$NVDA: Cycle-Wired Levels🏛️ Research Notes
The fact that the angle of linear connection between 3rd degree points (fractal hierarchy) acted multiple amout of times as support and eventually resistance from which tariff drop happened establishing bottom and expanding from there.
That means if we were to justify the texture of ongoing wave from that bottom, we would geometrically quantify the area of that triangle to project considering historic data to remain objective approach (and NOT what levels we subjectively want to see whether we are bullish or bearish). There is mean reversion rule also going on which will be structurally addressed.
No matter where your actual target is at, there are always structural boundaries that price must break through first in order to get there. And because markets tend to move in proportion to their own scale — often aligning with exponents of the golden ratio, we treat phi as a constant within this probabilistic space.
NVDAD trade ideas
NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29
📈 **NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29
🚀 *"Momentum meets money flow!"*
### 🔍 Market Snapshot:
* 💥 **Call/Put Ratio**: 2.47 → Bullish sentiment confirmed
* 🧠 **RSI**: Rising on Daily & Weekly → Momentum building
* 🔕 **Low VIX**: Favors call strategies (cheap premiums)
* ⚠️ **Caution**: Light volume = soft institutional backing
---
### 🔧 Recommended Options Trade:
**🟢 NVDA \$182.50 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)**
💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.53 (Mid)
📈 *Profit Target*: \$0.69 – \$1.06
🛑 *Stop Loss*: \$0.32
📆 *DTE*: 3 days
🔄 *Entry Timing*: Market Open
✅ *Confidence*: 75%
🔥 *Theta & Gamma Risk*: Elevated — manage position size!
---
### 💡 Why This Trade?
✅ RSI Strength across timeframes
✅ Flow favors upside
✅ Cheap premium in a low-volatility regime
🟡 Just watch that volume…
---
📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON):**
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 182.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-01",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.06,
"stop_loss": 0.32,
"size": 10,
"entry_price": 0.53,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 11:59:10 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
📣 **Taglines for Sharing:**
* "NVDA setup is 🔥—momentum + flow = GO!"
* "Gamma risk is real—but so is this profit window 💸"
* "Short-term sprint or fade? This call has range."
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red.
NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon.
The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN.
Good luck!
99% of people buying $NVDA don't understand this:🚨99% of people buying NASDAQ:NVDA don't understand this:
NASDAQ:GOOGL : “We’re boosting AI capex by $10B.”
Wall Street: “Cool, that’s like $1B or 0.06 per share for $NVDA.”
So from $170.50 at the time of news to $170.56 right?
No.
NASDAQ:NVDA trades at 98× earnings. So that $0.06? Turns into $6.00
Why?
Because people are expecting that to be happening every single year for 98 years and they're paying All of it Today in Full amount.
So NASDAQ:NVDA will get $1B more per year. But NASDAQ:NVDA price per share already increased by $100B in past 2 days 😂
Then it crashes 40% and everyone is wondering why.
$NVDA’s Moves Weren’t Exactly SubtleUltraShort signals on NASDAQ:NVDA nailed key tops at $185, $182, and $177, each followed by sharp retracements that cooled off aggressive buyers. On the flip side, UltraBuy signals around $170, $172, and $174 teed up solid rebounds just as momentum threatened to fade. Price chopped around the 50/200 SMA before thrusting higher — then gave it all back just as quickly. Classic squeeze-and-fade setup. Awaiting UltraBuy signal. Use UltraAlgo to optimize stock with backtesting algorithmic signals.
Emotional Reactivity: The Silent Killer of Trading PerformanceEven with the best strategy, traders often fall short — not because the system fails, but because they do. One of the most common culprits? Emotional reactivity.
Fear and greed are the twin saboteurs.
Fear leads to hesitation, premature exits, or failure to take action.
Greed tempts us to oversize, chase trades, or hold too long.
These emotional spikes don’t just “feel bad” — they disrupt the brain’s decision-making systems. Under pressure, the amygdala takes over, bypassing the prefrontal cortex (where rational thinking happens)—this results in reactive behaviour: impulse entries, revenge trades, panic exits.
🔧 How to Defeat Emotional Reactivity
Here are proven strategies that work — not just in theory, but in the trenches of real-world trading.
✅ 1. Use Pre-Defined Rules & Checklists
The more rules you build into your system, the less room there is for emotion to interfere.
Think: “If X and Y are true, then I enter — no debate.”
