NFLX, Breakout Of The Triangle, Aiming For Targets In The Range!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this important analysis about the current price-action situation within NFLX, it is clearly one of the profiteers of the corona-crisis as people staying at home in the lock-down and watching netflix-series. It is a good thing to relax especially in the current crisis where there is so much time left on the hand and nothing to do. So anyway this should not be a recommendation from my side but it is a growing economic field in the current crisis which shouldn't be ignored similar to the retail business like amazon or alibaba. On the technical side, I discovered some important bullish signs which made it clear that NFLX will develop some more moves to the upside, as it is at an all-time-high-level we are looking at the weekly perspective.
As you can see marked in my chart with the blue lines netflix just broke out a major ascending triangle which you can see marked with the blue lines in my chart. Netflix saw some good volume which confirmed the overall breakout and activated the target at the 580 level marked in green. This is the overall triangle target we have in the structure and it will also be the new all-time-high. To confirm it regularly we need to confirm the upper boundary of the ascending triangle, in this range we also have support from the 50-EMA, therefore, it is building a coherent bearish confluence-cluster in this range which you can see marked with the orange box in this level.
After the triangle target has been reached which is highly possible at the moment we need to see how NFLX develops further and if we can manage to climb above the triangle target and continue with its established uptrend. When we get some serious bearish pressure signs in that level it will be a interesting consideration to open up a short in this area otherwise the overall shape in trend is still in the direction upwards. The confirmation of the triangle can be used as a good conservative entry point to aim for the overall triangle target, otherwise the more conservative approach will be after we formed another high with good volatility after the triangle confirmed.
This price-movement in NFLX which we see here is anticyclical to the vast rest of the market because we established already an all-time-high in NFLX here. As I pointed out already in recent analysis there are gainers and losers in the current crisis and when considering something on the long-side we need to search to the truffles and hidden guesses we have in the market. It makes no sense to buy something which is cyclical with the market and don't profits from the current crisis like airlines which one of the smartest investors, warren buffet just sold recently. Therefore we should not fall for the illogical speculative approach like many people these days and look for stocks with a solid fundamental and technical base like NFLX in this case.
Thanks for watching everybody, support for more market insight and all the best!
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
NFLXD trade ideas
Netflix Weekly Support Convergence Test so far so goodHi guys. This is a MACRO Technical Analysis on Netflix (NFLX) on the 1 Week TImeframe.
This week we have TESTED Support on the 21 EMA and the Support trendline of the UPTREND channel.
Netflix is heavily supported not only by these 2 mentioned SUPPORT lines but also a 3rd Support, the black horizontal support line as well.
Everytime we've touched the Support line of the Channel, we've bounced to the Top of the Channel.
EXCEPT our most recent touch, that took us only half way before printing a Topping Tail Candle and selling off.
Watch how we close this weeks candle. If we close around or above $428.
That would be the best case scenario, as that would indicate an Engulfing Bullish Candle.
This could invalidate the Topping Tail Bearish Momentum.
BUT for now we need to watch what happens. Keep in mind that the Topping Tails can cause further price DECLINES.
AND we absolutely don't want a UPPER WICK for our current weekly candle. This would imply selling pressure and may indicate continuation of the TOPPING TAIL.
Watch also the VOLUME -> From here we should see increasing volume and or SPIKE in volume so price can continue up the channel.
For whatever reason if we BREAK DOWN from this SUPPORT CONVERGENCE area, the next level would be the 50 SMA.
Also NOTE, along with Topping Tail Candle, indicators are showing BEARish signs.
MACD has crossed BEARISH
RSI Broke BELOW Support Trendline.
For us to continue our UPTREND
MACD needs to CROSS BUllish and print green bars
RSI cannot print below the Horizontal Black line, as that would indicate a Lower low. And Ideally, get back above the Support Trendline and or continue UP.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on NFLX in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Netflix Identifies ResistanceWe have been watching this stock for a while during my weekly Livestreams (Fridays 4pm EST UTC-4). Last Friday, we noted that NASDAQ:NFLX has pulled back up to retest the 50% of the July Weekly Spike price action. This is happening following a long bullish recovery trend up to the MAJOR Weekly 50% Retracement Resistance of the November 2021-May 2022 bear trend.
