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TESLA INC CEDEAR EACH 15 REP 1 COM USD0.001TT

TESLA INC CEDEAR EACH 15 REP 1 COM USD0.001

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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA: An alternate (bullish) viewMy primary count on TSLA is still bearish. On my primary view, this move is supposed to be wave Y of Primary wave 4. If that is still in progress, then the current consolidation is only wave b of Y and TSLA should fall back more towards the lows of $100 area. But we cannot ignore the other side altogether. In this alternative view, Primary wave 4 was complete back in Jan 2023 and since then TSLA has been making a gigantic ending diagonal wave5 to complete the cycle wave 3. If that is the case, then we should see some kind of a bottoming pattern to complete wave Y intermediate wave 4 and resume wave 5 upward. So, how can we prepare for whichever direction things play out? If price to follow the bearish count, price would break below the $214 low and continue on a strong 5 waves C down to complete the correction. If price to take the bullish route, should not create any lower low from $222.79 and ultimately break above $291.85.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by mukit1
TSLA GEX & Price Action Outlook – April 23🧠 GEX Sentiment (Options Flow Insight):
TSLA is showing bullish options sentiment, with the HVL (high-volume level) pinned at 240, acting as short-term support. GEX shows strong call resistance at 260–265, with the highest positive NET GEX wall just below that zone. We also have significant put walls stacked down at 220 and 225, forming a clear risk floor. * GEX Status: Triple Green ✅✅✅ * IVR: 58.9 * IVx Avg: 106.6 * Flow Bias: CALLS 26.5% — moderately bullish
The options oscillator is still trending upward, giving bulls the upper hand — but not an aggressive breakout just yet. 📊 Price Action & Trade Setup (1H + SMC Analysis):
TSLA just fired an explosive bullish move from the 220s, reclaiming 240 and running up toward 250 into resistance. However, the SMC dashboard suggests “No Trade Suggested” yet. Why? * The price is now entering a premium zone, where R/R becomes unfavorable * We have no CHoCH/BOS trigger from this zone yet * EMA9 and EMA21 have not confirmed a full retest yet * Strength Meter is bullish but not at full momentum What to Watch: * If price can hold above 249–250 and break through 252 with volume → 260+ is possible * If price stalls or rejects around 252, a pullback to 240–241 could be a high-RR dip entry * EMA9 and EMA21 are critical — volume reactions there will set up the next clean move * If volume fades below 240 → be cautious of a rollover into 225–230 demand zone 📌 Summary / Thoughts:
TSLA bulls are reclaiming territory fast — but the move is reactionary and volume-driven. For now, I’m waiting for a confirmation BOS/CHoCH in this premium area before committing. Risk is elevated at these levels. I’d prefer a pullback into the 240 zone with EMA confirmation for a cleaner long setup. If we break and hold above 252, targets toward 260–265 open up fast.
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by BullBearInsights
Quantum's TSLA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. EV and AI optimism persists, but tariff risks and high valuation concern traders. Chatter split—bulls eye robotaxi, bears see pullback. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $250, with $240 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $245-$250 buys to $260 if $245 holds. Bearish below $245 risks $240. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $TSLA. Earnings: Q1 due late April; no update today. Chatter: Debates tariff impact vs. AI/EV growth. Mergers and Acquisitions: None; focus on internal projects. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:TSLA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$255 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$260 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $252.31, 1M: +1%, 1Y: +38%. Range $240-$270, testing $250 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $260 (15,000, 60% ask), $270 (12,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $240 (10,000, 70% bid), $245 (8,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $245. Open Interest: Calls: $260 (40,000, +7,000), $270 (30,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $240 (25,000, flat), $245 (28,000, +4,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $260 (40%), $270 (42%, up 3%). $270 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $240 (35%, down 2%), $245 (36%). Falling $240 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $240-$270, 20% <$240. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $250. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $250. GEX: +50,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +7M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $240-$270; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $240 support, $270 resistance. No $TSLA/ NYSE:NIO divergence. Daily: Bullish at $250 FVG, targets $260. Bearish < $245. 1-Hour: Bullish >$250, $260 target. MSS at $245. 10-Minute: OTE ($249-$251, $250) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $245-$250 to $260. Options show $260 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $240-$270 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $240 possible with tariffs. $240 put volume grows.
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by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
We potentially about to see a HUGE move on TSLAWe broke a SUPER LONG-TERM BEARISH TRENDLINE (blue) on the weekly timeframe. + We have been RANGING for quite some time... + TSLA has a personality of explosive, crazy moves + TSLA builds HUMAN ROBOTS... (SUPER HIGH VALUE in my opinion, the potential for this is astronomical) What do we actually need for this move to materialize? We need the market in our favor. Lets see if the market will push strongly up or bleed down. Please also note that before explosive move previously that no one believed it would happen, the earnings reports of TSLA were RED the same as now. ALWAYS MAKE SURE YOU MANAGE YOUR RISK.
