$NVDA DO YOU SEE IT NOW? Life changing 618 Fibonacci114 618 Fibonacci has been AN AMAZING trade!
Given step by step -> I plan to add more and will share here
Drop a LIKE if you want it -> LIVES HAVE BEEN CHANGED
NVDA trade ideas
NVIDIA (TRADES WITHIN STRONG ZONE)NVIDIA TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
The price has moved upward from the lower boundary of the bearish flag while remaining within the broader bullish channel. Currently, it is consolidating within a strong zone, positioned between the first bullish target and the first bearish target.
The price is testing the resistance of the first bullish target and continues to exert pressure on this level. If it successfully breaks above this zone, an upward continuation is expected, leading towards the second target, with further momentum potentially pushing it towards the third target.
A shift to a bearish scenario would require a confirmed breakdown below the second bearish target, which would activate negative momentum. A four-hour or daily candle closure below this level would reinforce the bearish outlook and increase the likelihood of reaching the third bearish target.
NVDA GAP FILLERAs always. It is coming to life. Gap filler in order to bounce back to adjust main trendline.
I call it a trendline correction.......
NVDA LONG WIZARD PREMIUM IDEA 100% SURE
My idea has proven to be 100% successful: the short trade resulted in a precise profit, and the long trade on Nvidia was executed flawlessly, based on the surgical support line I had drawn—despite all the initial criticism. Now, the stock has bounced exactly where I predicted, and the long position is already up 25%. Now, we go in strong!
Nvidia (NVDA) Worth 30x More Than It Is in 2025: BUY!I share a letter I wrote to family regarding the fundamentals and technicals of Nvidia and why Nvidia continues to be a great buy.
Fundamentals and Recent Events:
I understand your concerns about my investment in the U.S. stock market, especially with the news circulating about DeepSeek and its potential impact on Nvidia. And I heard your concerns with rumors about Nvidia being in a bubble. Let me share my perspective on why I believe this situation presents a unique opportunity, and why for me, this selloff in Nvidia represents an amazing opportunity to load up more shares, as we take advantage of the confusion in the market.
So, we all know the news. Recently, a new little kid on the block called DeepSeek (a recent Chinese AI startup) has emerged and hit the news headlines. It introduced its R1 model, an open-source AI application that delivers advanced reasoning capabilities at a fraction of the typical cost. So, the launch of DeepSeek’s chatbot claims to rival top Western models at a fraction of the training cost. This development This spooked investors led to a significant market reaction and a broader tech selloff, with Nvidia's stock experiencing a notable decline.
Cisco's researchers point to the much lower budget of DeepSeek compared to rivals as a potential reason for these failings, saying its cheap development came at a "different cost: safety and security." DeepSeek claims its model took just $6 million to develop, while OpenAI's yet-to-be-released GPT-5 is reported to likely cost $500 million. PC Magazine was founded in 1982, and it is a well-known American technology magazine that provides reviews, news, and analysis of the latest hardware, software, and consumer electronics. According to PCMag, Cisco’s research team managed to "jailbreak" DeepSeek R1 model with a 100% attack success rate, using an automatic jailbreaking algorithm in conjunction with 50 prompts related to cybercrime, misinformation, illegal activities, and general harm. This means that DeepSeek, the new kid on the block, failed to stop a single harmful prompt. And I quote: "DeepSeek stacked up poorly compared to many of its competitors in this regard. OpenAI’s GPT-4o has a 14% success rate at blocking harmful jailbreak attempts, while Google’s Gemini 1.5 Pro sported a 35% success rate. Anthropic’s Claude 3.5 performed the second best out of the entire test group, blocking 64% of the attacks, while the preview version of OpenAI's o1 took the top spot, blocking 74% of attempts."
Another problem in addition to this is that DeepSeek has been shown to have strong content restrictions—well, but only when it comes to China-related political content. So, this is not a product that scale or be useful for research and getting accurate information, since the information you can get from it is old history and current information is more or less a mix of state-driven propaganda, limited exposure to peer-reviewed research, and a fragmentary sense of historical objectivity. So, the result is a narrow understanding of complex issues, heavily influenced by government-promoted narratives. This myopic view is detrimental to making accurate investment decisions and for gaining an accurate perspective on the world and global issues.
Despite this, Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI hardware sector. The company's GPUs are integral to AI development, and even was revealed that DeepSeek's R1 model was trained using Nvidia's H800 series chips! So, Nvidia’s market position is in the AI ecosystem.
Let us take a look at the recent drop in Nvidia:
Nvidia had a sell from the beginning of in January 2025.
Barron’s is a prestigious financial publication that focuses on investing, stock market analysis, and financial news. It is owned by Dow Jones & Company, which also publishes The Wall Street Journal.