🎯 2. Risk in Terms of ‘R’
Instead of thinking “I’m risking $5,000,” say “I’m risking 1R.”
This reframing normalises risk, reduces attachment, and keeps you focused on process over outcome.
📓 3. Track Emotional States in Your Journal
Don’t just log trades. Record your mental state before and after.
Over time, patterns emerge: when you’re most reactive, most hesitant, most aggressive.
🧘 4. Control Your Environment & Physiology
Fatigue, caffeine overload, or noise can heighten emotional spikes.
A calm workspace and healthy habits reduce the likelihood of hijacked decision-making.
🌬️ 5. Use Breathing to Regulate State
Even 60 seconds of box breathing can short-circuit fear.
Try this: inhale 4 sec → hold 4 sec → exhale 4 sec → hold 4 sec.
🕵️♂️ 6. Trade Fewer, Higher-Conviction Setups
Most overtrading is emotional.
By filtering out B-grade trades, you reduce stress and decision fatigue.
Final Word
You can’t eliminate emotion — but you can contain it.
The goal is to become emotionally aware and systematically anchored.
Master this, and you stop trading your feelings — and start trading your edge.
👍 If this resonated, drop a like or comment below.
🔁 Repost to help other traders cut through the noise.
📌 Follow for more mindset and execution tips grounded in real-world trading.
NVDA Weekly Trade Setup (2025-08-02)
### 🟢 NVDA Weekly Trade Setup (2025-08-02)
🚀 **BULLISH CONSENSUS** across 5 top-tier models
📉 Daily RSI: Weak — but weekly trend is STRONG
💼 Institutional Volume: Confirmed accumulation
📊 Options Flow: Call/Put leaning bullish
---
### 🎯 TRADE SETUP
**💥 Direction:** CALL (LONG)
**📍 Strike:** \$182.50
**📅 Expiry:** 2025-08-08
**💵 Entry:** \$0.73
**🎯 Target:** \$1.46 (100% gain)
**🛑 Stop:** \$0.36 (50% risk cap)
**✅ Confidence:** 75%
**🕒 Entry Timing:** At market open
---
### 🧠 Model Breakdown:
✅ **Grok/xAI:** Weekly bullish, 4/5 signals green
✅ **DeepSeek:** Volume confirms; cautious on daily RSI
✅ **Google/Gemini:** Bullish weekly > bearish daily
✅ **Claude:** Weekly momentum + rising options flow
✅ **Meta/Llama:** All signals aligned for \$182.50 call
---
### ⚠️ Risk Watch:
* Falling Daily RSI = short-term drag risk
* Key Support: Watch for \$178 breakdown
* Earnings/events could spike volatility
---
### 📦 TRADE JSON (for tracking):
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 182.50,
"expiry": "2025-08-08",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.46,
"stop_loss": 0.36,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.73,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-03 00:54:05 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
🔥 *“Smart money is circling. Ride the wave, not the noise.”*
💬 Drop your thoughts below. Will NVDA break \$185 next week?
NVDA heads up at $183.72: Golden Genesis fib to mark a TOP?Chips have been flying high since the April lows.
NVDA has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $183.72
This is a "very high gravity" fib so expect a reaction.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject to form a major top.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we Break-n -Retest to continue.\
.
See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT plots ------>>>>>>>>
Such as this post at the last Golden Genesis:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts
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NVDA-the AI TitanNVIDIA (NVDA) continues to dominate the AI semiconductor space and remains one of the strongest momentum names in the market. After reaching new highs, price action is now offering a clean multi-tiered entry opportunity for swing traders positioning for the next leg up.
Entry Points
✅ $160 – Breakout retest zone
✅ $145 – Key technical support
✅ $130 – Strong demand zone from prior consolidation
Profit Targets
📈 TP1: $180
🚀 TP2: $190
💰 TP3: $200+
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my view and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NVIDIANVIDIA Corporation is a leading American technology company known for designing and manufacturing graphics processing units (GPUs), system-on-a-chip units (SoCs), and AI computing platforms. Founded in 1993, the company originally focused on gaming graphics but has since evolved into a global powerhouse in artificial intelligence, data centers, autonomous vehicles, and high-performance computing. NVIDIA’s GPUs are widely used not only in gaming and visual computing but also in scientific research, AI model training, machine learning, and cloud infrastructure.