NLong
by ZoharCho
TSLA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data: ────────────────────────────── MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI  – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum.  – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242.  – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade.  – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop. • Gemini/Google  – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization.  – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias.  – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed. • Claude/Anthropic  – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50).  – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range.  – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price. • Llama/Meta  – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts.  – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play.  – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others. • DeepSeek  – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts.  – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75.  – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT Agreements:  – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75.  – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning.  – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization. Disagreements:  – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable.  – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead.    ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION Overall Market Direction Consensus:  Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure. Recommended Trade:  Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA. Trade Parameters:  – Instrument: TSLA  – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT  – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE)  – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support)  – Entry Timing: At the open  – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium)  – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract  – Confidence Level: Approximately 65%  – Key Risks & Considerations:   • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245.   • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes.   • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NShort
by quantsignals
TSLA Eiffel Tower Not CompleteEiffel tower patterns are rare but very powerful TA structures when they develop. They are very hard patterns to short since we can never know when the wave up ends. However, there is so much information we can extract from them during and after the collapse. When they are rising and going vertical, and you happen to be in it. The benefits will be great! As the price action sucks in everyone all at once with virtually no sellers. So, what info can we learn? On the way up, when this is happening, you should have the ability to recognize it at some point without worrying if you got the top. Take your money and RUN! Never try to get back in and try to chase it up! Never try to short it, thinking it is too high, this is the top! When it tops out, never buy the dip! Bc you know how this structure will end. Never buy based on some silly FIB or bc it's down too much! Never buy the base thinking it will go back to new all-time highs, and it is now safe to get back in bc it will only keep going lower, more through time, frustrating you until you puke it up. So remember this gimmicky sound bite. "If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out!" Ain't nobody got time for that! Your money has a much better place to be allocated to make you money instead of being fixated on a chart like this. The reason people get stuck is bc the move provoked emotion! Then, when they get involved thinking they will be Buffett tomorrow from this one trade, they will experience Euphoria, sadness, anger etc., further provoking even more emotions to the point they become obsessed! Guessing, waiting, hoping, doubling down on and on... Ask me how I know! hahaha! While I made a lot of money shorting GME, here is an example of an Eiffel tower with many, many people that have this trading disease I just spoke about. In conclusion, anyone who believes that TSLA will hit $1,000 blah blah blah and suckered into buying it. You now know you are being honey dicked by a bunch of armatures and bots on X. Beyond TSLA there are many such charts out there tight now that have formed the beginnings of ET. As such, you should know how to recognize it quickly and avoid the pitfalls out there.FYI I called the Top on TSLA )) Click Like, Follow, Subscribe to learn much more about real macroeconomics and technical analysis. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
NShort
by RealMacro
14
THE DEATH CROSSDeath Cross Triggered During Consolidation: What It Could Mean The 50 SMA (blue) just crossed below the 200 SMA (red), signaling a Death Cross—a traditionally bearish indicator. But here’s the catch: this didn’t happen during a steep downtrend. It happened during consolidation. That changes the narrative. When a Death Cross forms during a period of sideways chop instead of a clear downtrend, it often reflects lagging momentum, not accelerating weakness. It can trap shorts expecting a breakdown, especially if price is coiling above strong support or forming a basing pattern. 💡 Key things I’m watching: Does price respect the consolidation range low? Are we forming a bullish divergence on RSI or MACD? How does volume behave around the cross? This may not be a "short and hold" moment—this might be a shakeout before trend resolution. Stay sharp. Don't trade the cross, trade the context.
NEducation
by dburgos0127
TSLA 4H Analysis: Technical Outlook1. Price Structure and Trend: TSLA has been in a clear downtrend since January 2025, dropping from ~$475 to a key support at ~$258. The price is currently consolidating at this level, hinting at a potential pause or reversal. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: • Support: $258 (current level, with multiple bounces). • Resistance: $300 (next significant zone, based on prior consolidation). 3. Volatility and Squeeze Indicators: The "Volatility Squeeze" indicator (on the right) shows red and blue bars. Recent red bars signal a squeeze (low volatility), often preceding sharp moves. The shift to blue bars suggests volatility may be increasing. 4. Action Signals: • "X" markers (blue and orange) highlight potential entry/exit points. Recent orange "X" marks at the $258 support could indicate a buying opportunity if the price confirms a bounce. • If support breaks, the next level to watch is ~$225 (previous lows). 5. Conclusion: TSLA is at a critical juncture. A bounce from $258 could target $300, but a breakdown might lead to $225. Keep an eye on volume and volatility for confirmation. What's your take? Here is the link to the indicator
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by tradingbauhaus
TSLA at a Crossroad: Can 252 Hold or Will It Crack?🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart Overview) TSLA has formed a symmetrical triangle, compressing between an uptrend and a downtrend line. Price is hovering right near the apex, with a key horizontal level at $249.89, where it's showing indecision. * Support levels: * $239.67 → Previous demand zone * $217.11 → Major swing low and last defense for bulls * Resistance levels: * $257.85 → Overhead rejection zone * $276.91 → Major gamma wall and swing high Volume is thinning out as price coils tighter, suggesting a breakout is imminent. The RSI is neutral around 50, slowly curving upward, signaling slight bullish momentum building, but no confirmation yet. Price is consolidating on declining volume, which is often a pre-breakout setup. 🔧 Trading Bias:
Watch for breakout above $253 for potential long play toward $258–$265.
Breakdown below $249 flips bias bearish, with a retest of $239 then $230 likely. ⚙️ GEX Option Flow Insights GEX data shows concentrated gamma resistance at $275–$280, with the highest positive NETGEX sitting right at $275 — that's our Gamma Wall. Above that, market makers become forced buyers, creating a squeeze scenario. On the downside, there’s a strong PUT wall around $220 and $200, with -50.27% NETGEX at $200 acting as deep support. Notably: * IVR: 67.2 * IVx Avg: 108.9 * Call Flow: 15.2% * GEX Sentiment: ☘️☘️🟢 (Bullish tilt, but not maxed out) 💡 Options Strategy Suggestion:
Consider a debit call spread if price breaks $253 with volume, targeting $265–$275.
If price breaks $249, put debit spreads to $230–$220 could offer solid reward. 🧠 Final Thoughts TSLA is a coiled spring, and both TA and GEX show we’re at a key decision point. Let price tell you the story — react to breakout or breakdown. Gamma positioning offers high reward potential in both directions. 📌 Stay nimble, plan both scenarios, and use options to your advantage.
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by BullBearInsights