Barron’s has published an article regarding this called "Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overblown" by Elsa Ohlen (Jan. 28, 2025, 5:24 AM ET, Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overdone. - Barron's).
According to this article in Barron’s, the recent selloff in Nvidia's stock, while significant, can be viewed as an overreaction. Analysts suggest that such market movements often present buying opportunities, especially for companies with strong fundamentals like Nvidia.
Fears of an AI Slowdown Are Overblown! Some analysts, including Citi’s Christopher Danely, argue that concerns about DeepSeek disrupting Nvidia’s growth are exaggerated.
Firstly, DeepSeek’s AI model is not built entirely from scratch. Instead, it improves upon existing AI models by using a technique called 'distillation'. What is meant by distillation? It essentially means taking a powerful AI model and making a smaller, more efficient version of it. However, this process still requires access to large-scale computing power and cloud infrastructure. So, DeepSeek still needs cloud computing and high-end chips; and these services rely heavily on Nvidia’s high-performance chips. AI models, even smaller ones, still require a lot of computing power. And this means that even with DeepSeek’s innovation, the demand for Nvidia’s hardware and Nvidia’s AI infrastructure will continue to grow, not shrink.
DeepSeek relies on existing AI models using distillation techniques, meaning major cloud service providers and high-end computing remain essential—a sign that AI spending will continue. In the end, Nvidia benefits despite DeepSeek’s existence. Because it is Nvidia’s chips that power DeepSeek’s infrastructure it needs for AI to run. Tell DeepSeek to just buy for Nvidia chips. They’ll need it. Hahaha!
Nvidia has seen sharp drops before. From a chartist’s perspective, the selloff in Nvidia is pretty common for Nvidia from its outset, and it is healthy for the market. From the year 2017 until 2025, Nvidia dropped beyond 18% or 20%; and in some cases beyond 30%, approximately 15 times. Two times, it fell beyond 50% in 2018 and 2022. .
In fact, out of the 10 largest single-day losses in stock market history, Nvidia alone is responsible for 8 of them; more than any other company. This shows that Nvidia’s stock has historically been volatile in the short term, experiencing massive drops at times. But these declines have historically been followed by strong recoveries, and continued its long-term growth. This proves that these selloffs are actually great buying opportunities. So, just because Nvidia had major sells offs, those previous major selloffs did not indicate long-term decline, and spell the end of the world. Investors who previously bought during these dips often saw significant gains as Nvidia continued to dominate the AI and semiconductor industries. Companies like Meta and Amazon also saw $200 billion+ market value losses in a single day in 2022.
In April 2024, META dropped 21%. My alerts were fired up and I made the purchase. From that time to today, META has risen from 420 to 690. It was a good, prudent, purchase. Many were calling it a bubble at that time. But history repeats itself in these US markets where they continue to innovative, grow stamina, have risk appetite and evolution to solve real problems and generate quality products and services for people.
Below is a chart showing all those significant drops in Nvidia with black arrows.
Weekly Chart:
And based on my own analysis, Nvidia looked great last quarter and forward guidance for 2025 looks great also. Not as lofty, but still great. Here is a chart of what I see for the year 2025. The numbers of the left are estimated earnings for 2025. The numbers on the right are estimated sales for 2025. As long as we meet or exceed these calculations, we have nothing to worry about. I will monitor them as the quarterly come along.
Question & Answers Session:
Question 1 :
"NVIDIA's valuation is only so high because of its crazy profit growth, but computing power is hitting a ceiling."
ANSWER:
Partially true, but computing power isn’t hitting a ceiling—it's evolving.
• NVIDIA’s valuation is high because of its dominant role in AI infrastructure and its massive profit growth.
• However, the idea that computing power is "hitting a ceiling" isn’t entirely accurate—AI efficiency is improving, but demand for higher computing power is still growing.
• New AI models, like DeepSeek’s, show that training can be done more efficiently, but this doesn’t mean we’ve reached a limit on computing power.
Conclusion: Computing power isn’t stopping—it’s shifting toward more efficient AI training and inference models.
________________________________________
Question 2:
"This isn’t just about DeepSeek—it’s a question of open-source vs. closed-source AI."
Answer:
Good point—DeepSeek represents a bigger shift in AI development.
• DeepSeek’s open-source model challenges NVIDIA’s dominance, since it reduces reliance on proprietary AI stacks like CUDA and NVIDIA GPUs.
• Companies like Microsoft, Google, and Meta may start investing more in open-source models, which could shift the AI landscape over time.
• However, DeepSeek alone won’t make this happen overnight—broad adoption of open-source AI and alternative hardware is required, and most AI companies still rely on NVIDIA.
🔹 Conclusion: Open-source AI is an important trend, but it hasn’t displaced NVIDIA yet.
