TSLA: Buy ideaBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart if only if we have the breakout with force the vwap and the resistance line by the buyers.
TSLAD trade ideas
TESLA is overvalued and here is why - waiting for 270Tesla is overvalued, especially when compared to traditional metrics like P/E ratio. We have P/E 190 atm. If we compare Tesla to other EV companies, Tesla’s valuation might appear inflated. For example, companies like Rivian, Lucid, and NIO have been hyped similarly, but most haven’t shown the same level of growth and revenue.
Investors are betting on Tesla’s dominance in electric vehicles, energy, and other sectors, which drives the high valuation. Tesla's stock is also closely tied to Elon Musk’s reputation, decisions, and Twitter presence.
Tesla has become more profitable in recent years, but many argue that it’s still a growth company where profits aren't the main focus. The question is whether the current market cap is justified based on actual cash flow and profitability - of course NO.
Tesla was created as a startup and truly revolutionized the auto industry, but its stock is now worth several hundred times more than it is as a technology-driven car manufacturer. Future expectations have always driven the stock market, and this phenomenon will continue to accompany us. However, I believe that in terms of future expectations, Tesla, as an automaker, has long since exhausted its potential, and its competitors have long been replicating Tesla's "miracle," but in much more efficient ways.
A vivid example of this is the recent story of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I am confident that sooner or later, Tesla will also become a "victim" of this.
On the other hand, Elon Musk’s reputation, political involvement, and trade wars—all of these are potential bombs placed under Tesla.
Tesla Short term Price Drop
As we navigate the dynamic landscape of the stock market in early 2025, **Tesla Inc. (TSLA)** continues to be a focal point for investors and analysts alike.
Optimistic Future Driven by Robotics Innovation
Tesla's foray into robotics, particularly with the development of **Tesla Optimus**, positions the company at the forefront of the next technological revolution. This diversification not only complements Tesla's existing automotive and energy solutions but also opens up new revenue streams that can drive long-term growth. The integration of advanced robotics is expected to enhance production efficiency, reduce costs, and introduce innovative products that could reshape multiple industries.
Short-Term Technical Outlook: Anticipating a Price Dip to the indicated support area.
TSLA: Short-Term Wobble, Long-Term RoarClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) Revenue and Profitability: While 2024 revenue was relatively stable compared to 2023, a concerning trend is the decline in net income back to 2021 levels.
2.) Cash Flow and Liquidity: Free cash flow and cash equivalents saw a slight decrease in 2024 compared to 2023. While not dramatic, this bears monitoring as it could indicate challenges in generating cash.
3.) Price Trend Analysis:
- Short-Term: Currently in a local downtrend, but indicators suggest a potential shift to sideways trading in the near future. This implies a period of consolidation may be on the horizon.
- Support Levels: Key support levels identified at $344, $296, and $265. These are price points where buyers might be expected to enter the market, potentially halting further declines. Breaking below these levels could signal further downside.
- Medium to Long-Term: Despite the short-term bearish sentiment, the medium to long-term outlook remains bullish.
🌎Global Market Sentiment⬅️
1.) Historically, February has shown a mixed performance pattern. While it has been positive more often than not in recent decades, it's not always a consistently strong month.
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Tesla - Another +100% After This Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still double from here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Elon Musk actually becoming the richest person on this planet, Tesla is simultaneously attempting another all time high breakout. All the recent bullish momentum could further fuel this rally, leading to new all time highs and another 2x in Tesla's market cap.
Levels to watch: $450, $900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla next possible moveHi traders I decided to share my next possible move on tesla,as you can see I share the zones we're market can possible turn for possible buys,please if you'll like to follow the trend do trade properly n use given price however market might not reach some resistance anytime soon soo try to focus on it n position yourself thank you.
TSLA GEX Analysis and Option Trading SuggestionsKey Observations from GEX Chart
1. Call Resistance:
* Key resistance is at $420, with additional resistance at $412.5. Breaking through these levels could trigger further bullish momentum.
2. Put Support:
* The highest negative gamma support level lies at $365, which serves as a critical support. Below this, additional support is visible at $350.
3. Gamma Pivot Zone:
* $390 acts as a pivotal zone, balancing calls and puts. Holding above this level strengthens bullish sentiment, while breaking below could lead to bearish activity.
4. IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* IVR at 44.4 indicates moderate implied volatility, suggesting a balanced risk-reward setup for option traders.
