Nvidia 1D chart Harmonic Bearish Reversal Pattern CrabStop Loss: 136.50 Potential
Sell Stop: 124
TP1: 110.92
TP2: 98.28
Divergence Noted between Higher Highs earlier to D Point
Risk-Reward = Reward / Risk = 1% to 1%
NVDA trade ideas
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025
🚨 AI Consensus: Bearish Momentum Ahead of June 6 Expiry
🧠 Summary of AI Model Signals
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Technicals: Below EMAs, RSI deeply oversold (26.95), MACD bearish.
Sentiment: VIX steady, max pain at $340 implies downside.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $9.08 (+10%) / Stop $6.60 (−20%)
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Technicals: Bearish EMAs/MACD, volume spike on red bars.
Sentiment: Negative sales buzz, falling VIX, max pain $340.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.20 → Target +50–100% / Stop $5.74
Confidence: 72%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Technicals: Bearish M5 EMA stack; support at $345 zone.
Trade: Buy $342.5P @ $9.40 → Target +20% / Stop −50%
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Technicals: Strong bearish momentum, RSI oversold.
Trade: Buy $305P @ $0.95 → Target $1.90 / Stop $0.47 (Day trade)
Confidence: 75%
🔹 DeepSeek
Technicals: Breakdown in progress, momentum fading.
Sentiment: Weak China/Europe news; max pain support at $340.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $12.38 (+50%) / Stop $5.78
Confidence: 70%
✅ Consensus Takeaways
🔻 Bearish technical setup on all timeframes
🔄 Max Pain at $340 = potential price magnet
📉 Strong directional momentum + oversold RSI across models
📆 Preferred strategy: Buy weekly naked puts, enter Monday open
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bearish Single-Leg Weekly Put
📈 Ticker: TSLA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: $340
💵 Entry Price: $8.25
🎯 Target: $9.08 (+10%)
🛑 Stop: $6.60 (−20%)
📏 Size: 1 Contract
📆 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry: At Market Open
📊 Confidence: 70%
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
📉 RSI is oversold — potential for a short-term bounce
🕒 Time decay accelerates midweek — don’t hold too long
🚀 Unexpected bullish catalyst (e.g., SpaceX PR, macro rally)
💵 Liquidity fine (4.4k OI), but wide spreads in fast markets
📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
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{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 340.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 9.08,
"stop_loss": 6.60,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 8.25,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $135.13
False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49)
Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12)
Probable Retest Zones:
0.618 Fib: $124.98
0.5 Fib: $121.25
Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone)
🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook
⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside.
📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace.
💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption.
🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025)
AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays.
SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key.
🧠 Institutional View
This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play.
🧭 Trade Setup
Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12)
Target: $119.25
Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone)
Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation
📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow.
#NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
Expiration Dates for Options using Fibonacci Time ZoneThis is a way I use the Fibonacci Time Zone; it naturally leans into a balance of Gamma and Theta Decay. Choosing the right strike zone is up to your strategy. I prefer Covered Calls, Debit Spreads and Iron Condors for this strategy. Puts are fair game too. If you choose to roll something over, most recoveries occur after a month and a half after a 10% SPY drop off.
NVDA bearish rising wedge for right shoulder (the bear thesis)It looks like we’re just shy of a breakout confirmation this rising wedge which in itself might be only a right shoulder of head and shoulders top. Time will tell if this setup plays out or gets canceled out.
NVDA 4 hr. wave 5 in progress!1). Price is sitting at huge support! 2). Banks are Buying! 3). Volume is increasing without any significant drop, so likely the positions are more positive, pushing price towards wave 5!
NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish
Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot
• Price: ~$144.67
• Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact
• RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought
• MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily
• Options Data:
– Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)
– Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower
– High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing):
• Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum
• Suggests $155C for upside play
🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred):
• Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD
• Strong put volume + options market pressure
• Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $140
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $2.09
🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Considerations
• Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation
• Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement
• Positive news surprise could cause upside gap
• Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure
💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout?
📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
NVIDIA (NVDA) investors should knowHello NVIDIA (NVDA) investors,
Looking at the daily chart below, we see that NVDA briefly broke out of its long‑standing yellow descending channel only to be pulled back in; price is now testing horizontal support in the $100–150 range. In the lower pane, RSI remains negative and has yet to break its downtrend line around the 41 level.
