ROKU is a buy opportunityROKU is trading at the bottom of a long term upward price channel with low volume after a strong earnings report this past month.
RSI is very oversold at around 26.4.
MACD is positioned for a reversal.
My bubble risk indicator is showing a low-risk entry point. This is basically a measure of the price distance from the 50 week EMA.
I'm selling some QQQ to add to my ROKU position.
ROKU trade ideas
$ROKU YTD demand $ROKU is sitting in a year old untested demand zone from its November 2020 breakout. Could potentially see as low as $200 but a break from here will bring its most recent supply areas between $275-325, and it could go relatively quickly.
Holding 10 12/3 $257.5 calls at .56 as a weekly lotto. Target $20,000 profit or 0
Multi-Support Reversal Long: ROKU 220Primarily looking for a reversal play, the drop represents a nearly 50% pullback from the 52-week all-time high.
ROKU bounced several times from this critical 220 level.
Established a respectable buying volume profile around this level, with additional support at a $200 inflection point.
The chart is curling with a cup and handle pattern forming on 4Hr chart
Holding long term trendline support and regressional channel
Fundamentally driven trade, high-growth large-cap Adtech trading at 8.4x EV/Sales NTM.
Timeframes Used: 1 Day, 4hr, 15mins
Entry: $220-230
Exit: $255 Partial, ride rest.
Stop: under $200, near 15% stop loss
$ROKU Oversold - Buy the Blood$ROKU Oversold - Buy the Blood
This is the most oversold this stock has been since the pandemic market lows of March 2020. I'm expecting a bounce here sometime in the next week. Great company with solid earnings. This selloff is overdone in my opinion. Avg analyst price target is about $408 right now, with vast majority giving it a Buy rating.
Near term target: $275-$300 range possible by year-end
Note: This is NOT investment advice. Educational only.
IT IS TIME for reversal! $ROKU stock analysis.Hi everyone,
Today we are tackling NASDAQ:ROKU stock price downfall.
Why has it been falling so hard for the past couple of weeks?
In fact, Roku stock has been losing in price every month since July. And losing a lot.
It is now trading at 50% below July's highs. That's insane.
Roku was a major COVID theme play, as everyone expected the stock to benefit from lockdowns.
Indeed, it had grew massively and was overpriced in July-August.
Is it a hopeless stock now?
As practically all COVID-benefitting stocks in the past month, NASDAQ:ROKU stock was losing in price.
After Q3 earnings report it dropped another 15% in a week. Although the report was not terrible.
My verdict : the stock is now suffering for its massive overvaluation by the public.
The Analysis.
From a technical standpoint, it is almost time for a huge reversal.
Looking at the last year's Volume Profile, we can see that 311-362 price zone saw the majority of volume traded with a POC around 317 .
Now the price is far outside the Value Zone and approaching a support line.
Price surpassed important 272 level.
I expect the stock to reach 200 zone in a near future for a buy. Although, it is a conservative lower risk play.
Stock already poses a pretty tempting buy opportunity.
In the long run, I expect the price to test orange resistence line above.
AND if we break it, honorable return to high-volume zone of 310 and above is due.
As always, trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise
Will ROKU reverse?Despite positive earnings ROKU stock price suffered. With a recent rejection at the top of the channel ROKU could use the bottom of the channel as support. $271 is an important support level, a price bounce off the support level would act as a potential entry. ROKU is just above 30 on the RSI. Indicators shows a slowing in the bearish momentum yet it is not bullish.
Bounce off $271:
Entry: $276
Price Target: $285
Falls through $271:
Entry: $266
Price Target: $251
There is small gap that has yet to be filled. If the price bounces that gap could act as the next support level
Short this stock right? Wrong! ❌Hi everyone, Yurii Domaranskyi here. Let's take a look at the chart:
1. horizontal price levels are working pretty good on the stock
2. globally stock in an uptrend locally in a downtrend
3. the level confirmed by touch and false breakdown
4. distant test of the level
5. approached with big bars
6. the stock made a move down 44.49% from the highest point
7. there was no accumulation
8. the stock closed above the level
9. from this level was made a move to all-time high
10. the stock has room for a move 1 to 5.1
11. broken model descending highs
12. Roku Announces $15 Roku LE Streaming Player Exclusively at Walmart for Black Friday on November 15
13. price came from the upper side, and we can see that someone does not let the stock go lower
14. the stock has the potential for a big move
Potential risk/reward ratio = 1 to 5.1 meaning that I'm risking a 100$ with a possibility to make 510$
Please, support our work with ❤️
ROKU in a beautiful Log channelAbsolutely gorgeous 3 year logarithmic channel it's formed here, almost flawlessly parallel. ROKU has bounced definitively off these supports and resistances six times, and it's looking like it may bounce again. MacD is open bearish, but RSI supports the notion that the stock has been severely oversold YTD, and is ready for a reversal. It has managed to avoid numerous instances of bearish RSI divergence, and posted a clean RSI double bottom (Class C hidden divergence) leading to it's most recent move to resistance. I would wait for reversal confirmation here, but this could be a fantastic BTD scenario.
