NIO Bargain Bin Cycle (-90%)I predict NIO enters a new bull cycle after doing a 90% pullback. We have a divergence forming on the MACD similar to the last bottom in 2019-2020, but on a longer timeframe. Targets of 7, 20, 40 are labeled with the black lines. This is a macro trade (1-3 years). Longby bluedog3609923
NIO NEOWAVE ANALYSISExperimental analysis with the intention to follow back later on as I am still learning The pattern is a flat The B wave is considered a very strong B wave since it touches the 1.618 of wave A, which tells me that wave C will never break the low of wave A. The pattern in wave C looks to be a symmetrical with only an I wave left to complete. After the completion of the symmetrical pattern, we should see a move faster than wave F. The flat wave can be part of a larger pattern or can be the first leg of a complex correction with an X wave.by thekidtrader118
Will this be The Last Dance (with the Investors?)NYSE:NIO HKEX:9866 Take it as just my perspective. NIO's December target of delivering 10,000 vehicles seems ( at least for me ) to be the final promise holding its credibility in the eyes of investors. After years of ambitious forecasts and unmet goals, this could mark the turning point for many who have supported NIO through a tumultuous journey—filled with hope, hype, and heartbreak. I’ve come to think of NIO as a "toxic love affair" : an irresistible vision of premium EV dominance, paired with disappointing results. The Promises of NIO 2018: Profitability Promise Reality: New deadline 2026 2019: Sales and Expansion Goals Forecasted rapid growth despite subsidy cuts in China. Reality: While deliveries grew, they fell short of expectations. 2021: European Expansion Hype Promised aggressive entry into Europe, including Norway and Germany, with a plan to lead globally. Reality: Expansion was limited to small-scale markets with low impact on sales. 2022: 200,000 Vehicle Delivery Target Reality: Delivered just 122,486 units, well below its own projections. 2023: Doubling Deliveries Again CFO projected 250,000 deliveries for the year. Reality: Revised this guidance down significantly, with 160,000 vehicles delivered, leaving investors disillusioned. Margin Improvement Promises (2023) Aimed to achieve 20% gross margins through efficiency gains. Reality: Gross margins slid to 7.5%, as the company struggled with rising costs and price competition. A Make-or-Break Moment If NIO misses its 10,000 ONVO December target, it risks losing the trust of its core investors for good. After years of repeated letdowns, the allure of NIO's vision may no longer be enough to outweigh its consistent failure to execute. December might well be the moment where dreams of its turnaround meet reality. Will NIO finally deliver, or is it time to walk away? Your move, NIO.by ARGYWOLF229
Chinese stocks will rise again. NIO, Part 1. In my opinion, NIO is not going to hold local low $3.67 and will continue down. My proprietary fibs have been very accurate has confluence with a monthly untested level. I expect a move off this level. I will be going long and no stop loss. Just a cash position that I plan to hold for years. First PT would be the untested fib above which is also a monthly level. I expect BIDU and BABA to continue lower as well. My prediction is we will see Chinese Stock hype once again. Longby DALE-JR117
NIO Longdaily, Wedge breakout + retest Long 4.35 Stop 3.5 Target 7.2, 9 Risk management is much more important than a good entry point. I am not a PRO trader. In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account. Longby PlanTradePlanMMUpdated 15
NIO pushing down with HnS patternNIO will keep pushing down till target under HnS pattern reach target is around $3 and posible to fake out for get invalidation Chinese liquidity still not as expected so downtrend of chinese stock still continue $3 is make sense next month and shaking several times before take offShortby Calon_Sultan4415
NIO Stock Analysis: A New Bullish Cycle UnveiledNIO, the prominent Chinese electric vehicle company, presents an exciting technical picture. After bottoming at $3.63, the stock rallied to $7.70 in a five-wave impulsive pattern. This rise spanned thirty-six bars (fifty-three days), gaining $4.07. Following this, a wave two correction brought the price down to $4.31 over thirty-seven bars (fifty-one days), shedding $3.39. The time-price symmetry between these phases strongly suggests a one-to-one market cycle, signalling the potential start of a bullish phase. GANN Analysis: From a GANN perspective, the upward move of $4.07, followed by a $3.39 drop, leaves a difference of $0.68. The square root of this figure, 8.25, aligns with significant GANN angles and Fibonacci principles, strengthening the bullish outlook. These technical confluences indicate that NIO may be gearing up for a new cycle, poised to break resistance levels and target higher price milestones. Critical Invalidation Level: It is crucial to note that retesting the $3.63 bottom would invalidate the bullish scenario. As such, this level should act as a stop-loss for the current outlook, ensuring disciplined risk management. Stay tuned as NIO’s chart continues to evolve, potentially marking the beginning of a transformative new chapter.by VitalDirection4422