5. Implied Volatility (IVx):
* IVx at 62.7, coupled with a decrease of -9.58%, indicates a reduction in market uncertainty, favoring directional trades with lower premium costs.
Option Trading Suggestions
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If TSLA sustains above $390:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Call Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $390 (Buy Call)
* Strike 2: $410 (Sell Call)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Aims to capitalize on potential upside to resistance at $412.5.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If TSLA breaks below $390:
* Trade Idea: Buy a Put Debit Spread.
* Strike 1: $390 (Buy Put)
* Strike 2: $370 (Sell Put)
* Expiry: 1-2 weeks out.
* Reasoning: Targets downside movement toward $365 support.
3. Neutral Strategy:
* For consolidation between $365 and $410:
* Trade Idea: Sell an Iron Condor.
* Sell Put: $365
* Buy Put: $360
* Sell Call: $410
* Buy Call: $415
* Reasoning: Captures premium within the expected range while capping risk.
Thoughts and Insights
* Momentum Check: Holding $390 is crucial for bullish continuation. A breakdown below $365 may trigger accelerated bearish momentum.
* Volatility Context: Moderate IVR and declining IVx support directional trades with manageable premium costs.
* Key Levels to Monitor:
* Support: $390, $365
* Resistance: $412.5, $420
Reminder:
GEX data updates every 15 minutes. Always monitor real-time data to adjust your trading plan accordingly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and ensure proper risk management when trading.
Tesla in next few dayshello traders i think tesla path in next few days be like this base on price action I read. and it have to decide where its going to continuing up or down. we should wait and see i think odds will be in favor of down trend after that but till then we should do no thing. myself as day trader will trade by risking 2% of my account base on this idea till it rech my destination and then decide to risk more or not.
Tesla on the brink: Navigating support and resistance next week
- Key Insights: The bearish trend in Tesla's stock price indicates that traders
should adopt short- to medium-term strategies despite its long-term bullish
positioning above key moving averages. The company's reported volatility,
influenced by mixed earnings and rising production costs, presents both risk
and opportunity. Strong leadership from Elon Musk and innovative products
could serve as a catalyst for recovery. Investors should note upcoming
earnings and tariff impacts on the automotive sector as they navigate their
strategies.
- Price Targets:
- Next week targets: T1: 400, T2: 390
- Stop levels: S1: 415, S2: 426
- Recent Performance: Tesla's stock price has recently dropped, reflecting
market pressures that have pushed it below its short-term moving averages
while remaining above longer-term trends. This mixed performance showcases a
tug-of-war between bullish long-term potential and immediate bearish
sentiment.
- Expert Analysis: Experts like Ron Baron express optimism about Tesla's future
growth, citing new strategic developments in China and product innovations
like the Cybertruck. Despite the current bearish pressure, there is a belief
that Tesla has the potential to significantly disrupt the market in the
coming years, especially as it navigates regulatory hurdles and competitive
challenges.
- News Impact: Recent tariff announcements have contributed to increased
volatility across the tech and automotive sectors, affecting Tesla's stock
performance. Additionally, changes in accounting for Bitcoin holdings have
raised questions about earnings volatility but also highlight Tesla's
innovative approaches. As these factors interplay, they create a complex
environment for investors to monitor closely.
Tesla UpdateLooking at how crypto is acting and how the ES opened tonight, I think it highly probable that the white count is playing out as expected. Of course, Tesla doesn't have to follow the market, but the probability that it bucks the overall momentum is very low.
If it does open as expected, the white fibs here will help to guide the price lower. I would expect it to hit the 1.0 @ $324.26 at the minimum with a greater chance of tagging the 1.382-1.618 @ $280.15 - $252.91 respectively. We will just have to wait to see. At this juncture though, with the available data, the white count appears the most likely.
TSLA Technical Analysis and GEX Option Insights - Jan. 3Price Action Analysis
Tesla (TSLA) continues to demonstrate high volatility, trading within a range defined by critical support and resistance levels. The stock recently attempted to breach the $420 resistance but faced rejection, with current trading levels near $402. Downward momentum is building, indicated by increasing selling pressure and key technical signals.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones:
$420: Key resistance and gamma wall; a break here may signal bullish continuation.
$439.74: Strong resistance; clearing this level could open up room for higher targets.
Support Zones:
$390: Current pivot point; crucial to hold for near-term stability.
$365: Strong gamma support; breach could lead to accelerated downside.
Indicator Analysis
MACD: Bearish crossover; signals momentum is shifting to the downside.
