INTRADAY TSLA. SHORT @ 352. LONG @ 333. Overview -
TSLA is showing declining sales and low vehicle registration in the many countries. Although, that hasn't deterred the stock holder into panic selling, we aren't bullish on TSLA but we aren't necessarily bearish either. The market trend is going to determine the immediate direction today. We will go with a slightly bearish approach on TSLA, mainly because it was rejected from the 365 area despite trying to hold it.
The important levels in the premarket are 343 and 348.
INTRADAY TRADE PLAN -
1. If the stock opens at 345 and plummets to 343, where it confirms strength. We LONG till 348. Take a partial out at 343 and put a trailing stop.
2. If the stock opens at 345 and rallies to 348, where it confirms weakness. We SHORT till 343. Take a partial out at 343 and put a trailing stop.
3. If the stock goes till 343 and consolidates. We observe the volume footprint and side with the sellers if they are dominant. If the buyers show strength instead, then we do nothing and wait for the price to drop lower.
4. If the stock goes till 348 and consolidates. We observe the volume footprint and side with the sellers if they are dominant. We stay back if buyers are showing strength. We wait for the price to drop a little and verify if the buyer strength hold even stronger at the lower levels. Once we confirm it, we go LONG at 345 or 343.
5. If the stock goes straight to 352-355 area. We wait for even the slightest sellers aggression and we go SHORT until 345 area (or any other area where we see buying presence).
6. If the stock goes straight to 333-336 area. We wait for the buyers to step up with a little aggression and we go LONG until 348 area (or any other area where we see selling presence).
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA weekly cup and handleNASDAQ:TSLA
Last week, the daily chart on TSLA showed a cup and handle formation. Price attempted to break up but rejected overhead supply in the 360s. Price action is starting to show the formation of a handle on the weekly chart that may present a stronger move in the coming weeks to break through the 360 resistance level and overhead supply. June tends to be a strong month for TSLA historically, so the move could happen by the end of the month. Strong break of 360 and a close over to confirm a projected movement to $400 as a first price target, with $420.69 as a secondary PT.
TSLA Trade Idea – New Structure Forming
📌 TSLA Trade Idea – New Structure Forming
🕒 12h Timeframe Analysis
TSLA’s previous structure is considered complete. A new structure is likely forming, with a strategic entry around $310 based on the 40-cycle pattern.
🔍 Key Observations:
Volume/Float ratio < 10%, showing low activity—most traders are waiting.
Dark pool data suggests heavy short interest, but I see this as high risk.
Market is still bullish, and current price action looks like a retest/consolidation, not a full bear trend.
📈 Macro View:
TSLA is likely forming a 385-day bullish structure with a potential upside target near $791. The current zone is a potential weekly entry point for swing or long-term plays.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Entry: $310
Stop Loss: $331
Target: $460 (short-term swing target)
Bias: Bullish
Strategy:
Long-term investors: Position entry, manage SL properly.
Option traders: Avoid buying—only consider option selling during chop.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This trade plan is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own research or consult a licensed advisor before making decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Tesla (TSLA) Sustains Strong Upward RallyThe current price cycle for Tesla (TSLA), starting from its low on April 22, 2025, is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure, a common pattern in technical analysis signaling strong directional momentum. As illustrated on the 1-hour chart, the stock has been advancing since this low, with distinct waves forming within the broader structure.
From the April 22 low, the first wave, labeled ((i)), peaked at $294.85, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that found support at $270.78. The stock then surged higher in wave ((iii)), demonstrating robust bullish momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure unfolded as follows: wave (i) reached $290.87, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to $271. The rally resumed in wave (iii), pushing the price to $323.48, before a minor correction in wave (iv) concluded at $311.50. The final leg, wave (v), culminated at $351.52, completing wave ((iii)) of the broader impulse.
Subsequently, a corrective wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. From the wave ((iii)) peak, wave (a) declined to $342.33, followed by a wave (b) rally to $350.56. The corrective move concluded with wave (c) at $332.29, marking the end of wave ((iv)).
