NVDA Trade Idea – Weekly Structure Opening for 385-Day Cycle 🕒 Weekly Pattern Outlook
NVDA is believed to be entering a new structural phase within a 385-day cycle, with the $129–$135 range acting as a potential entry zone. This zone allows risk management through a stop loss if the bullish structure fails to materialize.
📊 Volume/Float Ratio & Market Sentiment
Vol/Float Ratio: 1.45% – weak, but not bearish.
Market is leaning bullish, not bearish, despite current sideways consolidation.
This weakness may be caused by retail hesitation, waiting for macro news or market reaction before entering.
📈 Technical View (TA):
On the daily timeframe, NVDA is currently retesting previous zones.
A short-term drop followed by a bounce is highly probable — which could lead to a breakout targeting $153.
High-probability scenario: NVDA reaches $191 within the next 31 days if structure holds and volatility increases.
⚠️ Gap & Momentum Considerations:
Current Gap % = 1.45% → indicates low volatility and neutral/bullish sideways phase.
If Gaps expand to 100–200%, expect explosive movement and breakout behavior.
For now, the sideways structure dominates, not a bear trend.
💡 Trading Strategy:
Avoid buyer strategy for now due to weak volatility.
Option sellers (premium collectors) will benefit more in current conditions.
If you're trading positionally, set a trailing stop loss to manage risk in case of a false breakout or pullback.
Disclaimer:
This trade idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always use capital you can afford to lose and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDAD trade ideas
Setting the Stage for a New Bull Cycle- The theoretical price cycle has ended and appears to be initiating a new one — naturally
beginning with an impulsive move.
- While the company is perceived as evolving into a cash cow, it still remains the leader of a
high-growth market. This makes it an exceptional portfolio asset.
- The peak of the new trend could reach the 261.8% level. A minor correction trend might
follow, but it's not considered significant.
- Unless there is a downward revision in analyst forecasts, the stock should be held for the long
term, with additional entries recommended at each correction wave.
NVDA 4 HR. WAVE C IS LIKELY OVER ON CORRECTION!1). Price is very likely heading towards the fair Market value @ 136. 2). Risk Assets are weak today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE SELLING! 4). Volume is dropping. 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level. 5). ONCE COMPLETED PRICE WILL PROGRESS NORTH ON WAVE 5 VERY LIKELY!
SHORT | NVDANASDAQ:NVDA
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
Price: $131.80
Recent Drop: -2.58 (-1.92%)
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $134.70 to $138.83
This red zone represents a strong supply area where the price has historically faced selling pressure.
Immediate Support: $122.74 (Target Price 1)
Further Supports:
Target Price 2: $116.65 (Aligned with 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement)
Target Price 3: $108.38 (Previous structural low)
Trendlines:
Red Uptrend Line: Recently broken, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Green Downtrend Line: Long-term resistance trendline from the previous Lower Highs (LH) is still intact and respected.
The break below the minor trendline suggests a corrective wave (4) might be in motion.
Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 Fib Retracement: $121.22
0.5 Fib Retracement: $116.22
These levels align with potential targets in a wave (4) corrective phase according to Elliott Wave theory.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: $122.74
This is the closest demand zone and aligns with the 0.382 retracement—high-probability support.
Target Price 2: $116.65
Aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and previous consolidation.
Target Price 3: $108.38
A major structural support and potential wave (4) bottom if market turns sharply bearish.
Summary:
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is showing early signs of a corrective phase after failing to break through strong resistance in the $134–$138 range. The price rejected the resistance zone and is likely entering wave (4) correction. Key support levels to monitor are $122.74, $116.65, and $108.38, corresponding with Fibonacci retracement levels and historical price structure. A break below the short-term trendline increases the probability of a continued pullback before potentially resuming the uptrend in wave (5).
NVDA ..The nvidia levels of interesting worthiness
^^See my other idea on how the lines work and how I use them to see about the worthiness or V-bounces or to determine if flags are forming...
only addition i will put here...is the application of a basic Fib retrace from the top start of the trend in descending pattern to the first breach of the line, after the second pivot point. So the yellow markers show the retrace and the green show the trend line of two worth pivots.
A nice X forms on that candle between the lines and the fib retrace...
NVDA When the Dome is Pierced but the Crowd Doesn’t Cheer.NVDA pierced the dome. But the market didn’t roar—just whispered.
You’d expect prices to leap on headlines like “hyperscalers buying hundreds of thousands of H100s and B200s.” But instead, we’ve seen price hesitations… rejection wicks… and a quiet fade into the resistance box.
That’s the tell.
The “bull case” is loud—CoreWeave, Meta, and Microsoft are all investing capex in datacenter growth.
Headlines scream demand.
Analysts raise price targets.
