need to rest. Price doesn’t move in a straight line forever.
📌 Not Financial Advice — just technical breakdown and a probability-based setup.
🔖 Hashtags:
#Netflix #NFLX #StockMarket #CorrectionIncoming #BearishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CandlestickChart #InvestSmart #TradingView #StockPrediction #Watchlist
NFLX & chilling until...Earnings. I have been bearish on this stock technically. Currently it is floating within the Bollinger Bands. Today (3/26) was pretty bearish on the market overall. I read that NFLX will be raising rates or creating alleged value within its ad tiers. I like commercials, so I'll keep watching them lol. Anyways... I just know that people will be affected by loss of jobs/income. NFLXing may not be top of mind for many. I also hear rumors of a stock split. That would be great. & if it happens, I'll still be looking for pullbacks. Will see how week and month close. Earnings 4/17.
***Side note... I remember when the original CD business launched during my college days. Oh how I wish that I was investor savy at the time. Sigh... Looking forward to earning some moolah on my trade ideas now.
NFLX & chilling w/ putsUpdate to my chilling status on NFLX. 4/7/25 gap down, retest of a critical breakdown point for me 910.
Target 825-775 (this week or next week).
Overall mkt bearish due to Tariffs.
@ContraryTrader even left us a clue in my previous update (May/June).Thank you!
*The magic wand feature seems to be extra... & I love that. I'll get a handle on it. Until next time, shorting pops through earnings.
Bearish Setup on NFLX: Correction Wave (C) UnfoldingTF: 4h
NFLX appears bearish at the moment. The corrective structure on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a potential decline. The current formation indicates that wave B likely completed at 998.61 , and the stock has now begun its descent into wave (C) of the correction.
The correction may extend to the 100% projection of wave A at 788.67 , or potentially deepen to 659.06 , aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of wave A. After the completion of wave (C), traders can buy for the target up to wave B at 998.61 .
I will continue to update the situation as it evolves.
Netflix shines amid trade tensionsBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst, ActivTrades
Record Results Amid Uncertain Times
Netflix has kicked off 2025 with historic figures, showcasing its ability to grow even in a global environment marked by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. In the first quarter, the company reported a 25% increase in earnings per share, reaching $6.61—well above market expectations. Total revenue rose 12.5% year-over-year to $10.543 billion, and the forecast for the second quarter points to $11.035 billion, driven by price increases and sustained subscriber growth.
Limited Impact from Tariffs
Unlike many companies in the tech and entertainment sectors, Netflix has managed to avoid the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and the resulting market volatility. The company has not detected any direct negative repercussions on its business, reinforcing its status as a defensive option for investors during times of economic turbulence.
Advertising: Moderate Growth with Potential
While advertising revenues remain modest compared to subscription income, they slightly exceeded expectations this quarter. Monetizing its vast user base through advertising continues to be a priority for 2025. In this regard, the company aims to close the year with revenues between $43.5 and $44.5 billion and an operating margin of 29%.
The Power of Original Content
The appeal of Netflix’s content library remains its main competitive advantage. Original productions like Adolescence, which has become the third most-watched English-language series in history with 124 million views, have been key to its strong financial performance. International titles such as the French series Ad Vitam and Back in Action starring Cameron Diaz and Jamie Foxx have also contributed.
The second quarter also looks promising with the return of iconic franchises like Stranger Things, Wednesday, and the conclusion of Squid Game.
Positive Market Reaction
Following the earnings release, Netflix shares rose 5.2%, reaching $1,024 per share. Year-to-date, they have gained 9.2%, positioning Netflix as one of the most solid performers in the battered entertainment sector.
Technical Analysis
Looking at the chart, since July 2022, the stock has moved through various institutional accumulation zones between 2023 and 2024. The current accumulation zone ranges between $810 and the $1,065.50 level reached in February. Previous highs, now acting as support, are around $688.36. The RSI currently sits in the mid-range following the bullish push that began on April 7. Moving average crossovers indicate some indecision, as the stock is testing a former resistance zone. With Easter ahead, it is likely that the stock will remain range-bound through the end of the month and fail to break this resistance level.
Currently, the stock is trading in the middle of the accumulation channel. Due to low volume and downward pressure below this midpoint, prices may remain sideways unless renewed interest emerges—something unlikely if Europe, Canada, and others impose new tariffs on tech firms (which they haven’t yet done). The inconsistency of Trump’s tariff policy does not fully address the tax waivers enjoyed by U.S. tech firms, which allow them to avoid sharing profits in Europe. Should these waivers be challenged, companies like Netflix could be affected.