Technical Analysis
Descending Channel:
The stock has been trading inside a long‑term descending channel. Selling pushed it back inside after a false breakout near $137–142. The upper channel line sits around $115—until we see a daily close above that, a true trend reversal is unlikely.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Support: $95-100 (confluence of past lows and the channel’s lower boundary)
Resistance: $147-150 (channel upper line), then $145–150 (early‑April highs)
RSI:
Currently ~41. A break above the RSI downtrend near 45–50 would signal improving momentum; if it fails, we could retest oversold territory.
Fundamental & Macro Factors
Quarterly Results:
NVDA reported strong revenue and margin growth last quarter, driven primarily by AI/data‑center demand.
AI & Data‑Center Demand:
Demand from AI‑focused servers and cloud providers remains very high, and this secular trend is expected to persist.
Trump’s Latest Tariffs:
In early March 2025, an additional %145 tariff on China‑origin semiconductors was announced. This measure may raise NVDA’s export costs to China and exert short‑term margin pressure. It also risks demand swings as Chinese buyers adjust their inventory strategies.
Strategic Recommendations
Stop‑Loss:
Consider a stop‑loss on daily closes below $90 to protect long positions.
Position Sizing:
Scale into longs near support, and take profits incrementally near resistance.
Tariff Watch:
Monitor any further U.S. export restrictions or tariff changes on China—each announcement can drive volatility
-Celil Adıgüzel
NVDA 145+?If Nvda break and hold 145 then 146 , 147 , 149 and HOY. Inv H&S on the hourly. My opinion only.
NVDA ThoughtsThis is not financial advice just my charting on NVDA maybe in correct just learning and sharing thoughts. If you ca help or see some thins i can include plz comment below here to learn
We're back to favoring a deeper wave 4!1). Banks are selling! 2). Volume is dropping! 3). Wave 2 was shallow, therefore wave 4 is typically deeper!
NVDA Trade Idea – Weekly Structure Opening for 385-Day Cycle 🕒 Weekly Pattern Outlook
NVDA is believed to be entering a new structural phase within a 385-day cycle, with the $129–$135 range acting as a potential entry zone. This zone allows risk management through a stop loss if the bullish structure fails to materialize.
📊 Volume/Float Ratio & Market Sentiment
Vol/Float Ratio: 1.45% – weak, but not bearish.
Market is leaning bullish, not bearish, despite current sideways consolidation.
This weakness may be caused by retail hesitation, waiting for macro news or market reaction before entering.
📈 Technical View (TA):
On the daily timeframe, NVDA is currently retesting previous zones.
A short-term drop followed by a bounce is highly probable — which could lead to a breakout targeting $153.
High-probability scenario: NVDA reaches $191 within the next 31 days if structure holds and volatility increases.
⚠️ Gap & Momentum Considerations:
Current Gap % = 1.45% → indicates low volatility and neutral/bullish sideways phase.
If Gaps expand to 100–200%, expect explosive movement and breakout behavior.
For now, the sideways structure dominates, not a bear trend.
💡 Trading Strategy:
Avoid buyer strategy for now due to weak volatility.
Option sellers (premium collectors) will benefit more in current conditions.
If you're trading positionally, set a trailing stop loss to manage risk in case of a false breakout or pullback.
Disclaimer:
This trade idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always use capital you can afford to lose and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVIDIA Nvidia Stock Correlation with 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and Interest Rates
1. Correlation with Bond Yields and Interest Rates
10-Year Bond Yields: Nvidia’s stock (NVDA) has shown mixed sensitivity to bond yields. Rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields surpassing 5% in May 2025) historically pressured tech stocks by increasing discount rates for future earnings. However, Nvidia’s AI-driven growth narrative has partially offset this, as seen in its 69% YoY revenue surge in Q1 2025 despite bond market volatility.
Interest Rates: The Fed’s rate cut expectations (priced for September 2024 and beyond) have supported risk assets like Nvidia. Lower rates reduce borrowing costs for AI infrastructure investments, indirectly benefiting NVDA.
2. Factors Driving Revenue Growth in 2025
AI Infrastructure Spending:
Cloud providers (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet) invested $50B+ in Q2 2025 on AI infrastructure, with Nvidia capturing 70–95% of the AI chip market.