AI buildout is the macro story.
And yet… NVDA can’t sustain above 137.
Technically, this is what I'm seeing:
A clear inverted dome pattern—price pierced through, but volume didn’t confirm.
Rejection within the gray box: 134–137 remains a trap zone.
Rising wedge structure beneath, with weakening RSI momentum.
Key levels to watch:
137.50: Failure here confirms the fakeout.
134.28: break below, and the dome reasserts control.
130.64: losing this brings 119.59 into play—fast.
Fundamentally, the risk is timing:
Much of the demand for NVDA’s next-gen chips is already pre-booked.
Margins on the newer nodes may face pressure.
The buyer base is concentrated: a few hyperscalers dictate 80% of the flow.
If AI expectations plateau—even temporarily—valuation multiple compression is severe.
And then there’s the macro:
10Y and 30Y yields are pushing higher after a soft CPI print.
Moody’s downgrade lingers in the background.
Japan’s bond market is wobbling.
The bond lords are watching—and if they whisper “not at these yields”, risk assets will reprice.
This isn’t about fear. It’s about understanding silence.
When the loudest news doesn’t move price, something else is pulling strings.
Positioning note:
I hold puts. 5 contracts. Small size, but high conviction setup.
This isn’t just about charts—it’s about recognizing when perception has outpaced inflow, and when liquidity begins to vote.
The dome was pierced.
But without volume, it’s just vapor.
And when vapor meets gravity, price falls—silently.
NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠
Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪
✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead:
📍 $143
📍 $182
📍 $227
📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But…
💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution.
🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race.
⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart).
💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?NVIDIA Breaks Out - Is a Bigger Rally Coming?
NVIDIA has broken out of a bullish triangle pattern, signaling that it might be ready to climb higher. In my view, the bottom was reached at 86.00, as even market pressures from Trump couldn't push it down further.
NVIDIA seems to be waiting for more details on the US-China trade deal before making a stronger upward move.
If positive developments emerge, it could trigger a bigger bullish wave, lifting the stock even higher.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NVDA Still a Monster, But I’m Not Chasing It Just YetNVIDIA is sitting around $135.57 right now, and yeah—fundamentally, it’s crushing it. Revenue growth is off the charts (over 114% YoY) and the data center segment alone pulled in $35B+ last quarter. AI is the fuel, and NVDA is the engine.
That said… we’re getting into overheated territory.
Technically, price is way above its 50/100/200 EMAs, and the RSI is up in the 70s, so we’re clearly in overbought land. Can it push higher? Sure. But I’m not a fan of chasing candles when the chart is screaming “cooldown incoming.”
If we get any weakness or macro jitters (tariffs, earnings nerves, etc.), I’ll be watching for potential entries in the $125–98zone. If we drop into that range with strong volume reaction, I’ll start scaling in.
On the geopolitical front: yeah, the FWB:15B impact from U.S.–China restrictions isn’t nothing—but NVDA’s already moving to offset that with partnerships (like the Saudi AI deal). This isn’t a company sitting still.
📌 Bottom Line:
Long-term, I’m bullish. Short-term, I’m cautious. I’d rather miss a little upside than buy the top and get trapped in a pullback. Let the trade come to you.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice—just sharing my own playbook. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NVIDIA The 1W MA100 rebound is targeting $225 at least.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2.5 months and all this is generated by April's bottom rebound on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
The 1W MA100 has been intact since January 23 2023, so this rebound technically initiates a new Bullish Leg. Since the December 2018 bottom (previous U.S. - China Trade War), the minimum rise on such a Bullish Leg has been +156.11%. As a result, NVIDIA can now target $225 at least before the end of 2025.
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FOMO, FOMO, FOMO , all rushing in to buy NVDASo CEO of NVDA has given an impressive speech recently. Read here
And the forum is full of optimism and hype about the share price going to the moon. We have seen this before and it is anyone guess what happens after it reaches the resistance level at 149.28. Will it break out and continue the rally much to the excitement and bet of many investors/traders? Or would there be some form of retracement perhaps due to the downgrading of the US ratings to AA?
I will not chase the high price as it it 3/4 to the top , leaving little meat to the profits and probability of going higher remains unknown but probability of it reversing half or towards support at 91.44 is a possibility.
Thus, I will not be looking at this counter for now. However, I am invested in the VOO ETF (replicating SPX) so indirectly, I am vested in Nvidia.
Fundamentally, this company is also overvalued from looking at its balance sheet. Of course, if the earning growth could match up, the share price can still continue to rally especially it is also a popular stock amongst many retail investors.
Options Trade Idea: NVDA $135 PUT – Exp. May 23, 2025 -SwingI'm entering a NVDA $135 PUT expiring May 23, 2025, as a short-term swing trade based on my technical analysis.