Looking ahead, as long as the price remains above the key support level of $270.78, any near-term pullbacks are likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective pattern, setting the stage for further upside in the ongoing impulse structure.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA has demonstrated strong upward momentum since the market opened today, reaching a resistance level around the $362 zone.
From a technical perspective, there is potential for a short-term pullback to the $354 area, which aligns with the top of the support zone, also known as the "right shoulder" of the prevailing pattern.
Should this support level hold, we may anticipate a continued upward move, targeting higher price levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
Primary Support: $354 zone
Secondary Support: $321 zone (as a deeper stop loss level)
Resistance/Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Take Profit): $440
Target 2 (Take Profit): $480 (previous all-time high)
Traders should approach this setup with caution, as always, adhering to sound risk management principles.
TESLA Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 330/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Bullish Breakout Could Lead to Further Gains
Targets:
- T1 = $350.75
- T2 = $363.25
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $331.50
- S2 = $320.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla continues to demonstrate impressive resilience and positive technical setups despite broader market volatility. The stock has maintained its position above critical support levels, with buying activity persistently pushing prices upward. Key market drivers include Tesla’s leadership in electric vehicle innovation and artificial intelligence integration enhancing its long-term value proposition. Furthermore, renewed market enthusiasm for growth stocks contributes to Tesla’s current trajectory.
**Recent Performance:**
Recently, Tesla's price has stayed on a steady uptrend, advancing 2.7% over the past 7 days and outperforming both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 indices. While brief market corrections momentarily tested its support levels, Tesla quickly recovered, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory. This strong relative outperformance confirms robust market interest in the stock as a leader in innovation.
Expert Analysis:
Market analysts have generally taken a curated bullish view on Tesla, citing multiple bullish technical indicators such as the ongoing price breakout above moving averages and a bullish consolidation pattern. Several analysts project $400 as the next key psychological level if Tesla can surpass its immediate resistance at $354.25. The fundamentals remain compelling, supported by Elon Musk's proactive engagement in Tesla's strategic advancements, which continues to instill confidence among shareholders.
News Impact:
Tesla’s current spotlight is bolstered by anticipation around its robo-taxi service, renewed AI ambitions, and Elon Musk's visible leadership within Tesla operations. These developments, coupled with strong market sentiment during recent announcements, have further strengthened its medium-term outlook. External macroeconomic risks, however, may affect momentum, necessitating vigilance by traders.
Trading Recommendation:
The technical and fundamental setups for Tesla present an opportunity for traders to take long positions with clear upside targets in mind. Critical levels include the immediate support zone at $336.76 and a breakout above $354.25, which can further fuel Tesla’s bullish momentum. Traders should monitor macroeconomic conditions and company updates while maintaining vigilance on stop-loss levels to mitigate risk as market conditions evolve.
Congestion Entrance TradingCongestion Entrance marks the transition from a trend to a period of uncertainty and range-bound price action.
📘 Key Concepts:
Congestion begins when price fails to close on one side of the PL Dot for 3 bars.
The first bar that closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot (after a trend) is the Congestion Entrance bar.
This signals a likely end of the previous trend and the beginning of congestion or reversal.
🧩 Key Structures:
Dotted Line: Highest high (or lowest low) of the previous trend — often acts as a cap or floor.
Block Level: Low (or high) of the Congestion Entrance bar — often attracts price and marks congestion boundaries.
Parameters of Congestion: The range defined by the Dotted Line and Block Level.
⚙️ How It Evolves:
There are multiple transition scenarios, for example:
Trend Up → Action → Trend Down: Resistance holds at the Dotted Line, Block Level breaks.
Trend Down → Action → Trend Up: Support holds at the Block Level, Dotted Line breaks.
Trend Up/Down → Reversal: Direct shift into opposite trend if support/resistance is firm enough — skipping action phase.
🔍 Key Takeaways:
Congestion Entrance is often the first clue the market is shifting gears.
It's essential to monitor how price reacts to the PL Dot, Dotted Line, and Block Level.
Anticipate Ping trades (quick scalps) or prep for potential Congestion Action if price fails to establish a trend after entrance.