In recent years, NVIDIA has been at the forefront of the global AI boom. Its data center business, powered by its high-end GPU architecture (like the H100 and newer generations), has become a critical backbone for tech companies, cloud providers, and governments seeking to build large-scale AI systems. The company also made major strategic moves through acquisitions and software integration, further solidifying its dominance in the AI hardware space. NVIDIA’s strong financial performance and technological leadership led to rapid growth in its market capitalization, briefly making it one of the most valuable companies in the world.
As of August 2025, NVIDIA’s stock is trading at $173.60 per share, following a stock split that adjusted its price while increasing liquidity. Despite broader market volatility, NVIDIA remains a key player driving the AI revolution and is closely watched by investors and analysts. Its valuation continues to be shaped by demand for AI chips, innovation in GPU architecture, and its ability to maintain technological leadership amid growing global competition. NVIDIA stands at the intersection of multiple megatrends, making it a critical stock in both the technology and semiconductor sectors.
$NVDA ~ An Elliott Wave Breakdown.Earlier in the main wave, our Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag hence a Flat was expected for Wave 4(Black). Wave B(Blue) closed beyond Wave 3(Black) and our Wave 4 made a 5 wave move(Shown in Red) that retested at the 261.8% Fib. level. With Wave C(Blue) complete, it was coined Wave 4(Black). Wave 5(Black) was launched and has a 5 wave move shown in Green. With a Zigzag for Wave 2(Green), a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) has 5 waves with a triangle for Wave 4(Blue). A confirmation at its current location(423.6% Fib. level) would mean that Wave 3(Green) is complete and a Wave A(Black) of the previously mentioned Flat should be anticipated. Please check my detailed breakdown for a broader perspective into the same.
NB: The placement of Wave A(Black) of the Flat mentioned above is purely for demonstrative purposes.
Nvidia - This is clearly not the end!📐Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will confirm the breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past couple of months, Nvidia managed to rally about +100%, reaching top 1 of total market cap. Most of the time such bullish momentum just continues and new all time highs will follow. But in order for that to happen, Nvidia has to confirm the all time high breakout now.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
SwingTraderPhil
$NVDA ~ An Elliott Wave Breakdown.(Detailed Spectrum)Our Wave 2(Black) of the main wave was a Zigzag hence a Flat for Wave 4(Black). When Wave 3(Black) completed a three wave move, shown in Green, was made, hence A(Blue). Wave B(Blue) went beyond the end of 3(Black) and had 3 waves, shown in Red, also(as expected for Flats). The last of this 3 wave move(Wave c-Red) had 5 waves shown in Black. Upon completion, our Wave B(Blue) was over and we expected a Wave 4(Black). Our Wave 4 made a 5 wave move(Shown in Red) that retested at the 261.8% Fib. level. With Wave C(Blue) complete, it was coined Wave 4(Black). Wave 5(Black) was launched and has a 5 wave move shown in Green. With a Zigzag for Wave 2(Green), a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) has 5 waves with a triangle for Wave 4(Blue). A confirmation at its current location(423.6% Fib. level) would mean that Wave 3(Green) is complete and a Wave A(Black) of the previously mentioned Flat should be anticipated.
NB: The placement of Wave A(Black) of the Flat mentioned above is purely for demonstrative purposes.
Why To Draw Before You Trade ?Hello fellow traders and respected members of the trading community, In a fast paced market dominated by automation and algorithms, we often forget the value of simply picking up a tool and drawing on our charts. Let’s revisit why this fundamental habit still holds the power to sharpen our edge and elevate our decision-making.
Why We Should Draw and Trade? Turning Charts Into Clarity
Introduction-:
In an age of auto-generated indicators, black-box algorithms, and AI-driven signals, many traders are drifting away from one of the most fundamental trading tools: manual chart drawing.
But what if the very act of drawing is not just an old habit—but a powerful trading edge?
This publication explores why actively drawing on charts and trading based on visual context can elevate your market understanding and execution like nothing else.
1. What Does It Mean to “Draw and Trade? Drawing isn’t just technical analysis it’s interactive thinking. When you draw, you're mapping the structure of the market using tools like
Trendlines
Support & Resistance zones
Chart Patterns (Head & Shoulders, Flags, Triangles, etc.)
Supply & Demand levels
Gaps, Fibonacci levels, and more
Once the chart is marked, you’re no longer entering trades blindly you’re entering with context, clarity, and confidence.
2. The Psychology Behind Drawing
Manual drawing engages your focus, discipline, and decision-making. You don’t just predict, you process and It forces you to slow down helping reduce impulsive trades. Drawing anchors your emotions and keeps you mindful. The act of drawing becomes a psychological filter—helping you trade from structure, not stress.