The price action has defined itself clearly with the July high. The risk and wrong occurs with a breach of the July high. With this in mind we can define a high risk/reward trade to at least a 3 to 1 down to 257 and possibly beyond to retest the major low from 2022.
Implied Volatility is below average which is good for options. However, this is NOT a trade that can be effectively expressed with low duration expiries even though it might be tempting due to the high cost of the stock. To express this trade one must go well into 2024 expirations or short shares.
NFLX engaged in long short competition NFLX engaged in long short competition
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of May 2022. As shown in the figure, Netflix's stock hit the strong pressure of 3.618 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section in mid July this year, and then fell back. In the past six weeks, it has been engaged in long short competition between the 2.618 and 3.000 positions at the bottom of the chart against the golden section! For a period of time in the future, just use the 2.618 level of the golden section at the bottom of the graph to determine the strength of the Naifei stock's long short divide!
Play Netflix on the break of the VWAP lower or upper band .I've been playing VWAP breaks on the upper and lower band on Netflix it's expensive but position size up for the reversal it's not much of a reversal but when you position size up and you're guaranteed to turn this money there it's Bang Bang money if you don't have it at risk don't play. I always leave runners though cause you never know pledge your own risk this is not financial advice
NFLX offers 15% - 20% ROI near termNetflix Inc. (NFLX) presently approaching meaningful support, able to contain weekly perhaps monthly selling pressures.
From here, (NFLX) can continue higher to notable resistance, eliciting gains of 15% over the following 1 - 2 months, and gains of 20 - 30% over the following 6 - 8 months.
Inversely, closing below support on a weekly basis would put (NFLX) into a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the following 2 - 3 months.
$NFLX Head and Shoulders Pattern (H&S)?Back on July 31st I published an idea that NASDAQ:NFLX may be breaking out. Well, it did for just a bit but that failed. Fast forward to today, 8/21/2023 and it looks to me that we “may” have an H&S Pattern with a clear neckline as I see it. It dropped below that line last Thursday and looks to be ready to test it from the underside. If it can get up, over and hold above that line the pattern would be negated. A lot depends on market direction. My bet this time is that it will test and fall back. I have an alert set on that line and I’ll be ready to short if it fails. It is also below all shorter-term moving averages, bearish. All TBD.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Netflix Bounce Trying To Reverse Hi Friends, Sharing daily time frame chart of Netflix which got a bounce from support now seems trying to go up so my trade idea is for go long after a break and close above resistance marked on chart. it's a very simple easy to understand chart based on Price action and on S/R levels.
This is not and trade or investment advice. This idea is meant for learning only.
Best Regards happy trading- Amit
NFLX AnalysisSimilarly, price played out as analyzed last week. Right now, we have a buy-side liquidity grab. If price is heading for the bullish OB at 375.87, we should see a break of structure to the downside. I'm leaning towards the bearish scenario right now, instead of price going higher to fill the fair value gap at 459.25.
Has Netflix Already Bottomed?Netflix has pulled back after a sharp rally, and now some trend followers may see potential for further gains.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the steady decline since earnings on July 19. That slide could be morphing into a successful A-B-C correction pattern.
Next, the second low (C) occurred near $400. That’s not only a “nice round number” where buyers may feel comfortable. It also represents a 50 percent retracement of the move from early May through mid-July.
Traders may watch for the streaming giant to hold roughly $400 (or make a slightly higher low) over the remainder of the summer lull. If it successfully does that, bulls could return heading into the next quarterly report on October. 13.
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Retest After BreakthroughSince the (open) window on July 20th we are in a downtrend. One might have sold at the attempt to close the window on August 11th but I missed the chance. Now that we are testing the nice support at round 410 I think that we've got another chance now. May be this chance is even bigger than the previous.
NFLX-BUY strategy DailyThe share has also been a great mover, and after lofty heights, it has kind of settled at the low band of the price range. the GANN support @ $ 383 area will help to support a BUY suggestion. The stochastic is positive as well.
Strategy BUY @ 410-420 and place stop-loss below $ 375. Take profit @ $ 447 for now.