Stochastic RSI: Bearish divergence; suggests overbought conditions cooling off.
Volume: Consistent selling pressure with below-average buying strength.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
Call Walls:
$420: 82.24% gamma resistance; significant seller activity expected here.
$450: Major overhead resistance with high call concentration.
Put Walls:
$390: 30.32% support level.
$365: Strong gamma support and capitulation level.
Scenarios
Bullish:
Break above $420 with sustained volume.
Target upside levels at $430 and $450.
Bearish:
Breach of $390 could trigger selling toward $365 and $350.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Tesla - falling channel or bull flag ?A simple chart with fib retracement of the move since the end of October to ATH.
This could be a 5-wave move up with correction to the 0.618 retracement and turn into a bull flag pretty soon. Or it can keep correcting within that channel.
Tesla is a stock that is not trading on fundamentals, but on investor sentiment and Elon Musk mixed with lots of fibonacci pinball by the trading algorithms.
It all depends on the NDX. If the index goes up, so does TSLA. If it doesn't, next target is 320$.
Comparing TSLA to previous all time highsHere I compared how TSLA behaved last time it reached it all time high. A period of consolidation followed with lower highs and lower lows.
Way to play this type of pattern is explained furhter on the chart.
TSLA earnings up 7-9%I do dowsing & intuitive work on stocks. I haven't done earnings in awhile, so trying TSLA here.
Energy is bullish. My intuition says up 7.4% (from price atm), and dowsing says to get a price, which coincidentally comes around the same price, $419-20. Of course, 420 must be hit as it was foretold in the prophecies.
It may get up over or around 9%.
I do have it as a good bet for higher, however, then bearish energy creeps in and there's mention of both selling rallies & the daily chart breaking down.
That's all for now. Good Luck!
Mr.Million | Two Possible Scenarios for TSLAScenario #1: TSLA completed Wave (5) (in white) rather quickly, followed by a price retracement to Wave (4) low. 📉
Scenario #2: TSLA is in an ending diagonal, with a bearish RSI divergence already formed. Both near-term and long-term outlooks are bearish. 📉 (See the image below)
In both scenarios, TSLA appears to be bracing a downward move. If you’re holding shares of TSLA, consider scaling out in stages to lock in gains.
that's how trendiness work :)simple charts needs no explanations. its a penchant and see how you can sell resistance and buy support or just keep buying support :)
TSLA to the NORTHThis asset started buying after kicking me out of my last trade with just a few dollars. This was because my SL was not below my support level
The market did obeyed the support for that zone.
For today, I will buy TSLA at $399 and $400 as my entry.
My entry and SL are on my chart with TP
This is a Risk Reward of 1:2
$TESLA BUY OR SELL??Tesla has been in a tough spot lately, with earnings falling short of expectations. Many investors see this as a turning point, shifting their stance from a “Buy” to a “Sell”—and with good reason. However, despite its recent negative sentiment, I still believe Tesla is a buy, with only a temporary sell-off to it’s $345 levels, assuming it breaks below its current support level of $380, which it has been testing since early January. With further downside to be expected if it moves past $345.
That being said, if $345 holds, Tesla remains structurally intact, having yet to break any major key levels. From a technical perspective, the stock is still in a bullish trend, forming a Bullish Pennant Flag—a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside. As long as Tesla maintains this structure, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers.
However, while the technicals still lean bullish, I believe Tesla will need a catalytic event to reignite momentum and push the price higher. Whether that comes from a surprise earnings beat, positive industry news, or a broader market rally, a strong catalyst could be the key to Tesla’s next major move.
$TESLA BUY OR SELL????Tesla has been in a tough spot lately, with earnings falling short of expectations. Many investors see this as a turning point, shifting their stance from a “Buy” to a “Sell”—and with good reason. However, despite its recent negative sentiment, I still believe Tesla is a buy, with only a temporary sell-off to it’s $345 levels, assuming it breaks below its current support level of $380, which it has been testing since early January. With further downside to be expected if it moves past $345.
That being said, if $345 holds, Tesla remains structurally intact, having yet to break any major key levels. From a technical perspective, the stock is still in a bullish trend, forming a Bullish Pennant Flag—a continuation pattern that typically signals further upside. As long as Tesla maintains this structure, the broader trend remains in favor of buyers.
However, while the technicals still lean bullish, I believe Tesla will need a catalytic event to reignite momentum and push the price higher. Whether that comes from positive industry news, or a broader market rally, a strong catalyst could be the key to Tesla’s next major move.
