NIO: CHART UPDATE / RSI CYCLES / MACDIVERGENCE / FULL BREAKDOWNDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a Semi-Macro analysis of NIO. As previous chart setup became invalidated with the decline of Price Action a strong support was confirmed at 8.50 Points, the same Support that gave way to further uptrend when touched on Oct 25th 2022. Despite invalidation of past Chart Setup CYCLE ESTIMATION was fairly accurate.
POINTS:
1. Deviation of 2.50 Points between Supply & Demand Channels remains the same.
2. Current Trend: Sideways Consolidation
3. Price Prediction: 13 Points by March 31st & will serve as another attempt to breaking upper level of 14.50 Points.
4. TIMEFRAME for 5th CYCLE PREDICTION was drawn out by utilizing the mean average of the past 4, RSI agrees with these cycles of Buying & Selling Pressure.
IMPORTANT: RSI needs pullback & is EXTREMELY IMPORTANT Price Action holds above 9.50 Points or at the very least lingers above 9 Points in SUPPLY POCKET.
RSI: RSI has completed another cycle by reaching OVERSOLD TERRITORY in the 30 RANGE & is Breaking Trend.
MACD: Faster moving average on MACD has confirmed current uptrend on Price Action. Next step would be to see MACD flip & surpass Median level to the upside. (Most crucial indicator in this scenario)
SCENARIO #1: In a Bullish scenario Price Action holds above 9 Points or 9.50 preferably for some consolidation & follows cycle with an eventual break of 12 Points making way for a test at 14.50 Points.
SCENARIO #2: In a Bearish scenario Price Action deviates from cycle and decides to Break Down 8.50 Points which would be followed by a further continuation of next SUPPORT at 7 Points.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NYSE:NIO
NIO trade ideas
Watchlist 2023-03-02 $NTLA $FHN $WOLF $STM $AFRM $NIO $ONCSSPY - failing to make a higher high on the lower time frames now, couldn't close above the key 296.30 on the 1h or 5m. Gapping above 293.50 double bottom support, VIX rising, recently lost the 200 EMA, 10 year making new highs. Downside momentum is still in favour, next stop over the next week is 387.
NTLA- FDA nod to start trial of CRISPR gene editing therapy. Gap 2 because it's above a range but still below the key 45.80 pivot, also with the downs trending MA's. Up 1.5 ATRs in the PM. really need to see some Vol pick up for a trade over 45.80.
FHN - Continuation from PD - doesn't expect it will receive regulatory OK in time to complete its $13.4 billion acquisition by May 27, which priced the shares at a cash buyout of $25 1 year ago from TD bank. key Resistance. 20.50, 21.30
Short Watches:
WOLF - Tesla suggests next-gen car will cut silicon-carbide use, Wolf, specializes in this type of chip. Down 2.3 ATRs, PD fakeout green bar which is a key feature. Also below the declining Mas. Needs to get below and stay below 66.50 area and has room to 61.
STM- lower on Tesla's Silicon Carbide Reduction Plan.
AFRM - if market weakness continues, this is a name to be short with a confirmed flat bottom break below 12. Don't want to be first to this trade. Wait for the break to happen and find a way in.
NIO - lower after reporting losses that were much wider than expected. Normally I would not trade a name that has sequential movement to a key level but NIO reported some very bad results and is approaching the 8.40 pivot on elevated RVOL, even for NIO. Watching this level. Don’t want to be the first to short the breakdown, would prefer more market structure to form. Eg lower highs, fakeout, then a weak bounce.
Other Watches: ONCS
I focus on names trading elevate RVOL>2, trading past key ranges and pivots, preferably with news catalysts.
Yellow = Support
Purple = Resistance
Red = short opportunity
Green= long opportunity
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 NIO has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern, and it is currently diving inside a weekly demand zone 6.5 - 10.0
The bears are still in control managing to make new lower lows. But, we can clearly see that the impulse movements are getting flat and small.
This signals an early alert that the bears are exhausted. However , it doesn't mean that bulls are in control yet.
🏹 For the bulls to take over, hence have a long-term shift in momentum, we need a break above the last major high in gray.
📊 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, NIO can still dive till the lower bound of the demand zone around 6.5
📕 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NIO: CHART UPDATE / SUPPLY & DEMAND / FULL BREAKDOWN & RSI DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of NIO STOCK. As an update to my previous chart on NIO this chart features a much more clear interpretation of where price action can head in the near future.
POINTS:
1. Deviation remains the same. MACRO DEVIATION = 10 POINTS, MICRO DEVIATION = 2.5 POINTS
2. Current Trend: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
3. Earnings Report 03/23
RSI:
1. Pay Close attention to Lower Lows in Price Action & where RSI tends to reset at those given points.
2. Notice how RSI is showing sideways momentum in OVERSOLD territory for NIO this is usually indicative of an upcoming shift in momentum as SELLING BECOMES EXHAUSTED.
IMO: Let's take into consideration that lately COMPANY FUNDAMENTALS have not reflected onto NIO's STOCK PRICE but I would also take into consideration just how beaten down this stock is and where China's economy is currently headed.
SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action holds above 10 & sees next move up to 12 to confirm continuation of current setup before another possible retest of 10 as a SUPPORT. BREAK OF 13 would be a BULLISH entry point imo.
SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario price action loses 10 as a SUPPORT and will rely on 9.50 as a SUPPORT if this were to break SUPPLY & DEMAND CHANNEL will rest between 9.50 & 7 digging an even deeper pit for NIO to climb out of.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NYSE:NIO
NIO looking bullish on 4hThe price action may be trying to form an inverted head and shoulders (currently in the process of forming the right shoulder). The RSI seems to be bullish and creating an ascending triangle seem to have completed wave D and now waiting on wave E which should be the breakout wave bringing the RSI hopefully into the overbought territory.
NIO seems to be inbound $15On the 4HR and 1D it seems like we can bounce back to mean price from around $10.
Stance is neutral, will take profit at $15, be cautious of downside but I think we may gap up first, then towards $20 if this rally lasts into early Q2.
$7 would be the floor if price rejects.
Stay safe.
NIO didn't break, but is close to the 2022 POCNIO is currently trading near the 2022 Point of Control (POC) after failing to breakout at the top of the descending channel. This presents a great opportunity for investors to capitalize on a potential rebound in the stock price. Although NIO didn't breakout at the top of the channel, the current stock price level presents an attractive long-term opportunity for investors to benefit from the potential upside in the stock. With the stock price near the 2022 POC, investors should consider taking advantage of this opportunity to get in before the rebound.
*Testing AI generated text*
Cheers!
$NIO - Price Target $5 - Continued BEARISH Flag SetupAs you can see, a mountain top has been formed with a base at the $5 to $1.50 range which will be the price target. It will take sometime but heading there as it is still forming the bottom of the mountain. It also rejected and could not get over the downward channel (right side of mountain).
$NIO earnings play 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Entry: $21.31
Take profit: $27.50
Stop loss: $20
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