3. Why It Beats Indicator Only Trading?
Indicators are reactive. Drawing is proactive.
Here’s the difference:
Indicators show what already happened
Drawing lets you prepare for what could happen
You learn to-:
Anticipate breakouts, fakeouts, and reversals, Understand market structure and Develop your own strategy not depend on someone else's signal. In short you become the strategist, not just a follower.
4. The “Chart Time” Advantage
Just like pilots need flight hours, traders need chart hours. Drawing charts manually gives you those hours.
You start to see patterns that repeat and notice behavior shifts before they show on indicators. Build a visual memory of how the market moves and It’s this visual experience that separates analysts from traders.
5. Real-World Edge: Case Studies
Wyckoff Distribution: Mapping the structure—BC, AR, ST, UT, LPSY—helps anticipate smart money exits.
Gap Zones: Marking an old breakaway gap can help predict future rejection or support
Demand Zones + Fib Confluence: Drawing reveals high-probability reversal zones most indicators miss
Each drawing becomes a trade-ready story with logic and risk control.
6. From Drawing to Discipline
Drawing is not just prep it’s planning. You trade with a clear plan and pre-identified entry/exit zones this reduced emotional interference and It becomes your personal visual rulebook. No noise no randomness just structure driven action.
7. Final Thoughts: The Trader’s Mind vs. The Machine
Yes, AI and indicators are useful.
But your most powerful edge?
Your mind.
Your eyes.
Your experience sharpened through drawing.
If you want to evolve from a reactive trader to a consistent performer, here’s the golden rule:
Stop watching. Start drawing. Trade what you see, not what you hope.
I hope you will like this post, Thanks for giving your valuable time for reading.
Regards- Amit
“NVDA Setting Up — Small Triangle, Big Potential”
📈 Trade Snapshot:
NVDA is forming a mini triangle with higher lows. Breakout above $180.16 could push it toward $181.58.
🎯 Setup:
→ Entry: $179.29
→ SL: ~$176.00
→ Target: $181.58
📌 Tight structure + bullish momentum = strong breakout chance.
📋 Hashtags:
#NVDA #BreakoutSetup #PriceAction #ProfittoPath #SwingTrade #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup
Catch the bounce on NVDAHi, I'm The Cafe Trader.
We’re taking a deeper dive into NVIDIA (NVDA) — one of the leaders in the MAG 7 — with a short-term trade setup you can apply to both shares and options.
Setup Context:
NVDA is pushing into all-time highs, and we’re now approaching the average analyst price target (around $180). While we don’t know how price will react at this level, traders should be watching for pullbacks and trend continuations — prime zones for entry.
If we get a strong move down, I see $153 as a high-probability bounce area — where buyers are likely to step in aggressively.
Price Target Outlook:
The final price target will depend on how price moves into this zone:
- If NVDA runs to $200 before pulling back, targets shift higher.
- If it tops out around $180, we adjust accordingly.
That said, an initial bounce toward $169–$170 looks reasonable.
Options Note:
If NVDA sells off hard and fast, implied volatility (IV) will spike, making options expensive and reducing your edge. This is a setup that could play out over 2–3 weeks, but the first bounce could be quick — so timing matters.
Strategy: Staggered Entry Using Two Contracts
Use two contracts — one short-term, one mid-term — to maximize reward while managing time decay.
Contract 1: Short-Term (3–5 Days to Expiry)
Trigger Entry: As soon as price taps the demand zone (~$153)
Strike Entry Price ^^Target Price
155 $2.00 ^^ $6.00
157.5 $1.50 ^^ $4.50
160 $0.75 ^^ $2.50
You’re looking for a quick reaction: get in, take profit, and step aside while the market finds new balance.
Contract 2: Medium-Term (7–10 Days to Expiry)
Timing Tip: Wait for NVDA to stall or consolidate after the initial bounce — this is when IV comes down and contracts get cheaper.
Strike Entry Price ^^Target Price
155 $3.00 ^^ $15.00
157.5 $2.50 ^^ $12.50
160 $1.80 ^^$9.00
Important: Be careful trading too close to earnings. Contracts tend to get overpriced right before and after earnings drops.
That wraps up the short-term NVDA view.
Stay tuned for more trades and setups across the MAG 7.
@thecafetrader
Take care, and happy trading!