Data center revenue hit $39.1B in Q1 2025 (+142% YoY), driven by demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs.
Blackwell GPU Launch:
The Blackwell GB200 GPU, offering 30x faster AI inference, is projected to generate $45B+ in FY2025 revenue as production scales.
Market Share Expansion:
Nvidia’s semiconductor market share tripled since 2020 to 7.3%, overtaking Intel and Samsung in key segments.
3. Upcoming Challenges
Export Restrictions in China:
Export controls cost Nvidia $8B in Q1 2025 revenue and could erase $15B annually if unresolved. The H20 chip’s limited performance further strains China-market competitiveness.
Competition and Market Saturation:
AMD and Intel are accelerating AI chip development, while cloud providers design in-house alternatives (e.g., Google’s TPU).
Valuation and Volatility:
NVDA’s 30% stock correction in July 2024 highlighted sensitivity to AI spending concerns. Analysts warn of “exuberance fatigue” as earnings growth slows from triple-digit to 45% YoY.
Macro Risks:
Rising Treasury yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.54%) and federal debt concerns ($36T) could divert capital from tech to bonds.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Source Citations
10-Year Yield ↑ Mixed (pressure from discount rates vs. AI growth)
Interest Rate Cuts Positive (supports tech spending)
AI Spending Major revenue driver ($115B data center sales)
China Export Curbs $8B–$15B annual revenue risk
Competition Threatens market share (AMD, in-house chips)
Nvidia's stock (NVDA) currently shows a mixed correlation with 10-year US Treasury bond yields amid recent market shifts. While rising bond yields typically pressure high-growth tech stocks like Nvidia by increasing discount rates on future earnings, Nvidia’s strong earnings and dominant position in AI hardware have helped it partially decouple from this trend.
Recent Data: Nvidia’s stock price is around $135 (down ~3% on the day), reflecting some volatility after a strong rally earlier in 2025 fueled by stellar AI-driven revenue growth.
Bond Yields Context: The US 10-year Treasury yield recently hovered near 4.49% to 4.54%, with 30-year yields surpassing 5% amid fiscal concerns. Rising yields generally increase borrowing costs and discount future earnings, which can weigh on Nvidia’s valuation.
Market Reaction: Despite higher yields, Nvidia’s shares rallied after strong earnings and optimistic guidance, suggesting investor confidence in its AI growth story offsets some bond market pressure.
Volatility and Risks: The stock remains sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as rising yields, trade tensions, and export restrictions impacting China sales. Nvidia’s price movements often reflect the balance between its growth prospects and broader market risk sentiment influenced by bond yields.
In summary, Nvidia’s stock and bond yields currently exhibit a partial inverse correlation, but Nvidia’s unique growth drivers in AI technology have softened the typical negative impact of rising yields on its stock price. Investors continue to watch bond yield trends closely, as sustained increases could cap further gains or increase volatility in Nvidia shares.
Conclusion
Nvidia’s stock remains buoyed by AI demand and Fed rate cut optimism but faces headwinds from bond yield volatility, China restrictions, and competition. While its $44.1B Q1 2025 revenue underscores dominance, sustaining growth requires navigating export rules and proving Blackwell’s long-term profitability. Investors should monitor bond market shifts and AI spending trends for directional cues.
#NVIDIA #STOCKS #BONDS #DOLLAR
Setting the Stage for a New Bull Cycle- The theoretical price cycle has ended and appears to be initiating a new one — naturally
beginning with an impulsive move.
- While the company is perceived as evolving into a cash cow, it still remains the leader of a
high-growth market. This makes it an exceptional portfolio asset.
- The peak of the new trend could reach the 261.8% level. A minor correction trend might
follow, but it's not considered significant.
- Unless there is a downward revision in analyst forecasts, the stock should be held for the long
term, with additional entries recommended at each correction wave.
NVDA looks to go downNVDA is not maintained its support level of 138.24 and its expect to fall support level of 129.12. Wait for fresh entry it it fall to 129.12 or rise to 138.24.
Note: This is not a buy/sell trade call.
No Further FallThe declinesince October seems to be over for now. Past week we had nonew low and the new attempt to fall past week could not be continued.
This may be the beginning of a correction of the decline since February at least.