ROKU: OH WHERE OH WHERE HAS THE COVID RIPPER GONE????I keep having to draw support lines lower - that's not good. $264 is my bottom of the barrel buy and I'm layered in calls. When ROKU guys, she goes. Problem is...did they shoot themselves in the foot by not adjusting their core businesses for a post-covid world?
Falling Wedge- Bullish - UpdateROKU still holding this falling wedge after selling off on earnings, however, finally looks to have found some support. Bullish and be watching closely for a breakout from this wedge (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Bullish
- Falling Wedge
- ABCD Harmonic Pattern Formed
- Bullish Hidden Divergence on the RSI
- Buyer Volume Starting to Pick Back up
PT1- $280.01
PT2- $281.73
PT3- $285.36
PT4- $288.80+
-Previously Charted-
Massive 1 year inverted diagonal Head & Shoulders on RokuRoku is a buy in the blue zone (112 - 118). Ideal price is 116.
- That represents the 618 retracement from its most recent trough and peak.
- It's also where the 50 day moving average falls (118)
- And where the most significant short term structure is.
And here is Roku inverted on a longer term basis... Sometimes seeing charts upside down show things more clearly.
ROKU - DIVERGENCE - CONSERVATIVE DOUBLE BOTTOM MOVEAll,
Back checking my first anlaysis on ROKU seems very plausible. I see once again a 280-290s push here possible failure then double bottom or wave 2 retracement either one. Both are fine just know when it fails to sell and re enter more calls at wave 2 or double bottom.
Overall trend
1st move- 276 to 285-290
Alt 1st move - 276 to 273 (bottom of wedge again)
2nd move - 290 down to 275ish or 280 (2nd wave)
Alt 2nd move - 273 to 285-290
3rd move - 275/280 to 293/305
Alt move - 290 back to 275-280
4th move - 293-305 breakout to 315
Alt 4th move - 275-280 to 293-305
ROKU - STRONG CONFLUENCE SUPPORT & AVG $30+ BOUNCE OFF TREND All,
OVERALL (BULLISH 70/30)
I think we break out this wedge down here either now or one more attempt on bottom of wedge and hit 280-293. However, see details below. I am most likely going to hedge downside depending how Mon/Tues go. A breakout Mon-Tues I will just go into maintenance mode and watch it closely.
FUNDAMENTALS
Let's get to fundamnetals first. There are some "doubters" on ROKU. However, they may be right in the future as of NOW in the past quarter financialls and NOW as a company ROKU is very undervalued here reardless of future ROKU beliefs. If you want to be short next quarter for reasons "XYZ" totally get that. Arguing against ROKU after 600% EPS and customers Y/Y drastically increasing it's very obvious ROKU is worth 375+ at a "fair" valuation.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
There is a very stong support trend line here that is holding on average acting as support we have $30-$50 moves off of it regardles of what comes after.
MY POSITION(S)
$300 Calls Dec 3rd 2021 @ $3.65
(Will add pending non breakout by Tues) -- Either $265 or $255 PUTS for Dec 3rd 2021 (May want to add some regardless just as protection or even shorter timeframe)
**Remember on options you can close/sell at any time there is a good chance if I get that 293 clean and soon I might just sell there and take a pretty solid profit. Or sell half and see if we can break the downward trend to push 315-330 area.**
BULLISH
PT #1: 285
PT #2: 293
PT #3: 304
PT #4: 330/342 --- "wait and see if we can break downward trend will be 3rdish time so 50/50 it breaks barring any bad/good news. Also approaching Christmas/Black Friday time.
BEARISH
I think the bearish comes from the obvious part of it not being able to re obtain that 376ish level. We are currently above that other previous low of 372. A break under that signls a possible big downside of 240s. The other factor is the overall market/SPY/Holidays/Feds
PT# 1: 267
PT# 2: 255
PT #3: 244
PT #4: 220 (if we somehow got down 220-240 range I will immediately swap to 100% calls and a huge buy in as the stock would be at such a mind blowing discount.
ROKU rebound maybe?Alerted that roku reached my buy area. Looking for roku to start accumulating and find support around the green area. we could just reverse from here but would much rather see a period of consolidation. regardless this area can be a great place to begin accumulating shares or leaps.