Type: Put Option (ITM)
Strike Price: $135
Expiration: May 23, 2025 (this Friday)
Rationale:
I see signs of a potential downside move in NVDA: bearish RSI divergence, weakening momentum, and rejection at key resistance. I chose the in-the-money (ITM) $135 strike PUT because it has higher delta and holds value better, especially with strong theta decay favoring fast profits ahead of expiration this Friday.
Nvidia —Resistance Turns Support Support Confirmed—ATH 260-194This week closes as a full green candle. A rising window or gap was left along the way. This is a bullish development.
The full green candle comes after a rounded bottom and double-bottom long-term. Coming from a resistance level turned strong long-term support.
Keeping it simple, NVDA has been rising and the chart shows potential for additional growth. There can be retraces and corrections; Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload.
In the case of a strong correction, always, we will end up with a higher low compared to the 7-April weekly session. This session marks the bottom of the correction.
A higher low means the bullish structure remains intact. A bullish structure means a bullish trend. A bullish trend means rising prices which will end up with a new All-Time High in late 2025.
Two new All-Time Highs possible and highly probable in 2025. 194 (mid-term) & 260 (long-term).
Thank you for reading.
Support boost and follow.
Namaste.
NVDA$ - possible pullback to $50 (-67% from pick) in the making.NASDAQ:NVDA have done this before (67% pullbacks after long rally).
NVDA is following very predictable patterns for many years now, despite excitement around this stock - stock made "new recent low" and current rally maybe just a part of a "head and shoulders" in the making. If "new all time high" is not reached with in the next few weeks - we will see stock pullback to $50 or less in the next 6-9 month.
Possible Targets for Nvidia on Both Upside and DownsideNvidia has surged more than 55% since the early April dip and over 40% from the second dip, as expected in our earlier post. This massive rally was supported by a softening in trade policy (Bloomberg trade uncertainty index fell to 7.67 from 16.27), Nvidia's valuation being well below historical averages, and momentum sparked by Trump’s Middle East business trip.
Despite the surge, Nvidia still trades below its historical average based on forward price-to-earnings ratios. The stock has averaged a forward P/E of 32.2x over the past year, 34.2x over the last two years, and 40.2x over the past five years. Its current forward P/E stands at 28.4x. If Nvidia were to return to these averages, the implied price would be:
1-year average (32.2x): $153.04
2-year average (34.2x): $162.20
5-year average (40.2x): $190.79
However, relying on the 5-year average may not be ideal, as Nvidia’s explosive growth potential is no longer at the same trajectory it was five years ago. The 1-year average at $153.04 could be a more realistic near-term target.
Around the 1-year p/e price target, Nvidia has also a notable technical resistance. The stock has an infamous double top at $154 that has capped price advances twice before in November and January. This suggests that a short-term bet on further upside could be risky.
If Nvidia pulls back to around 120 level, however, it may offer a good buying opportunity, with upside potential toward 150 or higher, depending on the broader macroeconomic conditions at the time.
Please also check our earlier post:
NVIDIA (NVDA) 4H Outlook – May 2025Price has recently shown multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. After a liquidity sweep of the prior low, price began forming higher highs and higher lows.
Currently trading around $116.62, NVDA may revisit the demand zone between $107.99–$110 (highlighted in green) before resuming bullish momentum. If that level holds, we could see a continuation towards the $129.41 target zone, aligning with prior market structure and supply.
This setup aligns with smart money concepts—monitor for confirmation at the demand zone before entering long.
$NVDA Hits Key Inflection Zone – Breakdown or Breakout?📍 We’ve arrived.
NASDAQ:NVDA has reached the key reversal zone where sellers previously took control. This is the third touch, and markets rarely leave these zones without a fight.
🔍 Technical Setup:
Price has retraced to prior breakdown level.
MACD is trying to cross bullish — momentum building.
Sellers should defend here… but the recent AI narrative and Gulf chip deals could fuel a breakout.
If sellers fail to show up, we may blow straight through this level toward new highs.
NVDIA Don't Miss Out
Overview:
NASDAQ:NVDA is showing strong bullish momentum on the 2-hour chart, trading at $132.34 as of the latest candlestick. After a recovery from the March low of $88, the price is now testing a key resistance at $132.47. A breakout above this level could signal a continuation toward higher targets, supported by positive market sentiment and technical indicators.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $135.47
Next Target: $139.50 (psychological level and prior resistance)
Support: $116.24 (recent low, key support)
Trade Setup:
Direction: Buy on breakout
Entry: $133.50 (confirmation above resistance)
Profit Target: $139.50
Stop Loss: $125.00 (below recent pullback and 50-period MA)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 (Risk: $2.50, Reward: $5.00)
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