NVDA 4 HR. WAVE C IS LIKELY OVER ON CORRECTION!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 136. 2). Risk Assets are weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level. 5). ONCE COMPLETED PRICE WILL PROGRESS NORTH ON WAVE 5 VERY LIKELY!
NVIDIA Massive Cup and Handle targets $200.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is pulling back aggressively following yet another positive Earnings report, where they beat the estimates again but the market is reacting with selling. That has been a 'norm' in the past 12 months but even from a technical standpoint, the price reached the 143.60 Resistance level (made of the February 18 High), so profit taking is technically normal market behavior here.
On the longer term however, this Resistance test potentially forms the top f a very powerful pattern, the Cup and Handle (C&H). At the moment, the market has the support of both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Handle, which has just started, has some room to safely consolidate for a while before the pattern break-out upwards.
Technically, C&H patterns reach their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions after the break-out, so our medium-term Target is set at $200.
Notice also the Bearish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which is similar to that of late October 2024. A break below the 1D MA50 risks the bullish structure on this pattern.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NVDA 4 HR. WAVE 5 IS LIKELY OVER & DROPPING ON CORRECTION!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 123. 2). Risk Assets are weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 100% & PRICE 123.
NVDA looks weak AGAIN5/30 Market news is breaking and not good re Tariffs with China.
NVDA now has much more competition for its product AND in the stock market.
Watching for consolidation in range.
Nvidia Posts Another Blowout Quarter. What Can Slow It Down?Hint: Not much.
🚀 Earnings So Good You Can’t Ignore ‘Em
Another quarter, another jaw-dropper from Nvidia NVDA . In what has basically become a quarterly ritual at this point (congrats to all who celebrate!), Jensen Huang’s silicon empire posted revenue of $44.1 billion , soaring past the $43.3 billion consensus.
That’s a 69% year-over-year gain, in case anyone’s still doing the math. Adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share also easily crushed expectations.
Shares popped 5% in after-hours trading Wednesday and then pulled back a little bit during the cash session on Thursday — not quite a moonshot, but a confirmation that even if Nvidia’s guidance was meh, this earnings report was meh’gnificent.
So what exactly is fueling this unstoppable juggernaut? And is there anything that could actually throw a wrench in the gears? Grab your chips (there’s your pun), let’s break it down.
💾 Data Centers: The Company’s Cash Cow
If Nvidia is famous for anything, it’s that it’s really able to see the trend before the crowds pick it up. From gaming, to crypto… and now? The star of the show now is data centers. But there's not just any growth. We’re talking $39.1 billion in data center revenue, up 73% from last year. That’s nearly 90% of Nvidia’s entire business. Not exactly fans of revenue diversification, are we?
Big Tech is gorging on Nvidia’s AI chips like it’s an all-you-can-eat GPU buffet. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Google NASDAQ:GOOGL , and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT alone account for nearly half of that segment.
Basically, if you’re building anything with the words “large language model,” “AI agent,” or “sovereign compute,” you’re probably writing big checks to Nvidia.
🇨🇳 About That $10.5 Billion Problem
Thanks to Trump’s H20 export ban, Nvidia’s revenue from China is expected to take a $10.5 billion hit over two quarters. That’s an $8 billion crater forecasted for the current quarter, on top of a $2.5 billion gap in the previous one.
Is that bad? Maybe. Does anyone care right now? Not really.
Because here’s the kicker: demand outside China is so nuclear that even subtracting ten billion bucks over six months doesn’t materially derail the bullish narrative. Nvidia’s still forecasting $45 billion in revenue this quarter, which is basically flat — but considering what’s missing, that’s a win in disguise.
📦 Blackwell to the Rescue
The forward guidance may have missed the Street’s expectations — Nvidia projected Q2 revenue of $44–$46 billion, versus the $45.9 billion consensus — but CEO Jensen Huang already served the antidote: Blackwell Ultra.
These next-gen chips are already shipping to early customers. They promise to be leaner, meaner, and more power-efficient — basically, think McLaren but for AI accelerators. And they’re expected to ramp up aggressively in the back half of the year.
That means Nvidia has a new growth lever just waiting to be pulled. Some overly bullish analysts say it could eclipse the H100’s success.