NIO Has A Broken Neck! Can we take advantage?NIO is showing a textbook head and shoulders (Bearish) pattern. It is characterized by a change in market structure where the left shoulder forms the initial high and low, the head signifies the continuation and the right shoulder is the failure in the resumption of the trend. In this chart, we notice that the right shoulder fails to make a new high and proceeds to make a new low. By connecting the pivot lows, we can identify a H&S neckline near the $5 mark. We recently fell below this line which is our first signal to enter the short. Looking for additional confluence, we note that there was significant support that was broken in the pink zone which stems from March 2024. That zone has been tested several times since March 2024. We have also broken below the 200ma which confirms the long-term downtrend. On the most recent candle, we broke below these key levels with above-average spread and above-average volume suggesting strength to the downside. Finally, since Trump has won the presidency, he vowed to increase tariffs, especially for China. This is terrible fundamental news for the Chinese stock. Aggressive traders may take the short as is and may ride the short to the first target (~$4) which I have identified as a potential support area. There is a second target which is projected by the head and shoulders pattern (~$3.50) For more conservative traders, we can wait for the retest of the neckline which happens to coincide with the 200 MA and sits just above the former support turned resistance. I like this level better because it provides a better risk-reward ratio. Key notes: Earnings are coming up in a few days. This could be a volatile event that works in the trade's favor or works against it. Please be aware of that risk while trading. GLTA Shortby Decam9Updated 227
The "saga" continuesLack of volume! It "could" jump up, but I don`t think so.. 50-62% is so called healthy , but 72 is kind a suspicious.. Trade safe!by devigriffelUpdated 8811
$NIO Coming to terms with new primary elliot wave count..The weekly RSI on NIO and the structure of the HSI over the past few years have had me worried since the $7.78 top, and what we have seen since then supports this as my new primary count, unfortunately. I had been stubbornly holding on, but now I need to consider cutting some of the position after the approaching bounce on smaller timeframes. However, if I must hold all of it and go scuba diving, I will.by DrunkmonkUpdated 559
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NIO before the previous breakout: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-17, for a premium of approximately $0.86. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Longby TopgOptions1115
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders, After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move. Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments. Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!Longby Vic_Tech_Trader18
Bearish on NioNio broke $5.0 support. Its in a downtrend channel and a bearish breakout of a H&S pattern will be confirmed upon market close. Next target is $4.22 support. The RSI and MACD are also heading lower. Shortby bobkingleythrow222
NIONIO has recently completed a classic 5-wave impulse structure, signaling the end of an upward trend phase. Currently, the stock is in a corrective phase, with waves A and B likely completed and wave C in progress. Monitoring is essential as wave C concludes; once the correction finishes, we can anticipate a potential bullish reversal and the start of a new uptrend. If NIO holds above key support levels, it could be an opportune moment for entry. Stay tuned for updates as we approach the completion of wave C, confirming the next movement in this cycle. by amurad901112
Back to 3.70 if H/S breaks downHead and shoulder formed, awaiting breakdown. If confirmed, good support at 3.70. Can go as low as 2.50.Shortby jbcdrxyz16165
NIOThis is the chart against the Index. On the left side of the chart you see the strong rally. If you are trying, like me, to catch the likely power trend with NIO, just keep patience. Has to break the key level and catch up the WMA5. If it goes, it should be easy, as the trend will bring you to the upside of the structure. Will see. Trade safeLongby AlphaScout36012
NIO Performing HnS PatternNIO is one of famous Chinese stocks as EV car producer With booming news about Chinese liquidity and news about EV car in China, this stock create massive upside. But now news is just not expect with trader and price down much then performing HnS If support broken we will see $3 areaShortby Calon_Sultan111112
NIO Stock Outlook BullishNIO, a leading Chinese electric vehicle maker, is gaining attention with a recent surge in vehicle deliveries, up 35.4% year-over-year in September 2024. The company delivered 61,855 vehicles in Q3 2024, setting a new record. NIO has also launched its new mass-market SUV, the ONVO L60, and secured a major investment of RMB3.3 billion for its NIO China subsidiary. Despite these positive developments, the company still faces profitability challenges amid its revenue growth. Investors continue to see strong upside potential for NIO as it expands in the EV market. Despite the recent pullback, as reflected on the chart, the price has stalled at a key support level. In my view, trading volumes remain elevated, signaling significant interest and suggesting that many investors may be viewing this as a favorable entry point while the stock is still perceived as undervalued. Overall, I maintain a bullish outlook on NIO. Please feel free to reach out if you require further information or assistance. This is not financial advice.Longby Charts_M7MUpdated 7722
NIO : Are The Stakes High Now ?I trust Fibo Ret here and I can be pretty sure and conclusive that we can reach ENTRY 2 WITH FORCE if we fail to range at ENTRY 1, Then right to TP2 if ENTRY 2 is reached or TP1 if only Entry 1 is touched. ITS SIMPLE , WE NEED A DISCOUNT BUT WE NEED IT PREMIUM.Longby LonelyApollo212122
NIO Elliott-Wave updateShowing short-term-divergency on the RSI. Im expecting a move to the upside in the next days, forming an Elliott-Wave(b). Longby PF_Analysis5
Nio looking at $7 before hitting any technical resistanceNio looking at $7 before hitting any technical resistance, first profit target $7, and next profit target $9. NIO is severely undervalued compared to Lucid, Tesla, Rivian, trading at 1.2x PS.Longby AZ_CapUpdated 9914
Harami?I will check, whether it is a Harami building today. Probably it is not a Harami as the lower lunt ist to long. Nevrtheless it is not a confirming candle but a reversal one. I am selling some NIO stocks now. The rise seems to have been to fast and the downward correction may still continue a bit longer.Shortby motleifaulUpdated 9913
Nio Elliott-Wave and Indicator analysis #Nio is looking good on the 4h. Im waiting on an Elliott-Wave a-b-c type structure. Afterwards I can get into the market if I want. Longby PF_Analysis5511