CRYPTO - RIOT - The Wyckoff MethodWyckoff Method Application:
Hello everyone, DPT here. I love analysis, and I love to learn about and trade using theories and frameworks Dow Theory, Elliot Wave Theory, Action Reaction, and others, as I develop my own methodology... Today, I spotted a very good fit for the Wyckoff Method for a trade setup, and I wanted to share this with you. There are a few steps omitted, but I included the article which I used as reference so you can follow along, or use it as a template for your own trades. This is not financial advice, just an informational!
5 Step Approach to the Market:
1. Determine the present position and probable future trend of the market.
- Currently swinging bearish:
2. Select stocks in harmony with the trend.
- RIOT is known to follow BTCUSD, as it is a BTC miner!
3. Select stocks with a “cause” that equals or exceeds your minimum objective.
- I have high conviction that BTC is (a) on a downtrend with more downside, (b) RIOT has yet to price this in.
4. Determine the stocks' readiness to move.
- TA Oscillators and Moving Averages show that the stock is ready for a move to the downside.
5. Time your commitment with a turn in the stock market index.
- I have high conviction that the stock market index will also see downside in the nearest future:
Three Wyckoff Laws:
1. The law of supply and demand determines the price direction.
2. The law of cause and effect. (BTC and stock market downtrend, yet to fully be realized by RIOT).
3. The law of effort.
Analyses of Trading Ranges:
- Trading ranges (TRs) are places where the previous trend (up or down) has been halted and there is relative equilibrium between supply and demand. Institutions and other large professional interests prepare for their next bull (or bear) campaign as they accumulate (or distribute) shares within the TR.
Wyckoff Schematics:
- A successful Wyckoff analyst must be able to anticipate and correctly judge the direction and magnitude of the move out of a TR. Fortunately, Wyckoff offers time-tested guidelines for identifying and delineating the phases and events within a TR, which, in turn, provide the basis for estimating price targets in the subsequent trend.
Nine Buying/Selling Tests:
FYI - I won't be using a P&F chart.
1. Upside objective accomplished. ✔️
2. Activity bearish (volume decreases on rallies and increases on reactions). ✔️
3. Preliminary supply, buying climax. ✔️
4. Stock weaker than the market (that is, more responsive than the market on reactions and sluggish on rallies). Stock did not make new high, when BTC made a new ATH! ✔️
5. Upward stride broken (that is, support line or uptrend line penetrated). Currently in the beginning of a descending scallop (scythe) pattern, clearly breaking uptrend line. ✔️
6. Lower highs. ✔️
7. Lower lows. ✔️
8. Crown forming (lateral movement). ✔️
9. Estimated downside profit potential is at least three times the risk for if the initial stop-order were hit. ✔️
STRATEGY:
- Entry: 63
- SL: 87
- TP1: 47
- TP2: 38
- PT: 23
- RRR: 1.71
- Timeframe: 45d
- TRIGGER:
1. Confirmed rejection at this resistance.
2. BTC continued downtrend.
3. Increasing sell pressure.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
As always, if you enjoy this post, please Like, Follow, Leave a message... GLHF!
- DPT
RIOTD trade ideas
RIOT Buy H4 On Monday pushafter 15 day correction you can see price get strong key level where price was rejecting from up to down many times on 10 03 21 13:00 candel price get strong action and close above key levels i think there start new ATH run at price target 90-100$ per share
PS.
1. stimules come
2. btc have global uptrend
3. riot start local uptrend
4. btc price target near 70-75K
i have open some long positions at 10 03 21 13:00 when candel close above key levels
Bull Flag pattern on RIOTTextbook bull flag developing on Riot Blockchain. A daily close today above $52 is a confirmed breakout. Next week the breakout is at $42.
Target for the pattern is (high - low of the flag) + the breakout point. $79.50 - $16.75 = $62.75. If confirmed this week = 62.75 +52 = $114.75 price target. If next week $104.75
Market is struggling today, be carefulI neutralized my longs, we are having trouble getting higher right now. Not saying we are going to fall out of bed today but its looking like we might have a pullback in the works a few bucks. Ideally I think a pullback to $55 would be healthy and set us up to push through $70 next week
RIOT: Bullish Flag, confirmed (132PC)Bullish Flag, confirmed (132PC)
Pros:
Volume at post
Descending volume during flag forming
Volume at break out
PPS above 50MA and 200MA
R/R ratio above 7
200MA ascending, barely
250RSI above 50
Cons:
RS above 0, but flat/descending
ATR Flat
Target:
PT = 110.90$
Help how ever you can to keep this alive.
Thank you to those who have donated Coins!
Always do your own due dilligence. This is not financial advice.
Stay Humble, have fun, make money!
Education:
www.dailyfx.com
BITCOIN RALLY CONFIRMED - RIOT TO TEST ALL-TIME HIGHSBitcoin tested 57k last night, and is now breaking through to the upside. Riot investors will see this bullish confirmation in the Bitcoin price, and send Riot prices soaring up to test all-time highs around $77-79. Options are looking attractive today, and so are those underpriced shares. Cheers everyone!
RIOT Stock - bullish momentum & the skyrocketing crypto movementA RANDOM TRADERS MONOLOGUE
If you ask me, we have a beautiful uptrend in the making and now is a good time to hop on the train, especially for riot. Skip to bottom to go to TA
First lets all remember: crypto is going INSANE, it is becoming super easy to mine, and this little golden nugget is one of the first blockchain financial platforms for crypto.
But what does that mean for me?
For those who do not like to trade crypto, but can't deny the crypto train, riot is a safe investment for the time being. You can even say it already has financial pairs that can be used as indicators, such as DXY, BTC, etc.
So do not bother trading crypto currency, begin investing in stock that is starting to become part of the crypto movement.
/
/
TECHICAL ANALYSIS
RSI shows a leg forming, as well as maintaining an RSI above 60, indicating buyers are ripe in the market.
MACD is showing a gap that will be soon indicating our next official direction with RIOT. The yellow trendline on the chart is my indicator to begin thinking of closing my current buy positions.
To confirm the uptrend, the MACD will show volume green and a bounce from the yellow trendline upwards. The RSI would have to confirm by getting a higher leg up while staying within the green trendline.
We can also see that we got a nice VWAP over the EMA and in the upper bands.
RIOT is recklessRIOT reacting to crypto and spiking good pre market for a gap play. I entered options right at open with confirmation from my buy signal and am just playing the breaks through each resistence. Can this retest its highs?! Set your stops and enjoy the day your work is done if you entered, let it run!
If you like this idea or my other ideas please feel free to let me know in the comments. Like/share. Great dip buy opportunity confirmed with todays price action so far. Play it safe!