________________________________________
Question 3:
"DeepSeek is already working on supporting Huawei’s GPUs, and that’s happening fast. Within 1-2 years, Huawei could take NVIDIA’s spot in China at the very least."
ANSWER:
That is speculative—Huawei is improving, but replacing NVIDIA in 1-2 years is unlikely.
• DeepSeek is optimizing for Huawei GPUs, which is expected given U.S. export restrictions on NVIDIA chips.
• However, Huawei’s AI chips (like Ascend) are still behind NVIDIA’s in performance, and catching up will take time.
• Past Chinese AI chip development has lagged by 3+ years compared to NVIDIA, and even if Huawei gains ground in China, NVIDIA’s global leadership remains secure for now.
🔹 Conclusion: Huawei may gain market share in China, but it’s not overtaking NVIDIA worldwide anytime soon.
________________________________________
Question 4:
"NVIDIA’s insane profit margins won’t last forever."
ANSWER:
True—but NVIDIA’s margins are still strong for now.
• NVIDIA’s high margins come from its dominance in AI chips and proprietary software (CUDA), which makes switching away from NVIDIA difficult.
• DeepSeek shows that AI models can be trained more cheaply, which could put long-term pressure on NVIDIA’s pricing.
• However, NVIDIA is still critical for AI training and inference, and demand for GPUs is growing, so their margins won’t collapse overnight.
Conclusion: Margins may decline in the future, but NVIDIA remains highly profitable in the short term.
________________________________________
Question 5:
"The AI hype bubble is something everyone knows about. DeepSeek is just the first to poke a hole in it—there will be plenty more doing the same soon."
ANSWER:
Overstated—AI spending is still growing, and NVIDIA isn’t collapsing.
• Yes, there’s an AI hype cycle, and some stocks may be overvalued.
• DeepSeek’s low-cost model surprised investors, but AI investment is still increasing.
• Big tech companies (Microsoft, Google, Meta) are doubling down on AI spending in 2025-2026, and NVIDIA remains a major player.
Conclusion: DeepSeek is an early warning of AI cost reductions, not the end of the AI boom.
Technicals:
Weekly:
Engulfing Bullish candle at 61.8% Fib support
Expectation: 200 to 250 by end of 2025
Nvidia - GAP Attack - Starts tomorrowHello Traders,
I believe the time has come for Nvidia to attack the Deepseek FUD gap. Nvidia had some consolidation today I believe so it could get into position to head higher the next two days attacking the gap. I also show channels, 200 DMA, Fib price target levels, Dates, Full Moons, Opex and Vix Expiration, and Support/Resistance levels. I have also confirmed this idea with some of my other TA.
Could Nvidia and Tesla both move higher the next two days... Im thinking the answer is yes...Well lets see what happens.
NVDA on the Radar! High-Potential Setup in Play 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading
* Trend Overview: NVDA is currently trading within a descending wedge, with resistance at $133.78 and support near $129.09. The price is consolidating after a pullback, potentially setting up for a breakout move.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish momentum has been weakening, with a potential bullish crossover forming.
* Stoch RSI: Currently oversold, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $129.09, $125.00
* Resistance: $133.78, $135.00
* Potential Play:
* Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $133.78 could push towards $135-$140.
* Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $129.09 could lead to a drop to $125 or lower.
GEX Analysis for Options Trading
* Gamma Exposure (GEX) Zones:
* Bullish Targets: The $135-$140 region aligns with strong call resistance.
* Bearish Risk: If price breaks below $129, downside exposure increases, with the next major put wall near $120.
* IV and Sentiment:
* IVR: 47.5, slightly elevated, suggesting increasing volatility.
* Call Positioning: 44.7%, signaling bullish sentiment.
* Put Support Levels: Heavy put support at $120, indicating a key level where buyers may step in.
Trading Outlook
📌 NVDA is at a crucial level—traders should watch for a breakout above $133.78 or a rejection leading to $129.09 support. With increasing gamma exposure, a strong move is expected soon.
🔴 Risk Management:
* Stop Loss: Below $129 for bullish trades.
* Profit Targets: $135, $140+
* Watch for market sentiment shifts before entering positions.
🚀 Traders, keep NVDA on your radar—it’s heating up! 🔥
NVDA: Short Term Bullish for Earnings run. $142 targetNVDA is bouncing off the 200 MA and a bullish Order Block. Short term target is $142 for earnings. A relatively conservative bullish short term play is to a cash secure put at around $120 to collect premium. Stop loss around 115 range for short term traders.
Elliott Wave View: Nvidia (NVDA) Looking for a Double CorrectionShort term Elliott Wave suggests the all-time high in Nvidia (NVDA) at 152.89 ended wave ((1)). Dips in wave ((2)) unfolded as an expanded Flat. Down from wave ((1)), wave (A) ended at 128.22 and wave (B) ended at 153.13. Down from there, wave 1 ended at 129.11 and wave 2 ended at 149.1. Wave 3 lower ended at 116.7 and wave 4 ended at 131.99. Wave 5 lower ended at 113 which completed wave (C) of ((2)) in higher degree. The 30 minutes chart below shows the pullback in wave ((2)).