📌 Pro Tip: Watch how higher timeframes align — if the HTP is showing signs of topping or bottoming, the LTP congestion entrance may lead into a reversal or major trend change.
LONG @ 326. SHORT @ 336. Now all that all the important levels have been exposed (333, 343, 347, 352, 355). The institutional traders can go one of two ways -
1. They become desperate and buy @333.
2. Allow the sellers to break the 333 price and buy into the sell stop liquidity below 333. (i.e. target the 326 price).
We are betting on option no. 2 because the sellers have been strong in consolidation. The fear or the pressure in the sellers is quite visible. The buyers on the other hand have been very calm and patient. I'm betting on institutions being the buyers and, the retails being the sellers.
I'm betting on the price slowly being driven lower until 326 while the institutional trader accumulate and then the price recovering a little bit to the 331-333 area.
TESLA: Can it worth $4,000 a share buy end of 2026?Tesla is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.527, MACD = 22.160, ADX = 43.922, being on a bullish wave to recover the ATH. Since the 2019 low the prevailing long term pattern is a Channel Up and the recent Feb-March correction resembles COVID's in March 2020. If that's the case then the stock is on a powerful long term bullish wave that can reach the 4.5 Fibonacci extension before the 5.0 time Fib. This implies that TSLA price per share can be $4,000 by the end of 2026. Do you think that's realistic?
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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LONG @ 345. LONG @ 333. SHORT @ 348. SHORT @ 352. SHORT @ 360. Yesterday 343 was a very important level for TSLA. Today's TSLA is trading in the same area.
IF THE STOCK PRICE FALLS AFTER OPENING -
The most volume done yesterday was at 345. So we expect the stock to rally from the 345 area and go higher (especially because good news is out). If the sellers keep stepping down into the 343 area. We will redact our order and continue to assess. The 343 level can be broken today too. Two things were confirmed in yesterday's move. 1. The sellers are quite strongly present in the 352-355 area. This can motivate the buyers to expect a lower price of 333. It is entirely possible that the buyers step in at 333 and not at 343. So, we need strong confirmation on the 343 level, otherwise we will not enter. We will enter at 333.
IF THE STOCK PRICE RISES AFTER OPENING -
If the stock opens strongly and blows past 348 area. We wait for strong confirmation at 355 - 360 area that the stock is going to fall and then we short. If the stock slows down at 348 area, then we can either take a short at 348 or wait for it try and inch higher where we short the stock at 350-352.
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s CommentsTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s Comments
According to media reports, speaking via video link at the Qatar Economic Forum, Elon Musk stated that he plans to:
→ remain Tesla’s CEO for another five years;
→ reduce his focus on politics, saying he feels he has already done enough;
→ increase his stake in the company from 12.5% to 25%.
These comments, which came alongside news that Tesla will begin testing robotaxis in Texas in June, sparked renewed interest in Tesla (TSLA) shares. TSLA stock outperformed other MAG7 members, climbing above the $353 mark at yesterday’s peak — its highest level since late February 2025.
Just ten days ago, when the price was still below the psychological $300 level, we highlighted TSLA’s strength following its rebound from the $220 support area and suggested a bullish outlook. But is the picture still as optimistic today?
Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart
The chart shows that TSLA is trading within an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the price currently near the upper boundary — an area that often acts as resistance. Price action supports this: note the two large candlesticks with closes near their lows (indicated by arrows), suggesting strong bearish pressure.
This gives reason to believe that sellers may take advantage of the roughly 22% rise in the TSLA stock price to lock in profits — a potentially bearish signal. Traders should therefore consider a correction scenario in which the local support at point Q could be tested for resilience.
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Tesla Faces Resistance, Conclusion: 1,206 New All-Time High?The Tesla stock, TSLA, is facing resistance right now; what to expect?
Expect additional growth but...
Good afternoon my fellow trader, Tesla will continue growing, mark my words.
Volume has been rising now since January 2024, that's a long time. Almost a year and a half with more and more action joining this stock and this is one of the most traded stocks in the whole world. Increasing volume is a very strong bullish signal.
