NVDA Technical Analysis and GEX InsightsCurrent Overview
* Price: NVDA is trading at 127.63, recovering from recent lows with significant bullish momentum.
* Trend: The stock is rebounding sharply after a strong sell-off, with potential resistance levels ahead.
* Market Note: Market conditions can shift at the open; adaptability is crucial. Reassess these levels and trends post-market open for alignment with updated momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Key Levels:
* Support:
* 125.00: Immediate support, also aligned with the HVL.
* 123.00: Critical level near Fibonacci retracement and previous consolidation.
* Resistance:
* 130.00: A significant barrier with visible selling pressure in past price action.
* 133.00–135.00: Upper resistance near a gamma wall and potential rejection zone.
2. Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, signaling growing upward momentum but showing a slowing curve.
* Stochastic RSI: Recovering from oversold, with potential to push higher if momentum continues.
3. Volume:
* High trading volumes during the recent rally suggest strong buying interest, supporting further upside if sustained.
4. Trendlines:
* Downtrend resistance near 129–130: A break above this would confirm a short-term reversal.
* Support trendline near 123–124, reinforcing a solid base.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
1. Gamma Walls:
* Call Walls:
* 130.00: 88.36% of the 2nd Call Wall, acting as key resistance.
* 140.00: 76.73% of the 3rd Call Wall, marking a significant upside target if 130 breaks.
* Put Walls:
* 120.00: Major put support, reflecting downside protection.
* 115.00: Another key level, with strong negative GEX support.
2. IVR and Options Flow:
* IVR: 45, reflecting moderate implied volatility.
* Calls vs. Puts: Calls dominate at 34.7%, indicating a bullish sentiment in options activity.
* GEX Direction: Positive, suggesting a stable to bullish market bias.
Market Direction Scenarios
1. Bullish:
* A breakout above 130 could lead NVDA toward 133–135, supported by gamma exposure and momentum continuation.
2. Bearish:
* Failure to hold 125 may result in a pullback to 120, with 115 as a significant lower support.
Key Notes:
* The market will likely adjust at the open; use these levels as a guide but adapt to real-time price action and volume shifts.
If you’d like an updated analysis after the market opens, feel free to send me a message for a real-time update.