The stock has turned higher in wave ((3)), but it still needs to break above wave ((1)) peak at 152.89 to rule out any double correction. Up from wave ((2)), wave ((i)) ended at 119 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 115.33. The stock rallied higher in wave ((iii)) towards 130.37 and dips in wave ((iv)) ended at 125. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 135 which completed wave 1. Wave 2 pullback is now in progress to correct cycle from 2.3.2025 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the next leg higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 113 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
My BY Entries for NVIDIAHere are my 2 buy entries for NVIDIA.
Please study my chart and see my reasons.
Entry 1: buy at the current price of $123.5.
Entry 2: wait to retrace back to $120
SL for the two entries: $114.8
TP1 and TP2 : $150
Trade with care
NVDA $141 GAP ClosureNVDA is going towards a GAP closure at the 141/142 range in order to go back down and test the original trendline support. We can expect clearly some bouncing movements making NVDA eventually incrementing to $150 again.
"Watch how some news will pump it and then some issues with chip will drop it, to end with some sort of deal that will increment the movement back up".
Of course, all in the name of justifying movements and rebounds.
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower.
Levels to watch: $110, $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVIDIA: A Strong Company Facing Short-Term Downward PressureNVIDIA is undeniably a powerhouse in the tech industry, driven by cutting-edge innovation and robust market presence. However, in the short term, I anticipate the price to move towards the lower boundary of a descending channel trend observed in its recent market performance.
This analysis reflects my personal perspective and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NVDA continues to dive deeper on Inflation etc. worries...LikelyOn lower times frames, there's a Gap at 120, so likely that's where she's headed...
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance.
After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs.
Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again.
A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NVIDIA - Scalping + Forecast (2-19)🔥 Market Overview (NVIDIA - NVDA)
Trend: Bullish recovery after a consolidation phase.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $142.04 (Supertrend level)
Support: $132.88 (200 EMA), $138.29 (Intermediate support)
Indicators:
EMA 9: $140.21 (Price hovering around short-term trend)
EMA 200: $132.88 (Strong support)
MACD: Bearish momentum fading, but still negative.
RSI: 59.19, approaching overbought zone.
🔥 Scalping Strategy
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Preferred Strategy)
Buy near: $138.50-$139.00, targeting $142.00.
Sell near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Stop-loss: Below $137.50.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If $142.50 Breaks)
Buy above: $142.50, targeting $145-$147.
Stop-loss: Below $141.50.
🩸 3. Momentum Scalping (For Quick Trades)
Short near: $142.00, targeting $138.50.
Buy near: $138.50, targeting $142.00.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
NVDA needs to break $142.50 to confirm a continued bullish rally.
If rejected at $142.00, expect a pullback to $138.50.
MACD shows signs of recovery but remains weak.
🔥 News & Market Context
NVIDIA remains a market leader in AI and GPU sectors, with high institutional interest.
Investor sentiment remains strong, but macroeconomic factors could influence movement.
Earnings and sector-wide tech performance will play a role in confirming a breakout.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Range scalp between $138.50-$142.00.
🩸 Mid-term: Wait for confirmation of $142.50 breakout.
🩸 Ideal Play: Short near $142.00 if rejection; buy on a confirmed breakout above $142.50.
👑 Final Verdict:
NVDA is at a key resistance zone. A breakout above $142.50 could push towards $145+, while rejection could bring a pullback to $138.50.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"The market is a battlefield—know when to strike, and when to hold." 👑
NVDA: On NVDA, you can see that we are in a bullish channel situation.
Furthermore, based on our analysis, we would have a probability of seeing the market go up if all the analysis conditions are met.
Nvidia -- potential upsidenvidia technical rebound -- upside more than 10% --- deepseek is just a temporary setback...however us fed will interest rate will see how this stock goes
$NVDA - week of Feb 10 2025NVDA -uptrend
Above 132-134 (demand/supply area)
Above 130- targets 132
Below 124 - Puts
Why This Sell-Off Could Be the Best Buying Opportunity of 2024DeepSeek's cost advantages are more evolutionary than revolutionary, and cheaper AI compute could actually fuel demand rather than hurt it.
Nvidia's competitive moat isn't just about its hardwareit's the software.
Parallel ChannelHopefully, we get a breakout that will fill the red FVG gap on the chart. But it looks like the MACD(Chris Moody) indicator is bearish and we might test the green FVG gap or the Demand level below on the chart. Please be careful and confirm breakouts. Have a safe day.