The highest volume session came on the 7-April week and this week closed green. It produced the highest volume since February 2023.
Back in 2023, trading volume started to rise in January and this signaled the start of a long-term bullish trend, higher highs and higher lows. This trend is still valid today.
The bullish bias is confirmed. Let me show you.
» EMAs:
TSLA trades above all moving averages, short-term and long-term. Incl. SMA200 and EMA89/55.
» MACD bullish cross:
This is a very strong signal. Last week the MACD produced a bullish cross and is now coming out of the bearish zone. This is bullish for two reasons, the histogram turns green and there is plenty of room available for additional growth. In a way, this signal shows that the bullish wave is only starting now and that it will continue long-term. This MACD signal doesn't show up unless a bullish wave is coming. You can look back at the weekly MACD and confirms this for yourself. Each time the b-cross is in, this stock grows for months.
» RSI bullish zone (57.63):
To be honest, I don't like how the RSI is looking but we have the classic higher highs and higher lows pattern. The reading is bullish and shows plenty of room available for growth. It could be better though but still, leaning up and supporting more up.
» RENKO (weekly):
Clearly bullish. This confirms TSLA is in an uptrend now and will keep going higher.
» RENKO (daily):
In the daily RENKO chart the bullish bias/signal is even more pronounced, meaning, no room for doubts.
» To end this 'it is obvious Tesla will continue rising technical analysis', let's consider the monthly timeframe:
— We have a perfect rising channel.
— There is a rounded bottom (orange) which is a reversal signal.
— There is a hammer candlestick last month which is also a reversal signal.
— This month is full green which confirms both the hammer and rounded bottom as reversal signals.
All these signals are saying that the bullish trend will continue now.
Last month produced the highest volume since June 2023.
» Tesla (TSLA) is going up.
Namaste.
Watching TSLA With a Strategic Lens – No FOMO, Just FactsTesla (TSLA) has surged over 53% in the past four weeks, largely driven by renewed investor optimism around its developments in artificial intelligence and robotics, along with Elon Musk's confirmed commitment to remain as CEO for the next five years. While the rally has been strong, there are key factors that require attention. Tesla’s sales in China are still down 24% compared to the same period last year, and competition continues to grow—most notably with the release of the Xiaomi YU7 electric SUV. At current levels, Tesla’s valuation is elevated, which increases pressure for the company to deliver strong earnings and growth. Technically, the stock is approaching key support levels around $289 and $271 (close to the 50-day moving average), while potential resistance may emerge near $430 and $489. I personally am not rushing into the trade; I’m watching for a proper technical setup, including a healthy pullback and strong volume confirmation. As always, I rely on my full 20-point entry checklist before taking any position. I trade with discipline, risk control, and full transparency.
Never bet against Elon?Never betting against the man is a pretty solid strategy. Nevertheless, considering I am long shares I want to take this textbook trade to hedge (again).
This morning on my spike alerts list was $NASDAQ:TSLA. With an opening high of 354.56 which swiftly closed back inside the range a 30m spike was created. The ATR Clearance fits my criteria to consider this a valid spike to play.
Add to this the context of the Daily. NASDAQ:TSLA is riding the 50% of the big move down on the Daily at 351.39. The spike combined with the Resistance makes this a "have to take" trade.
Playing this with July 300P Options.
TSLA: Two SituationsOn TSLA two situations arise. Initially we could have an uptrend if we have a significant break of the resistance line by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume. Secondly, the market can go downward in the event of a strong break of the support line by a large red candle and followed by a large red volume.
Long TSLA @ 343. Yesterday's resistance is today's support.
TSLA has been consolidating in the 333 to 350 zone. Yesterday it opened at 333 but climbed it's way up to the next important level, 343. Today's it crossed 343 and 343 is supporting the price. SPX is near the S-OB, so we expect TSLA to open with some selling pressure. We will use this opportunity to get a good entry. We hold the long till 347. The market may carry a bearish tone given that SPX is attempting close to the Sell Order Block (SOB). Look at the chart below. We can even attempt to take SHORT on TSLA at the 347 level if the SPX gives the right time and opportunity for it.