💡 The Real Moat? It’s Not Just the Chips
What makes Nvidia such a rare beast isn’t just its hardware. It’s the ecosystem — CUDA, software stacks, developer tools, APIs, vertical integrations. It’s like Apple, but for the AI industrial complex.
Everyone wants to build an AI empire, but good luck doing it without Nvidia’s infrastructure. It’s not just expensive — it’s essential.
In the meantime, AMD NASDAQ:AMD and Intel NASDAQ:INTC are trying. There’s chatter about custom silicon from OpenAI (still a private company) and Meta $META. But for now, the moat around Nvidia looks more like a canyon.
🧨 So What Could Slow It Down?
But let’s not get carried away — there are still some real risks on the radar. Here’s what might actually trip up the AI king:
Geopolitical shocks: More export bans? Chinese retaliation? Taiwan tension? Any of these could make markets twitchy.
Supply chain constraints: As demand grows, so does pressure on foundries like TSMC 2330 . Any hiccups in advanced packaging or wafer starts could pinch margins.
Rising competition: AMD’s MI300 is no slouch. And Big Tech is building in-house chips to lessen reliance on Nvidia.
AI fatigue: If the AI hype cycle fizzles out or hits a plateau (remember the metaverse?), that could cool capital spending. It only takes 3-4 tech titans to pull their capex and Nvidia’s reign is over.
But until any of that materializes, the narrative for many is "Buy the dip — Jensen’s grip won’t slip."
💫 What’s Priced In?
The stock’s P/E is still sky-high, and the multiple implies several more years of 50–60% annual revenue growth. That’s hard to sustain indefinitely. But then again, so was becoming the second-largest company in the world… (and the biggest one, if only for a while ) and here we are.
Nvidia’s valuation is steep, but not unjustified — as long as it keeps executing. And judging by any of the previous quarters going back to 2023, execution isn’t a problem.
👩🏻🚀 More Than a Stock — Macro Theme
At this point, Nvidia has transcended chipmaker status. It’s now a macro story. Betting on Nvidia is betting on AI. It’s betting on infrastructure. It’s betting on the next industrial revolution in software, automation, and language models.
So… what can stop it? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
NVIDIA Stock Weekly Outlook: Support Holds Strong as $185 TargetThe weekly chart of NVDA shows a strong continuation pattern forming after a period of consolidation and a healthy pullback. The recent price action confirms a bullish stance, with a fresh bounce off support and momentum gradually shifting in favor of the bulls.
________________________________________
Long-Term Uptrend Confirmed
The blue ascending trendline drawn from early 2023 remains intact, showing that the overall trend is still bullish. NVDA has respected this trendline multiple times, with each touch followed by a renewed upward move. This week, the price rebounded once again near this trendline, confirming its role as dynamic support and signaling renewed buying interest.
________________________________________
Resistance and Breakout Potential
The key resistance level is marked at $152.98, which represents the recent weekly high and a psychological barrier. This level has acted as a ceiling in past attempts, but the current structure and momentum suggest a potential breakout if volume confirms. Above this level, there's clear air up to $185, where the next major resistance sits, and which also acts as the projected target in this trade setup.
________________________________________
Support Holding Strong
A strong support zone around $93.40 is clearly defined and has already triggered multiple rejections. NVDA recently saw a sharp bounce from this zone after a downward rejection, signaling that institutional buyers may be active here. This area is the foundation of the current bullish case.
________________________________________
Momentum Turning Favorably
The True Strength Index (TSI), shown at the bottom of the chart, is emerging from a low region. While not yet fully bullish, the indicator is starting to turn upward, suggesting early signs of momentum building. If TSI crosses above the midline in coming weeks, it could confirm the start of a sustained upward move.
________________________________________
Trade Setup
• Entry Zone: $138 to $140 (current price range)
• Stop-Loss: $110 (beneath the last significant swing low)
• Target: $185 (aligns with the next major resistance and top of risk-reward box)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1.5:1
• Setup Bias: Swing to mid-term bullish continuation
________________________________________
Conclusion
NVIDIA’s weekly chart is aligning in favor of the bulls after a healthy consolidation and support retest. The price remains within a strong uptrend channel, and momentum is gradually improving. A breakout above $152.98 would likely attract more volume and set the stage for a rally toward $185. The risk-reward setup is favorable, making this a strong candidate for bullish swing positioning heading into Q3 2025.
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