The current Point of Control (POC) is well below the two accumulation zones forming the long-term bullish channel, which is somewhat concerning. If regulatory changes occur, the stock could retreat to the lower part of the current accumulation zone—possibly breaking through to its support level. However, if no tariff conflict materializes in the sector, the stock may surge to new highs next quarter due to a strong portfolio structure.
Conclusion: Solid Outlook, But Caution Advised
Netflix has once again demonstrated its resilience in the face of complex macroeconomic conditions, delivering record financial results in Q1 2025. While other companies in the sector are being hit by tariff-related volatility, Netflix remains steady thanks to its strong content catalog, diversified revenue strategy, and stable global user base. However, technical analysis calls for caution: the stock is facing a key resistance level and could come under bearish pressure if new tech tariffs are introduced by Europe or Canada. In the absence of such risks, the stock has the potential to reach new highs next quarter.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NFLX Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17NFLX Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17)
Below is our integrated analysis for NFLX weekly options (expiry 2025‑04‑17):
──────────────────────────────
Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report – Technical indicators on the 5‑minute chart show oversold RSI and near‐lower Bollinger Bands, but the daily chart remains bullish (MACD crossover, above short–term EMA). – With earnings on the horizon, Grok/xAI sees potential for an upward move and recommends a call option trade at the $990 strike even though its premium (~$20.65) is high relative to our ideal range.
• Gemini/Google Report – Emphasizes that the recent earnings announcement is the dominant unknown. – The technical analysis is mixed (daily bullish but 5‑minute oversold), so they conclude that trading at the open is too speculative. – Their recommendation is to stand aside for now (no directional trade) until post–earnings clarity.
• Llama/Meta Report – Notes both bullish (daily trend) and bearish (short–term 5‑minute data) indicators and stresses that the upcoming earnings introduces significant uncertainty. – They conclude that the directional bias is “Neutral/Unclear” and advise against initiating a trade before the market digests the news.
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Reviews similar conflicting signals: short–term weakness on the M5 chart against daily bullish pointers. – With earnings risk and max pain at $940, they lean moderately bearish and propose a put option trade at the $960 strike (with premium around $22.85–$24.00) for a fast–expiry play. • DeepSeek Report – Points out that extreme uncertainty due to the earnings event (with a ±5.4% implied move) and conflicting technical signals (bullish vs. bearish) make a trade unappealing. – Their conclusion is also “NO TRADE” today.
────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
• Agreement: – All models acknowledge that earnings are the key unpredictable factor today. – Everyone notes that technical signals are mixed: while longer–term (daily) indicators lean bullish, shorter–term (5‑minute) charts and key levels (support/resistance and max pain at $940) inject caution. – The volatility (high VIX and wide implied move) is recognized across reports.
• Disagreement: – Grok/xAI is the only model actively recommending a bullish play via a call option despite an expensive premium, banking on a post–earnings bounce. – Claude/Anthropic leans to a moderately bearish outlook and recommends a put, relying on the short–term weakness and the max pain influence. – Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek all call for no trade given the overwhelming uncertainty from the news.
────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: • The market sentiment is highly uncertain. The earnings event injects significant risk such that pre–earnings technical signals (both bullish and bearish) lose much of their predictive power. The majority of the models (Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta, DeepSeek) advise caution and suggest that no directional bet should be taken at the open.
Recommended Trade (if any): • Based on the confluence of views – with most models recommending to wait and observe post–earnings price discovery – the overall recommendation is: NO TRADE RECOMMENDATION TODAY.
Details: • Strategy: Buy single–leg, naked calls or puts only • Expiration: Weekly options (0DTE, expiry: 2025‑04‑17) • Premium: While our target is $0.30–$0.60 per contract, the available near–the–money options have much higher premiums and reflect elevated risk levels. • Entry Timing: Not applicable • Confidence: Very low confidence in a directional bet given the earnings risk • Key Risks: Earnings uncertainty remains the dominant risk. Pre–earnings technical signals conflict, and ordering a trade without seeing post–earnings market reaction could result in a rapid adverse move.
────────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Netflix (NFLX) – A Safe Haven Amid Tariff UncertaintyKey Supporting Arguments
Amidst the unpredictability of Donald Trump's tariff policies, Netflix might serve as a defensive play.