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings ReportTesla (TSLA) Stock Rises Despite Disappointing Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session on 29 January, Tesla (TSLA) released an earnings report that fell short of analysts' expectations. The company reported:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.66, below the expected $0.74.
→ Revenue of $25.7 billion, missing the forecasted $27.3 billion.
Despite this, Tesla’s stock chart shows that the candle on 30 January closed around the key psychological level of $400, approximately 2% higher than the previous day’s close.
Investor concerns over weak quarterly results may have been offset by Elon Musk’s optimistic outlook, as he suggested Tesla’s business would return to growth in 2025, driven by:
→ New, more affordable electric vehicle models.
→ Progress in autonomous driving technology.
According to Business Insider, Musk stated that:
→ Tesla will begin testing a paid autonomous vehicle service in Austin, Texas, by June 2025.
→ The Full Self-Driving (FSD) software will undergo human-free testing in multiple states, including California, within a year.
→ Tesla is on track to become “the most valuable company” in the world, with strengthened production lines making 2026 an “epic” year.
The technical analysis of Tesla (TSLA) stock shows that the bullish momentum (marked by the orange curve), which was supported by the market’s reaction to Trump’s victory, has already weakened as the price has broken below this trendline. Meanwhile:
→ The $433 level has acted as strong resistance, turning the price down three times (marked by black arrows), indicating bearish confidence that TSLA is overbought above this point.
→ The 2025 low around $385 serves as key support, preventing a deeper decline into the long-term rising channel (shown in blue).
TSLA’s price may fluctuate within this range until a fundamental catalyst shifts market sentiment.
Analysts, however, remain sceptical about TSLA’s outlook. According to TipRanks:
→ Only 12 out of 33 analysts recommend buying TSLA shares.
→ The 12-month price target averages $335, below current levels.
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TSLA at a Critical Level! Bullish Momentum or Resistance BreakouPrice Action Analysis
* Current Price: $401.00 (Ask)
* TSLA is trading within a consolidation zone near $400. Recent price action suggests indecision, as the stock tested resistance at $413 but failed to sustain momentum.
* Key Support Levels:
* $395: Immediate support, aligning with previous consolidation zones.
* $378.85: A stronger level that could act as a potential demand zone if the price breaks lower.
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $413: Immediate resistance. A breakout above could signal a bullish continuation.
* $420.73: The next critical level for bullish momentum.
Indicators
* MACD: Flattening near the signal line, indicating a lack of momentum but suggesting a potential bullish crossover.
* Stochastic RSI: Neutral at 52.77, suggesting a balanced condition. A cross above 70 could confirm momentum.
GEX Analysis and Option Sentiment
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): 93.2% calls, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the options market.
* High Positive NETGEX Level: $420 (Gamma Wall) serves as a strong resistance point.
* Key GEX Levels:
* $450: Strong CALL wall, potential upside target.
* $365: PUT support, strong demand zone.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
* Entry: Above $413
* Target 1: $420
* Target 2: $430
* Stop Loss: Below $395
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
* Entry: Below $395
* Target 1: $378
* Target 2: $365
* Stop Loss: Above $413
Option Strategy
1. Bullish:
* Calls: Buy $420 Calls (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target premium growth if TSLA breaks $413 convincingly.
2. Bearish:
* Puts: Buy $380 Puts (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target profits if price breaks $395.
My Thoughts
Tesla is poised for a significant move. The consolidation near $400 suggests that the next breakout or rejection will dictate the short-term direction. With GEX supporting a bullish case, $420 remains a critical target. However, a failure to hold $395 could bring a bearish wave.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions may vary at premarket open. Traders are advised to adjust strategies accordingly. For questions, please PM me!
Tesla Poised for a Major Rebound Before a Deeper Correction!Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that Tesla is gearing up for a strong rally to the $428 region by the first week of February. However, we anticipate a sharp correction thereafter, with the price dipping towards $310 by the last week of February before launching into a massive bullish wave, ultimately breaking the $500 resistance!
This movement aligns with our wave structure, where we expect a short-term rally before a necessary correction sets the stage for a parabolic move upwards.
Opening (IRA): TSLA February 21st 330/340/460/470 Iron Condor... for a 3.35 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.35
Buying Power Effect: 6.65
ROC at Max: 50.4%
50% Max: 1.68
ROC at 50% Max: 25.2%