Positive consumer sentiment, a surge in subscriber growth, and strategic hikes in subscription prices are poised to power robust results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.
Investment Thesis
Netflix (NFLX) is a global leader in video streaming, offering a vast library of original and licensed content to subscribers worldwide. With over 95% of its revenue stream coming from subscriptions, the company secures a solid foundation against the whims of market volatility. NFLX’s nascent foray into advertising contributes a mere 3% to its revenue, ensuring that any tremors in the macroeconomic climate have a minimal ripple effect.
Netflix's business model, anchored in subscription revenue and expansive geographic diversification, shields the company from the whims of unpredictable tariff policies. Amidst the relentless cycle of tariffs being slapped on and lifted from a variety of products and the growing tide of protectionism, streaming platforms such as Netflix, which thrive on subscription-based models, emerge as devensive assets. This is largely because they steer clear of the tumultuous world of physical goods production, importation, and exportation. The sustainability of the company’s streaming empire is anchored in its formidable user engagement—clocking in at around 2 hours per household daily—paired with historically low subscriber churn and entertainment value that punches well above its price tag. These elements collectively mitigate NFLX’s risk profile in the face of a potential recession. While advertising revenue may take a hit if trade tensions intensify and trigger an economic downturn, it is worth noting that ads only contribute to about 3% of Netflix's total revenue. Despite its worldwide footprint, the company still rakes in a hefty slice of its revenue—around 40-45%—from the U.S. market, offering a protective buffer against possible international sanctions or restrictions. Meanwhile, its strategic geographic diversification across Europe, Latin America, Asia, and the Middle East not only mitigates risks but also fortifies the sustainability of its business model.
Netflix is poised to potentially exceed expectations in its Q1 2025 earnings report. In Q4 2024, the company shattered expectations by pulling in a recordbreaking 19 million new users, a surge we anticipate will roll into 2025, powered by its rich and diverse content lineup. By the year's end, Netflix strategically hiked prices in the U.S. and UK, a move poised to bolster its Q1 2025 revenue. With a bold target of 29% growth for 2025, the company is banking on buoyant consumer spending and these subscription price upticks to hit the mark. Netflix projects a free cash flow of no less than $8 billion, creating a strategic opportunity for potential share buybacks.
Our target price for NFLX over the next two months is pegged at $1,080, paired with a "Buy" recommendation. We suggest setting a stop-loss at $880.
No more chill... NFLX earnings 4/17I have kept an eye out on this chart for the last month. I see a head and shoulder on the Month & Week chart. If NFLX has an amazing earnings... expect a celebration. I heard a guru say that successful companies who deliver will be rewarded; which means we also can be rewarded. I have my levels marked off. Do you?
I'll post my day chart after market close Thurs and be tuned into the earnings call. If it's a win and the "macro environment" keeps NFLX down, let's track the wins for when the time comes to get that arrears.
Netflix (NFLX): Streaming Leader Enters Momentum ZoneNetflix, Inc. (NFLX) is a global leader in streaming entertainment, offering a vast library of TV shows, movies, documentaries, and original content to subscribers in over 190 countries. With hits like Stranger Things, The Crown, and Squid Game, Netflix continues to shape pop culture and redefine how people consume media. The company is also expanding into gaming and advertising-supported tiers to grow its user base and revenue streams. As more viewers shift from traditional cable to on-demand streaming, Netflix remains at the center of digital entertainment.
The stock chart recently found support at the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level and closed above the 0.236 line—placing it in the momentum zone. This technical setup, backed by strong volume, signals increased buying interest and suggests the potential for a continued push higher as bullish sentiment builds around the stock.
If you fail, fail fast and learn from it. Lessons learned from my mistakes.
Rule 1: Dont lose money.
Rule 2: Never forget rule 1. Warren Buffett.
Rule 3: The market is always right.
Rule 4: The trend is your friend.
Rule 5: Dont fight the trend.
Rule 6: Figure out your method of trading and stick with it.
Rule 7: Ignore the noise. Ignore the news. Ignore the narrative. The charts are EVERYTHING!
Rule 8: Understand pattern recognition, have factors, find support and resistance.
Rule 9: Dont be fooled by lies and deception.
Rule 10: Never forget Rule #1 :)
Netflix Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025Netflix Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Netflix broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1050.00
Netflix recently broke the resistance zone located between the resistance level 960,00 (former support from February), resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward wave 2 from last month.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Netflix can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1050.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3).